The previous first quarter productivity drop of 7.4% was the largest quarterly drop in 74 years. Today the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports the second quarter productivity dropped another 4.6% [Data Here].
For July, companies are paying 5.7% higher wages and getting a 4.6% drop in output, resulting in a total unit labor cost increase of 10.8%. That increase in final output cost will either result in higher prices or lower profits.
With weak consumer purchasing (low demand) already creating an inventory surplus, hence lower outputs, lower profit leads to cutbacks. The largest company expenses are generally labor and energy costs. The more variable and controllable of those two expenses is labor. You know what comes next.
(WSJ) – […] Rising productivity is the key to improving living standards; it allows companies to raise wages without raising prices and fueling inflation. Instead, businesses appear to be paying workers more to produce less. The higher unit labor costs suggest companies will either endure lower profits or pass on higher costs to consumers.
“The trend in productivity growth has worsened compared to prior to the pandemic, and the surge in unit labor costs makes the Fed’s challenge of getting inflation back down to its 2% target all the more challenging,” Wells Fargo economist Sarah House said in a research note.




It sounds bizarre to even say this, but that is the status of current elections in Washington State – and the residents appear to be okay with it. The election was six days ago, and the counting of the votes is still not completed.