A few days ago, we were discussing the disconnect within the economy as it relates to corporate valuations. The Bureau of Labor Statistics report today [DATA HERE] highlights another economic disconnect, this time with labor. According to the BLS survey 528,000 jobs were added to the economy in July, the unemployment rate drops to 3.5%.
The household data [Table A] shows the number of eligible workers unemployed dropped 242,000; however, the number of eligible workers no longer in the workforce increased by 239,000. The total labor force is shrinking as unemployment drops.
Keep in mind the previous BLS survey of job openings (JOLTS report) showed available jobs dropped 605,000 in July. “On the last business day of June, the number and rate of job openings decreased to 10.7 million (-605,000) and 6.6 percent, respectively. The largest decreases in job openings were in retail trade (-343,000), wholesale trade (-82,000), and in state and local government education (-62,000).” [JOLTS survey]
Going back to today’s release, 303,000 part-time jobs were added in July; these are workers working part-time for economic reasons. The Household Data shows that within the leisure and hospitality sector [Table B-1] restaurants and bars added 74,000 jobs.
If we combine both BLS surveys two days apart is: 605,000 job openings cancelled, and 528,000 new jobs gained.
Of the 528,000 new jobs gained, 303,000 were part time jobs with the largest growth in the jobs in restaurants and bars.
Again, blending data from both reports and focusing on retail. The retail sector cancelled 343,000 job openings in July, and the retail sector added 21,600 jobs in July. Within the retail sector (table B-1), jobs at automotive dealers, furniture stores and clothing/apparel stores dropped by a combined 7,200 jobs.


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