There are a few interesting aspects about this Harris/Messenger poll [DATA HERE] that merit some discussion. First, the poll itself is a large sample size with solid cross tabs and demographics. This is not a media poll.

Second, the sample of independent voters is slightly less than norm. That means the actual reality of the Trump -vs- Biden portion of the poll is better than the result that is reflected. Independants increasingly favor Donald Trump. That said, this poll affirms previous recent polling showing that Trump is widening his lead amid all of the key demographics that matter. All good news for team Trump.

The poll, taken September 13-19 among 3,015 registered voters, found that Trump led Biden, 46%-41%. The margin of error was plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. (link)

[Data Link]

On the Republican primary it’s not even close, and even more people are starting to wonder now why any challenger remains in the race.  With a clear party frontrunner this far ahead, all of the gnat challengers are simply hurting themselves. The longer this continues the more diminished their influence.

The donors and billionaires have come to the same conclusion, as shared in a rather lengthy NBC report yesterday. It’s not the campaigns. It’s not the consultants. It’s not the candidates….  It’s the voters.  The formidable scale of the MAGA base voter has just worn down the Republican Party apparatus.

[Via NBC] – […] There is no major anti-Trump super PAC or significant donor financing a push to topple him as the party’s leader, and there is concern that, at this point, spending financial or political capital to undercut Trump is a fool’s errand. 

In fact, the two major outside political organizations running ads urging voters to move away from Trump have so far not lived up to the mass anti-Trump spending campaign that some in the party had hoped for. 

Five months out from the primary here, the anti-Trump effort is fragmented and weakened as no other Republican presidential candidate is able to even come close to the former president in the polls, despite his legal troubles. 

And it’s not just South Carolina. Nationally, the hypothetical anti-Trump cavalry within the Republican Party has yet to materialize, and GOP strategists tell NBC News that it may be too late. 

Even when a conservative group does try to hit Trump, it’s often nothing more than a glancing blow and focused on concerns about his ability to beat President Joe Biden. In fact, one spot this summer from one of those groups started with a voter saying, “I love Donald Trump.” (more)

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