Last year, when CTH discussed the original Kraft-Heinz wholesale notification for January 2022, we warned it was only the first round. The reason for waves of price increases is specifically, because each of the processed food categories is impacted differently depending on the amount of processing involved. Each category is different.
This understanding is why we warned everyone in October of last year to make as much preparation as possible for waves of food inflation. The original notification for contracted terms in 30, 60 and 90 days was +20%. Meaning this month, on those group and sectors, prices to retailers went up by 20%, and you are seeing that in the supermarket now.
For the next wave, Kraft-Heinz is telling wholesalers the fulfillment shipments arriving in March will be up to +30% on the next categories. Oscar Mayer proteins will be the biggest increase at the top end (+30%), Maxwell House coffee on the lower end (+5-10%) and the juice and drink category around +20%. [A $5 beverage pack will cost $6 in a few short weeks.]
The processing sector is still dealing with cumulative cost increases. The fulfillment terms are still catching up with the increased costs. These announcements are ON TOP OF the current price increases we are feeling. We are entering hyper-inflation.
If you look at the notification timing from Kraft foods, January 24th, you will see the categories we predicted to come next are the exact categories being outlined in this wave.
(VIA ABC) […] The increases range from 6.6% on 12oz Velveeta Fresh Packs to 30% on a three-pack of Oscar Mayer turkey bacon. Most cold cuts and beef hot dogs will go up around 10% and coffee around 5%. Some Kool-Aid and Capri Sun drink packs will increase by about 20%.
“As we enter 2022, inflation continues to dramatically impact the economy,” Kraft Heinz said in a letter dated January 24 to at least one of its wholesale customers that was viewed by CNN Business. The wholesaler shared the letter on the condition of anonymity to protect the company’s relationship with its suppliers.
[…] If retailers decide to pass on any of the increased costs, these items will be more expensive for shoppers in stores. US consumer prices rose 7% annually in December, the steepest climb in 39 years. Kraft Heinz has already raised prices on some of these same foods in recent months.
In October, the company said it would increase prices on Oscar Mayer cold cuts and hot dogs. In November, it said prices on Oscar Mayer beef, lean beef and Angus hot dogs, cheese dogs and other products would go up by around 9%.
But since those November hikes, Kraft Heinz said in the letter, it has faced “constrained supply, logistic bottlenecks and weather-driven crop losses.” The company’s costs have increased, including on raw ingredients and freight, leading it to bump prices yet again. (read more)
These same major manufacturers are the same companies that make the “off label” or “private label” products that are sold under various retail brand names. After the big guns raise their prices, the private label price increases will come in the next wave, because they are made by the same people using the same raw materials and the same processes.
Keep in mind the points we noted in December:
(1) The outlined price increases noted are against current price terms and contracts. Meaning, these are price increases from right now to the next fulfillment. These are not inflation price increases which are compared to a year ago. These are increases from the current price right now.
(2) The price increases are not the final price increase. This is the price of a contract today from the field to the distribution center. The retailer also has additional price increases (transportation, energy, labor, etc) which they need to add to the wholesale price before you see the final price at retail (grocery store).
The final field to fork price is not yet known but will be higher than noted above. We are only seeing the notifications from field through processing and into warehousing and distribution.
Additionally, the more an item needs to be processed, the higher the price increase will be. Food items that require multiple raw materials, ingredients and bases for processing (ex. condiments), when combined with increased packaging costs (oil, energy), will be much higher than foods with less processing, handling and packaging.
This has always been the nature of this specific supply chain.
Example: Many products, food, drinks and even cleaning products, contain citrus bases, additives, flavorings and distillation. Those products will be much higher in price due to the price increases in raw materials, combined with higher energy and petroleum costs. It is an issue of cumulative price increases in the production of the product from beginning to end.
CTH has recommended preparing for these massive increases in 2022 prices, by thinking about the base products you use to make meals at home and holding an extra supply of shelf stable products, so you won’t hit the grocery store and face those massive increases.
A working class family, who typically spends $200 to $300 a week on groceries, is already getting hammered at the gas pumps and grocery store. Another $50 to $100 bucks on top of the grocery bill each week can be very stressful.
Even if you don’t have kids at home, perhaps your adult children have kids. Your proactive position can help them, perhaps your neighbors and others, at times of greatest need. Pride can often stop people from asking for help, so look behind the eyes of those who hesitate to accept it.
The price increases will not only hit retail grocers hard, but they will also hit restaurant and industrial food supply companies like Sysco. Food away from home will increase in price, because the food suppliers are all experiencing the same price increases.
Food, fuel and energy price increases will continue to be the most impactful problem into 2022. The problem will compound, because buying offices of the large multinational corporations enter this phase of consumer and commodity squeeze by looking to leverage their size for competitive advantage.
Large multinationals will make advance order purchases today at higher prices. Advanced purchasing becomes a competitive advantage, and they leverage that in the supply chain. The downstream consequence is a material shortage, because the commodity is wiped out, which drives up the price and then those same multinationals execute distribution to a higher profit.
This gaming of inventory for profit, or inventory evaluation/capitalization, is a less discussed outcome of rapid inflation. Multinationals have deep pockets, and they can maximize profits by executing advanced purchase orders to lock in commodity prices. Unfortunately, the little guys have a tough time competing against them when the inventories dry up.
