CBS coordinated with YouGov to present three “battleground state” panel polls today.  The polling methodology is rather peculiar because it’s not random sample polling, but rather targeted specifically to prior respondents of same, albeit earlier, YouGov polling.  They fill in the non-repeat respondents from other prior contacted buckets.

The downside to this panel-approach is it’s essentially like taking a focus group and tracking their trend over-time, filling in those who don’t show up for the next interview by reaching out to other focus groups to fill the void.  This type of on-line polling is not scientific and prone to flaws and/or manipulation by the interpreter of the data.

The pollster is reaching out to a specific data-set, and in order to achieve the needed total number they need to reach out to ‘known sub-sets‘ within their data-base.  In order for this approach to be useful – the integrity of the people gathering the data has to be beyond reproach.  (more…)

Not Accidental: NOTE all the Republicans who voted for the Omnibus/Tax usurpation today are endorsing / supporting @JebBush or @marcorubio

— TheLastRefuge (@TheLastRefuge2) December 19, 2015

Have you noticed Chris Christie being elevated by the same corporate media machine previously elevating Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina and Marco Rubio ?  This is not coincidental.

The problem for the GOPe Road Map has been the dominance of Donald Trump in disrupting their initial goals to nominate Jeb Bush with 10-20% of the primary vote.

Trump, as a populist “America First” frontrunner nominee was just never anticipated in their construct.

As soon as Trump eliminated the “splitter strategy” benefit – various GOPe approaches were deployed to overcome The Donald.   However, almost all of the subsequent maneuvers failed as Trump gained a more broad coalition of support.

The GOPe campaign road map has now evolved into a concerted effort to group a non-Trump coalition, this is why no “splitter” candidate is being urged to withdraw.

(more…)

Post Debate Poll

Fox will be forced to present this poll result (full pdf below) but you can be guaranteed they will downplay it as much as possible.   The fact remains the visible support of Donald Trump with tens-of-thousands of supporters at rallies forces the corporate media into an uncomfortable position: They don’t want to admit the obvious, yet they have no choice.

Donald Trump with 39% support gains an additional 11 points since last Fox National polling and now holds more than double the next closest competitor, Cruz (18).

Here’s the “historical results” of this poll: (more…)

A new national poll from PPP released today (full pdf below) contains a significant amount of highly interesting internal data including head-to-head match ups showing Donald Trump beating each of the other GOP candidates and holding the most broad base of total electorate support.

Two key takeaways from the “top line” data are Trump gaining (w/ this polling) his largest amount of support in a single poll change (gaining 8%); and simultaneously Ben Carson in complete free-fall out of the top tier (dropping 13%), both in less than a month.

The internals also show Ted Cruz beating Marco Rubio in head-to-head matchups.  However, Donald Trump beats them both head-to-head, and in three or four-way splits.

(more…)

Fox News and Brett Baier go on offense to protect/assist Senator Marco Rubio and diminish Senator Ted Cruz – the transparency of the GOPe media agenda in this interview is obvious.

Fox has a well documented vested interest in both Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush. Tonight Brett Baier calls out Cruz on several issues.  Here’s a short version (longer version below):

Full Interview Below – There you can better see the set up and the framework: (more…)

OANN has released a post debate poll of debate “Winners and Losers” (available here).  Overall the majority saw Donald Trump as the biggest winner followed by Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio.  Results below:

The same polling showed the biggest loser to be Jeb Bush, Rand Paul and John Kasich respectively.

Having sat through both the under card debate and the prime-time debate I would disagree a bit with the polling on the losers.  Lindsey Graham and George Pataki were the biggest losers of the first debate their unbridled, and often emotional, instability was on full display. (more…)

The CNN prime-time debate begins at 8:30pm – It is broadcast on all CNN media outlets and is available HERE:

Please share your comments and perspectives in the comment section.

It is anticipated the CNN approach will be to frame everything around overt and covert attacks against the GOP frontrunner Donald Trump.

Toward that end it makes sense Chris Christie was placed in the prime-time debate as a GOPe/RNC tool.  If the debate qualifications to allow Christie into the prime-time debate had not taken place there would only have been 7 candidates on the stage with Donald Trump.  Both Christie and Rand Paul would have been bumped down. (more…)

The latest Public Policy Poll (full pdf below) shows a divergent narrative from the DMR poll of Iowa released two days ago.  The PPP Poll shows Trump on top with Ted Cruz a close second – both double digits above third place Marco Rubio:

With Senator Rand Paul also in a race to keep his Kentucky Senate seat, he is in a precarious political position.  Many anticipate a coming decision to stay in the race or exit in favor of spending additional time in his home state. (more…)

We’re often asked why not just unmask candidate Ted Cruz and lay bare with all of the gathered research on his manipulative intents.  The simplest answer can be found in the following analogy some might be familiar with:

…”have you ever tried to convince a 17-year-old teenager their boyfriend is wrong for them”?…

There are some things you make a decision not to do, choosing instead to watch people awaken on their own, at their own pace.  Preferring to support them after the awakening.

Ted Cruz, as a known toxic entity, is one of those type of examples.

What Campaign Chief Jeff Roe describes in the recent Washington Post article is MK-Ultra type of psychological operations.

The objective goes hand-in-hand with the approach Senate Candidate Ted Cruz first deployed in his 2012 bid to become a U.S. Senator.

Many of us who supported Cruz at the time (2012) recognized the concerning aspect, but set it aside as an issue ‘for future reference’.

However, when you digest the approach, it accurately describes why “religion” is an essential element in his campaign.  It also explains why Cruz can turn against someone like Sarah Palin, once her usefulness was exhausted – now, collaboratively with Glenn Beck, calling Sarah Palin “a clown”. (more…)

Despite almost everyone agreeing the GOP debates need to be trimmed to the top 5, 6, or 7 – CNN has decided, yet again, to put nine candidates on the prime-time debate stage and four remain at the lower-tier debate.

(Rand Paul previously hinted that if he was not on the prime-time stage he would withdraw):

(Via CNN) […]  CNN’s debate, which will be held in Las Vegas and is the fifth of the primary season, is the first to use early-state polls as a way to make the main event in prime-time. Candidates must meet one of three criteria in polls conducted between October 29 and December 13 and recognized by CNN: an average of at least 3.5% nationally; at least 4% in Iowa; or at least 4% in New Hampshire. (more…)