The latest Public Policy Poll (full pdf below) shows a divergent narrative from the DMR poll of Iowa released two days ago. The PPP Poll shows Trump on top with Ted Cruz a close second – both double digits above third place Marco Rubio:
With Senator Rand Paul also in a race to keep his Kentucky Senate seat, he is in a precarious political position. Many anticipate a coming decision to stay in the race or exit in favor of spending additional time in his home state.
(Via PPP) PPP’s newest Iowa poll finds Donald Trump and Ted Cruz at the top of the heap with 28% and 25% respectively. Marco Rubio at 14% and Ben Carson at 10% are also in double digits with Jeb Bush at 7% the only other candidate who clears even 3%. Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina, and Mike Huckabee all hit that level with John Kasich and Rand Paul each getting 2%, Lindsey Graham and Rick Santorum each getting 1%, and Jim Gilmore and George Pataki both having literally no support.
Trump, Cruz, Rubio, and Bush have all seen varying increases in their support in the six weeks since we last polled Iowa. Cruz obviously has the most momentum, picking up 11 points from his 14% standing in early November. Trump has gained 6 points, Rubio 4 points, and Bush 2 points.
As we’ve been finding across the country for the last month Carson has seen the most serious downward arc in his support, dropping 11 points from his previous 21% standing. Huckabee’s dropped 3 points and Fiorina by 2 points as well.
There are a lot of divisions between where Cruz and Trump’s support is coming from. Among voters whose biggest concern is having a candidate who’s conservative on the issues Cruz leads with 33% to 26% for Trump and 15% for Carson. But with voters whose biggest concern is being able to beat a Democrat in the general election, Trump wins out with 31% to 20% each for Cruz and Rubio. Cruz leads Trump 31/30 with men, but Trump more than makes up for that with a 26/17 lead among women. Cruz has a strong advantage with ‘very conservative’ voters at 37% to 25% for Trump and 14% for Carson but Trump leads based on his strength with moderates, with whom gets 42% to 14% each for Rubio and Bush.
It’s ironic that Trump leads with moderates, because the views of his supporters wouldn’t be considered moderate by most standards:
-78% support Trump’s call to bans Muslims from entering the United States, to only 13% who oppose it. Overall 54% of Republicans support him on that to 28% who are opposed. Supporters of Cruz (62/20) and Carson (54/25) also favor a Muslim ban while backers of Rubio (28/48) and Bush (28/49) are opposed. (read more)
Full Results:
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History of Candidate Donald Trump’s Perspectives:
Donald Trump in 2011 defending the Tea Party as the GOPe constructed the foundation for Super-PACs (manipulation of Citizens United decision):
Trump in 2011 / 2012 promoting Main Street over Wall Street and Bailouts:
Trump early in ’13 Disappointed with the Romney loss and re-election of Barack Obama. Understanding the consequences of a third party to break the GOPe stranglehold on the Republican party:
Donald Trump understood the strength of the Tea Party and the Principles which brought it to the forefront of the political landscape. While the GOPe began smacking the “extremists”, Trump was pushing back:
If Karl Rove & @GOP Establishment continue to attack the Tea Party, who delivered in 2010, then there will be a 3rd Party in 2016.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 4, 2013
I don’t like bullies. I am not going to stand around and watch @KarlRove target the Tea Party. Karl Rove gave us Barack Obama. Loser.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 11, 2013
Trump in 2013 advocating for Immigration Law Enforcement – NOT Amnesty or Comprehensive Immigration Reform to include Amnesty:
A Candidate For America !
