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Very Predictable – In Advance of Trump/Biden Debate, Fox News Manufactures Specific Polling

Most of the time Fox News builds in plausible deniability; however, this time the notorious Fox News pollster Daron Shaw has gone full bananas on behalf of those who pay him to create polling narratives.

Daron Shaw should be well known to CTH readers {Go Deep}. Shaw has been the Fox News poll manipulator and narrative engineer for over a decade. Knowing the Trump v Biden debate was coming, we knew Fox News would arrange some anti-Trumpism media narrative to capitalize on the predictable corporate theme. However, to see the Fox team make “Threats To Democracy” the #1 concern of voters, is just a talking point too far.

Fox News creating/promoting the “Trump is a Danger to Democracy” narrative via polling, is as predictable as Megyn Kelly and her 2015 “Trump is a sexist” debate narrative. Keep in mind, in order to see the strings on the marionettes you first have to stop pretending the performance is real life. Far too many people are comfortable pretending.

FOX NEWS – […] “The underlying demographic tendencies that have defined the race remain in place,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts Fox News surveys with Democrat Chris Anderson. “Biden has improved slightly with women and seniors, which keeps him afloat despite significant reductions from 2020 in support from younger voters and African Americans.” […] The top two issues to voters are the future of American democracy and the economy. Next, stability and normalcy, followed by immigration and health care. Nearly half say abortion and guns will be extremely important to their vote, while closer to one-third feel that way about standing up to elite interests, climate change, and the Israel-Hamas war.  (read more

Funnily enough, President Trump can see exactly what they are doing.

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They Rarely Report the Revisions – Three Months of 2023 Job Gains Wiped Out After Updates

One of the Bidenary impacts to economic analysis and/or economic outcome review has been the inability of any government statistical data to make any sense.

Quite frankly, almost every financial pundit in mainstream media pretends the data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) or the Dept of Commerce is accurate.  It’s not, and we all know it.

Just like every other institution in Washington DC, the systems of economic tracking have lost all their credibility.

That said, even with all the pretending intended to prop-up the Biden administration, eventually the results on Main Street are so obvious the data manipulators have to quietly attempt to smooth the disconnect.   This story below is about one small part of that operation.

WASHINGTON DC – […]  Job growth was overestimated by more than 770,000 last year. Put differently, about 1 in 4 jobs that were supposedly added last year never existed. That’s like eliminating all of the jobs gained in three whole months of 2023.

Overly optimistic employment estimates help explain why polling of people’s perceptions of the economy has been so terrible yet the official data from the Biden administration has looked so robust, at least in terms of the number of jobs. Much of the other data has been downright rotten.

With prices rising faster than earnings, the average worker’s weekly paycheck buys 4.4% less today than when President Biden took office. Homeownership affordability has plummeted because the monthly mortgage payment on a median-price home has more than doubled. Three-quarters of Americans now view fast food as a luxury they can’t afford. Gasoline prices are up 46%.

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It’s Outrageous – Nothing Will Change, But Lessons Will Be Learned

One of the reasons why YOU are part of The Last Refuge, is that together we accept things as they are – not as we would prefer them to be.

This means you, me, and the larger CTH community, does not have the ability, nor the desire, to pretend.  As a consequence, they, DC, essentially hates us.  Hence, you understand the origin of TLR name.

So, summarizing this story today from the video below. {Direct Rumble Link}  House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer has Biden documents…. 3+ million of them…. that were never on the laptop…. that originated within a 2016 FBI investigation of Burisma Holdings in a semi-related fraud case, that the House Oversight Committee is now is sharing with John Solomon… who is generating a brand-new Tick Tock “BOOM” clock, that can be promoted by Bannon.

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Of course, they could just upload the 3,000,000 pages to a public searchable website, and then let people dig, review, share and discover while pouring sunlight on the entire set of events….  But, then again, that might eliminate Solomon’s “tick tock” time on Hannity.

I digress.

I’m outraged, OUTRAGED I tell ya.

Forgive me!

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Unfortunate – Charlie Kirk, TPUSA and Richard Baris Construct Push Poll to Influence VP Selection

It is a very unfortunate situation any time you can easily spot manipulation that is taking place on behalf of hidden interests.

In this example today TPUSA was pushing the results of a poll from this past weekend.

Charlie Kirk and his organization claim that JD Vance won the straw poll of 1,600 attendees to the TPUSA event. However, as quickly identified, the only options presented to the audience were JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Tim Scott and Doug Burgum.  Somewhat of a self-fulfilling presentation.

[SOURCE]

Why only four candidates? According to Charlie Kirk and his pollster Richard Baris, those are the final four as determined by them and media.

Something just didn’t smell right. Lots of media articles have other names including Kari Lake, Ben Carson, Vivek Ramaswamy, Lee Zeldin, Michael Flynn, Devin Nunes, Ron DeSantis and many more. So, what exactly was the agenda of TPUSA and by extension, Richard Baris.

