MAGAnomics – Adjusted Final 2nd Quarter GDP Reflects 3.1% Growth…

The latest 2nd quarter (April – June) GDP growth estimates have been revised to show an increase of 3.1% breaking the economic threshold of three percent President Trump established as a growth goal. Economists snarked it would never happen.

However, perhaps even more interesting for CTH readers who have been following MAGAnomic predictions, are the numbers inside the economy and the downstream activity within an economy focused on Main Street instead of Wall Street.

Here’s the presentation from Reuters.  I’ve pulled out some paragraphs that specifically relate to earlier discussions on the New Economic Dimension, and possible behavior.  It’s happening folks. What we earlier thought might happen is now happening.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The U.S. economy grew a bit faster than previously estimated in the second quarter, recording its quickest pace in more than two years, but the momentum probably slowed in the third quarter as Hurricanes Harvey and Irma temporarily curbed activity.

Gross domestic product increased at a 3.1 percent annual rate in the April-June period, the Commerce Department said in its third estimate on Thursday. The upward revision from the 3.0 percent rate of growth reported last month reflected a slightly faster pace of inventory investment.

Remember the predictions for spending patterns and the MAGAnomic impact on prices in a new economy?  Trump’s national economic policy disconnects the Fed from being able to influence inflation. Durable goods inventories climb, foreign manufacturers increase productivity, and prices remain low for approximately two years. Simultaneously consumable goods drop in price as Trump trade policy reverses the exfiltration of wealth.

Eventually economic growth, in conjunction with increased demand, starts pushing wages higher.  This interim phase leads to less spending on static durable goods and increased spending on lower priced consumable goods and services. Well…

[…]  Growth in consumer spending, which makes up more than two-thirds of the U.S. economy, was unrevised at a 3.3 percent rate in the second quarter as an increase in spending on services was offset by a downward revision to durable goods outlays. Consumer spending in the second quarter was the fastest in a year.

Amid robust consumer spending, businesses accumulated a bit more inventory than previously reported to meet the strong demand. Inventory investment added just over one-tenth of a percentage point to GDP growth in the second quarter. It was previously reported to have been neutral.

Remember the predictions for investment flows as Trump fiscal policy benefits Main Street instead of Wall Street?  Well…

[…]  Growth in business spending on equipment was unchanged at a rate of 8.8 percent, the fastest pace in nearly two years.

Investment on nonresidential structures was revised to show it increasing at a 7.0 percent pace, up from the previously reported 6.2 percent rate.

Both export and import growth were revised slightly lower. Trade contributed two-tenths of a percentage point to GDP growth last quarter.

Investment capital decisions modify behavior based on where the investment class thinks the best return is going to be.  We have pointed out that while global investors criticize President Trump, those same people are putting their money on USA Main Street.

The government also sharply revised down growth in corporate profits for the second quarter. Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments increased at a 0.1 percent rate instead of the previously reported 0.8 percent pace. (link)

♦The Modern Third Dimension in American Economics – HERE

♦The “Fed” Can’t Figure out the New Economics – HERE

♦The “Fed” is Powerless To Control Inflation – HERE

♦Proof “America-First” has disconnected Main Street from Wall Street – HERE

♦Treasury Secretary Mnuchin begins creating a Parallel Banking System – HERE

♦How Trump Economic Policy is Interacting With The Stock Market – HERE

♦How Multinationals have Exported U.S. Wealth – HERE

♦How 4 or 5% GDP Growth is Entirely NOT Difficult – HERE

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107 Responses to MAGAnomics – Adjusted Final 2nd Quarter GDP Reflects 3.1% Growth…

  1. Minnie says:

    Like a Boss!!


    Liked by 14 people

  2. ElGato says:

    “ … when somebody says, like the person you just mentioned who I’m not going to advertise for, that he’s going to bring all these jobs back, well how exactly are you going to do that? What are you going to do?”

    “There’s — there’s no answer to it,” Obama said.

    “He just says, ‘Well, I’m going to negotiate a better deal.’ Well, how — what — how exactly are you going to negotiate that? What magic wand do you have? And usually, the answer is he doesn’t have an answer,” he continued.

    Liked by 20 people

    • Minnie says:

      Best the former usurper in chief sit back, shut up and learn.

      He’s being schooled in short order.


      Liked by 8 people

    • chojun says:

      That has to have been the most galling display of fecklessness I’ve seen in a President of the United States – ever.

      Really it just proves that Obama was mostly just interested in effecting growth via Fed policy and pressing buttons/turning knobs in the Central Banking system and Wall St., rather than creating *real* growth via Main St.

      Trump’s strategy really is trickle down economics if I’ve ever seen it – give money to Main St. and it will trickle down to Wall Street. George H.W. Bush called this “Voodoo Economics” – which is apropos because the D.C. establishment really has no idea how the hell any of this works. For as we are discovering – it turns out the Kenesian Economics is nothing more than ‘trickle down’ economics itself – but the trickle starts with Wall Street and Washington D.C.

      Liked by 4 people

      • mimbler says:

        That’s a good way of looking at it. PDJT helps people create wealth and it trickles down.
        Dems print money and it trickles down. But printing money is just a tax on everyone as it reduces the value of the money you have. So they are taxing all of us and distributing it to their croneys and donors (like elon musk) and a tiny fragment trickles down.

        Liked by 3 people

      • TreeClimber says:

        So THAT’s Voodoo Economics! I’ve heard the term thrown around but never knew what it was.

        Liked by 1 person

  3. fleporeblog says:

    Folks our President is amazing! He is beginning to kill the gap between exports of goods versus imports of goods. As SD has pointed out, this alone could drive our GDP to the moon. Wait to see what these numbers look like when he renegotiated NAFTA, with China 🇨🇳, South Korea 🇰🇷 etc! Our President is singlehandedly driving our Economic Train 🚂!

    From the article linked above:

    The Census Bureau said Thursday the U.S. trade in goods deficit shrank by $62.9 billion in August, down $0.9 billion from $63.9 billion in July. Exports of goods for August were $128.9 billion, up roughly $0.3 billion from July, while imports were down $0.6 billion in August to $191.8 billion.

    The report will be a net positive for third quarter (3Q) gross domestic product (GDP), which comes on the same day the final reading of second quarter (2Q) GDP came in at a solid 3.1%.

    Liked by 12 people

  4. Gil says:

    I am very happy for the country as a whole. Fantastic! Here in CA, I would be happy to see this, but Jerry Brown raised gas and car taxes and they just hit. Gas prices have gone up in the past week or so by about 50 cents a gallon. Average prices I see are $3.15 per gallon. Grocery prices have gone up about 5-10% in the past 2 months. We are getting very squeezed, and like many others, cannot just pick up and leave.
    I am looking forward to the day the Trump train barrels through California.
    MAGA on treepers!

    Liked by 21 people

    • fleporeblog says:

      Gil regrettably states like CA and NY where I live will be doing more and more of these dumb games because they are so fixated in taking care of illegals. Regrettably many people can’t just pick up and leave. They know they have a captive audience!

      Liked by 7 people

    • angusmcgeef says:

      I hear you. The only answer I see is that the CA house of cards will eventually fall apart. Seems will get worse before it gets better.

      Liked by 5 people

    • TheWanderingStar says:

      What better way for Jerry and the Sandanistas in CA to subvert the tax relief being worked on in Washington. Jerry the Dim can’t have any relief reaching the populace lest they think PDJT was responsible for it.

      Liked by 4 people

    • Sayit2016 says:

      Tell me about it….Brown does not give a crap he knows he is gone in 2018. If we get idiot Newman we are toast. MAGA will work here !! I want the GOP to STOP saying California is a lost cause for Republicans. I want President Trump to come here and campaign… For President Trump, impossible is just the starting place”….

      Liked by 3 people

      • Minnie says:


        And we know he NEVER backs down to a challenge.


        Liked by 2 people

        • Sayit2016 says:

          THIS once was Reagan country…..sicking what libs have done to this beautiful state.

          Liked by 1 person

          • Grandma Covfefe says:

            I agree. Beautiful Reagan country.

            That would be scary if Gavin Newsom run for Governor.. He is riddled with scandals.And I’m tired of San Francisco people running California.
            Who would be the ideal Republican running for Governor? Have you heard anything? We stopped taking our local newspaper in 2015 :/

            Liked by 1 person

            • Gil says:

              Villaraigosa thinks hes a shoe in. But newsom thinks hes going to win , esp since he got that gun control initiative on the ballot last time, and it passed.


            • Sayit2016 says:

              I think that for me it would probably be COX as he said he is running… Newsom is an idiot and a cheater. “You cheat on your wife you will cheat the country”

              Cox, a Rancho Santa Fe venture capitalist, announced his gubernatorial bid in early March. He said he plans to jump-start his campaign with $1 million of his own money but said he has no plans to self-fund his bid to succeed Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown.

              Cox also is pushing a proposed ballot initiative to overhaul Sacramento by establishing a “neighborhood legislature,” which would add 12,000 “citizen legislators” elected in neighborhoods to the 80 Assembly members and 40 senators who currently make up the California Legislature. To pass, legislation would require approval from all of those representatives. This more-representative Legislature will help end the influence of money in Sacramento, he said.

              “This campaign is going to be about the neighborhood legislature,” he said, “to take our government back from the funders, the cronies and the corrupt.”


            • carrierh says:

              Grandma, apparently Travis Allen from down South. I have been trying to get a way to donate to him and asking others to support him. He seems to have a good background and supporting us.


      • carrierh says:

        Say, if get newsom, another stupid wealthy man, it will be worse. Rich dumber than dirt democrats only make things worse. However, I am trying to see how I can donate to Allen Travis as republican candidate.

        Liked by 1 person

    • carrierh says:

      Read a couple of days ago that he can’t raise the gas tax. Yep, we pay the highest taxes and get the cheapest service and battered infrastructure. Can hardly wait to get out this dictatorship.


      • Gil says:

        They all need the gray davis treatment and worse. With all the far far leftists in power, including the glut of reconquistas, I just dont know where we are headed.


  5. fleporeblog says:

    Folks don’t let the MSM say next week when the 3rd quarter GDP is announced that the 3.1% from the 2nd quarter was an anomaly. The two Hurricanes, especially Irma in Florida, devastated home sales. All other indices are showing that the Economic Train is long gone and rolling along beautifully.

    From the article linked above:

    The U.S. Census Bureau said new orders for manufactured durable goods increased $3.9 billion or 1.7% to $232.8 billion in August, higher than the 1.5% median forecast. This is the second straight month in which big gains in capital goods fueled what are unmistakably strong reports.

    Civilian aircraft orders bounced back strong surging by 45% in August, which followed a 71% decline and another surge of 129% in the prior two months.

    Excluding transportation, so-called core durable orders increased 0.2%. Excluding defense, new durable orders were up 2.2%. Transportation equipment, which has also been up two of the last three months, largely led and fueled the increase, gaining $3.6 billion or 4.9% to $77.4 billion.

    Shipments of manufactured durable goods in August, which have been up three of the last four months, gained $0.7 billion or 0.3% to $237.2 billion following a 0.1% increase in July. Machinery, which has been up nine of the last ten months, led the gain, rising $0.3 billion or 1.1% to $31.4 billion.

    Non-defense new orders for capital goods in August increased $3.2 billion or 4.7% to $71.0 billion.

    From the article linked above:

    The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2017 is 2.1 percent on September 27, down from 2.2 percent on September 19.

    The forecast of third-quarter real residential investment growth declined from -2.6 percent to -5.2 percent following housing market data releases from the National Association of Realtors on September 20

    Liked by 5 people

  6. Lester Smith says:

    Wha tvery day Americans need to realize is that rhinos and Democrats are hell bent to stop President Trump. Mueller is their weapon of revenge. Every day people need to stop their assault. Demand AG and FBI to stop this witch hunt. The country will fail if we the people idly standby. We know what’s goiñg on.

    Liked by 4 people

  7. Robert says:

    I love me some Trumponomics! May God bless you and keep you and your family safe Mr. President.
    With Love,
    From We the People, America

    Liked by 7 people

    • fleporeblog says:

      Beautifully said!!!!!!

      Liked by 2 people

      • Cindy says:

        Fleporeblog, Given the disheartening analysis yesterday of the GOPe tax reform bill that they are going to try to blow past us, reading these numbers today makes me realize that we are going to be okay no matter what. President Trump has got this.

        One thing I don’t understand is why did Ryan go on Hannity and act like he was going to support President Trump’s tax bill, and then at the same time present this other bill with his cronies with that disgusting look on his face.

        Sorry to go off topic.

        Liked by 6 people

        • We call him Lyan Ryan for a very good reason. He want to look good by saying the right thing all while planning to stab all of us American’s in the back. He is a shyster, a con man, a globalist, and a swamp creature of the worst kind imaginable just like Lucifer McInsane.

          Liked by 5 people

        • fleporeblog says:

          Cindy I listened to the 19 minutes and to be honest to them, they were talking the same exact language. However, we have to see what the final product looks like.

          Liked by 1 person

        • Grandma Covfefe says:

          Keep in mind, all House members have to be careful what and how they say things most of the time, meaning they will lie if needed, because they get reelected every two years. They figure people forget after 6 months, due to other political distractions. Not us.

          And now, thanks to this site and its archives and esp the Treepers reporting in what they hear, we will never forget what the Uni Party all have been doing for years. Uni Party’s political distractions doesn’t work for us anymore. Lyin’ Ryan hasn’t realize that. He also doesn’t know that his nose just got 10 feet longer and that is why Lyin’ Ryan just keeps on lyin’. We can never let our guard down at all–never. The Uni Party will always be fighting us, destroying us.

          Good News: God is on our side. We still have to do our part to watch and act as needed.
          Suspicious Cat is on guard at the castle keep-24/7.

          Stay the course


    • Minnie says:

      Excellent, Robert 👍


  8. magatrump says:

    Excellent!!! God bless President Trump!!!

    Liked by 2 people

  9. bolshevict says:

    Interesting how for 8 years, Obama would get a rosy set of numbers, only to be adjusted down later, when not so many were looking….

    Now, both 1st and 2nd quarters under Trump, we’ve had estimated GDP, followed by adjustments UP.

    Interesting, but not surprising.

    Liked by 6 people

  10. Apfelcobbler says:

    All the developed countries have been stuck at 2% growth indefinitely – and in the US, that’s with the “help” of low interest rates from the Fed. So anything north of 2% is gravy. Trump is bringing home that extra bacon!

    It does seem the markets (esp Asian) are getting a little nervous the last 2 weeks, with the exception of, ironically, South Korea (which is growing like gangbusters).

    Liked by 5 people

    • “Trump is bringing home that extra bacon!”
      Mmmmmmm Bacon!

      Liked by 4 people

    • bolshevict says:

      TWO bragging points for Trump, related:

      1. I saw a stat last week….US Federal gov’t SPENDING is only $200B above where we were last year, virtually all of it due to the rate increase the Fed has already initiated. Since almost the entire Federal budget is automatically set to grow by 3-6% per year, Trump is really working the margins for savings…..

      2. The fear you’d have with a heating economy and low rates is that you’d have inflation….but we haven’t seen much if at all. Much of this “Unleash business and avoid inflation” strategy seems to be a result of Carl Icahn’s influence on Trump…

      Three main areas of cost reductions Trump has indicated would help address inflation:

      A. Trump’s plan to unleash energy production, drive down energy prices: create jobs, give Americans more $$ to spend, and lower private sector cost that is in virtually every industry. Underway….
      B. Trump’s plan to save private sector costs by reducing red tape/compliance/reporting/red tape etc….Underway….
      C. Trump’s call for COMPETITIVE US corporate tax rates…Just initiated….

      Trump is not getting the proper credit for having an integrated economic plan or for executing so much of it or for the success it is having.

      I’d like to see Trump issue a few Tweets that say “See, I told you so…” and maybe, after exploding a few Liberal heads, we could get some discussion of Trump economic policy in prime-time. Despite the Left’s attempts to smear him for his economic plans, the numbers and trends are so good it would benefit him with the public.

      Liked by 5 people

  11. thesavvyinvester says:

    And we still don’t have…

    * Obamacare gone, some say that is a full 1% out of GDP
    * Dodd-Frank parallel Track not kicked in yet, again some say that took 1% out of GDP.
    * Reforms to State and Federal Roads via Ex-Order I heard will be worth .5% in GDP.
    * We are not also talking about the winds in our sales from of Fracking, If we ever fast track the 4000 Drugs ( imagine if one is a game changer ) I don’t have a GDP % for them.
    * We don’t have the tax simplification / repatriation of Off-Shore Capital and added to the mix, I don’t have a number for that either, especially w/ Corp / small biz down to 20 to 25% and a 5 yr window of 100% expensing of capital equipment.
    * And, what if we are on the verge of an electric car revolution with 1.5 to X 5X batteries being experimented with that could be a paradigm changer. Imagine that compared to the computer revolution in the 90’s w/ PC’s, Windows, and Mac’s becoming home and work throughput platforms.

    With all that said, IMHO Larry Kudlow is not nuts saying we could be @ 6% GDP. What the heck last year ( unless my source is incorrect ) with it’s 12.5% Corp Tax grew @ 7.2% GDP.

    Can you imagine if we grew @ 6 to 7.2% GDP? Think about Treepers!

    Liked by 9 people

  12. Blacksmith8 says:


    Liked by 4 people

  13. Brant says:

    Folks from the other side love to cluck (make sure correct spelling there) about Reagan trickle down not working. It occurred to me that near the same time as that getting robust, NAFTA and other wunnerful trade agreements kicked in. Can someone do a parallel of those two things? Trickle down efforts and trade deals? I would think the start of the offshoring of jobs would negatively impact any gains/attempted gains from trickle down. Was it planned so not to let trickle down work?

    Liked by 3 people

  14. sharpshorts says:

    Real economics is based on simple Capitalism, mutual benefit for participating players which creates a whole that is greater than the sum of its parts…Relatively unbridled Capitalism self corrects excesses and directs desirable growth to where it is most effective and needed. It has naturally worked this way ever since mankind walked upright.

    No zero-sum rationals to placate special interests are required.

    This great President and his economic team know all this. PDT is releasing the Capitalist Hounds!

    Liked by 5 people

  15. Does anyone remember when Trump was speaking the truth and saying the market was a huge bubble waiting to pop and the BEA and DOL stats on growth and employment are fake? Like less than a year ago?

    I’m unable to wrap my head around why we are required to cheerlead this nonsense propaganda that is often the primary justification used as to why we don’t need reforms and justification to support outrageous accumulations of wealth and power by the same status quo players that fought against Trumps agenda and continue to do so to this very day.

    From before Trump got in office, i said that if he was to win we wanted to see an economic downturn as early as possible because it would be the necessary ingredient to get his agenda pushed through congress. Now we are in a position where Trump is likely to get a very watered down tax reform bill through congress and then before mid terms the money changers are likely to pull the rug out from the so called ‘market’ and have their presstitutes blame Trump. I know must of us will still support Trump because we know the truth but to those that don’t understand how the system really works they will buy into the media’s narrative. At least that is my biggest fear in the lead up to mid terms.

    Liked by 3 people

  16. georgiafl says:

    IF THE SWAMP SLUGS would get the TAX BILL done and repeal Obamacare (remove its stranglehold on business and individuals – and – return Medicaid back to the States) – the NUMBERS WOULD TAKE OFF!!!!!!

    Liked by 2 people

  17. MDiceman says:

    Headline from today’s Baltimore Sun: Baltimore coal terminals seeing rebound in U.S. exports
    Not surprising, no credit given to President Trump.

    Liked by 5 people

  18. Tom22ndState says:

    Complicated business folks

    Liked by 4 people

  19. Michael says:

    I see new construction everywhere I look! This is the exact opposite of the osama years.
    Help wanted signs on construction trucks aren’t even remarkable the last few months.
    Help wanted signs on shops are common.
    (of course this means we need more illegal workers /s

    Now if those wanting gvt assistance once again were required to prove they are looking for work….. and the tax burden was such low income workers could actually support themselves what amazing things we would (will) see!

    Liked by 1 person

  20. mostlyogauge says:

    This is fabulous! Obama’s numbers adjusted down, Trump’s numbers adjusted up! Why am I not surprised?? Since the dot com bubble burst starting in 2000, steel industry slumps along the way (I’m an IT guy that worked in the steel industry for many years, but am now underemployed), the housing bubble burst in 2007-2008, then 8 years of the golfer in chief, I never thought I’d see the day this economic rebirth would happen, in my lifetime. I pray every day for our President, his family, his team, our country, our military, our first responders, our citizens, and our flag. I am all in for this!!

