As long as the Iran conflict continues, energy speculators have the justification for higher oil, gas, fuel and energy prices. Even if global oil and gas flows return to their pre-conflict levels, so long as the conflict itself is in place the market traders, speculators and manipulators have a justification for higher prices. The center for this global financial matter is London.
If you are an EU minded ‘climate change’ ideologue having constructed decades of fabricated net-zero objectives, the Iran conflict now serves your interests. The Iran conflict does not assist the interests of the people of Europe, but rather the interests of the political and powerful elite in finance control who benefit from higher prices of traditional energy.
The blame for higher EU energy costs now shifts from EU climate advocates to Trump.
Here’s where it takes a Machiavellian twist. One way to keep the Iran situation in place is to place ancillary pressure on the key to the solution, Russia.
So long as the EU keeps threatening Russia with expanded conflict, there is no motive for Russia to assist President Trump in the solution within Iran. Solving the crisis within Iran is against Putin’s security interests, as long as the EU threat holds some reasonable possibility, because Iran -a Russian ally- can strike Europe with their remaining ballistic missile inventory.
What we see is the creation of a Gordian Knot. You cannot resolve the Iran conflict so long as Russian security interests are threatened, and you cannot resolve the Russian security interests as long as the Ukraine-Russia conflict continues.
President Trump wants the Iran conflict resolved. Russia is the key; which is why President Trump has redirected diplomatic resources to resolve the Ukraine-Russia war. However, that war underpins the justification for expanded conflict espoused by Europe toward Russia. The EU take a hostile position toward Russia knowing a peaceful resolution is against their ‘climate change’ agenda. There are trillions of pre-positioned interests at stake.
Ukraine President Vladimir Zelensky (correct name) tells his western supporters that President Trump is too favorable toward the position of Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin. {SOURCE} This is not fully accurate, nor is it entirely false. The missing element is ‘why’.
Both Trump and Putin want the Ukraine issue resolved. Resolution of this issue means a significant realignment in U.S-Russia strategic relations around the overarching issue of energy development. However, EU interests do not want the Ukraine issue resolved; instead, they want a western (EU/NATO) conflict to continue against Russia using Ukraine as the proxy war long ago established. Again, a divergent energy aspect.
Ultimately, the EU/NATO threats against Russia are a bluff, as long as President Trump is in office. If the EU/NATO group want to materialize the threat into something substantive, they need the United States military to lead the conflict; after all, it was the previous Obama/Biden U.S. intelligence, state department and military operation (2014) that created Ukraine as the proxy war. Trump want’s out, the EU/NATO demand America stays in.
This is a considerable Gordian Knot, and both President Trump and President Putin are visibly frustrated.
Underneath all of this are really small European leaders trying to retain global energy position on the issue of climate change, carbon exchanges, net zero, Paris climate treaty, banking and other financial schemes. Small soft powers with big financial stakes. London and the EU Central Bank sit at the center of it.
When the Americans and Russians talk about security, it’s not just about security guarantees for Ukraine. In fact, it’s more about some kind of new security framework between Europe and Russia.
We find this approach a bit strange. Because for 30 years after the Soviet Union collapsed, Europe treated Russia well. And Europe tried to have as much trade as possible, as much cooperation as possible, and as good relations as possible with Russia.
Putin’s wars are really about only his attitude toward others – not some kind of permanent confrontation with Europe that was impossible to avoid. But still, we hear what we hear today.
From an address at the 9th European Political Community Summit. (1/3)
— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) November 12, 2026
If you understand this knot and all of the interests within it, then you understand why President Trump, President Putin and Chinese Chairman Xi Jinping meeting together, privately, at the Nov 18/19 APEC summit in Beijing has all of those EU leaders in a state of visible concern.
President Trump can cut through this knot with a frank, deliberate and direct discussion with Xi and Putin. Iran doesn’t get nuclear weapons – EVER. Russia has security guarantees from Trump, and long-term resolution to Europe’s manipulation of Ukraine comes by Chairman Xi leveraging his influential economic status against the scheming and conniving European players.
Trump, Putin and Xi have individual interests, but are also significant enough men of legacy that they can align their common interests.
Trump only has two years left, so Putin needs to rely on another mechanism; that’s where Xi comes in.
Together, the knot gets cut.
