A recent article in Politico quoting several cabinet members of Prime Minister Mark Carney reflects a particular reality of the problem their economy will face in 2026.
It appears that Canadian government officials have finally recognized the Trump administration plans to dissolve the USMCA or what Canada calls CUSMA next year. With that reality they have a big problem.
Mexico has been working throughout the year to initiate economic policies in alignment with the United States. However, structurally and politically this is an alignment that is impossible for Canada to do. Like many contracting European countries, the economic policies of Canada are centered around their climate change agenda and green energy goals.
For the past few decades Canada bought into the carbon scam and enacted climate change goals into law for carbon pricing, alternative energy production, industry and manufacturing costs. These mechanisms to control “climate change” are nuts in the big picture.
In order for Canada to position their economy to be in alignment with the rest of North America (USA and Mexico), Carney would have to reverse years of legislated rules and regulations. That is not going to happen, and Canada will always be at a disadvantage because of it.
(Politico) – […] It’s a moment of existential crisis for Canada, a senior Carney government official told POLITICO. Waiting out the Trump administration isn’t an option, the official said, arguing that what’s happening in the United States reflects a generational shift — not a temporary disruption — and that returning to a policy of closer integration with America would be foolish. (more)
With three quarters of their economic production tied to exports into the USA, and with the USMCA likely to be dissolved in favor of a bilateral trade agreement, Canada now has to find other markets for its products or lower all the trade barriers currently in place. Prime Minister Mark Carney is trying to find alternative markets.
Carney has looked toward Europe, but that is a closed trade bloc difficult to engage. Carney has looked to southeast Asia, but that is an export driven market with limited capabilities to import costly western products. Carney has looked to Japan and China, but on scale there’s little to be gained.
The question is, where can Canada send its products if not to the USA. The brutally honest answer is nowhere. There just isn’t any other market, or combination of markets, who could replace the consumer base of the USA. Canada is refusing to admit this reality and 2026 is going to be a harsh awakening for the Canadian people.
The USMCA is currently facilitating around 60% of Canada’s exports into the United States. Cancel that agreement and suddenly 100% of all Canada-U.S. trade is on the table for negotiations.
U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and President Trump are going to put the squeeze on Mark Carney and every province within Canada as a consequence of their intransigence.
[…] Two-thirds of Canada’s economy is powered by trade, and roughly three-quarters of its exports flow to the U.S. It’s a C$1.3 trillion annual relationship that was celebrated on both sides of the border in good times but has become a source of leverage for America, especially with the Trump administration expected to continue squeezing Canadian industries with tariffs.
Europe is Carney’s top priority for deepening existing free-trade relationships. But closer integration with the European Union is a long game, and Canada has no interest in joining the bloc, according to the official, pushing Ottawa to explore other regions.
“Trade diversification is nothing new. People have talked about this for decades,” Sidhu said. “The difference here is other countries’ willingness to look at Canada as a reliable, stable trading partner,” he added, saying Trump has had a bigger influence on Ottawa’s strategy than any difference in trade philosophy between Justin Trudeau and Mark Carney.
Canada’s governing Liberal Party is under new management, forcing a cohort of Trudeau-era lawmakers to quickly learn the language of economics to make an impression with the new boss. Social issues have been demoted — as have brown shoes.
Cabinet ministers are competing to establish themselves as closers to meet Carney’s high expectations. The result is overlapping mandates that sow confusion over who owns what.
Canada-U.S. Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc leads a new portfolio created under Carney, who sliced out North America from the international trade minister’s purview. (read more)
Rumor has it that Mark Carney and his green-as-split-peas, cow-flatulent-free, Ottowha’ahmdoin’ government have issued biodegradable parachutes to the Canadian Airborne Regiment. Fortunately, the newest fleet of wind-powered aircraft can’t seem to get those paratroopers off the ground, so it’s all good!
