United States Trade Rep. Jamieson Greer is a very solid member of the Trump trade team. Having learned at the knee of former USTR Robert Lighthizer, you can see the stability of thought in the consistency of approach.
USTR Greer outlines the ongoing discussions between the U.S. and China on the framework of a stable trade relationship. Against a myriad of geopolitical chess moves on the economic and trade front, Greer and Treasury Secretary Bessent play key roles in executing the Trump Doctrine.
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In the background of the President Trump and Chairman Xi meeting, we can see the broad contours of President Trump’s strategy toward both the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the China-Canada trade relationship.
If President Trump can formulate a strong, actionable and enforceable free trade agreement with Chairman Xi, it will undercut the ability of Canada to assemble cheap component goods not available in the U.S. manufacturing equation for total cost of goods. This puts Trump in an even stronger position heading into the 2026 USMCA (CUSMA) dissolution phase.
Additionally, despite the mainstream thoughts to the contrary, putting distance between Russia and China is not averse to the interests of Russian Federation Vladimir Putin, who would strategically prefer to do business with the ‘West’ over Beijing. However, China does not want to see their Biden-created tentacle weakened in Russia.
China retains a vision of a global financial market option beyond the dollar, and Xi plays that long-term strategy game with Putin quite effectively. It is only President Trump who holds the key to weakening that strategy, and Chairman Xi likely reminds everyone -through his emissaries- that they can wait out the Trump administration.
During the ASEAN conference, again we see President Trump drawing heavily on the personal factor as a part of his strategic influence operation to push distance between Southeast Asia and Beijing. Cunning Panda can undoubtedly see that play, however, culturally they may underestimate the strength of the dynamic. President Trump leverages the world’s biggest market with a smile. The world’s biggest sellers want and need to keep that smile on the face of their #1 customer.
Jamieson Greer, like Scott Bessent, both outwardly show their respect for this intrapersonal dynamic that President Trump uses in these negotiations, and it is very interesting to watch the recipients of President Trump’s praise remain positioned to receive it.
President Donald Trump is a friendly dealmaker, until he is not. Southeast Asia understands this dynamic very well.
It is a pleasure to watch the U.S. economic team circle the concentric interests into alignment and then stand back and let the closer finish the deals.
Good stuff.
A smart boss surrounds himself/herself with smart(er) people. We are seeing that in this 2nd term.
That’s what JFK did when he brought in Robert McNamara and his Wiz Kids to run the Pentagon.
that’s Not an example, imho.
WT:
Entirely agree. Robert McNamara and his ‘Wiz Kids’ did not credit themselves or JFK well in the Vietnam debacle.
I recall McNamara as “You gotta grow at 3%, else you’re dying”, “Just throw more money at the problem”, “Bigger is better” and other BS. McNamara and the Whiz Kids ended up getting our ass beat in Vietnam.
100 thumbs up
No, it’s much, much more than 100 thumbs up
Very bad decision example
You hit the nail on the head, Biffstir. In 45, PDJT didn’t pick his own team and he was bamboozled by many, many shysters. Managing his 45 team was like herding cats. In 47, he picked his team and what a team he chose. Comparing 45 and 47 is like night and day.
if this newly negotiated chyna deal holds as expected, canada’s leverage in trade negotiations now measures less than zero which leaves groveling their only option
checkmate
Canada is losing both their source of supply (from China) and their source of demand (choked off by US tariffs.)
Bye bye Ms. American Pie?
Their best option now is to become a State, njoy the welfare while industrializing and then get back to work.
Don’t know why, but for some reason USTR’s answer to her questions brought up the idea that with the increase of closure of escape routes for Canada (that is, US-China trade deals, end of USMCA with separate trade agmt with Mexico, the growing immigration problems in Europe weaking Europe’s economies, etc.) , if this keeps up am beginning to think that Canada’s ten provinces and 3 territories may indeed become the 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, and 64th States.
When President Trump met with then PM Trudeau and they had that conversation when President Trump’s reply was that Canada should become the 51st State, an idea that probably had never crossed PDJT’s mind, now seeded, this builder of a President may just make that a reality.
We don’t want them as states. Especially everything east of the Great Lakes.
Better for them to remain independent, but cordial.
Territories would be the better route, like Puerto Rico.
Make the eastern provinces earn it. We’ll let Western Canada have 2 senators, and maybe two reps, until we get all of their illegal immigrants, cartel members, and Chinese spies out.
I vote Dekester for Governor.
Speaking of escape routes, we need to prepare for a flood of refugees fleeing south when Canada’s economy implodes, taxes grow even higher and they stop paying welfare to all their third-world migrants causing violent crime to explode.
We’ll happily absorb their skilled, working conservatives.
We do not want Commie-Socialist Canada.
Certainly not on top of a Commie-Socialist New York City.
Great idea! 64 states with 64 stars and we control 1/2 the Artic!
Well, the Fox newsreader was at least mildly more polite than the egregious corpulences of Brennan and Welker.
