Everything President Obama does is first poured through the political prism of how the cost/benefit of action either assists or diminishes his personal agenda. DUH- This is no remarkable insight, by now everyone admits it.


However, to understand the equation of political cost/benefit analysis in the decision to try and rescue hostage Luke Somers, you only need to put the facts onto the table – the pattern forms itself. This is the White House view:
♦ The al-Qaeda captors stated they were going to kill Somers on Sunday. That wouldn’t look good – but, well, meh, really no biggie.
♦ The al-Qaeda captors stated they were going to release the South African hostage, Pierre Korkie, on Sunday. Alone, that’s a neutral factor.
♦ The al-Qaeda captors were going to release Korkie simultaneous to killing Somers. Rut Roh – That looks worse – now ears are perked.
♦ The al-Qaeda captors were going to kill Somers because the U.S. wouldn’t do what Korkie’s country did. Even worse yet – Fox News type alarm bells ringing.
Against the backdrop of the last point, the potential for public scrutiny / political embarrassment becomes too risky. Hostage Somers net value now weighted on the political ego of President Obama? Yikes. (more…)