Pretty sad
<chuckles>
They keep dumping money into Ukraine with noting coming back. At least for the citizens. They’ve given Russia the cold shoulder, so Libia, Sudan, Somali seem like fair game for them.
so in other words, they are EU lite.
I resent that countries have been taking full advantage of the US for a long time. That said, I bear no ill will toward the Canadian people and I hope their leadership is able to sort things out and soon. We cannot afford to have another unstable third world country on our border; one is enough.
they can always replace their “leaders” or withdraw consent if they are unable to.
F ’em!
The good Canadian people kinda remind me of the good FBI “rank and file”. There must be a few of them, but I fear that the number is smaller than we think.
Tough cookies for them ! They choose what they got! I have a very good ( former Canadian ) client who tells that so many of her old friends have been instilled with TDS that when this brick hits them in the face they will be praying for mean tweets ! I have more I’ll will for the unitary here but no pity for them up there except the truckers and farmers that truly wan to be free .
And if the western Provinces say adios to Carney and friends, he certainly won’t have to worry about those Provinces fouling his carbon footprint rating with the EU……
trump could troll the heck outta them by appointing an ambassador to alberta and saskatchewan.
and start sanctioning the people who have endorsed and allow the doctor assisted suicide, taking away gun rights, etc.
Back in college (in the 70’s), I found an article predicting that the USA would annex both Canada and Mexico by the end of the century. The populations of both countries would recognize the ineptitude (Canada) and corruption (Mexico) of their governments and desire union. Wish I could resurrect the article / author – concept seems all the more relevant today.
Except maybe for the fact that the U.S. government is at least as corrupt as the Mexican government and probably more so.
A little thing that far too many people like to ignore.
You triggered an association. 😉
Robert Heinlein mentions in his books “the Chinese half” of Australia.
Yes and then parents will be telling their children “Eat it all! There are children in Canada who….”
Is Canada looking for a trade for a baseball player?
(imho, unlikely, they have a real good team)
Both teams were pressed to their potential in the World Series (canada and u.s. )…
Either team could have won game 7.
No doubt that Canada would have marketed a W S win vs a US team, to gain trades some where.
but…
video:
2025 LA Dodgers vs Toronto Bluejays, Game 7, extra innings,
The U.S. is winning in world and domestic situations…
…but, the losers get real, real hungry for wins…
( and complacency can become an unwanted new problem, by the winners and those around them,
and that notion between the ears needs to be shunned…to sustain a competitive and winning edge…)
Whether it be sports, economics, equally applied laws, production, culture, academics etc.
The winning needs to be sustained and grow…
( because, the competition also wants to win and some have no law etc. limits on what they will miss do, to gain a perceived win…. see 2020 election…).
We can do better.
We have done better. It is proven.
Love thy neighbors
We do love our neighbors; we just cannot afford to bankroll them anymore.
I agree! If you mean a lot of the people and not the governments!
Pending, our Judiciary renders the opinion that what democrats/globalist RINOs have built, it’s illegal to destroy.
They hate us now. Canadians on X were gleeful when they thought Carney was sticking it to us. And Pierre Poilievre hahahahahahahaha. They screwed up eh?
Florida, where I live had many winter Canadians. Most put their places up for sale after the 2024 election and it was all because of President Trump; the hate was vocal and often. A few returned this fall for the winter but more are putting up 4 sale signs. I liked many of them and wish them luck – they’re going to need it…
TDS is a legitimate global pandemic.
Driven by liberal media
TDS is the result of state of the art mass brainwashing by the mainstream media.
I don’t understand how it works, but it does work very well on many people.
Most liberals would be hard pressed to name even a handful of truthful specifics as to why they hate PDJT. TDS is irrational.
Just imagine being so stupid to sell valuable land in Fl because you hate the President that you will never be ruled by. Canadians have been ruled by retards with hurt feelings. A sad story for such great people.
Ummm… the great people wrote their story.