While the examples above all relate to fast turn consumable goods, the same purchasing leverage is used by large corporations on durable goods. Retailers, large and small, then begin competing to secure inventories while supplies are limited; this too drives up prices. It’s a hot mess of competition that squeezes the consumer even harder.
The only thing that stops this process is the inevitable collapse in demand, but that outcome sucks also. In the interim, I hope and pray to have provided y’all with enough advanced notification so that all of us can ride this inflation storm out just a teensy bit better than if we didn’t know it was coming.
Sounds like a good year to raise a couple pigs.
Also, you can make your own ketchup, mustard, mayo, relish.
So much we can do to avoid the sticker shock.
But, my heart hurts for people – seniors, single parents, the disabled, vets.
I am prepared to help.
#LetsGoBrandon!
I routinely make my own mayo, tartar sauce, mustard and ketchup. I also have ability to make broiler chicks and layer chicks as well as more than enough eggs. I’m seriously looking at smaller breeds like American Guinea Hog or Kune Kunes at butcher weight at around 200lb I can handle the butcher processing myself.
That’s awesome!
I was skeptical but farm fresh eggs unwashed and preserved in lime + water shortly after they are laid are edible up to year (some say longer) stored in my basement. We have 8 hens and the eggs started to pile up so we experimented with lime preservation (watched videos on youtube) and fried, scrambled, and cooked with 1 year old eggs preserved in Mrs. Wages food grade lime + water mixture in ½ gallon Mason jars that we stored in the basement. No smell or taste difference but they were runnier than a fresh egg at 1 year old but less runny as we tapped into jars less than 1 year. Just make sure they are unwashed and freshly laid, this will not work with store bought eggs.
I always wondered about the eggs used in the wedding cake that made everyone sick in the book Like Water for Chocolate. I thought it was just Mexican fantasy storytelling. Your description of how to preserve eggs may have worked for them had they used that method. If I recall the book spoke of burying the eggs (in lime?).
One of my Chinese friends makes what she calls thousand-year-old eggs. Her husband cannot stand to be in the room with her when she eats them. LOL
Chinese egg-based culinary dish made by preserving duck, chicken or quail eggs in a mixture of clay, ash, salt, quicklime, and rice hulls for several weeks to several months, depending on the method of processing.
Thanks for the recipe. We have chickens but have always given our extras away.
This is very good “food” for thought. 👍✝️👍
When did American people get so helpless? Why did Americans become so helpless? Start learning again, start doing again, start making again. Don’t let the bass turds take everything away from us. That is all they desire: More money, more power, more control…..don’t let them have it. Take it back or your future is gone; just like they want it to be. Sure, all these things are nice to just pick up an use, but come on people. learn to DO FOR YOURSELF OR LEARN TO DO WITHOUT.
Thank you for all you have done over the past couple years to try to get us back in the habit of doing for ourselves and others…..trying to make us dependent on ourselves instead of all the “instant gratification” there is out there.
Exactly! I was raised by parents who were teenagers in the depression and they taught their children the same skills that they learned the hard way, i.e, using burlap bags tied around their feet for shoes. I KNOW how to make do, do without, use it all, use it again, fix it, and do it differently. I taught my children the same philosophy. My ancestors arrived here in 1640 and craved out a life from nothing….I can and will carry on in their tradition. A country boy will survive…..
I hear that Old Dawg, I just wish I would have asked my Grandmother about her natural remedies. My Mom is over 91 now and she doesn’t remember much about the remedies except they took a teaspoon of turpentine for a sore throat. I know my Grandmother made poltices and made them wrap their necks and chests with stuff that Mama said really stunk.
My cousin twisted her ankle and my Grandfather mixed vinegar, red clay and I don’t know what else. It turned as hard as a real cast. It did the trick, cousin was fine the next day.
There are quite a few natural remedies at the People’s Pharmacy eg for warts, burns etc
and here too
https://www.rain-tree.com/prepmethod.htm
Diseases and conditions:
https://www.rain-tree.com/indicate.htm
Thank you, I’ve been trying to find some sources. We need an old timey remedy thread like Menageries holiday recipe thread. A fellow Treeper posted about some stuff for pneumonia, I can’t recall the name of it now, but I immediately looked it up and purchased 3 jars. The reviews were fantastic and it is made in the USA.
Musterole is the stinky stuff that goes on your chest with a hot towel(warmed in the oven). It will clear your sinus with one sniff. Not sure its still around in its original form but it knocks a cold right out of you and gives you a nice warm glow.
I asked my Mom if this was it, she said they were too poor to buy anything. My best friend in Kansas does remember her Grandmother using this on her and her cousins. I will have to look into this, I am for trying any old timey remedies that are made in the USA. I’m sick and tired of huge companies and certainly don’t want to buy anything from China. Thanks.
my goal is to learn to make bread my mother did it and i loved it hot
F— Joe Biden.
I already do all that you suggest. But I did anticipate and buy extra of basic items and ingredients. It has been so hard to anticipate. I cannot have a garden because I live in a condo with my elderly mom.
