The UN Food and Agriculture Organization reported on Friday they are recording the highest Food Price Index since they started recording thirty years ago. With record highs in prices for cereals, vegetable oils, dairy and meats
This issue has been a slow burning fuse toward the biggest powder keg in modern history, and it is about to get very serious. We have been warning about it since last fall {Go Deep}. In the most deliberate and painstaking ways possible, we have been urging everyone to take this issue seriously.
The background cause is complex and started with the 2020 government response to the pandemic. U.S. and international government intervention in the food supply process has been FUBAR from the beginning. Every action taken since early 2020 has been one bad policy after another; building failure upon failure, crisis upon crisis, bad decision upon bad decision, bringing us to a precipice summed up by saying “the absence of food will change things.”
Some will say the food prices we are about to experience –and the crisis it will create– was deliberate. Others will say this was the cumulative outcome of major failures on the part of the government. At this point the former makes more sense, and the latter looks like a justification and excuse, because if government entities were really serious about food prices and shortages, they would be taking pragmatic steps to mitigate the problem; they are not.
There are simple things government could do, such as helping farmers offset targeted fertilizer costs, providing relief for diesel fuel and energy costs, and taking other simple steps that would help the agricultural industry.
Instead of responding with the urgency this would demand, the collective government action has been to ignore the problem (talk soundbites), and give speeches about using subsidies to offset the end result (consumers) – without ever addressing the root cause. All this while fueling conflict in Ukraine and chasing radical energy policies under the guise of global climate change.
The UN Food and Agriculture Organization (UNFAO) keeps track of food prices and projections using a global index [SEE HERE]. What they are calculating, and what they are projecting based on the current calculations, is a major increase in food prices combined with a major increase in food scarcity due to the unaffordability of food products.
The baseline of 100 is the monthly rate of change for a basket of food products using the period from 2014 to 2016.
The current rate of change is indexing at 159.3, meaning the monthly increases in price are almost 60% higher than the base period. Trying to chart this rate of index is almost impossible, as it seems literally exponential. (red line in graphic)
In 2020, the monthly rate of change increased to an index of around 110. In 2021, the monthly rate of increase went from 110 to around 135. In the first three months of 2022, the index has jumped from 135 to almost 160 (in three months), and there is no end in sight.
The FAO Food Price Index* (FFPI) averaged 159.3 points in March 2022, up 17.9 points (12.6 percent) from February, making a giant leap to a new highest level since its inception in 1990. The latest increase reflects new all-time highs for vegetable oils, cereals and meat sub-indices, while those of sugar and dairy products also rose significantly.
The FAO Cereal Price Index averaged 170.1 points in March, up 24.9 points (17.1 percent) from February, marking its highest level on record since 1990. This month’s increase reflected a surge in world prices of wheat and coarse grains, largely driven by conflict-related export disruptions from Ukraine and, to a lesser extent, the Russian Federation. The expected loss of exports from the Black Sea region exacerbated the already tight global availability of wheat. With concerns over crop conditions in the United States of America (USA) also adding support, world wheat prices rose sharply in March, soaring by 19.7 percent.
The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index averaged 248.6 points in March, up 46.9 points (23.2 percent) from February and hitting a new record high. The sharp rise of the index was driven by higher sunflower, palm, soy and rapeseed oil prices.
The FAO Dairy Price Index averaged 145.2 points in March, up 3.7 points (2.6 percent) from February, marking the seventh consecutive monthly increase and lifting the index 27.7 points (23.6 percent) above its value a year ago. The upward trend of dairy product prices persisted, mainly supported by the tightening of global markets due to inadequate milk output in Western Europe and Oceania to meet global demand. Quotations for butter and milk powders rose steeply.
The FAO Meat Price Index* averaged 120.0 points in March, up 5.5 points (4.8 percent) from February, also reaching an all-time high. In March, pig meat prices registered the steepest monthly increase on record since 1995.
The FAO Sugar Price Index averaged 117.9 points in March, up 7.4 points (6.7 percent) from February, reversing most of the previous three months’ decline and reaching levels more than 20 percent above those registered in the corresponding month last year. [DETAILS]
In the United States and North America as a whole we are blessed and fortunate. We have abundant, healthy and fertile land that allows us to grow more food than we consume. We are a net exporter of food products. However, while we do not have to worry about shortages at the scale of other nations, there will be scarcity.
Additionally, the price increases will hit the U.S. consumer at a lesser, yet still big time significant, scale. The issue in the U.S. will be food insecurity due to massive increases in price. The middle class will spend more of their earnings and wages on food, and people will literally make changes to their food purchases based on these massive increases in price.