Well, for his participatory role, it appears Richard Baris was only a tool who polled the audience based on names Charlie Kirk gave him.  Then when you consider that Charlie Kirk had already publicly claimed J.D. Vance was the best choice for vice-president {SEE HERE}, the pre-selected names appeared to be chosen to create a specific outcome, ie “the illusion of choice.”

JD Vance won the TPUSA poll because Charlie Kirk wanted J. D Vance to win the poll.  Richard Baris delivered the data to support it by using a pre-filtered candidate list that only included 4 names.

After being called out for the manipulative tactics, their attempts at justification ended up just being silly. [SEE HERE].  The narrative engineering fiasco would be embarrassing and shameful if the issues were not serious.

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The Guy Who Organizes Ballot Counting, Says Election Results Will Not Match Polling

Hopefully readers here know exactly who James Clyburn is and what his function consists of within the Democrat party election process.

Remember, elections are no longer about “votes,” modern elections are about “ballots”.  The election winner is not the person who gets the most votes. The election winner is the person who collects, submits and counts the most ballots.   The contest for electoral victory is who gains the most ballots, not votes.

That said, at the end of the ballot harvesting operation in the key state counties for Democrats, there are precinct workers who are then tasked with counting those ballots.

The number of ballots needed to change the outcome of the election, is essentially the determining factor in how many ballots the precinct workers in the key districts count.

Most of the regional precinct workers in the key counties that change the elections, are affiliated with and originate from the AME church network.

The African Methodist Episcopal (AME) church, has precinct level ballot counting election operations (poll workers) in the key counties [Fulton (GA), Wayne (Mich), Philadelphia and Pittsburgh (PA), Clark (NV), Maricopa (AZ), Dane (WI), etc.]  The ballot counting doesn’t need to happen all over the state, just at the key urban county level.

The DNC operation (Obama/BLM network) concentrates heavily on the ballot harvesting.  However, when they turn those ballots over to the county level precinct workers, that’s where the AME church network and South Carolina Representative James Clyburn come into play. {GO DEEP}

The DNC no longer focuses on controlling the Secretary of State or Attorney General approach.  With the George Soros machine running the District Attorney level angle the democrats only need to concern themselves with the precinct level poll worker support.  Clyburn’s AME network is protected by the willfully blind George Soros DA’s.   It’s a one-hand washing the other-hand proposition.

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Logan Paul Interviews President Donald J Trump

Say what you want about Trump’s political instincts, but his new-age media savvy is excellent.  President Trump continues giving long-format podcast interviews to some of the most watched independent channels on the internet.

In this relaxed and informal interview, President Trump again connects to an audience in a way that is direct, conversational and relatable.  The topics with Logan Paul include debating Joe Biden in the 2024 election, raising $140M as a convicted felon, the Paul Brothers fighting each other, friendship with Vladimir Putin & Kim Jong Un, Logan Paul Vs Bradley Martyn, brutally honest thoughts on Dana White & Elon Musk, Trump deepfakes, if he believes in aliens & more.  WATCH:

Timestamps: 0:00 Welcome Donald Trump! 💥 0:55 Jake Paul Vs Mike Tyson! 🥊 1:50 Trump Gives Logan a Gift.. 🎁 2:35 Felony Conviction & Raising $140M 💰 7:47 Joe Biden Debate! 😤 11:01 Jake Paul Vs Logan Paul? 😈 12:27 Logan Paul Vs Bradley Martyn (Who won?) 😡 16:13 Dana White & Khabib Relationship! 🖤 19:05 Vladimir Putin Friendship & Russia Vs Ukraine War 🇷🇺🇺🇦 27:21 Gaza Conflict 😳 31:03 Trump’s Advice for People 👀 33:39 Drug Crisis & Trump Plugs Mike’s Book 💉 39:15 Logan Invites Biden on the Podcast in Front of Trump! 😱 41:11 Does Trump Believe in Aliens? 👽 44:40 Elon Musk & Trump’s Relationship.. 🚀 45:41 Trump Getting Deepfaked 🤖 50:24 “You’re Fired!” 🤬 51:53 Trump’s Viral TikTok! 📲

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Odd Dynamic – G7 Leadership Meet in Italy as Nations They Represent Rebuke Their Leadership

It is a very strange dynamic to watch the G7 leaders assemble in Italy this year, against a political backdrop there they have essentially been rebuked by the citizens of the nations they are supposed to represent.  It’s a very odd dynamic indeed.

PICTURED: German Chancellor Olaf Schulz just lost his election and now exists in the minority within his country. French President Emmanuel Macron just lost an election, quickly cancelled parliament and called for a snap election because he was crushed in the results.  Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has a minority government, the lowest approval rating ever, and is tenuously clinging to his position. U.K Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is just a few weeks away from leading his party to a total wipe out in the British election; the only question in Great Britain is how badly Sunak will lose.  Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida has led his country into a position of lengthy economic stagnation, massive inflation and his approval numbers are the lowest in history…..  Then there’s Joe Biden, sitting in an even worse position without a literal clue about where he is.