I recently paid $1.00 for a 20 oz. squeeze bottle of Great Value yellow mustard. Anyone can afford that.
OTOH, mayonnaise has been increasing in price for a long time. Make your own, the way Frenchman have done for generations:
https://thenibble.com/reviews/main/condiments/mayonnaise/mayonnaise-recipe1.asp
You need oil and eggs to make mayo
I had an egg-free mayo recipe in which I used oil and lemon juice. I wish I could get that recipe again. It was so easy to made in the blender. Only took a few minutes to make from squeezing the lemons to adding to the blender.
My 28 year old son just started making mayonnaise. Then he uses it to make salad dressing.
Raise pigs on what? There is also an animal feed shortage
Pigs eat anything.
Put Democrats on their menu………….
makes the bacon taste funny…
u win !
Politicians?
Hopefully they will eat Biden!
Chickens are easier than pigs ?
by far. Chickens offer eggs and meat and easily reproduce (if you have a rooster)…
What’s for dinner has turned into, I found this it was cheap.
On top of The Empty Shelf Shopping,
I found this cause it was all they had.
We’ve been eating a lot of I got the last one.
take chicken skin, bones , and water to boil to make a better broth for stock or soup than you can buy
Sundancestrodomus…
Yes, yet riddle free.
We are blessed here, let’s make the most of it.
Hey… keep that on the down-low… I’M next in line for that crystal ball.
By the summer, the price increases will be making people’s blood boil … and inspiring Democrats to decide not to run this Fall … it will be a Red Tsunami.
Only prob is that JoeBama will still be leading the charge on policy issues that are leading to the price increases regardless of who wins the House and Senate in the mid-terms.
For example, Paulie boy handing the keys to Pelosi didn’t drive up fuel prices since PDJT was still in charge of policy.
ole joe needs to be impeached…but then what?
If we actually have an election. I’m sure they are working on a scheme to lock us down again, declare martial law or something, and of course there’s always the vote by mail, ballot harvesting or new ways the Republican s won’t know about.
I agree, and am worried about martial law.
The Republicans knew about the 2020 steal and haven’t done anything about it. I used to wonder how the same losers from both parties kept getting reelected. Like Sundance says it’s a Uniparty.
Thank you Sundance for the advance warning allowing us all to take appropriate actions. I am very grateful for all your efforts.
My kitchen cabinets and my pantry are filled with shelf-stable foods. My family will have plenty to eat up until and after the local farm re-opens. All thanks to you, Sundance.
Never stop preparing.
If you got a season’s worth, go for another, enough for a year, try two.
always check the “use/expiration date”. I’ve found some old stuff on the shelves lately, and had to dig for the longest shelf life.
Remember also, that if the food is expired. Avoid tossing the food, if the can is not bulging. Open it, once open, doesn’t smell and looks okay.
Eat the contents.
Cook it long to kill any bacterium, (bring it to a boil), if you can’t cook it. See if it tastes okay.
Agreed! Two years is a good bench mark for prepping. It gives enough time to sort the yard out and planted!
There are some out there now saying the shortages are on purpose, so when the shelves get filled you’re so grateful for food you don’t mind spending $20 on a loaf of bread!
We’re in an apartment. Space is limited.
closets,under beds, along the outside walls, drawers and floor space,garage and stacking
The closets are filled with mine and my family’s clothes and belongings. We have no garage, and the apartment – not townhouse, apartment – is not that large.
Eye bolts, rubber tie down straps, and a piece of plywood. Set it up into the ceiling of a closet or wherever you have wasted space.
Think small, be small. Look at all the unused space throughout you dwelling, and do your best to find hides.
It will actually surprise you how much actual wasted space we have at home.
maybe see if you can get rid of some stuff to make room?
Create a channel under the dining table and fill it with cans. Who cares if folk can’t get their legs completely under the table.
Haha. You can just sit down, reach under the table and grab a can for dinner. The original potluck.
Hide in plain site, stack up a couple of boxes, throw a piece of remnant heavy fabric over it and use it for a coffee table or bed side table. Get a few cinder blocks and a 1”x6” make a long shelf against a wall stack stuff under that and cover with fabric, put some stuff like a lamp or books on the shelf. If any visitors come over they’ll never know. Or tell them it’s shabby chic, because furniture is sooooo expensive.
Sourdough starter for bread requires only flour and water.
https://www.thekitchn.com/how-to-make-your-own-sourdough-starter-cooking-lessons-from-the-kitchn-47337
Thank you!
One is none, two is one….keep stocking!
Those of us that take care of our selves and our family will be fine. The rest of you need to WAKE UP and learn these skills. ASAP.
Some of us don’t have the extra income to buy supplies nor the extra space needed to store them. I live in a tiny RV at the moment since Covid ended the project of building my dream home over 2 years ago. Very limited storage space and I surely don’t have a garage with an extra freezer. I’ll get by, but there are many other people who couldn’t and can’t prepare.
This could get very ugly. Our faith in God is going to have to increase. That’s the ONE upside takeaway.
Agree. There are many who don’t have space, money or locations with property to store, buy, grow and raise. Hopefully, they can make the adjustments that they need to sustain themselves. Now is the time to have faith and to help those in need.
