New Poll of Iowa Caucus-goers from Monmouth University (full pdf below). This Iowa polling provides the media fuel to continue pulling down frontrunner Donald Trump. Similar to Op-Hummingbird, with only a few days before the next debate – the media narrative will be to weaken/remove Trump’s support and create a self fulfilling prophecy.
The anti-Trump media/clinton alignment want Donald Trump to present as angry and carrying a bruised ego in all appearances. This helps their definitions of him…
West Long Branch, NJ – The Monmouth University Poll of likely Iowa Republican caucusgoers finds Ben Carson has taken a double digit lead over Donald Trump. The outsider candidates remain on top amid a prevailing attitude that the national Republican Party has not served its voters well.
When Iowa Republicans are asked who they would support in their local caucus, Ben Carson (32%) tops the list, with Donald Trump (18%) holding second.
In Monmouth’s last poll of GOP caucusgoers in August, the two were tied for the top spot at 23% each. The next tier of candidates includes Ted Cruz (10%), Marco Rubio (10%), and Jeb Bush (8%). They are followed by Carly Fiorina (5%), Rand Paul (3%), Mike Huckabee (2%), Bobby Jindal (2%), and John Kasich (2%).
None of the other five candidates tested topped 1%. Compared to two months ago, Carson is up by 9 points and Rubio is up by 6 points.
Trump has dropped by 5 points and Fiorina’s share of the vote has also decreased by 5 points. Carson’s support has gone up among all ideological groups. He now leads Trump by 9 points (31%-22%) among very conservative voters compared to a single point two months ago and by 21 points (39%-18%) among somewhat conservative voters compared to 2 points in August. He also has a 17 point (29%-12%) lead among moderate to liberal voters, which is a reversal since the prior poll when he trailed Trump by 9 points (17%-26%) among this group.
Carson maintains a 36% to 18% lead over Trump among evangelical Christian voters, which is somewhat larger than the 29% to 23% advantage he held two months ago.
However, Carson [now] also holds a 28% to 19% edge among non-evangelicals, reversing an 18% to 24% deficit in August. Carson’s 34% to 17% lead over Trump among women is similar to his 30% to 19% advantage two months ago. He now leads among men as well, 31% to 20%, which wipes out the 17% to 27% deficit he had to Trump in the prior poll. (read more)
METHODOLOGY – The Monmouth University Poll was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from October 22 to 25, 2015 with a statewide random sample of 400 Iowa voters drawn from a list of registered Republican voters who voted in at least one of the last two state primary elections and indicate they are likely to attend the Republican presidential caucuses in February 2016. This includes 262 contacted by a live interviewer on a landline telephone and 138 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone, in English.
Remember in 2015/16:
…Remove Donald Trump and Ben Carson becomes Herman Cain, Ted Cruz becomes Newt Gingrich and Bush/Rubio become Mitt Romney 2012.