CBS has another National Poll reflecting Donald Trump with a substantive lead over the entire field of GOP candidates (Full Poll pdf below).  However, beyond the leading support numbers Republican Primary Voters were asked this question:

Q17. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Republican presidential candidates do you think has the best chance of winning the general election in November 2016?

BOOM !!  That essential and critical question/answer destroys the GOPe (establishment) talking point of “electability“.  By a stunning margin the Republican Primary Voter view Donald Trump as the best candidate to win in 2016.   Stick that in your pipe George Will and Karl Rove!

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The GOPe DC apparatchik (writ large) are all-in with their demands to support Representative Paul Ryan as the next Speaker of the House (SoH).

Freedom Caucus Chairman Jim Jordan appeared on Fox News Sunday to outline what the problems are, and it has less to do with Paul Ryan “the Speaker” – and more to do with removing the GOPe stranglehold; ie. the GOPe demand on the apparatus of power.

Jim Jordan articulates the problem. The essence of the problem is what the media and GOPe want to hide.

Within those rules Jordan is describing you find out why so many of the House of Representatives are frustrated with a UniParty leadership team that demands compliance to a regime interest that remains antithetical to the desires of the electorate who sent them there.

The GOPe leadership (Boehner, McCarthy, McConnell, Cornyn) are beholden to Wall Street, The U.S. Chamber of Commerce and K-Street, they refuse to be beholden to the will of the electorate. (more…)

This interview is more about policy than personality.  Good interview:

Insightful article written by a person who knows Donald Trump well.  What is described reflects several key distinctions visible amid the current situation. 

• #1 – Donald Trump brings a deliberate sense that no other candidate can match.
• #2 – Donald Trump exists in that rarefied space inhabited by those who represent risk to the power elite, and they don’t have to worry about any risk themselves.  The ‘nothing to lose’ space.
• #3 – Donald Trump will win the nomination and, free to ‘call-the-baby-ugly’, destroy any remaining political opposition in the November ’16 general election.

(Via Washington Times) Despite Donald Trump’s meteoric rise to the top of the Republican presidential polls, the GOP establishment continues to bash its leading candidate. Apparently “party-cide” is contagious: The Democratic establishment continues to ride the sinking Clinton campaign like the string quartet on the deck of the Titanic — the majority of Americans know she’s a liar and don’t trust her. It’s a fight to the death all right, only each party’s pointing a gun at its own head.

GOP establishment favorite Jeb Bush is hemorrhaging voters too. CBS News/YouGov shows Bush coming in a pathetic eighth place in New Hampshire and doing only marginally better in Iowa, where he now places fifth. (more…)

George Will had a column yesterday in the Washington Post about a conversation with Ted Cruz’s election strategist.  Within the article Jason Johnson shares how the Cruz campaign feels they can win the GOP nomination.

The pathway, as described, is so far beyond possible, it leaves the reader wondering what exactly is the real goal of this campaign.  We’ve looked at this “plan” in detail, and will outline later today.  However, for those who fully understand the state-by-state primary races, you might first want to read the full plan as outlined by the Cruz team.  (Here’s An Internal Tool to cross reference the states mentioned)

(Via George Will WaPo)  If America’s 58th presidential election validates Ted Cruz’s audacious “base plus” strategy, he will have refuted assumptions about the importance of independent “swing” voters and the inertia of many missing voters.

Critics say his plan for pursuing the Republican nomination precludes winning the presidency. Jason Johnson, Cruz’s chief strategist, responds: “I’m working backward from Election Day,” because Cruz’s plan for winning the necessary 1,236 convention delegates is an extrapolation from his strategy for winning 270 electoral votes.

All presidential campaigns aspire to favorably change the composition of the electorate. Cruz aims to substantially reconfigure the electorate as it has recently been. (more…)

HatTip Savage Podcast

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The FDU poll of 825 Registered voters reflects an exceptionally broad base of electoral support for candidate Donald Trump.

[…] Twenty-six percent of registered Republicans say they would vote for Trump if the election were held today with similar numbers (22%) identifying Carson as their candidate of choice. No other candidate achieved double digit status in the poll, with many “Establishment” candidates mired in the single digits. For example, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie — both early frontrunner contenders — attract the support of seven and three percent of registered Republicans, respectively. Former CEO of Hewlett-Packard Carly Fiorina, the sole woman amongst the crowded field, garners seven percent.

[…]  The most recent survey by Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind was conducted by telephone from October 1-5, 2015 using a randomly selected sample of 824 registered voters nationwide. One can be 95 percent confident that the error attributable to sampling has a range of +/- 4.1 percentage points  (link)

The latest New Hampshire poll shows a far more engaged electorate continuing to be a thorn in the side of the 2015/16 GOPe scheme to anoint Jeb Bush. In addition, the ruse candidates, Fiorina and Rubio have exhausted their media-fueled surge and remain static alongside Jeb Bush at 8%.

John Kasich’s ground game and almost exclusive attention to New Hampshire has garnered him a position just above Jeb, Carly and Marco. However, the vulgarians are determined to Make America Great Again!

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,035 registered voters in New Hampshire regarding the presidential election and other areas. The poll was conducted October 5-6, 2015. The sample includes 662 Republicans, 373 Democrats, and the remainder not planning on participating in the primary, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.1% [3.8% for Republican Caucus/5.1% for Democratic Caucus]. (link)

Predictions: (more…)