Iran gets resolved with strict parameters. Russia and Ukraine get resolved with borders and security. Europe gets managed and the conniving western banking interests get overwhelmed by forceful hard power agreements. Many in the USA (mostly leftist-minded and EU-centric supporters) will not like this outcome. All of it will be consequential for generations.
If you live in Canada, Europe or Australia, you can prepare your kids for the future by having them learn Chinese. The Western Hemisphere, including Cuba will be home to technological advancements, increased quality of life and a specific labor market demographic. The U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy will modify accordingly (the carrot for Xi), meanwhile Russia and the U.S. being a strategic energy-based realignment in the Arctic.
For us, we watch the apoplexy that is about to surface!
The carrot
And therein lies the fly in the ointment. Perhaps a bigger Gordian Knot than Ukraine. Still, self-interest can make for opportunity.
If and when Musk’s mega chip factory gets built we will no longer rely on Taiwan. It may not be nice to say, but they will be expendable in the long term picture.
Or, dare to think the unthinkable: the CCP goes the way of the dodo and mainland China rejoins Taiwan. Nothing is impossible with God.
That is a WONDERFUL idea!
Damn. Taiwan is gonna get sacrificed. I wonder if the Chinese and Russians set this whole Iran war and Ukraine war thing up so they could get Taiwan as a concession to solve it.
When I got to your last paragraph above I was about to ask if this meant Taiwan goes to China and then I looked down and you read my mind! 😆
Xi wants Taiwan? Fine….give then their status trinket…just leave nothing behind..no tech, no knowledge and no money
And we, of course, know it won’t be going that way.
First jimmy carter…then bill clinton
Interesting… Considering Nvidia’s history with Taiwan.
Not sure if there’s any relationship though between what happened with Nvidia and what you just posted Sundance.
We (the U.S.) should stop trying to get the war in Ukraine to end, let the parties involved handle their own problems. Hand all negotiations over to the EU/UK runts, let them negotiate with Russia to an end or continue the slaughter.
The U.S. Russia, I believe know the climate scam is just that a scam and want nothing to do with it! China has found using the scam as a means to make money and gain influence can end very quickly, they seem ready to help stabilize oil supplies, they could definitely along with Russia change Iranian attitudes.
U.S. Russia along with China should form a new trading market for oil producers to sell at the price they want, over time the true value of a barrel of oil will be found, competition is the key to fair markets. No more schemes and scams no more speculation no more buying oil when its cheap and setting it container of all kinds (which contributes to supply problems) and then sell it when prices rise because of supply problem, stop the manipulation! Let buyers and sellers negotiate a price and for how long contracts.
ENERGY NEEDS STABILTY
Your final sentence about term contracts for oil is Putin’s true position; the EU wants “market prices” that Putin says, correctly, only guarantee higher profits to the middlemen and higher prices for consumers. As Sundance points out, the EU/NATO can’t do squat without the U.S. military. It is long past time that the United States tells London and the EU bankers to pound sand: Ukraine is not a NATO signatory and we must not support a fight that the EU picks with Russia. The thrice-cursed British Empire has been the source of the world’s conflicts for 300 years: They HATE Russia.
The U.S. does not know that climate change is a scam. Trump knows it’s a scam. When Trump’s term ends the next president whether Dem or Rep establishment takes the USA back into the climate idiocy and reinstates all the treaties.
That is soooo scary!
You wrote: “The U.S. does not know that climate change is a scam.”
I agree if you are referring to many (most) US citizens.
I disagree if you are referring to many elected officials, lobbyists, industry executives, the financial industry, academia, and any other group that benefits from the climate change scam.
It’s a scam that enriches certain people and keeps other people in elected office (at all levels of government).
As always, money talks and BS and ignorance walk.
Actually SD, the best transliteration is Vladimir Zelenskiy. There are TWO vowels at end of his name, altho the second (ee kratkoye) is more of a semi vowel that modifies the “i” vowel. So Zelensky is NOT correct
And “Zelenskyy” can be correct technically, but it’s never transliterated that way. I’ve never seen a yy ending before.The yy ending is just Ukrainian trying to separate itself from Russian
And don’t EVEN get me started on “Kyiv” .. What a crime against the Slavic language family THAT is!!
English language spellings can be colored so gray sometimes.
There should be a dialog about the pretense of British English spelling.
British English should be canceled from the center outwards.