That’s not the whole story with Canadians selling their vacation homes. Many of those homes were bought years ago for $50,000 plus low insurance and taxes. It’s costing a fortune now to maintain a vacation house in Florida, and there are new restrictions on their Canadian health care while out of country. They are happy to have the excuse of Trump’s so-called insults to bow out of the corner they painted themselves in by buying homes in the US. I have lots of Canadian family who used to come down every year, and they all hated every single American president since John Kennedy. They resent America’s dominance in their little economy, so naturally they dislike it when the president reminds them of it.
Good. Foreigners should not be allowed to own US property.
marxists are gonna marx.
pierre delecto had a chance to do the right thing and maybe win… and instead he chose asshattery and lost.
How did the leaders of Canada get so sensitive of an insult that was funny? The gift Trump has is, he’s never insulted by an insult. Canadians leaders act like old teachers shouting at the kids on the playground. He really only insults weaklings
Sorry Canada but you F’d and now you are F’ing O!
As the water rises over the gunwales they will be saying “but we are culturally superior and everyone likes us”
Don’t plug the holes work the bilge pumps harder! ARGHHHH
Canada had a reliable trading partner…the US.
But Carney forgot Rule Numero Uno ( if he ever knew it)….
Don’t p*** off your best (and it seems virtually your only) customer.
My sympathies for Canadian friends.
If they would simply become a US state, problem solved.
Don’t want them as a state because they vote woke. Would love a commonwealth or territory.
I was irritated with Trump when he was first talking about the 51 st State and buying Greenland. Not laughing now.
We don’t need a CCP satellite on our border.
Get ready for the drugs, trafficking, and black markets coming into the USA when things with our northern neighbor start to go south.
Canada should NEVER become a State or Territory of America! Canada is a failed clolony, incapable of self-rule and given over to socialism!
Perhaps Alberta but no more than that.
I know. I fled the place forty years ago!
If Canada is a failed colony, what does that make England?
Canada’s predicament is just so sad. I’m sure PT will help take care of it for them.
“Cabinet ministers are competing to establish themselves as closers to meet Carney’s high expectations.”
In other words, the smart ones understand they get the job by telling Carney what he wants to hear rather than what’s about to happen.
Yep, elbows up while they’re kissing his azz
“So, for the amount of money that we’re investing in our industries here, we want to make sure we build up some of that industrial capacity in the defense sector and dual use in aerospace and defense.”
That sounds to me like they’re doubling down on centralized corruption in the name of improving economic security.
IOW, doing ever more Socialist politics while talking ever harder about free-market economics.
IOW, acting like Mark Carney.
the big question is what do saskatchewan, alberta and manitoba decide to do.. if i was them id petition to join the us or become their own country
Perhaps (if possible) to create their own nation to trade with the US, who might also include military assistance?
There are certainly plenty of government systems to choose from for their benefit.
Saskatchewan and Alberta yes, though they would be most viable joining to form a standalone country, this would in fact be an economic powerhouse and a reliably conservative country as well as a strong US ally. However forget about Manitoba, it is staunchly socialist and becoming more dominated by its native population, Manitoba is on the fast track to ruin along with the rest of Canada aside from Alberta and Saskatchewan.
The communists learned from the Russian’s mistakes from the Cuban Missile crisis and have slowly converted Canada into a military base on the US border. That is the role of Canada. It has been a 40 year play, but it is in place. The natural resources are a nice bonus. Now comes the easy part, stocking strategic sites along the border with military tech from drones, missiles, etc. We pretend that our military would realize this, but it is like the drug flow from the Chinese thru mexico. Weaken the young citizens with drugs and destroy their futures. Drugs from the south, military tech from the north. Not to mention capture of our universities. It is wild how many Chinese drug home owners freely walk around New England, contract with locals for snow plowing, yard work, electic services. Brazen and in the open. Drive thru Canada and you will see no shortage of stern faced, observant young Chinese men who don’t quite fit in among the other Canadian citizen immigrants who are running businesses. They are here, they are well stocked and every day incrementally preparing. I have no doubt they are cultivating and prepared to fund shock troops like antifa and former south american military to act when needed.