Same questions though. Almost like there’s a script. /s
Maybe more polite but totally stupid to give Crying Chucky Schumer any air at all. If Chucky actually thought his party’s game playing with government funding was in anyway some kind of higher priority then what PDT is doing during this trip on the world stage, he really is ignorant. The whole government shutdown bs that Chucky created is probably helping PDT in the long run. Now the administration can axe about 50% of the federal deadwood which needs to happen anyway.
She presented each item from other sources, then let him answer each question uninterrupted, and didn’t then interject her own opinion after the answer. Of course, some planning went into the questions. It gives Greer a chance to clearly answer questions. I like these interviews between her and Greer.
Not to derail, but remember how 0bama would follow Trump around on overseas visits?
Well this time Oregon’s 2 headed governor is in Asia on a taxpayer funded junket as I type.
Also Canadian Super Globalist CCP Carney went to Malaysia on Oct 24th.
POS
Problem is always that China doesn’t keep her promises.
To be fair, their first experience with Western Civilization was with the British.
Don’t know about “first experience” but certainly British getting Chinese hooked on opium did no favors, and then going to war when China attempted to put a trade barrier on opium.
If memory serves, the first China agreement had triggers for noncompliance. Biden just scrapped it all – we know why.
A thing which I have noticed is that each one of President Trump’s closest lieutenants stays in his lane, according to each one’s level of expertise or duties.
If a question is asked…as with Scott Bessent today… over which one has no responsibility, he defers to his colleague whose remit a particular function is. In this case to Mr Greer.
And they all in turn defer to President Trump, lines clearly drawn.
That’s the beauty of his loyal team which our president has gathered around him. So attuned are they to achieving an end result for the benefit of America and her citizens that there are no egos to contend with, as there have always been in previous administrations.
How refreshing and how glorious to see…a well oiled machine with each person working for the good of our nation.
One for all and all for one, just as it should be.
Watching them work one might say that this exemplifies government of the people, by the people, for the people, and that it has indeed not perished from the earth.
Because they all LOVE the USA. Very simple.
No ego’s. And no traitors ready to stick a knife in his back at every opportunity.
I love that about the Cabinet meetings as well.
As regards taming China and pulling Russia away from China, it might be best to not count those fortune cookies before they hatch.
I’ll bet a ruble to your fortune cookie that an Alskan Siberian railway is built before Newscum’s derailment.
I wonder if Elon is involved in the planning for that. I vote for a grand opening by Christmas with the TransSiberian Orchestra!
I’ve been thinking about tools.
What is a hammer to a nail.? Or a shoe to a horse?
Idyllic thoughts I suppose. But one doesn’t wonder.
Greer, Lighthizer and Bessent make me think of Robert McNamara and his Wiz Kids who were all also brilliant men.
We saw this the first time.
Love and appreciate your analysis, Sundance. Thank you and MAGA!! 👊👊🙏🏻🙏🏻🇺🇸🇺🇸❤️❤️
Saw this today and wanted to get some Treehouse input.
“ OCTOBER 26, 2025: THE DAY AMERICA BECAME AN EMPIRE
While you watched TikTok, the United States just executed the greatest economic coup in human history.
China controls 80% of rare earth processing—the neurons of every weapon system, smartphone, and AI server on planet Earth. One element: neodymium. Without it, F-35s don’t fly. Teslas don’t move. Data centers go dark.
Trump threatened to destroy $300 billion in Chinese exports with 100% tariffs.
Beijing responded by threatening to choke the global technology supply chain.
Then something impossible happened.
THE 72-HOUR CHECKMATE:
October 24: Malaysia signs mineral pact.
October 25: Thailand signs processing deal.
October 26: Framework announced. China blinks.
Hidden in the fine print: $13 billion Australian rare earth processing. Cambodia extraction rights. Japan’s 2010 playbook—which cut Chinese dependency 30%—now deployed across $350 billion in American AI infrastructure.
THE NUMBER THAT ENDS GLOBALIZATION:
US-China trade: $758B (2018) → $578B (2024)
That $180 billion didn’t vanish. It relocated to nations that bend the knee.
ASEAN trade up 20%. Chinese rare earth market share dropping for first time in 30 years. American supply chains rerouting in real-time while Beijing realizes the trap.
HERE’S WHAT THEY’RE NOT TELLING YOU:
This isn’t trade negotiation. It’s tribute collection.
Trump just converted the world’s largest consumer market from a trade partner into a weapon. Every nation now faces a choice: access to American markets, or access to Chinese supply chains.
Not both. Ever again.
The $20 billion soybean freeze—first since 2018—isn’t retaliation. It’s a demonstration. China can inflict pain. America can inflict extinction.
THE PATTERN THAT BROKE REALITY:
Seventeen times since 2018, identical playbook: Announce apocalyptic tariffs. Markets crater. China retaliates. Then—exemptions appear for allies. Pressure multiplies on Beijing.
63% of Chinese goods face maximum tariffs.
Allied nations: 4%.
Every “chaotic” threat was a calculated bid. Every “impulsive” tweet moved supply chains. Every “Trade War” headline masked the systematic dismantling of Chinese technological sovereignty.