It will be when they are required to speak arabic there.
Go to the CME Oil Futures Market. You can see how you can buy or sell oil for a specific month. If you think the price is arbitrarily high Purchase a Sell Contract for Next Year. You can Purchase the Buy contract in 6 months and make a killing?
The price is set by experts and those experts will eat you alive if the price is “arbitrary”. Or make a deal direct with a producer or refiner. You folks that do not understand free markets need to find something else to be upset about. Stick to those nasty bankers making money all the time.
What if someone is willing to lose a little money before the election to make a killing after it?
A little money won’t move anything. It would take a lot of money.
Experts.
Ex = has-been.
(spu)rt = drip under pressure.
All this commercial trading is a fantasy built of paper on a foundation of sand. All the major currencies in the world are fiat with zero intrinsic value; they are debt instruments issued by corporations. The governments themselves are all corporations, not sovereign entities. Corporations are legal fictions, and fictions are LIES.
Then with your smarts you can make a fortune destroying these speculators.
Yes!!!!
The Europeans must be made to get back in line. It should be made abundantly clear to them that we are the preeminent power in NATO and without us, they are nothing maybe the prospect of providing for their own defense against Russia will shake them up enough for them to stop all this saber rattling. Let Russia keep the Donbass and Crimea. Ukraine is not really a country. It is a money laundering operation that could not stand on its own offer them assistance in rebuilding, and also reiterate, that they will never become a part of NATO, which was the problem to begin with as far as Iran use whatever influence that China and Russia can bring to bear on them to make sure they never get a nuclear weapon, I would not participate in any kind of rebuilding as they have caused us enough difficulties over the many years they have been our adversaries. It is a cheap lesson for them and we alternative for Iran would be complete destruction, which is not on the table in anyway we also have to let the Israeli know that we’re not their back stop anymore. We’re tired. We have work to do at home. See the past election get this fixed and the world will be a much better place and it would usher and I submit and a great era for everyone. Let the Chinese build. Let us buy let the Russian sell oil and let’s all get along. There’s plenty for all.
ok lets screw z and the e.u.The u.s. and u.s. alone,NO nato troops period. takes over the border in ukraine with russia at an agreed upon border,kindof a dmz.we are already neighbors in the bering sea so why not there too.this give’s z and e.u. their security they want we keep ukraine out of nato and russia is probably more then happy to have us rather then the e.u. in the area.and we can start trade with russia.maybe i’m dreaming but with the way things are going we need to think outside the box.
Sounds great on paper until President Trump is gone and the Communist Party of America (DSA) takes over.
There goes your happy neutral DMZ plan.
well after i posted this i was reading an article and putin will not even think of entertqining a dmz zone so .so much for that.
I do not think the Russians will accept the US Army on their border in Ukraine. That’s worse than Ukraine joining NATO.
Why do I need to spend time, energy and money caring about some island a few miles off China’s shore? What are we getting all worked up about again? Is it an arsenal of democracy that will spread the American system in that part of the world? Will it keep nuclear missiles from American shores?
That island is strategically important — both militarily and economically. Due to its location it’s another chokepoint/flashpoint for major conflict of the WW12 kind. Check where it lies in relation to Yoniguni Island and what country holds that piece of real estate; while you’re at it take a look at where it sits in relationship to both the East and South China Seas.
China doesn’t just want Taiwan for its chip factories.
True.
Maybe that can be Japan’s responsibility now and not ours? Just like we no longer need to defend Europe since they’re letting the hordes take over anyway.
ABSOLUTELY PERFECT response Jane! The Taiwanese people are hard working, highly educated people! China wants the industry of Taiwan because they are not capable of producing it themselves! The Taiwanese people do NOT want to be subjected to Chinese communism !~! why should we force them into communism, except we are being forced into it ouirselves!
Around 90% of advanced microchip production happens in Taiwan, and a bit under half of all microchip production in general.
If you live in Canada, Europe or Australia, you can prepare your kids for the future by having them learn Chinese.
SF author Robert Heinlein at least 50 yrs ago mentioned in one of his books “the Chinese half of Australia.
Once again Science Fiction is prescient.
