Watching the media talking about why Chris Christie has such a harsh tone toward Marco Rubio is actually quite funny.  The role of Christie in the GOPe larger political scheme has ALWAYS been to use him as the junk yard dog.

It is, quite simply, his job.

Do you need to go back to Christies’ time as head of the Republican Governors Association and remind yourself when the DC based GOPe apparatus was furious at Scott Walker?… Walker was facing a recall, Christie was given instructions to let him hang, and the RGA sat by doing next to nothing.   This was DC-based punishment for the Tea Party kicking out the chosen GOPe candidates.  Destroying their internal adversaries is what the Old Guard does best.

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The latest CNN/WMUR Poll (full pdf below) of New Hampshire shows Donald Trump holding a consistent lead and Marco Rubio clearing the GOPe lanes as predicted.  Ted Cruz comes in third at 13%, but close with John Kasich (12%) and Jeb Bush (10%).

Chris Christie dropping to 4% is a surprise.  This current poll has Christie doing much worse than all previous polling in the Granite state.  However, Christie’s sixth place tie with Carly Fiorina does put Carly back on the ABC debate stage so there could be a “Time-Warner/Disney” motive/smoothing factor at work.

It will be interesting to see if the scourge of Heroin addition is really as central to the New Hampshire voter as the media have previously proclaimed.

If so, a generally intelligent assertion would think that closing the Mexican border, the source of the drug influx, would be a key component to the voting decision.   However, Senator Rubio, who is the biggest advocate for open borders, is showing strong – which is counter intuitive to the drug concern claim.

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Both Senator Rand Paul and former Senator Rick Santorum exited the presidential race today.  Rick Santorum endorsed the GOPe candidate Rubio/Bush saying they held similar values.

Everything is happening almost as predicted in 2014.  Current events also highlight the key truism in the modified GOPe road-map since the entry of the unanticipated variable, Donald Trump.

The goal continues to be remove the unanticipated variable.  Encapsulated thusly:

…..Remove Donald Trump and Ben Carson becomes Herman Cain, Ted Cruz becomes Newt Gingrich and Rubio/Jeb take the role of Mitt Romney in 2012.  And everyone in Washington DC is happy, happy again….

There is ONLY ONE candidate who was not a variable in the original GOPe road-map, that candidate is Donald Trump.  As soon as Trump entered the arena the entire strategic splitter plan had to be modified.

The GOPe modification was brutally obvious.  Instead of immediately destroying Ted Cruz (the original plan) they changed the thrust of their approach to keep Ted Cruz viable (modified plan) thereby blocking Donald Trump from gaining a coalition which would keep Jeb/Rubio or Rubio/Jeb from the nomination.

This approach is why Mitch McConnell (and the DC Cartel) set up the Super-PAC and actually funded Ted Cruz in Iowa, and attacked Donald Trump.  [Shades of Mississippi ’14 strategy] (more…)

Note on the analysis on the bottom. It’s easier for us to share the predictable outcomes of the GOPe plan if we subtract Donald Trump from the equation.  We’ve studied the GOPe plan since it was created in Feb 2014 – and everything is predictable if you remove Trump.  This does not mean our support for Trump’s insurgency diminishes, it just makes it easier for you to follow along if we stick to the predictable…. /SD

——————————-  New Hampshire Poll Below  ————————-

The latest New Hampshire Poll (full pdf below) was conducted by UMass.  The poll is a large sample size and the methodology looks solid.  The poll results below reflect “registered voters”:

New Hampshire, despite its inherent political independence, is critical for Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Marco Rubio because it represents a more GOPe friendly electorate.  The GOPe road-map was always scheduled to begin in New Hampshire.

New Hampshire is also important for Donald Trump as a psychological factor.   A second place for Ted Cruz would be considered a win for his team, but third place would also be a decent showing. (more…)

Originally Written in April 2015 – Re posted exactly as previous outlined:

Until substantive and factual information reveals something divergent I’m sticking to my initial researched opinion that Marco Rubio’s campaign bid is purely a decepticon maneuver to plow through the field, and aid his mentor Jeb Bush.

