Well, well, well…. though financial media will say this is remarkably unexpected, it is something CTH specifically predicted we would see – and it is happening exactly on the timeline CTH anticipated.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the second quarter national wage rate data today {BLS DATA HERE}. U.S. wages DECLINED 1.2% in the second quarter of 2021 compared to last year. When reviewing the data [Table 2], look at the negative impact to women, specifically Black and Asian women:

TOP LINE – Combine a 1.2% decline in earned wages with a 5.4% overall inflation rate recently reported {Go Deep}, and what you get is a 6.6% drop in real income amid the working class. That, my friends, is exactly what we said should be expected. That is also why the JoeBama administration needs to pump more money into the system (human infrastructure spending) in order to stop people from realizing just how bad it is.
You cannot have declining wages and massive inflation and expect the middle-class to survive. Additionally, when I said six weeks ago that we had just passed peak home value, this is another data point to bolster that prediction. We are in a plateau period on macro-level real home values, from this point they start dropping. You cannot have near double digit drops in real income and simultaneously expect people to afford high mortgages. It just doesn’t happen.
That is the baseline for
Remember, General Milley did some really odd things as Joint Chiefs Chairman under President Trump:
