Three Strikes and You’re Out !

Hey, wait a minute… Déjà vu all over again?  LOL – Didn’t we write that exact headline a month ago?  Why, yes, yes actually we did.  And yes, actually it was written for the exact same reason.  – SEE HERE

The exact same pollster “Patrick Murray“, with the exact same polling outfit “Monmouth University”, who conducted the only previous poll to showcase a “surging Ben Carson”, at the exact same time frame (week before debate), who did this twice, has published another, well, almost identical poll, this time for Ted Cruz. Strong in the fail is Mr. Murray.

Now, to fully understand how agenda-driven this pollster is you have to consider: Not only did Mr. Murray present the ONLY poll showing Ben Carson surging in South Carolina, but he’s also the ONLY pollster to previously show Ben Carson with a massive lead in Iowa.

But wait, it gets better.  Murray also presented each of his prior agenda-polls, at the exact same moment in time:  One week before GOP debate #2, and one week before GOP debate #3.  Noticing a pattern?

• Murray Poll one = Iowa for Carson (Striiiike one)
• Murray Poll two = South Carolina for Carson (Stttiiiirike two)
• Murray Poll three = Iowa for Cruz (Strike Three)

“yer, outta here like a fat kid in dodge ball”.

This was soooo entirely predictable that a few days ago I told a good cyber friend of the Tree House, who is a great advocate for Ted Cruz, to expect Mr. Murray to work the media narrative on behalf of the political machine.  Yes, we told him to specifically expect this poll today, specifically from this pollster, and specifically with this outcome. (more…)

A new CNN/ORC Poll today (full pdf below) shows Donald Trump has taken a commanding lead over the rest of the field.  An interesting aspect to this poll, it is almost identical to a November 19th Reuters/IPSOS result that CNN and other media sought to dispute at the time.  At the time we called it a “Tripwire Poll”  in part because it showed Cruz and Rubio unelectable with independent minded voters; and the conformational results today reflect how prescient that declaration actually was:

The poll reflects Trump’s dominance over the rest of the field on the issues voters deem most important to them. He holds massive margins over other Republicans as the candidate most trusted to handle the economy (at 55%, Trump stands 46 percentage points over his nearest competitor), the federal budget (51%, up 41 points), illegal immigration (48%, up 34 points), ISIS (46%, up 31 points) and foreign policy (30%, up 13 points).

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…The Republican nominee for president will be that candidate who best learns that there is no future in apologizing…

~ Jack Cashill (June 10, 2015)

A new PPP Poll (full pdf here) from New Hampshire shows the influence of structural GOPe machinations -via corporate media- onto an electorate.  Carson – dropping, Rubio – static, Cruz – lifted, Kasich – collapsing, and Christie – surging:

(Via PPP Analysis ) – PPP’s new New Hampshire poll finds Donald Trump’s position in the state pretty much unchanged compared to six weeks ago. He leads with 27% to 13% for Ted Cruz, 11% for Marco Rubio, 10% for Chris Christie, 9% for Ben Carson, 8% for John Kasich, 6% for Carly Fiorina, 5% for Jeb Bush, and 4% for Rand Paul. Rounding out the field in the 1% or less club are Mike Huckabee, George Pataki, and Rick Santorum each at 1%, and Lindsey Graham and Jim Gilmore with less than 1%. (more…)

The latest Ipsos/Reuters Poll (full pdf below) for December was released today.  This poll has been consistent over time but unfortunately the registered republican sample size is small.  Donald Trump continues to lead the entire field; but there’s an interesting hiccup noted in the “Republican Voter” alone filter – Jeb Bush has better numbers.

Via Ipsos/Reuters – […] Donald Trump continues to lead among Republicans at 36% nationwide among all self-identified Republicans.

• Ben Carson has re-established position in second with 17% of Republicans.
• Jeb Bush has also climbed slightly, now tied with Ted Cruz in third.

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After weeks of relentless attacks by media and GOPe rivals, not only does Donald Trump remain at the top of the field but he extends his lead to ten points over the next closest competitor.  That which doesn’t eliminate him, only makes him stronger.  Meanwhile, Dr. Ben Carson has dropped from 23% to 16%

A new poll from Quinnipiac (full pdf below) shows Rubio, Cruz and Carson now deadlocked in a race for Second Place:

Quinnipiac – Eleven months before the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump is the undisputed leader in the Republican field, as Dr. Ben Carson, in a virtual tie with Trump four weeks ago, drops to third place, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. (more…)

What is discussed in this brief video presentation is exactly what we previously outlined.   The Paris Global Climate Change conference and any agreement stemming from within them, find passage into U.S. policy through the TPP deal.