Very true.
My best advice is bulk buy multi vits, they take up little space, and get rice, beans, and chicken bouillon. You can get a 20 pound bag rice for $10. I know going without is hard, I used to sleep in grave yards just to feel safe. Ran away from home at 14 and been caring for myself since.
.
Buy freeze-dried food.
Or use a vacuum sealer. Bag 1 0r 2 serving sized portions. Shelf stable items like beans, rice, potato flakes and other dry goods should be good for several years.
You can at least try and get 10lbs bags of rice and beans. Very little storage space needed for these items. Some bullion and spices will help if it gets to this point.
If SHTF for real, potable water is going to be the biggest concern for survival over food no matter what. You can survive for many days on minimal food sources, but water is the key to life.
I remember reading about a group of centenarians living in Nicoya Peninsula, Costa Rica. The journalist asked one of them what they ate every day. She said “One day it’s rice and beans. And the next day it’s beans and rice.” They would also eat the occasional egg with it . And the people had all lived past 100 years old.
I actually went to Costa Rica right after I retired with the intention of moving there. It was quite an eye opening experience. I’ve been to 27 different countries in my life, and Australia was where I longed to return, but thank God I didn’t.
So Costa Rica it was with an open mind and an open cashier’s check. Spent many days traveling everywhere looking at properties, meeting people, and getting the vibe.
I met some outstanding people that are still friends, and I consider their version of Picadillo the best in Latin America. Basically rice and beans with meat and seasoning. It was amazing, and I cook it still today.
I just couldn’t pull the trigger as it was too 3rd world still for me, but now I see that rapidly approaching me here even in Texas.
I’m so sorry about your house.
It is fascinating watching the light bulb go on in younger people.
We have no debt. My kid, who’s in the 11th grade, sees that there is really no impact to our financial situation if the couch we buy costs $1200 or $1500.
But now he is realizing how much more difficult it is going to be for his generation when they all start out on their own. He is not alone, his friends realize this too. They place the blame squarely on the democrats.
They are creating a generation of Americans who hate democrats. I don’t see how they survive this.
by wiping out your kids entire way to survive – then forcing us to fight for supplies – then sitting back behind their walls as we wipe ourselves out.
While the Regime brands escalating inflation as “economic growth.”
“Inflation – what a great asset. ”
-FJB
Very true when you’re intentionally destroying the country.
Proteins are going to become very expensive.
You vill eat ze bugs!
Nah… Buy a rifle. Learn to hunt. Learn how to dress the kills. Wild pigs are a pest all over the South. Farmers will gladly let you in their land and shoot as many as you want.
My yard’s full of rabbits.
Too bad my hand arthritis won’t let me even think about acquiring a weapon. I can barely open a milk carton.
Have you considered setting out snares?
https://www.thehuntinglife.com/rabbit-snaring-part1/
I’m good with a bowl of cheerios.
JAS: You are absolutely right.
Usually have four to eight deer in my back yard every evening. Pretty easy hunting if necessary.
Wild pigs will attack you. Just saying.
you must attack them first!
Rice and beans.
Beans and rice.
Tuesdays and Thursdays
Yup
hot sauce with beans and rice 😜
Mixing it up….
😎
Y’all gotta remember the cornbread… There’s not a Southerner alive who can’t live on beans rice and cornbread…it’s a staple, we eat it all the time
Oatmeal is very good and filling. Rolled oats are inexpensive as well.
Nutritionist tell us we should eat some form of beans at least twice a week.
I love them. Put them on my salads, in my soups, and with green leafy veggies sauteed in garlic, yum! Grew up eating pasta fagioli and something my mom called “13 beans”. Healthy food.
Me too, I make up a batch of black beans, rice, tomatoes and fresh-frozen corn every week and use it on salads all week long. I’m having a real love affair with that as a new staple in my life!
Sounds wonderful. Going to try that!
Actually, I think I’ll hunt down the people that made this possible, and eat them first.
They are riddled with spike proteins
Once boiled or roasted the spikes are harmless. Yet, possibly delicious with a good sauce or some pepper. Let’s call it Co-meat 19.
Good point. Pure blood body parts will be in high demand
Avoid the organs.
LOL
Better use a lot of hot sauce to disguise the bitter taste.
Bambi fills a freezer nicely.
Rudolph has a redder coloring.
My friend who has a Bachelors in Nursing tells me that succotash is a complete protein. Succotash is little more than corn, tomatoes, and lima beans in one dish. You may wish to add some ham or onions, whatever is in the cupboard as you like it. But just corn, tomatoes, and lima beans are a complete protein all by themselves.
My grandma used to make this. We loved it. My sister and I had fun saying the word succotash. We laughed ourselves silly
In the middle of a price hike
I am burning myself up
In a river of ketchup
On a mountain of pickles
I relish the sight of a
mustard yellow coward
of a pResident thrust out of office
like a tartar king in a gravy boat
of 57 varieties of lies only he can make up!
“… ride this inflation storm out … ” That’s a joke, right?
The best outcome of the actions of an entirely criminal government, coupled with a planned Ghost World
https://www.brighteon.com/da567c3f-6fd3-4595-b2c5-d0dcd1531f99
is Venezuela-from-Panama-to-Hudson Bay. Riding it out will include either Mad Max vehicles or Christ’s Return.