(Via Allan Wall) Republican candidate Marco Rubio, in a chat with Jorge Ramos, in Spanish, made it clear that, on this issue, any differences between a President Rubio and President Obama would be insubstantial.

Matthew Boyle of Breitbart (a valuable source on immigration issues) has written up a report on the interview:

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), a 2016 GOP presidential candidate, said he believes that President Barack Obama’s first executive amnesty for so-called DREAMers—the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA)—is “important” and he won’t reverse it himself if elected president. He delivered these remarks in a Spanish-language interview he gave to Univision’s Jorge Ramos.

So here is Rubio, speaking in Spanish to Jorge Ramos, a principal proponent of the Hispanicization of the U.S., telling him this. (more…)

We will keep this post at the top of the page throughout the evening and provide live updates as they come in.

At 11:30pm with 95% of Precincts reporting Candidate Ted Cruz appears to have won Iowa.  CNN is calling the race for Ted Cruz.

Additionally, Marco Rubio has done exceptionally well in the populous areas of Davenport, Cedar Rapids, Iowa City and Des Moines.  In the major metropolitan areas Marco Rubio has placed first which has pushed, Cruz to second and Donald Trump third.

A significant percentage of the high voter turnout was to the benefit of Marco Rubio.  Donald Trump won some of the more conservative counties, but in the areas where the GOPe, or establishment Republican party, hold strength – Marco Rubio was able to pull enough votes from Trump to provide Cruz a victory and make the race closer.

The GOPe executed a strong game in Iowa.

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WASHINGTON (AP) — The Obama administration confirmed for the first time Friday that Hillary Clinton’s unsecured home server contained some of the U.S. government’s most closely guarded secrets, censoring 22 emails with material demanding one of the highest levels of classification. The revelation comes just three days before the Iowa presidential nominating caucuses in which Clinton is a candidate.

The State Department will release its next batch of emails from Clinton’s time as secretary of state later Friday.

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Dominating in every poll since the beginning of the race Candidate Donald Trump enters the final laps with a massive lead well ahead of the chasing pack.   A New Hampshire poll today (full pdf below) again reflects Donald Trump way out ahead of the field at 35%.

However, team GOPe have now begun the full media blitzkrieg of the granite state and Jeb has moved into second place with 18% and John Kasich third with 14%.

Again, we continually repeat, do not underestimate the GOPe apparatus.  They have a structural advantage, they ARE the RNC; and they possess an entire army of party ideologues who are professionally republican.

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Many broadcast hours and column inches are sure to be used today and tomorrow regarding the decision by Donald Trump to skip the Fox News debate in Iowa.

Predicatively 90% of those reports will most likely circle around a Donald Trump -vs- Megyn Kelly narrative. Obviously that aspect will be the preferred hook used by Fox News to avoid sunlight; it is also profoundly wrong.

Megyn Kelly, and her sidekick Chris Stirewalt are the visible symptom, not the actual underlying issue. Their partnered ‘too-cute-by-half schtick‘ has been ongoing for several months, including the coordinated antics at the last debate, and in the weeks leading up to the last debate; but again, they are the symptom – not the real issue. (more…)

UPDATE:  Due to the severity of bias within the Fox agenda, candidate Donald Trump has stated his attendance is still undetermined:

This was the earlier snarky statement by Fox which led to Donald Trump reconsidering:

FOX NEWS:  “We learned from a secret back channel that the Ayatollah and Putin both intend to treat Donald Trump unfairly when they meet with him if he becomes president,” Fox News said in the statement, adding this gem: “A nefarious source tells us that Trump has his own secret plan to replace the Cabinet with his Twitter followers to see if he should even go to those meetings.”

Fox News has announced the candidate debate lineup and again there are two tiers.  Eight candidates in the 9:00pm “Top Tier” debate, and four candidates in the 7:00pm “Lower Tier” (kiddie table) debate:

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