Any climate change treaty that President Obama might sign up to will have approval not through congress, but through the binding international process contained within the Trans-Pacific Trade Deal.

U.S. Chamber of Commerce Tom Donohue spent over $20 million, in just the Senate, in a six month period, to get TPA -the vehicle for TPP passage- through the docket – * facilitated by Ted Cruz/Paul Ryan and the glorious “fast-track” rider within TPA (trade promotion authority) Cruz constructed for him.

Check out Mitch McConnell’s inbound contributions here. How much do you think Wall Street will send Tom Donohue to keep TPP alive and get it passed ?

$50 million ? $500 million ?  A billion?

Trillions are at stake on that single agenda item alone. 40% of the entire globe’s production of goods is involved, and if China and Russia join (which looks likely) then the numbers increase exponentially. (more…)

Here’s an odd riddle, I couldn’t answer – perhaps you can.  Some might find worthy of discussion.

What exactly was the purpose behind all of those inquiries into President Obama’s Birth Certificate?  Was it, as many have presented and thousands have bantered back and forth, to finally find out if President Obama was born in Kenya instead of Hawaii.

Was that the goal?

If that was the goal, and if it was discovered that President Obama was born in Kenya to a Kenyan father and American mother (Ann Dunham), as best we can determine from the thousands of opinions on the matter, and according to those most heavily invested in this expedition, President Obama would have been ineligible for Presidential office.

So, according to those who understand these issues, if the birth certificate showed Obama born outside of the U.S. he would have been ineligible. (more…)

We have previously outlined the approach the Karl Rove/Lee Atwater GOPe types will use to take down Ted Cruz.  –HERE–  Cruz supporters are intensely committed to avoid vetting him and this presents a serious issue because when you don’t confront the problems you set yourself up for severe failure.

The approach of “proselytizing as an electoral strategy” will bring money from intensely religious followers – but can never win a broad based election.  The following article from 2013 highlights how the GOPe will bring down Cruz as soon as his usefulness is expired.

[2013 – TEXAS] In a sermon last year at an Irving, Texas, megachurch that helped elect Ted Cruz to the United States Senate, Cruz’ father Rafael Cruz indicated that his son was among the evangelical Christians who are anointed as “kings” to take control of all sectors of society, an agenda commonly referred to as the “Seven Mountains” mandate, and “bring the spoils of war to the priests”, thus helping to bring about a prophesied “great transfer of wealth”, from the “wicked” to righteous gentile believers.

[video, below: excerpts from Rafael Cruz sermon, and from the July 2013 anointing of Texas U.S. Senator Ted Cruz] (more…)

Donald Trump 60% -vs- Ben Carson 40%
Donald Trump 57% -vs- Marco Rubio 43%
Donald Trump 57% -vs- Ted Cruz 43%

A new YouGov/Economist Poll (full pdf below) of 2000 national respondents shows Donald Trump with a commanding lead, and beating all GOP rivals in head-to-head matchups.

For the first time Pollsters asked the respondents head-to-head comparisons between Trump, Carson, Cruz and Rubio.   The results eliminate yet another promoted myth:

Head-To-Head […]  The New York billionaire would defeat Rubio and Cruz by the same margin of 57 percent to 43 percent, and would defeat Carson by a margin of 60 to 40 percent, according to the poll. 

The finding is a blow to the hopes of some Republican elites who argue that Trump’s stubborn lead in the race will dissipate once the field winnows and a more mainstream alternative rises (read more).

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In a sermon [2013] at an Irving, Texas, megachurch that helped elect Ted Cruz to the United States Senate, Cruz’ father Rafael Cruz indicated that his son was among the evangelical Christians who are anointed as “kings” to take control of all sectors of society, an agenda commonly referred to as the “Seven Mountains” mandate, and “bring the spoils of war to the priests”, thus helping to bring about a prophesied “great transfer of wealth“, from the “wicked” to righteous gentile believers. (link)

(Via Quinnipiac) Donald Trump gets 25 percent of Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants in a too-close-to- call race with Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas who is at 23 percent, double his support from four weeks ago, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Dr. Ben Carson has 18 percent, with Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 13 percent.

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