In food dependent nations, the scale of the issue will be far greater. In part, this is the reason the southern border crisis will be much more severe this year. We will see an influx of migration due to food availability and unaffordability issues, that is certain; however, that issue is also incidental to the massive influx that is going to happen as a result of the Biden open-border policy.
In the strongly food dependent nations, the food price and scarcity issue has already triggered panic.
https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1512279315676733440
https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1512455481587027968
We are several generations separated from any time in history where people have worried about the United States having abundant affordable food. Arguably, those under 40 to 45-years of age do not have any reference to the type of food scarcity and food inflation that is coming.
As we have mentioned for quite some time, “the absence of food will change things.”
We are in an abusive relationship with government leaders.
I’m seeing a lots of comments about prep and lists of “what it takes” for X number of days.
Myself and my family have lived 18 months off of nothing but our preps. So with much experience I say the following…
You can’t rely on growing food in a SHTF situation… You need to be a year ahead.
Sustainable hunting by humans can only happen with a density of less than 1 Hunter per 400 acres. If this is your plan and you have less accessible room you are in trouble!!!
You do not stock preps or inventory them by weight or especially servings. You will starve!!! You calculate your prepared days by calories per person at 2000 calories per day.
You will die without oil and salt… Crisco is your friend.
Sugar is essential to easy calories, 100 lbs per person per year.
Add in food items are how you balance nutrition, bump calories and make food attractive. Powdered milk can be added to just about everything, so can Crisco, sugar, cheese powder, herbs, etc.
Prepping is about building a good plan… Calculating out your total preps by inventory includes calculating total nutritional values, required vitamins, minerals and adjusting inventory as needed for correct balance.
Else you’ll end up so damn sick you can’t eat.
What recipes have become your favorites?
When I’m putting back food I always underestimate my calorie and protein totals. I round down. That way I don’t have any unpleasant surprises.
I am still perplexed as to why the majority of this country thought a Government takeover of the Medical industry was a good idea. Soon, similar market conditions will convince the majority that we should support a Government takeover of the Agricultural industry. I expect similar results. Grocers that don’t know anything about how to assure their customers that the product will always be available, customers who think that now that the Government is in charge nobody will be profiteering from high prices, and middle class wage earners working at least three jobs to pay for just the products and services that the Government controls who will have nothing left over for choosing what they want anyway.
When is it going to ever occur to the majority that Government can’t run a post office, a choo choo train, build a dam, repair the potholes, or anything else they have been allowed to have a monopoly stake in. If we think they can manage our currencies without causing our money to become worthless, then why are pennies wothless and dollars are needed to buy chewing gum. Soon, we will need wheelbarrows just to go buy bread at the grocery and visit our so-called doctors.
The solution will no doubt be that none of us will need money for all the great things they are providing us with. Are we really this stupid?
Yes…..too many of us ARE that stupid.
Several decades of propaganda and indoctrination from education, government and media have brought us to this point
Too few parents and critically thinking adults intervened on behalf of so many that needed deprogramming.
The simultaneous crises we are being subject to (food, energy, durable goods inflation/shortages/ Covid/ Ukraine/ Cultural issues/ Social cohesion breakdown / public safety) seems engineered and deliberate. Once the economic and social fabric tears and (in the short/mid term) cannot be repaired is when these Great reset ghouls will descend like pseudo-benevolent angels ready to save the day… all you need to do is forfeit your individual sovereignty and economic freedom…
Best bet is change of address! And country. Learn Spanish.
Famine is global.
Just as the plandemic was in place years prior, this is the follow-up to completely devastate and control the populace. Keep people in a constant state of upset as you hint at future shortages, newer iterations of the flu, you name it, and the uninformed, ill-prepared will fall in line.
If we learned anything the past two years, stop listening to most media says and be responsible for your own life. This is not a dress rehearsal.
“What? Me worry?”
Smile! Remember the 2000 world is ending farce!?
Going to the beach! In Mexico 🇲🇽
Stock up, lock and load!
There is zero doubt it is intentional and that it has been planned for at least a decade, if not longer.
The decade timeline is partially based on when Gates (and China) began buying up American farmland. It is further substantiated by the WEF’s statements regarding their vision of the future where eating real meat will be a rarity.
They’ve been destroying chickens throughout the EU in the name of PCR tests showing “avian flu.” They’ve started the same here in the U.S. recently (Iowa has been hit especially hard with millions of birds destroyed on the word of the feds). Recently North Carolina issued an edict that companies could no longer be in the business of baby chicks for resale to mom and pop for home production.
Ice Age Farmer has been pounding the table for almost 2 years now on this. Others have been raising the potential for years.
It’s serious people. If you don’t or haven’t – start a garden. Learn how to prepare and store your own supplies. Create local community infrastructure. Become friends with your local farmers.
Sounds like they did not meet their quota on deaths with the poison shot so they are going to finish more off through starvation.