“or Christ’s Return” – more and more these days I’m thinking that’s the outcome.
Hate to be doom and gloom, but so long as elections are rigged, none of the many things that are damaging to Biden and the Democrats in the polls are going to matter one bit. They continue to act as those who know the elections are and will be rigged in their favor.
Still voting!!! Not handing it to them on a silver platter
Yep. And I am automatically suspicious of anyone trying to talk me out of doing so.
You noticed that too. I have been saying the same thing.
I will still vote and will still work the polls. But this is what scares me the most. We must fix the election fraud. Follow Wisconsin. They are trying to decertify the last election. I also have become involved in Convention of States and the momentum is really picking up in many states fueled by the Biden Administration policies.
Convention of states???? Please don’t be messing with our precious Constitution. What a disaster that will be, literally! People like Mark Levin and Ted Cruz messing with our constitution???? No way in hell, thank you.
“Hate to be doom and gloom…”
Au contraire, you seem to enjoy disheartening the troops.
You are wrong!
XO, I’m noticing this as well, the students I teach are overwhelmingly anti-woke, anti-communist and hate what has happened to their virtual world of cyberspace. Interestingly, you can spot the progessives because they still wearing masks, even after the restrictions were lifted in the UK today, and they’re outnumbered approx 10-1.
Encouraging. Thank you
Sounds like John Kerry will be buying a new Yacht……Hey, John don’t try avoid the taxes this time….
I probably bought stuff that will be no good by the time I try to use it. Ketchup. Mustard. Frosted Mini-Wheats.
Lol
Us too, but I really wonder about the “ best used by” date. I know crackers and cereal get stale, but unopened condiments or canned goods, I wonder.
Cool, dark and dry extends such things considerably.
Don’t forget rodent and insect control.
do your own pest control is cheapest place for things to kill bugs free shipping/on line and free advice on type of bugs never buy from big box stores
I cleaned out my mom’s pantry when she passed and took most of the canned goods to the local food bank. A lot of it was past the best by date but the food bank personnel said they had a chart that showed how long past that date the various items were still ok.
We’ve got to find that chart.
Can goods are good for years except food containing tomatoes or sauce. The sell by date stores use has nothing to do with how long they are good for. It’s all safe as long as the cans are not dented.
I’ve had a conspiracy-of-one theory for years now that the manufacturers have been purposely pulling the sell-by dates back earlier and earlier on everything – gradually, gradually, boil the frog in the pot…
As with vetting carefully any candidate for R office to make sure he’s not a RINO, it’s incumbent upon us to know which things really go bad quickly (crackers are indeed a good example) and which really don’t.
What makes me sad about this is that many food bins won’t accept things beyond the dates that someone who really needed it probably could have used…
Tinned food can last 10 years if kept dry, free of dents and rust.
Do not follow the dates except on fresh items. Even milk can be used for pancakes and cakes.
Yep, some soured milk and a chilli pepper soaked overnight makes good yogurt starter, if you can get fresh whole milk
stale doesnt necessarily mean unedible
Stale bread makes toast, croutons, breading
French toast!
All food is labeled “Best By,” date and they are still good even months after that. Medicine has expiration dates and they will eventually lose their potency .
Most medicine is good for years past the expiration date. Antibiotics 90% potency after 20 years IIRC.
.
Most medicine expiration dates are also bogus. The military keeps huge supplies of drugs. It doesn’t keep throwing them out and buying new.
Ketchup and Mustard can last years. It contains vinegar which is an acid. It preserves it. Honey lasts decades too
I knew honey did, and I believe if it does go to sugar you just heat it right? I didn’t know about the vinegar preserving ketchup and mustard though. Thanks
Perfect. Thanks.
“Food Intelligence” is becoming essential. Rather than waiting for others to tell you what’s happening to food prices and availability, it’s best to start watching and researching so that you are not dependent on others. It will become critical for you to know where you can buy food locally and who the farmers/producers are for protein.
Of course each of these percentage price increases are based on the last total price increase. The double whammy of compounded interest.
Not to worry. The political elites will be just fine…
Don’t tell the Biden gang lied I thought they said inflation would only 6 or 7%.
STOLEN ELECTIONS HAVE HORRIBLE CONSEQUENCES.
Maxwell house coffee is already so expensive 😩 I buy Cafe Français and it’s $2.99-$3.99 per 7.6oz box. Bummer. Gonna go back to Cuban cafecito on the stove…
Found Maxwell House bogo at Publix $3.84
Re-grind.
Find chicory. It’ll stretch your coffee, and you’ll use less too. I use one less scoop if I buy coffee with chicory.
Thanks (not my President) Joe- you caused the price increases. Let’s go Brandon!
Just walk into the supermarket and load up your shopping cart with ketchup and whatever then just walk out the door. It seems to work just fine for the Democrats. No?
But, but inflation is only 6.9% I thought?/s
Has American ever had 25+% year over year inflation?
im waiting for the billboards and signs to start popping up across the country labeling this administration as the worst in American history.