The two European reps, President Ursula von der Leyen (far right above) and Council President Charles Michel (far left above) are not even elected by EU citizens and represent nothing but a bureaucracy of insufferable leftist pontification.

This is what’s called “the G7” and supposed to represent the assembly of the largest industrial economies in the world, which isn’t even accurate any longer.  The Russian economy is now larger than Germany, which makes Putin’s economy bigger than any EU nation.  It’s a very sad state of affairs and considering the COVID “Build Back Better” agenda the G7 followed, they did this entirely to themselves.

With Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Iran now part of the BRICS+ group, and with dozens of countries wanting to join Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, the G7 is barely relevant as a shrinking majority economic bloc.

Not coincidentally, this G7 assembly is also the group of nations who organized the economic sanctions against Russia.

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Bygones Be Bygones – Very Interesting Day Amid Republicans on Capitol Hill as Magnamimous Trump Visits

A very interesting day is described by everyone in Washington DC, as President Trump strategically attends both House and Senate Republican conferences.   Magnanimous Trump arrived to heal wounds, appeal for unity and build a larger support network ahead of the Republican National Convention.

It would appear the Dr. Phil approach was attempted as promised.  According to media reports, in the upper chamber President Trump even spoke warmly with Republican Leader Mitch McConnell and the 16 Wall Street DeceptiCons who are insistent upon his permanent removal from politics.

(Politico) – “Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and former President Donald Trump set aside their years-long cold war during a private meeting with Republicans Thursday, a gathering McConnell described as “really positive.” (more)

Not surprisingly, Senator Rand Paul refused to endorse President Trump, preferring to talk positively about Robert Kennedy Jr. so far.

Factually, regardless of what any of them say, the Brutus delegation within the Senate will be sharpening their scorpion tails quietly and wait for the most vulnerable opportunity to strike. All sixteen DeceptiCons, soon to be led in 2025 by Senator John Thune, will sting viciously and simultaneously. This is the one political constant in an ever-changing universe.

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It’s All Fixable

When President Obama famously told incoming President Trump the largest foreign policy concern was the potential for near-term military conflict with North Korea, Trump curiously asked Obama, “Well, have you talked to Kim Jong-un?

President Trump has never revealed how Obama responded to that question; however, given the nature of the circumstances, what we know about DC and the background involved, we can assume the Obama reply was akin to the lightbringer telling Trump, “Things just are not done that way.”

We know what happened next; President Trump engaged directly with Chairman Kim, met with him several times and even crossed into the demilitarized zone as a physical expression of a new approach.

This was only one example of President Trump’s policy doctrine, which ran completely counter to the traditions of the professional administrative state. This was/is part of the reason why DC hated Trump.

The bureaucracy of DC exists to sustain the career influence and affluence of a group of people who would never survive in the private sector. Their weak work ethic, selfish worldview, insufferably annoying character traits, flawed logic, silly outlooks and disconnected opinions, created in a bubble that has no relationship to reality, are only useful within their echo-chambered system.

President Trump has a skillset of commonsense accomplishment that runs completely counter to the mindset of the administrative state.  President Trump thinks like you and me; Trump finds optimal solutions. Washington DC simply cannot fathom successful policy outcomes that do not come from their creation. Trump succeeded with a doctrine that was entirely unfamiliar to the DC bureaucracy. {GO DEEP}  It is absolutely critical that we never forget this.

It is important to remind ourselves of what is possible in a positive way, because everything discussed about our challenges is framed from the perspective of a flawed and corrupt DC system.   From the traditional perspective, the challenge seems overwhelming, but that’s really a misnomer.

Here’s the key – The DC challenges are not overwhelming when you take a non-traditional approach toward finding solutions.

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Russian Yasen-Class Nuclear Submarine “Kazan” Along With 3 Warships Arrive in Havana, Cuba

Today, June 12th, is Russia Day, a national holiday in the Russian federation.  The symbolism of the intentionally timed events happening today seems to be lost on most western media.

A Russian Yasen-class nuclear submarine named “Kazan” arrived in Havana, Cuba today after piloting through the Florida straits.  Watching a massive nuclear submarine sail into Havana is something extraordinary considering all the provocations taking place between the USA and Russia surrounding the conflict in Ukraine.

Additionally, in a counteraction to provide clarity to the intents and economic purposes of the Biden administration (DoS, CIA and IC), today the Treasury Dept announces new 2nd round sanctions against Russia.   However, in comparative terms, the physical appearance of a nuclear-powered Russian submarine and a set of accompanying warships carrying hypersonic cruise missiles approximately 30 miles from the USA mainland, is a little more dramatic than western saber rattling about sanctioning two Russian banks, Sberbank and VTB.

The Russian submarine fleet, and specifically the Yasen-class submarine group, is the tip of the spear against any military force the USA might choose to deploy in Eastern Europe.  Russian President Vladimir Putin is essentially signaling the people behind Joe Biden that he is willing to participate in the provocation approach.

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