After weeks of relentless attacks by media and GOPe rivals, not only does Donald Trump remain at the top of the field but he extends his lead to ten points over the next closest competitor.  That which doesn’t eliminate him, only makes him stronger.  Meanwhile, Dr. Ben Carson has dropped from 23% to 16%

A new poll from Quinnipiac (full pdf below) shows Rubio, Cruz and Carson now deadlocked in a race for Second Place:

Quinnipiac – Eleven months before the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump is the undisputed leader in the Republican field, as Dr. Ben Carson, in a virtual tie with Trump four weeks ago, drops to third place, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. (more…)

Oh, we don’t support Obamacare they said.  We’ll repeal Obamacare they said.  We’ll replace Obamacare with sensible legislation they said.  Well, that was prior to the mid-term 2014 election.

This story represents an example of how the GOPe manipulate the electorate into thinking the pea is under the middle shell, while their slight of hand is so experienced the pea isn’t actually under any….

If you don’t enmesh yourself in fully understanding the intricate details of how Washington DC is playing “UniParty” it is almost impossible to keep track of their maneuvers; this too is entirely by design.

As you read this, remember there is no actual federal budget in place.  Despite Republicans in control of the House and Senate they never passed a budget for fiscal year 2016 which began October 1st last month.   This was/is I.N.T.E.N.T.I.O.N.A.L. 

This non-budget SPENDING aspect is critically important to understand because the GOPe forward priorities, which are in full alignment with the White House, are dependent on the electorate not understanding the difference between the budget process, and a process of continuing resolutions. (more…)

Donald Trump 60% -vs- Ben Carson 40%
Donald Trump 57% -vs- Marco Rubio 43%
Donald Trump 57% -vs- Ted Cruz 43%

A new YouGov/Economist Poll (full pdf below) of 2000 national respondents shows Donald Trump with a commanding lead, and beating all GOP rivals in head-to-head matchups.

For the first time Pollsters asked the respondents head-to-head comparisons between Trump, Carson, Cruz and Rubio.   The results eliminate yet another promoted myth:

Head-To-Head […]  The New York billionaire would defeat Rubio and Cruz by the same margin of 57 percent to 43 percent, and would defeat Carson by a margin of 60 to 40 percent, according to the poll. 

The finding is a blow to the hopes of some Republican elites who argue that Trump’s stubborn lead in the race will dissipate once the field winnows and a more mainstream alternative rises (read more).

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In a sermon [2013] at an Irving, Texas, megachurch that helped elect Ted Cruz to the United States Senate, Cruz’ father Rafael Cruz indicated that his son was among the evangelical Christians who are anointed as “kings” to take control of all sectors of society, an agenda commonly referred to as the “Seven Mountains” mandate, and “bring the spoils of war to the priests”, thus helping to bring about a prophesied “great transfer of wealth“, from the “wicked” to righteous gentile believers. (link)

(Via Quinnipiac) Donald Trump gets 25 percent of Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants in a too-close-to- call race with Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas who is at 23 percent, double his support from four weeks ago, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Dr. Ben Carson has 18 percent, with Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 13 percent.

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The hilarious agenda of Fox News and their GOPe objectives was evident again this evening when Harris Falkner interrupted live coverage of a Belgium police terror-hunt interview/presser to go back to Fox News Sunday and the pre-recorded Rubio interview.

Falkner (6:02pm): …“Well, I’m,.. I’m sorry to cut you off but we must return to Fox News Sunday and the interview with Marco Rubio”…  ROFLMAO !   Whoopsie.

Oh well, here’s the Fox Poll (full pdf below):

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Reader/Commentator Bluto puts hammer to nail.  Sometimes it helps to step back and ask the obvious:

I keep asking people: “Can somebody tell me about all the big Rallies for Cruz, Rubio, Bush, Carson, Kasich, Christie??? Are they too having several a week? Does anybody have the listings of previous rallies and upcoming rallies? The location, the venue, the attendances?”

Crickets.

Trump is the only one working. It’s glaring. He’s not just working, he’s been chugging along lapping the field day-in and day-out for months now. Nobody is attracting the people like Trump. Nobody.

But wait, that’s going to annoy the naysayers that attack his supporters as idiots & low information boobs. So let’s take the crowds out of it. (more…)

A new poll from Oklahoma shows what a disconnect there can be when using samples of “likely voters” (full poll data pdf below).  Donald Trump leads with 27%, Ted Cruz second with 18.3%, Carson in third with 17.5%, Rubio fourth with 16%.

A tightening field with Cruz gaining from Carson’s slips.  While Trump leads with all demographics, genders and age ranges (dominating the youth vote), the internals show Carson and Cruz base is within “very religious” segment of the Oklahoma electorate but only minimally stronger than Donald Trump – which is interesting.  Overall Oklahoma looks like a four person race.

OKLAHOMA CITY –  Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton remain the top choices for president among Oklahoma voters, according to an exclusive News 9/News On 6 poll.

If Oklahoma’s March 1 primary elections were held today, 27.1 percent of state Republicans say they would vote for Trump. Clinton controls nearly half of the Democrat primary vote, 46.6 percent, according to the poll. (more…)

A large sample national poll conducted by IPSOS for Reuters (full pdf below) reflects an increasingly obvious reality – Donald Trump is the dominant candidate with a vast and growing support base.

Significantly, the data also shows: five times as many independent voters choose Donald Trump over Marco Rubio and/or Ted Cruz.

Political followers have noticed GOPe strategy modified and they stopped attacking Trump directly.  Instead they shifted their marginalization approach by trying to attach Trump to candidate Ted Cruz.

Every effort by Team Trump should be made to keep Ted Cruz at arms length.  We have previously outlined the reason(s) why Cruz’s electoral strategy is doomed to defeat.  There is no winning electoral map within the campaign strategy of Ted Cruz which is based on a very narrow slice of the electorate.  (more…)

Op-Hummingbird was only modestly successful in attaining the GOPe objective. However, a set of similar media/political metrics we follow outlines a modified approach. More on that later…

Today two independently gathered polls reveal an almost identical result.  WBUR and Fox News each conducted a poll in New Hampshire (both pdf’s below).  Both polls show Donald Trump extending his lead in the state, and both polls show support for Ben Carson collapsing, or at least retracting significantly.

(Via Fox) Donald Trump leads the race for the Republican nomination in New Hampshire, while Bernie Sanders edges Hillary Clinton among Democrats.

That’s according to the latest Fox News poll, released Wednesday, and conducted since Friday’s terrorist attacks in Paris. (more…)

Arguably the battleground state of Florida is where the primary will be won or lost in March of  2016.   The 100 winner-take-all delegates are the key prize toward primary victory on the GOP side of the presidential race.

The latest poll (full pdf below) from Florida shows Donald Trump growing his lead from September over home state competitors Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush.  Several of the internal metrics are interesting, including Trump being the only candidate to extend a lead over Clinton since Joe Biden is removed.  Head-to-Head Trump beats Clinton 49 to 40:

Other interesting notes: ♦ Rand Paul shows remarkable support from African American voters in Florida. ♦ Carly Fiorina has completely collapsed. ♦ Chris Christie’s earlier support is also gone.  ♦ Ben Carson remains third. (more…)