I can’t stop being confounded by that fact that Trump is making bold geopolitical moves but only timid inconsequential efforts back home to ensure America’s survival. Success in the Ukraine means nothing if our nation and its constitution are destroyed by our enemies here. Trump directs the FBI, The DHS, the NSA, the military, and CISA, yet did nothing to ensure our midterm elections were legitimate – as guaranteed by our constitution. Absolutely stunning dereliction of duty. Stunning, given the gravity of the consequences for all of us.
Thune
I would hope that we are working on a back-up plan. It is a shame that we can’t get a couple of enemies of the ayatollahs and the revolutionary guards to agree to work together in a two or three party government. If they provide the infantry, we can furnish the air cover and target softening.
President Trump made the decision to join Israel and go after the “imminent nuclear weapon” threat in Iran. Our great military did tremendous work, but sadly President Trump bowed to both internal pressures and the reality of depleted weapons stockpiles, and didn’t finish them off. Granted that was and is much harder than they thought. Supposedly our senior military officers communicated the difficulties, as well as the inevitable play Iran would make to choke off oil via the Strait of Hormuz, but they were ignored. It seemed like there was a moment when Iran was about to cry uncle, but we lifted the foot. Why?
The war decision helped to spike inflation, which led to deep angst among the gas pumpers, who themselves were ignorantly manipulated by the brilliant Dim plot using AI bots mixed with human excrement…which ultimately destroyed pathetic Republican majorities. The Senate is the absolute pit of vipers, primed to follow Satan’s temptations to enrich themselves while America rots and burns.
It is nearly over folks. I really try to keep hope together, but the Dims are bloodthirsty killers. They know when they get an advantage and will now do ANYTHING to finish the job. Absent some massive global event that brings everyone to their knees, forcing a counter turning, this wave is headed toward a conclusion none of us can stomach.
And before you bash me in my despair, please understand that I remain a Christian who loves Jesus, am saved and by His Grace know where my real home is and will be. We know God can intercede by His will, and I pray He does again. But we only get so many chances, and this was possibly our LAST CHANCE to really MAGA. Through Holy Scripture we know not when, but we do know HOW this age ends for this world. It is not pretty. It is destructive and brutal until the return of our Savior.
I pray for all of us in this Treehouse, your families and for our nation.
Ice, don’t give up on Trump and our God to yet save our country and then the world. Trump made some big mistakes in this last election cycle-as noted by Victor Hanson recently-but I believe he is still teachable . Keep on praying with me and then wait and hope!!! This could be exciting to see what God can do .
“If you live in Canada… you can prepare your kids for the future by having them learn Chinese. ”
Arabic also comes to mind. Islam entered our nations long before China. I expect a clash will occur between these conquering forces.
709 jets flew representatives from around the World to the Climate Change Conference, this year.
You can’t make this stuff up.
Let us pray that the truly big 3 of Xi, Putin, and Trump can pull off this world changing maneuver . Only with God’ s help and guidance can this miracle happen. I will praying for all three of these men and for peace in Iran and the Ukraine. We know our God is the King of peace-and our blessed mother Mary the queen of peace.
This sounds to good to be true but our God is a God of miracles and infinite love. We don’t deserve this love but God keeps loving us nonetheless-to the point of folly as St. Therese of Liseau once said in all humility and awe.
I will be praying – and waiting – and hoping.
How does China control the EU and Australia?
High praise to Sundance from Roger Stone…
@RogerJStoneJr
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7h
Best analysis of the Russia Ukraine situation I have read
https://x.com/RogerJStoneJr/status/2121451311782592998?a=gM2_6TvKrGH_ksNzgS0&s=20
I agree this analysis by Sundance is one of the most fascinating things I have read. Very insightful!
Like President Putin and his minister Lavrov stated repeatedly: The EU can not be trusted – every treaty and agreement was discarded as though it was a joke on Russia.
Remember the Minsk agreement signed by Merkel, Macron, Zelensky et al only to be torn to shred. None other than Merkel told the world that the Minsk agreement was only signed to enable them to arm Ukraine for their war against Russia. She also laughingly stated that it was never meant for promises to be kept and rather a ruse.
Then came UK’s wild man Johnson in 2022 visiting Zelensky after the Turkey negotiations ordering Zelensky NOT to agree or sign any peace agreement and here we are.
I wouldn’t trust anything or anyone from the EU or Ukraine due to the history of their repeated betrayal. Can you blame the Russian President?
Pass the popcorn & Cheetos!!