    Liked by 3 people

  21. And now… Breaking Wind News!
    The dam above the City of Libtardia that has been holding back America’s Greatness is showing signs of stress. A break of this MAGAtude could actually bring about the CHANGE so many Americans were asking for 9 years ago. Some enthusiastic citizens are comparing this to the holding tank above the toilet that just might allow the SWAMP water to move on down the DRAIN.
    Back to you Jake.

    Liked by 7 people

  22. andi lee says:

    Hearing today, Chairman Issa, on the CRA, statutary laws, rules, regulations & guidelines, constitutionality = rollback (POTUS). 4 witness testimony (1 hostile anti-Trump Professor! 😁)

    Interesting to note, Rep. Buck to Professor, “… the seizure of 1/7th of our economy under the Obamacare Act…” @1:17:30. (Video begins @12:32)


  23. Sharon says:

    Well then, in light of what the Rosenberg nitwit said yesterday,

    “Rosenberg claims that because illegal aliens represent 5% of the population, and because the U.S. GDP is around $20 trillion – the economic value of illegal aliens is $1 trillion.’…

    ….does that not mean that for every $1 trillion increase in the national GDP we have to let in another X# of illegals/or portions thereof?

    I suppose we do, in order to be fair and stay true to the historic values of our nation. /sarc

    Liked by 2 people

  24. trialbytruth says:

    Sundance come on you didn’t think it was going to happen you knew it would. You’ve had this since hello.

    Liked by 2 people

  25. ibobland08 says:

    Are we still expecting a drop in used car prices. I am going to be buying in a few months.


  26. citizen817 says:

    Liked by 3 people

    • decisiontime16 says:

      Gary Cohn briefs press on new tax plan.

      Liked by 2 people

      • carrierh says:

        decision, I tuned in and listened to him. Fantastic explanation but the press so dumbed down down they had to ask time and again because it was too simple for them to understand. They said well you are going to lose this position and what will you do? He said there are lots of opportunities in the WH. Beautiful smile too.


  27. Hollywood Bungalow says:

    This growth that we’re seeing is consistent with new hiring practices that I’ve observed. Starting this spring and continuing now, I’ve seen a new, younger workforce emerge at places where I shop and dine. Notably, young blacks are taking these positions.

    This is wonderful because I believe these entry-level jobs have been made available because others who started at these entry-level jobs are now moving up the mobility ladder. Now, new workers are taking these spots and perhaps some of them didn’t have a job before.

    This suggests to me that people are moving up the ladder for better, higher-paying jobs. And with more take-home pay, they have more to spend which helps spur the economy.

    It’s been a neat thing to see this year and I look for it to continue.


  28. paulraven1 says:

    “the economy grew a BIT faster…” “Momentum PROBABLY slowed because of hurricanes…”

    Ha, ha, ha. I’m surprised they didn’t use “unexpectedly.” Can you imagine what they’d be saying if this was under Obama? “Economy exploded at an unprecedented 3.1%” … “one economist said it would be hard to overestimate the potential numbers if not for the hurricanes…”

    Liked by 2 people

  29. Athena the Warrior says:

    All done without repeal and replace, tax reform in place, the walking dead Russian zombies still shuffling around. Imagine where we’d be if the Congress critters worked as hard for Americans as President Trump does?

    Liked by 1 person

  30. rayvandune says:

    This is not about Trump per se. It is about the economic powerhouse that actualizes Trump – the American majority conservative, who as a population is the hardest-working, wealthiest, smartest, and most generous and welcoming on Earth. They are not Trump’s base – he is THEIR base, so if you know what is best for you, get out of his way!


  31. Charlotte says:

    So heres this article:Why Trump let Britain down-unjustified US trariffs on the Bombardier’s C-Series short-haul passenger jet

    I think Trump wants some ind of concession from the UK
    He is a wheeler-dealer and knows how to do this

    Maybe its something to do with the fact that the UK listened to Obama and allowed the GCHQ and Steele to spy on him

    Many articles said the spying wasnt done by US intel but by UK intel

    I think he is punishing them for this
    Judge Nap said the Obama Admin Used British GCHQ To Spy On Trump During Campaign


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