Many people have requested that I outline some context on the Iran conflict; so, here it is.

What follows is my own researched perspective on the challenge that President Trump is facing.  I anticipate the non-interventionists will not be happy with it, and also the Israel First crowd will not like the brutal pragmatism of it. Alas, having spent a great deal of time watching things unfold, here’s my take.

Start with this question: Considering all the years the debate over Iran’s nuclear ambitions has persisted, why haven’t its strongest allies, China and Russia, ever provided Iran with a nuclear weapon?

Now, before anyone jumps into the nuclear non-proliferation perspective, let me remind you we are not going to pretend things here. You can pretend that Beijing didn’t give the DPRK nuclear weapons by pretending that North Korea isn’t a proxy province of China. Or you can stop pretending. The choice is yours!

So, what’s different?  Well, in the DPRK example, Beijing holds the control mechanism.  For Iran, giving religious fanatics a nuclear weapon would be tantamount to giving the Muslim Brotherhood the ability to start World War III.

As recently noted, Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman urged President Trump not to back down from this moment of consequence and to eliminate the Iranian threat once and for all. MbS is about as close to a Middle East pragmatist as you can find.  In response, a desperate British Prime Minister Keir Starmer rushed to Saudi Arabia hoping to change the position of MbS.  Great Britain is almost out of fuel.

That’s a good place to start looking at the regional perspectives.

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I am going to outline a contextual background for the Iranian conflict and my opinion of the current situation in detail. In short, I stand with President Trump’s position, but many of the influential aspects are being missed.

The anti-interventionist podcasters and the Israel-first advocates are both wrong. An honest and pragmatic review of the entire regional dynamic is needed.  Which includes the big picture question that no one is asking.

In the interim, here is the statement from President Trump describing the current status, against the backdrop of Vice President JD Vance’s earnest efforts to negotiate a resolution:

[VIA TRUTH SOCIAL] – “Iran promised to open the Strait of Hormuz, and they knowingly failed to do so. This caused anxiety, dislocation, and pain to many people and Countries throughout the World.

They say they put mines in the water, even though all of their Navy, and most of their “mine droppers,” have been completely blown up. They may have done so, but what ship owner would want to take the chance?

There is great dishonor and permanent harm to the reputation of Iran, and what’s left of their “Leaders,” but we are beyond all of that. As they promised, they better begin the process of getting this INTERNATIONAL WATERWAY OPEN AND FAST! Every Law in the book is being violated by them.

I have been fully debriefed by Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner, on the meeting that took place in Islamabad through the kind and very competent leadership of Field Marshal Asim Munir, and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, of Pakistan. They are very extraordinary men, and continuously thank me for saving 30 to 50 million lives in what would have been a horrendous War with India. I always appreciate hearing that — The amount of Humanity spoken of is incomprehensible.

The meeting with Iran began early in the morning and lasted throughout the night — Close to 20 hours. I could go into great detail, and talk about much that has been gotten but, there is only one thing that matters — IRAN IS UNWILLING TO GIVE UP ITS NUCLEAR AMBITIONS!

In many ways, the points that were agreed to are better than us continuing our Military Operations to conclusion, but all of those points don’t matter compared to allowing Nuclear Power to be in the hands of such volatile, difficult, unpredictable people.

My three Representatives, as all of this time went by, became, not surprisingly, very friendly and respectful of Iran’s Representatives, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, Abbas Araghchi, and Ali Bagheri, but that doesn’t matter because they were very unyielding as to the single most important issue and, as I have always said, right from the beginning, and many years ago, IRAN WILL NEVER HAVE A NUCLEAR WEAPON!

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One of the most critical European elections is happening today as Hungarian nationalists face down the influence of the European Union.  The stakes are exceptionally high for the entire continent and every control mechanism from the EU has been deployed to shape the outcome.   For the EU collective and all those who are yearning for a war against Russia, this is a zero-sum contest.

If Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban (Fidesz party) wins the nationalists will have fended off the Brussels coalition.  If challenger Peter Magyar (Tisza party) wins, the EU will claim victory and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will cheer.  The Ukraine meat grinder awaits fuel or starvation.

TRACK VOTE HERE – AND/OR – TRACK VOTE HERE

In the USA the anti-Trump media are desperate to paint a Viktor Orban defeat as a precursor to prove Donald Trump no longer holds political influence.  Every USA media outlet is all-in to weaponize the outcome.

The vote count will begin immediately after polls close at 7pm local / 1pm ET (USA), with preliminary results likely to be published from around 8pm local / 2pm ET (USA). These early figures will be released alongside data showing how much of the vote has been processed. You can track HERE and also HERE.

We will bump this post throughout the day.