Don’t forget core inflation rates do not include fuel or food. It is calculated based upon goods & services, minus food and fuel.
I tried to explain the deceptive reporting on the price increases to my teenager. He understood when I said its a compound interest problem not a simple interest problem. In reality, it’s worse.
I always look at prices and add our tax rate of 30%. It keeps things real…
I ate dinner at a nicer family-owned (not a chain) Italian restaurant a couple of weeks back. Entre prices were up from $18-21 to $26-31. Huge increase. Everything on the menu was up by a similar percentage.
Eating out is getting really expensive (for us). I can be pretty price savvy at the grocery store, so the wallet hasn’t noticed the price increases too terribly bad. But we used to go out to dinner regularly during the week, and that’s where we’re feeling it. We’ve cut eating out pretty significantly and eating at home more.
A lot of restaurants will be going out of business soon. People forced to eat at home will be the death knell for many.
People just are not going pay $20.00+ for a 16″ pepperoni pizza or $12.00 for a 6″ sub, for example. The only survivors, at this rate, will be the largest chains serving up the most poison.
I disagree, they will pay these prices for prepared food… I have a girl in my office, she’s 25 years old with a four-year-old, she and the child eat out every meal every day. This is someone making less than $30,000 a year….and She drives a brand new Toyota, her second brand new car in four years. I drive a 15-year-old Volvo with 250,000 miles on it. She has no idea how to cook a pot of rice or grits or even how to fry an egg. I have no idea how she affords her lifestyle.
Time to start investigating these companies.
Oh, the fauxministration will happily blame evil corporations when they gleefully push for price controls and collectivization.
For the last couple of days I tried to pick up Oscar Myer Beef hotdogs. To have on hand. They did not have any. My husband likes the Beef hotdogs. I just mentioned that I will be picking up the regular hotdogs tomorrow.
One of the items cited was weather driven crop losses. If that is in fact a real justification, then next year will be no better as fertilizer, weed control, and pesticide prices have increased substantially for the upcoming growing season.
Not to mention China quietly buying up vast portions of food production this past year.
Just wait if we enter the possible mini-Ice Age. With the under ocean volcanic activity providing warm oceans to blend with cold air. Growing seasons could shortened significantly.
I believe there’s a high likelihood of a mini-Ice Age due to the low sun spot activity. An ice age would be way more detrimental to humankind than a little warming. During the Roman warming period they grew grapes in England.
Tough to plant crops in soggy soil with late frosts.
I never understood the deep solar minimums until recently. Its not a 2C drop in average temperature that is significant. It is the kinky jet stream that flips weather from frost to drought to soggy. That kills the growing season regardless of how far north or south you are.
For those who have room and a few hundred dollars you can get a 10 x 12 greenhouse that will give you enough room to feed your family.
Iceagefarmer.com has great info. We are in a Grand Solar Minimum now, which is a mini ice age.
I passed up the Ham Hocks which are now sold in packs of 5 or 5 instead of 1 as it was done in the past. I was able to purchase two Ham Shanks. Cut one in 1/2 and made a small pot of Cabbage last week. Froze the rest of the Ham Hock after cutting in smaller pieces. The Ham Shanks were only $1.59. Great for many pot dishes.
I was looking for hocks for my black eyed peas for New Years Day dinner. The only thing I could find was neck bones…..I never have seen neck bones and did not find them to be worth a darn.
As I mentioned earlier above, any true Southerner loves their beans and rice…but the older ones, like my 85-year-old mother or any of the elders I grew up with, they love their neck bones and rice… I always thought it was gross…what I came to understand as I was growing up was that nothing was ever wasted. Every part of an animal got used.
I like to ride the wave, and buy Exxon and others that increase profits and dividends to counteract effects at the pump – money out of left pocket, into right pocket, net of Fed taxes…
We are stepping up contributions to our church Good Samaritan fund, local food bank and making more food from scratch – fired up our 1969 Betty Crocker and 1984 Rival Crock pot.
I’ll be shopping the gently used grocery section of the Dipsy Dumpster Supermarket
There are often a lot of hidden deals.
I always hit the clearance area first in my Kroger, too.
Sundance, thank you.
My Beautiful Wife and I had a 20 cubic foot freezer delivered a few days ago. It’s in the garage.
Yesterday and today, we stocked up with a shitload of frozen (from Wild Fork) steaks, chicken, some lamb, lots of fish. Today we bought veggies, etc., at Publix. (And a little bit of ice cream).
I don’t know how to calculate what we may actually need but I figure if the supply chain gets better (unlikely, as you say), then we’ll eventually eat it. Better safe than sorry. My aim was to enable us to eat decently for two or three months.
Thanks again, Sundance.
Don’t forget a generator and plenty of fuel in case of power failure! (and extension cords)! 😉
My wife says I have too much common sense.
I have 3 vehicles all with full tanks of unleaded =60 gallons on top of the Genny tank full of 2 1/2 gal gas and the 5 gallon gas can is full.
Bought a siphon kit and we now have a genny that can run for a month with all that fuel. Who woulda thought that our vehicles can be a gas source.
Don’t forget the extension cords. You can hot wire your furnace and run your freezers and fridge off your Genny.