WHAT HAPPENS NEXT:
November 1: Xi meets Trump at APEC.
The deal is already done. Rare earth access for tariff relief. American boots on Asian rare earth facilities. China gets to save face.
America gets the future.
Taiwan, AI dominance, technological independence, and the end of competitive multipolarity—all bundled into a “trade framework” the media will call a truce.
THE TRUTH:
Globalization didn’t collapse.
It was conquered.”
For those who don’t TwitX 😉 the contents of above tweetX
LOVE this! 3D Chess MASTER!
I read that earlier today. Thanks for reposting it.
Our President has, it seems, a plan.
Sounds great. I would love to hear this reinforced by several wise global economists from their own independent perspectives.
Do not hold your breath waiting for that!
I will feel a bunch safer when the TSMC chip plants are fully operational in the US. It would be good to be a net exporter of them.
Love this!
One message for Up-Chuckie Schumer, “Shut the f**k up! You shut the government down, not deal with it, pie-hole!”
Mr. Moon, can you garner and show some evidence or reinforcement/duplicate expert support for your opinion? So far you get the Eyore award.
Canada is certainly the example of how not to negotiate with Trump. I think they are now 1st – the most tariffed country yet the most dependent on that. Where will fresh food come from? shipped by plane or boat? How to ship 1,000s of containers more when the ports are crowded.
Strangely the UK managed to get a pretty good deal, better than the EU. Still with a crazy Liberal government.
Canada-stan
is FOOKED !
Indeed Good Stuff! Excellent analysis as always, Sundance.
Intrapersonal relationships is President Trumps strong suit in conducting trade or peace negotiations.
He goes with a positive presentation and a smile to demonstrate respect. He expects the same in return.
That is what manifests itself most clearly in all of President Trump’s and his team’s meetings with potential partners in peace and prosperity.
Again, heartfelt THANKS, Sundance!
Truly appreciate your observations and explanations!
Continued BLESSINGS!
Chuck Schumer claims that “Trump has abandoned his post.”
What a silly a$$.. The minority leader has abandoned his senses.
Love this article Sundance. Explanation superb.
The soybean crisis is a myth. The world soybean production is a set amount. Soybeans for sale may also vary by how much is in storage or new production that is not reported. If China stops buying from the U.S.A, it may buy from Argentina, but then the buy and sell relationship is disturbed. Argentina may not have enough production to satisfy its sexisting customer who will have to find new suppliers. Maybe they will beuy from the U. S. A. It seems to me that its all a wash.
Sundance, RE your punchline: Sundance’s punchline:
“Additionally, despite the mainstream thoughts to the contrary, putting distance between Russia and China is not averse to the interests of Russian Federation Vladimir Putin, who would strategically prefer to do business with the ‘West’ over Beijing. However, China does not want to see their Biden-created tentacle weakened in Russia.”
—> Are you seeing evidence that Russia’s strategically preferring to do business with the “West” over Beijing, as the West continues sending weapons and longer-range missiles to attack Moscow and designing ways to donate Russia’s Reserves they control to fund Ukraine’s war?
It appears from Russia’s actions that they’ve decided to end trade with the EU in favor of trading with Asian, African, Mideast and BRICS+ partners – particularly when it comes to their Energy Exports traveling south through the INSTC International North South Transportation Corridor via Iran to the Indian Ocean and east through both their newly-activated Arctic Route and newly-signed Siberian II Pipeline. This Pipeline will displace supplies to Europe when completed. In the meantime Russia’s Contract for Gas to Europe expires in early 2026.
Today’s Russian Deal to build a Railway through China to Vietnam is more evidence of a RUSSIAN PIVOT to ASIA:
A railway will be built between Russia and Vietnam, according to the media.
Representatives of the countries have already agreed on creating a route through China and Mongolia.
– FRWL
https://x.com/Zlatti_71/status/1982838869973495932
‘It is a pleasure to watch the U.S. economic team circle the concentric interests into alignment and then stand back and let the closer finish the deals.’
Amen to that! 👍
Trump Ignores Canada’s Carney at ASEAN Summit, Major China Trade Deal Instead
In this episode, we delve into Donald Trump’s trip to Asia, highlighting the substantial trade progress with China and contrasting with the suspended trade talks with Canada. While headlines focus on China, Susan Kokinda reveals Prime Minister Mark Carney’s attempts to undermine Trump’s economic strategies, particularly at the ASEAN Summit. The episode underscores the clash between Trump’s vision of sovereign nations cooperating and Carney’s globalist agenda.
I was very impressed with Jamieson Greer. He gave clear, unambiguous answers. Also he commented on what President Trump is doing, as “this is the President’s job, and he’s doing it.” I immediately compared President Trump with Biden, and realized how Biden basically never did his job as President, the entire 4 years someone else was doing his job for him.
The world is seeing a new, determined, USA, and each country is recognizing that they can either gain from this new American approach, or they can fight against it. Those that want to fight against Trump’s America will find themselves on the losing end of the stick. This is something Canada is coming to grips with.
I feel Americans now have a President who is protecting our interests and putting the interests of the American people first.
That’s what I voted for!