The same people who told us to appreciate saving $0.16 on our July 4th BBQs last summer are now taking the official position there is no massive food inflation.  [DATA HERE]

Those skyrocketing prices you think you see at the grocery store are not real.  Those announcements of forecasted price increases by the food producers, well, those are not real either.  So sayeth the United States Dept of Agriculture (USDA).

In their update to the USDA pricing forecast and analysis dated January 25, 2022, the USDA claims: “2021 retail food price inflation continued at same pace as 2020 but varied among food categories.”  Oh, but it gets even more stupid:

“USDA, Economic Research Service (ERS) researchers project that prices for food-at-home, or food purchased typically from grocery stores or other food stores, will increase between 1.5 and 2.5 percent in 2022, lower than the 3.5-percent increase that occurred in both 2020 and 2021. Forecasts for all food categories for 2022 are available in ERS’s monthly Food Price Outlook data product, updated January 25, 2022.” (link)

If there was ever an argument that every single institution in the U.S. government was corrupt, manipulative and ideologically bent, this claim by the USDA would be a case study in the supportive evidence.

Apparently, if you are to follow the outlook of the USDA – and reconcile their institutional hypocrisy, Joe Biden increased the rate of food stamp assistance by 25 percent for some unknown reason.  Because according to the Dept of Agriculture, “Retail food prices increased by a mere 3.5 percent in 2021, equal to the rate in 2020.”

3.5% ?

You just cannot make this up.

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The dynamic between the Joe Biden administration and the government of Ukraine is very interesting and thoroughly corrupt. President Volodymyr Zelensky is trying to avoid being the 2022 version of Libyan President Muammar Gadaffi, circa 2011.

Meanwhile, the entirety of the corrupt and manipulative Joe Biden administration, the U.S. State Department, the CIA, the Pentagon and the U.S. Congress are all saying, “Nice country you got there, it’d be a shame if something happened to it“, while simultaneously poking the Russian bear to attack.  Biden and the deepest state want them their proxy war, and they will not be denied.

Following a phone call last night where Zelensky told Biden to stop telling everyone the Russians were going to attack, a conversation the Biden administration desperately is trying to hide from the American people, Zelensky smartly calls a media press conference so the global media can see him telling Biden, in essence, to ‘chill the hell out’.

Full credit to Euronews who is being an honest broker about the dynamics at play.  This is a great encapsulation, but pay attention to the part at 02:15, of this broadcast. It is quite remarkable.

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Given the nature of how corrupt the U.S. administration is on a globalist scale; and considering that Biden Inc, which is really the Hillary Clinton foreign policy establishment, would give Zelensky the full Gaddafi treatment if it helped them gain wealth, power and influence; it really would be in Ukraine’s best interest for Zelensky to open a dialogue with Vladimir Putin.

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Hopefully last year’s warning gave all enough time: …”By the time we get to Superbowl Sunday, the price of ¹chicken wings is going to bring sticker shock to those who have not prepared.” (link)

For those doing the math, that’s a 51.4% price increase in a year.

(Prior article)

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Last year, when CTH discussed the original Kraft-Heinz wholesale notification for January 2022, we warned it was only the first round.  The reason for waves of price increases is specifically, because each of the processed food categories is impacted differently depending on the amount of processing involved.  Each category is different.

This understanding is why we warned everyone in October of last year to make as much preparation as possible for waves of food inflation.  The original notification for contracted terms in 30, 60 and 90 days was +20%.  Meaning this month, on those group and sectors, prices to retailers went up by 20%, and you are seeing that in the supermarket now.

For the next wave, Kraft-Heinz is telling wholesalers the fulfillment shipments arriving in March will be up to +30% on the next categories.  Oscar Mayer proteins will be the biggest increase at the top end (+30%), Maxwell House coffee on the lower end (+5-10%) and the juice and drink category around +20%.  [A $5 beverage pack will cost $6 in a few short weeks.]

The processing sector is still dealing with cumulative cost increases.  The fulfillment terms are still catching up with the increased costs.  These announcements are ON TOP OF the current price increases we are feeling.  We are entering hyper-inflation.

If you look at the notification timing from Kraft foods, January 24th, you will see the categories we predicted to come next are the exact categories being outlined in this wave.

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We have been tracking the issue of U.S. port congestion, supply chain crises and the White House supply chain initiatives since they first surfaced last fall.  We finally have full data to review, and what we see is very disturbing.  Not only was the White House supply chain effort a fraud, but they also manipulated the port system to give a false impression of the U.S. economy.

Let’s start with the latest issue.

For several weeks, we have been trying to figure out why the Port of Los Angeles (POLA), our nation’s busiest and most valuable port, had delayed their reporting for December.

Normally they update their container statistics and port efficiency/productivity results between the 10th and 15th of the month.  However, this month the data was delayed by several weeks.

When we finally grew frustrated and asked the POLA about this ridiculous delay, they responded January 25th, saying: “Good morning. Data from one vessel has delayed final numbers. We plan on releasing numbers today or tomorrow.”

The POLA justification and timing seemed odd, and their explanation seemed fishy.  One container ship manages to delay the entire POLA result?  However, this morning after checking and seeing still no result we realized what was going on.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released the U.S. 4th Quarter GDP result (link).  The value of imported goods is a deduction to the U.S. GDP.  If the biggest port in the U.S. holds back their import cargo data, the resulting information cannot be deducted from the GDP.  Missing data gives an artificial outlook for the GDP.  Put another way, the 4th quarter GDP is inflated by the missing deduction.

