Newt Gingrich cuts through the nonsense that was flowing from last nights punditry and talks about Donald Trump’s South Carolina victory.  Gingrich hits the nail on the head.

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In August of 2015, against considerable backlash, we stood firm on a fundamental position that Senator Ted Cruz did not have a pathway, a roadmap, to victory in the 2016 GOP presidential primary.

Despite the fundamentally sound reasoning for our prediction, which was entirely based on congressional district by district analytics, our position drew an immense amount of criticism and even a quick response from the Cruz campaign itself (Brian Phillips).

Unfortunately, tonight’s South Carolina results vindicate a massive amount of historical research.  There simply is no pathway to victory when you rely almost exclusively on “proselytizing as an electoral strategy“:

(link)

Not one county, and not a single delegate

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Polls Close in South Carolina at 7:00pm.  Sometime around 5:00pm most media will begin reporting “preliminary exit poll” information.   However, it is important for South Carolinians to IGNORE ALL EXIT POLLING INFORMATION. The media are notorious for using “exit polls” to influence the last few hours of voting.

POLLS CLOSED !

Donald Trump Declared WINNER

See the moment the Trump HQ heard the Donald projected to win SC primary pic.twitter.com/UDg9A9NWxa

— John Santucci (@Santucci) February 21, 2016

Meet At The Old Mill, We Ride West At Midnight !!

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CNN advertised their two night candidate Town Hall event series as an informal opportunity for ordinary South Carolinians to ask the republican presidential candidates’ questions.

However, when it came to the frontrunner, Donald Trump’s segment, there was nothing ordinary about at least one of the questioners, and absolutely nothing “random” about the combined intent.  [all research citations below]

By all impressions and appearances, CNN intentionally staged a confrontation with Donald Trump – evidenced by Mr. Cooper having an exact quote pre-arranged, and ready for use, at a very specific moment.

Watch as Anderson Cooper calls upon Dr. Oran Smith, President and CEO of the Palmetto Family Council.  Incredulously Cooper tries to play off the introduction of the questioner as an ordinary citizen who “had not yet made up his mind“.

Pay attention to the exchange, and pay specific attention to how “at the ready” Cooper was with the quote.  They had this set-up as an ambush.  Watch:

So what is the motive here? What is the connection between CNN and the ‘non-random’ participant, Dr Oran Smith from the Palmetto Family Council ?

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Unless something rather drastic comes out that needs to be deconstructed or analyzed, this will be the last presentation of a poll in South Carolina.  Why?  Well, quite simply, all of these latest polls are being too manipulated to be of any real value – Including this one.

The latest Fox News Poll (full pdf below) is data driven by Anderson Robbins Research (Democrat firm) and Shaw & Company Research (Republican firm), and not by Fox Media itself.  The sub-contracts have vested financial interests/stakes in the race – hence the under and over samples evident to present an outcome that cannot be assured as objective:

The results, while following a similar path to prior polls, are too fraught with assumptions and specific weighted demos, leading to high margins of error for certain demographics.

Here’s the snapshot showing the demos, including some of the higher MOE categories as noted. (more…)

“Reports of Donald Trump’s imminent demise as a candidate are clearly and greatly exaggerated. Like a freight train barreling through signals with his horn on full blast, Trump heads down the track towards a possible nomination,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

The insufferable agenda poll pushed by NBC/WSJ (constructed by a political PR firm) is rightly dispatched into the land of outlier irrelevance by a much larger sample (four times larger) Quinnipiac poll (full pdf below) released last night – showing a much different result.  The Quinnipiac poll is in alignment with all other recent national polling.

The top-line figures provide further evidence of a continuing trend.  As the field is reducing, Trump and Rubio are gaining support while Ted Cruz continues slipping backward.

These results are in line with other national and South Carolina polling and ground reports which reflect the top three race as #1 Trump, #2 Rubio, and #3 Cruz.  As a direct result the exasperation of Team Cruz will increase exponentially. (more…)

Radio and Media personality Glenn Beck has been campaigning heavily in support of Senator Ted Cruz for president.  Previously, Beck stated Ted Cruz’s birth was driven by divinity comparable to the birth of Christ; that’s creepy.  Beck increased the creepy quotient last week when he proclaimed Senator Cruz as the guiding hand, the resurrection, to take us through the rapture.

However, the latest Glenn Beck point of advocacy takes the creepy factor even higher than previous divine proclamations, if that’s possible:

(Via Daily Caller) […]  On Tuesday, conservative radio host and vocal Cruz backer Glenn Beck asserted on his talk show that God brought about the death of Scalia so America would “wake up” and vote for Cruz.

Speaking in the voice of the heavenly father, Beck told his audience, “You’re welcome. I just woke the American people up. I took them out of the game show moment and woke enough of them up to say, look at how close your liberty is to being lost.” (more…)

RIGHT NOW:  Donald Trump is on MSNBC – Live Link

Dr. Ben Carson, Senator Ted Cruz and Senator Marco Rubio are on CNN – Live Link

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The team of NBC and Wall Street Journal (Rupert Murdoch owned) has struck again with their latest highly coordinated and heavily manufactured latest “Agenda Poll”.  We have previously revealed NBC/WSJ’s prior two constructs HERE and HERE….

[AND now you know why we proactively do so.]

NBC’s Chief Pollster Propagandist, Mark Murray et al, is out with yet another ridiculous poll (exceptionally high Brian Williams as a verb factor).  This time showing Donald Trump trailing Ted Cruz in an “explosive new development“…. Oh my.

However, this time it appears Murray has learned to insert an exit strategy to avoid the egg-face/embarrassing-sunlight factor of prior exhibitions.   In a not-so-subtle veiled attempt to save face, they have written an excuse directly in the heart of their own polled results.

It really is funny to read:

[…] “So, one poll post-Saturday debate can only reflect there may have been a ‘pause’ as Republican voters take another look at Trump. This happened earlier this summer and he bounced back stronger. We will have to wait this time and see what voters decide.”  (link)

Yes, that little disclaimer is more than a little humorous when you know the backstory.

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Today is one of those days when political junkies realize why CTH is such a desperate threat to the professional political class because tripwires are being triggered in all directions exactly as predicted.  HERE – HERE – HERE

We will get to the NBC nonsense in another discussion thread.

Today, South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley is endorsing GOPe Marco Rubio, oh, now there’s a shock fail… and the narratives the apoplectic political class are using to accompany the endorsement are so transparent all we can do is laugh at their effort.

Earlier […]  ♦  Now to the endorsements.  Again, go back to the original road-map and cut through the media fog surrounding South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley.

Haley has done the bidding of the GOPe DC Machine (Ryan, McConnell, etc.) with the SOU response to knock down Donald Trump.   Republican party leadership approved the script.  Governor Haley also spoke highly of Marco Rubio in the 36 hours that followed the controversy.

Absent of GOPe intervention, a Rubio endorsement from her was/is all but certain. (link)

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