NOTE: Not all votes will be included in the initial election day figures. Ballots cast abroad or submitted via transfer voting may take up to four days to arrive. These votes will later be sorted by constituency and distributed to local election offices, where they will be counted on the Friday or Saturday following election day. If it is a very close election, well, you know the routine…. The mail in ballots, under the control of the intelligence community, will determine the outcome.

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In an effort to keep the Daily Open Thread a little more open topic we are going to start a new daily thread for “Presidential Politics”. Please use this thread to post anything relating to the Donald Trump Administration and Presidency.

This thread will refresh daily and appear above the Open Discussion Thread.

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Our Father, who art in heaven, hallowed be thy Name. Thy kingdom come. THY WILL BE DONE, on earth as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily bread. And forgive us our trespasses, as we forgive those who trespass against us. And lead us not into temptation, but DELIVER US FROM EVIL.

For Thine is the kingdom and the power and the glory, forever and ever. Amen †

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Vice President JD Vance speaks briefly to the assembled press pool in Pakistan following 21 hours of negotiations with interim Iranian officials.

Vice President Vance notes that no deal was reached and that is fundamentally “bad news for Iran.”  Within the brief remarks and responses to questions, Vance notes Iran “has chosen, not to accept our terms.”  The VP then outlined the core goal is for an agreement not to develop a nuclear weapon, and the Iranian delegation are unwilling to accept terms that stop them from achieving nuclear weapon capabilities.  WATCH:

President Trump is scheduled to give a live interview with Maria Bartiromo at 10:00am ET on Fox News.  Obviously, this will be the substantive issue President Trump will likely discuss.

With tensions still high and no clear next steps, Iran’s refusal to accept terms without nuclear missile development raises serious questions about the future of the conflict.

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You have to remember how close they are in all their collaborative efforts in order to truly appreciate the level of disingenuous gaslighting present in this effort to create distance.

Throughout Spygate, Russiagate and all the impeachment nonsense, Adam Schiff was Batman to Eric Swalwell’s Robin. They were/are peas and carrots, partners in every sense of the word.

Schiff and Swalwell organized together, planned and conducted media hits together, schemed together, shared the same staff together and were fundamentally side-by-side in everything.  However, now that Swalwell’s perverted zipper problems and rape tendencies have become the talk of California and Washington, DC, Schiff retracts:

The wheels on the bus go, whomp, whomp, whomp.

Swalwell’s staff is now making public pronouncements about his horribleness, despite their years of knowing about his gross sexual escapades.

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President Trump is back, making the ‘red tie’ Chopper Pressers great again.

As President Donald Trump departs the White House for Miami, he pauses to deliver remarks on the ongoing Iran negotiations taking place in Pakistan and debunks the insufferable media narratives surrounding the current situation in the Strait of Hormuz.  WATCH:

…. “Let me just tell you, we win!  No matter what!  We’ve defeated their military; they have no navy. 158 ships are under water, they’re under the sea.  All of their mine sweepers; all of their mine droppers.  Can you imagine, a country has 28 mine droppers, you think that’s nice?  With all of that being said, they’re all defeated by the way, they’re all at the bottom of the sea; now, with all of that – They have no Navy; they have no radar; they have no Airforce, their leaders are all dead, Khamanei is gone, for many years – he ruled, he’s gone. With all of that, let’s see what happens, but from my standpoint I don’t care. Thank You!”…

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As Vice President JD Vance and the U.S. negotiating team meet with interim, hopefully ‘governing’, Iranian officials in Pakistan, the U.S. Navy and military have entered the Strait of Hormuz.

First, the announcement from President Donald Trump:

“The Fake News Media has lost total credibility, not that they had any to begin with. Because of their massive Trump Derangement Syndrome (Sometimes referred to as TDS!), they love saying that Iran is “winning” when, in fact, everyone knows that they are LOSING, and LOSING BIG!

Their Navy is gone, their Air Force is gone, their Anti Aircraft apparatus is nonexistent, Radar is dead, their Missile and Drone Factories have been largely obliterated along with the Missiles and Drones themselves and, most importantly, their longtime “Leaders” are no longer with us, praise be to Allah!

The only thing they have going is the threat that a ship may “bunk” into one of their sea mines which, by the way, all 28 of their mine dropper boats are also lying at the bottom of the sea. We’re now starting the process of clearing out the Strait of Hormuz as a favor to Countries all over the World, including China, Japan, South Korea, France, Germany, and many others. Incredibly, they don’t have the Courage or Will to do this work themselves.

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In an effort to keep the Daily Open Thread a little more open topic we are going to start a new daily thread for “Presidential Politics”. Please use this thread to post anything relating to the Donald Trump Administration and Presidency.

This thread will refresh daily and appear above the Open Discussion Thread.

(more…)