From the position of the Biden administration, there is a perverse economic motive to keep all those import cargo ships from arriving.

Would the Port of Los Angeles intentionally hold back data in order to help the White House give a false and more optimistic impression of the U.S. economy?  At first blush it might seem a stretch, but then – as if on cue – a few hours after the BEA made the public release, suddenly the Port of Los Angeles released their December data.  In politics timing is never coincidental.

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The Bureau of Economic Analysis released the Fourth Quarter GDP (Q4) data today [DATA HERE], and the White House will likely spin a victory message.  However, the real economic picture is covered by the continued storm of inflation.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the dollar value of all goods and services produced in the economy, minus the dollar value of goods and services we import.  The percentages discussed are percentages of change over time.

The fourth quarter result was an increase of 6.9 percent over the prior quarter.

The total U.S. economy is now estimated around $23 trillion annually. [Tables pdf Here]

What the GDP doesn’t show is the diminished purchasing value of the dollar and/or the actual rate of inflation which towers over the valuation.  With goods and services costing much more, the estimated value of those goods and services (the amount of money spent on them) increases.

Because we are in a severe inflationary cycle, the resulting evaluations of the economy are skewed.  The BEA attempts to remove the inflationary impact of their evaluations, but they do so by using a 5.5% inflationary rate, which is a much lower inflation estimate than actually exists.

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A Gallup news survey [DATA HERE] indicates that eight out of ten Americans expect higher prices and continued rising inflation, as the working class can see the through the smoke and mirrors of the Biden economy.

Overall, there are multiple datapoints that show the economic quagmire that is taking place right now.  Gasoline continues to rise in price, as oil costs continue to skyrocket as an outcome of Biden energy policy.  Food store prices have only just begun to show the higher prices that are built into the replenishment process.

Newly arriving goods overall are at a much higher price that previous inventory.  The 30, 60 and 90-day terms of purchase order fulfillment are now reflecting the cumulative cost increases at every stage in the supply chain.  Inbound prices to retail are still climbing. This is an economic quagmire created by inflation that cannot be avoided.

Fuel, food, home energy and home prices overall are rising.  As a result, durable good spending has contracted.  CTH has pointed out this dynamic for almost five months; however, the actual data is difficult to extract, because the scale of government spending in 2021 has clouded all of the economic indicators.

The official government inflation statistics at 7 to 9% do not accurately reflect the real inflation being felt by consumers, which is in the 25 to 40 percent range for highly consumable products.  If you look around your local community, it is not difficult to see that working class Americans have modified all of their spending priorities to deal with the food, energy and housing inflation that cannot be avoided.

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The Canadian ‘Freedom Convoy’ of truckers, pushing back against COVID mandates, forced vaccinations and government regulations, began late last week and has gained incredible support from the public.  It is very challenging to put the scale of this grassroots effort into an adequate context.

Canada-Unity Site Here ~ Rebel News Site Here ~ Facebook Group Here

The fundraiser for the effort now exceeds $5.5 million dollars and still climbing.  It is now estimated that over 50,000 vehicles are participating in the convoy effort, and the Canadian Dept of Transportation is doing everything possible to stop, block and impede the assemblies.

Every federal truck stop and DOT weigh station has been opened, and every truck is being required to go through the DOT checks.   This is not accidental.  The movement has now evolved into a conflict of the average Canadian, represented by the truckers, -vs- the oppressive government, represented by the activated federal agencies of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.  It really has become an incredible example of THE PEOPLE -vs- GOVERNMENT.

The truck convoys started from British Columbia in the west, Newfoundland in the east, and Windsor, Ontario in the south.  However, cars, SUVs, vans, and small commercial trucks are now included in the massive convoy lines and joined with the big rigs.  On every highway along the way crowds are cheering and waving support for the Truckers.

Aerial views show some of the context for how massive these convoys are that are converging on Ottawa January 29th.  It is widely estimated, “If it gets there on time — and if the convoy holds together as it has in British Columbia, Alberta and Saskatchewan — it could be 10 times larger than the world record,” for the longest convoy in history.

These are the results of a grassroots demonstration that has evolved into something far bigger than any of the organizers originally envisioned.  I am reminded of Pope John Paul’s visit to Poland in the 80’s, when the solidarity movement first glimpsed the size of their unity.  They took to the streets, looked around at the crowds, and realized for the first time there are more of us than them… and then things changed quickly.  Hopefully for the Canadian people this convoy protest is a similar inflection point in history.

Hashtag = #FreedomConvoy2022

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Even in a defeat from the United States Supreme Court, the political weasels running the U.S. Dept of Labor cannot reverse their position without lying and obfuscating.

The U.S. Dept of Labor, Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) announces their withdrawal of the employee vaccine mandate that was ruled unconstitutional by the United States Supreme Court. [pdf HERE]   However, note how they change the prior enforcement order from a “mandate” to a mere suggestion: “strongly encouraging vaccination.”

(pdf link)

The effective date of the reversal is tomorrow, January 26, 2022.  However, in reversing their position notice how OSHA attempts to rewrite history and claim they were only “strongly encouraging vaccination.”

The institutions of our government are corrupt top to bottom with the cancer of metastatic political filth.

The White House occupant has always been known as a man of notoriously intemperate disposition.  During a brief press availability today, when questioned about the political liability of inflation, Joe Biden called Fox News reporter Peter Doocy “a stupid son of a bitch.”  WATCH:

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