Make sure you use a cheap but thick gauge extension cord when you cut off the female end to pigtail the furnace.
That is all.
The generator I want isn’t in stock until Feb. They went on sale today and sold out immediately, but then you have to hope there’s gas to fuel them! $30 a day to run a generator is a lot of money!
Make sure you also have a generator to use in case they shut down the grid. I had a whole house one installed and added another 500 gallon propane tank plus I have two gas generators and 50 gallons of gas. Always use StaBil stabilizer in the gas and it will last 12-24 months.
Mine is powered by natural gas. I hope that isn’t a problem in the future.
I get my meats at Wildfork. Great service! Did you see their thick cut pork chops? Gone up 30 cents since last week. My hubby loves them! https://wildforkfoods.com/collections/new-products/products/pork-ny-chops-family-size?algoliaHit=true&variant=39628759662658
You can store flour, nuts, sugar, oats and grains in the freezer too
When theres a glut of fruit I do the following:
Freeze blueberries
Roast stone fruit by cutting in half and removing the pip and in a roasting tray with a teeny bit of water. NO SUGAR.
Watch so it doesnt burn and turn so they sofen uniformingly. They will make a rich thick sauce as they roast-esp plums
I freeze portions of these
I use them for cakes, for crumbles, for dessert with ice cream, with yogurt for breakfast
For all those asking about eating canned food after the best by date do a search on the subject and you will find the answer. Generally speaking it is a quality issue not a safety issue. The food may lost its taste but is still edible. How it is stored affects it too, especially flout, rice, sugar, et. Wal-Mart sella Mylar bags and oxygen absorbers that extend dry products life if vacuum sealed.
Twilight Zone “Old Man In The Cave”
https://midnitereviews.com/2018/05/the-twilight-zone-episode-127-the-old-man-in-the-cave/
How long will your favorite food or beverage stay safe and tasty? What’s the best way to store it?
Get the answers for thousands of items!
https://www.stilltasty.com/
Thanks for the link.
This week my local supermarket has increased supply of various food items including some that have been in short supply or missing for weeks.
Is this just a normal ebb and flow of a distribution network of particular chain or has the Canadian vaccine mandate temporarily increased the available of certain foods in the USA that would otherwise have been bound for Canada? I’m keeping my eyes open for a reduction in supermarket Canadian goods like plastic wrap and hothouse tomatoes.
Sometimes I wonder whether items are held back to make consumers forget what they are priced at so when these products are available again at a much higher price they don’t notice the change as much?
John Kerry needs a new yacht.
Exxon will start shutting down a lot of its refineries soon as they switch over to the summer Velveeta blend.
They put Velveeta and Kraft American cheese in the refrigerated section but it actually does not need to be cold to stay stable. They do call it processed cheese.
“…6.6% [increase] on 12oz Velveeta Fresh Packs…”
I just came back from the grocery store, where I witnessed a 2# block of Velveeta (a “pasteurized, processed cheese food product”) priced at $7.99. 😲
Biden’s core constituency is gonna be mighty mad when they discover their cherished macaroni and cheese recipe costs them more than the Thanksgiving turkey.
Yep, he’s going to be hitting his target audience!
I’m probably one of the few that hates American cheese and Velveeta. I do make mac and cheese for my family if requested, but I don’t eat it.
Make a white sauce, add cheese (cheddar is good or colby jack) and a dab of mustard, mix with cooked pasta. Voila, tasty mac and cheese.
If I do make it I make it from scratch with cheddar cheese, but that’s not often. It would be a good thing to make though, if we can find macaroni.
When my son was little he came home and told me about the great mac and cheese the neighbors had made. Turns out it was the Kraft boxed mac with powdered cheese. Ha!
Add me to one of the few….American cheese and Velveeta are not real cheese in my opinion. My grandmama made homemade macaroni and cheese with cheddar so I guess I could lay blame for my disdain for those cheese imposters on her, lol! I don’t make Mac and cheese often but, when I do, only real cheese will do!
I don’t use velveeta for mac and cheese either. My mom never gave us processed cheese, just cheddar. So, I always use cheddar cheese for mac and cheese.
Cheese and jelly sandwiches or peanut butter with jelly were my lunch box staple.
A mom after my own heart. Just can’t do it.
$10.49 For a roll of Reynolds aluminum foil….which I didn’t buy.
Thank you Sundance you have done a great job prepping us for what is coming GOD BLESS you and yours be well my friend R.D
I am alone and I am
bewildered. And in the night one family camps in a ditch and another family pulls in
and the tents come out. The two men talk and the women and children
listen. Here is the node, Keep these two
squatting men apart; make them hate, fear, suspect , but here a cell is split
and from its splitting
the two men are not as lonely and perplexed as one. And from this first “we”
“I have a little food” plus “I have none.” If
from this problem the sum is “We have a little food,” the thing is on its way, the
movement has direction. Only a little multiplication now,The two men squatting in a ditch, the little fire, the side-meat stewing in a single
pot, the silent, stone-eyed women; behind, the children listening with their souls to
words their minds do not understand. The night draws down. The baby has a cold.
Here, take this blanket. It’s wool. It was my mother’s blanket—take it for the baby.
This is the beginning—from “I” to “we.”