So it’s not going to happen in the SW
It is going to happen on both the North and South borders simultaneously.
A child could understand this military strategy.
Maybe you should spend less time trying to save the planet, and more time trying to save yourself … 🤡
Mr. Sundance
Thank you sir for all the information you provide. May God bless you and your family and have a happy new year.
GM shuts down another plant.
Ontario will see 10000 college employees laid off this year. Ontario especially is in a world of hurt.
DD
If it gets to that point I’m sure we have room for you 🙂
I remember the GM plants shutting down in our Northeastern state of the US as our jobs were shipped out of the country. One plant reopened under a different name and they hired workers through a temporary service at much lower wage. My brother in law was the Union president in the local and had a hand in selling out those workers. He retired high on the hog, last one out!I had several relatives who worked there, thankfully they’d been there long enough to retire intact before the sell off. The CEO at the time made in the hundred millions for her help selling out and the rest of the workers suffered!
Ohio also.
“And remember this, according to Buchanan, “a tariff is a tax, but its purpose is not just to raise revenue but to make a nation economically independent of others and to bring its citizens to rely upon each other rather than foreign entities.” Let me sum it up, America first. That is exactly why today is liberation day. It’s a day that will be remembered as a turning point and the start, I hope for every American, of a new golden age of American wealth and exceptionalism.”
Sean Hannity says Donald Trump’s tariffs will be the start of “a new golden age of American wealth and exceptionalism”
https://www.mediamatters.org/fox-news/sean-hannity-says-donald-trumps-tariffs-will-be-start-new-golden-age-american-wealth-and
Canada- UAE investment relations are entering a phase of accelerated expansion.
Indonesian President has signed a trade and defense agreement with PM Carney. Canada expands its ties with SE Asia.
Manufacturing cannot exist without cheap energy.
A nation cannot exist without manufacturing.
Canada’s Carney has more than trade with the US to worry over. He is about to be faced with four of his wealthiest Provinces to begin separation actions judicially in 2026. Alberta, especially, has already gone to court, preparing a referendum to the people for the question do they wish to separate. Alberta has sustained Ottawa and left leaning neighboring provinces for decades, sending billions to Ottawa to divide among THEM. Alberta never gets back in monies as much as they send. And yet Carney and the left have closed all doors for them to succeed with their oil rich resource among other things. The usual left’s environmental laws and strangling government red tape has halted pipe lines and now cutting off their trade with the States. Canada will go belly up without the Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, and possibly British Columbia (if they can get rid of Eby), if they walk becoming independent states or US Territories OR even 51st – 54th states! I can see this happening in the next five years.
Well they can barter more dirty coal and filthy oil to china for windmills and solar panels.
without Trump no people in any country can b free
this movement you want is now or never.
alot of people in every country that are getting betrayed just like us
Green New Deal and mule level stubbornness leaves Canada with a handful of magic beans in one hand and ……in the other.
In PM Thatcher’s words…..Socialism is fine until you run out of other people’s money.” Canada just ran out of other people’s money and any market for assembled China products.
Welcome to the party Alberta!
Let jug eared King Charles bail out his vassal state.
He owns the most land on earth. Let him sell it along with the ill gotten royal jewels and bail out his subjects.
I’m home!
I am Malderone in Absence of Malice reading Sundance on my sofa and laughing heartily.
Social issues have not been demoted — and neither have brown shoes.
The raft of censorship and social engineering bills coming forward from Trudeau man Sean Fraser whom Carney brought back are the feature of his government and it is said Fraser is coming forth again in the New Year with online harms legislation. The Liberals refused to respond to Trump’s ban on EU officials over similar claims, preferring to work quietly to align with the EU.
Carbon capture and adherence to climate industrial polices is couched as necessary in order to trade with the EU etc. Yet look at China’s mass trade with the EU without any real climate policies.
The Liberals and their media have succeeded ridiculously in making debate now about the competence of the conservative opposition leader. They now attack the opposition, not the government.
Maple leaf flag in front of the Swiss Matterhorn. Huh?
canada has a chance to be first at something. doing what is in the best interest of their people and their future, gov. carney. alberta is done being milked by ottawa.
Russia may be open to some trade deals
fireworks put on a good show and glow.
it gets your attention and then pop its gone.
politics is simmilar in nature.
I think we may have to build a northern wall to keep Canadians in there.
Canada bought into the climate hoax, mass censorship and replacement migration just like Europe and will collapse like Europe.
Hoist by their own petard, or retard.
Looks like we had better start building a wall on the northern border too! We are going to need the extra security because we can’t count on Canada.
Canadians have assumed that they could flip a switch and start trading with Europe and Asia. The reality was always that Europe and Asia have long standing agreements with other countries fulfilling their needs. On top of that, Canada’s mental illness of applying fees, taxes, and eco-permitting rules and delays raises the prices of all things Canadian whether mining, farming or building anything.
Trying to sell it to other countries is therefore not competitive unless the government, ie, taxpayers subsidize the commodity. It really is delusional. Carney doesn’t care. He’s over 90% invested in US stocks; 1% Canadian.
In the recent 12/29/2025 Politico article link Sundance is working from, it’s hilarious and utterly disingenuous of Politico to link to an interview with SoS Rubio at the very start of the administration, January 25, 2025, acting like the premise of the question in that interview A YEAR AGO wasn’t about the horrible mess Biden’s admin left us with, and instead turns it into U.S. influence is waning under Trump. Such utter corruption in the media.
“As U.S. influence wanes and the world divides into multiple power centers — an inescapable reality recognized by Secretary of State Marco Rubio — Foreign Affairs Minister Anita Anand is tasked with ensuring Canada doesn’t get lost in the transition. Asked about the differences between Trudeau and Carney’s trade strategies, she pointed to Trump.”
Excellent post and great comments! Canada is toast at this point after 10 years of Libs, with Carney advising Sparkle Socks for the latter half of his regime. The pace at which the downfall has accelerated under Carney is mind boggling. We’re on the way to losing ~75% of our GDP which comes from exports to the US this year. Accident?
IMHO Carney might be the ultimate WEF puppet psycho-lizard green zealot Satanist on the planet. His connections are gold-plated. His brother is the manager of Wills and Kate’s estate:
https://x.com/slk55again/status/1928083214070935778
He hangs with 2 of the most accomplished Handlers in the business – Ghislaine and his wife Diane Fox-Carney (she’s worth a bit of research if you’ve a mind 😉 ).
https://www.instagram.com/p/DHEPnWRJACc/?hl=en
He has a trans child that attended Tavistock:
https://www.junonews.com/p/exclusive-mark-carney-sent-daughter?referrer=grok.com
Despite his writings and musings I don’t think he’s actually a true green believer. His only goal is to become a billionaire and he’s selected green as his MO. Here’s a chart that hints at why he has no care for Canada, indeed it’s in his personal interest to ensure America succeeds. The chart is the work of David at Moose on the Loose, an independent news channel:
https://www.youtube.com/@themooseontheloose/videos David has lingering medium-level TDS sadly, but he’s really got a handle on Carney.
https://miro.com/app/board/uXjVIgUjvog=/
Summary:
I think this chart is the quickest way to get a visual impression of the sheer scope and scale of his operation. It takes a few minutes to load but worth the wait. He’s so much more dangerous than ex drama teacher Justine because he’s very smart and truly evil.
Mark Carney is trying to find alternative markets.
It’s a big task Marky boy, but I’m starting to think you are realizing you’re out of your league. You can put a quarter in your 4ss because you played yourself. Good luck and good night.
Rock meets hard place.
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