Steinbeck
The transfer of wealth from small to large continues.
That is corporatism.
You need to feed. You can consume the basics of nutrition at home.
You do not need to eat food at a restaurant. You do not need to consume your calories at an increased price, to pay for enhanced preparation, or an enhanced environment (atmosphere?).
Middle-class, the American invention. The small difference between subsisting and existing, is America.
The great reset people simply want this distinction to end.
I warned last week, warning again. Keep your eyes open I think this will decimate the egg and chicken market. This new story, and in Israel wild birds are dropping dead! https://www.wral.com/dangerous-deadly-avian-flu-found-at-new-site-in-nc-as-poultry-farmers-remain-on-high-alert/20098591/
UK
The RSPB has called for an emergency shooting ban after an “unprecedented” outbreak of bird flu that has left wildfowl populations in “catastrophic decline”.
Migratory geese that overwinter on the Solway Firth, which stretches between Scotland and Cumbria, are being hardest hit, with a 38% decline in the Svalbard barnacle goose breeding population from winter last year. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/jan/24/rspb-calls-for-emergency-shooting-ban-during-bird-flu-outbreak
Israel has canceled the final month of its five month-long hunting season in a bid to contain a severe bird flu outbreak that’s killed as many as 8,000 wild cranes and sparked concerns about infection among threatened bird species.
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/animals/article/israel-cancels-hunting-season-to-combat-worst-blow-to-wildlife-in-its-history
Maybe, just maybe the old conspiracy about the contrails is coming true. How else do they spread the bird flu over such wide areas except with planes.
We raise chickens now.
We are purchasing coturnix quail for meat and eggs this weekend.
For family, friends, etc..
Hope the above helps.
Poor Brian Stelter. He will squeal and throw a tantrum when his mom tells him Mac ‘n cheese price has gone up and his servings are smaller.
What about taters ?
I’d like to push his face in a bowl of mac n cheese!
I think he’s more a potato knish guy!
3/4 of what’s in a grocery store isn’t even good for you.
If you wanted to make a statement, let that poor nutritional-quality stuff rot on the shelves.
I know, it would only make the prices of the healthy foods higher, as even more dollars chased even fewer items, but at least we would stop making ourselves sick in the process.
A few years back, I went very low carb and realized how bad grains and other processed foods are for me. As main food procurer and preparer, I eventually brought the family along for the low carb ride. But recently, getting us ready for the anticipated shortages and higher prices (thanks Sundance!) has meant that my pantry is full of processed foods. We won’t starve, but if things get really bad, we won’t be eating healthily either. I fully expect my family’s chronic carb related conditions to return: high bp, psoriasis, asthma, ADD, migraines, general aches and pains, etc. That’s why I loaded up on meds too.
I am KETO. Freezer is full of meat, butter and cheese. I buy fresh veg and freeze it. I have big gallon bags of frozen onions and peppers, and I do a stew mix of celery, carrot and onion etc I just throw handfuls of whatever into the pot with my meat and while its cooking I get up to other things. You can freeze eggs, and stacks of omelettes
Ours is too! It was full even before Sundance warned us. But I have many mouths to feed. And if this is a prolonged and/or severe crisis, the frozen food will only last so long. I needed to make sure we had plenty of shelf stable stuff in cans and wrappers too.
You can dehydrate frozen veggies and berries from frozen and store with food saver bags.
Same. I ordered a 4 lb. bag of dehydrated veggies to add to our stock. Hubby saw it come in and made a huge pot of beef vegetable soup. I was actually really surprised at how good the veggies were. It beats just eating green beans from a can all of the time if times get really bad.
(He didn’t use the entire bag-maybe about a cup of dehydrated veggies)
If you have to eat the carbs, add in Intermittent Fasting. Will stretch the food and help to avoid all the lifestyle diseases.
Yes! This is what I told my husband. I’m hoping intermittent fasting will keep the diseases away if we do get in a higher carb situation.
Boy, that Brandon sure has a magic wand and he’s surrounded by economic geniuses like Janet “Transitory Inflation” Yellen.
I feel fortunate to be raised by parents that grew up during the Great Depression and WW2. They taught me how to garden and can. It’s also why I can see that government officials and “representatives” that caused the current issue.
For those that want to understand the bigger picture. Matt Bracken wrote a short story called “What I saw at the Coup” around 2010. Go read it!
If you can’t equate what we witnessed over the past 4-5 years to Braken’s story; you need to ask for a return “with interest and inflation” for your college and university fees and expenses. If you got a grant or scholorship for your university expenses, shut the f up so you aren’t held accountable. You were granted liberty and freedom by “god” and natural law. Stupidity can’ be fixed.
I just looked it up online and read it. Chilling in its present day potential, to say the least.
The Biden weight loss diet program.
Procter & Gamble (Tide etc) prices going up starting Feb. 8th.
Just received a 22 cu ft freezer from Costco $800, and ordered a side of beef today, ready in March @$6/lb for ~200lb.
Feels more like I made an investment than a food purchase.
Trump won.
FJB.
.
Most of what Kraft-Heinz puts out are processed foods, condiments, drinks and stuff that is neither healthy nor necessary. We can live without it.