Much is being made of the New York Times/Siena poll of background states [Full Poll DATA HERE]. Indeed, the professional Democrats are apoplectic with the results, and the deeper you dig into the poll the worse it looks for Joe Biden.
(NYT) – Trump leads Biden in five of the six states — Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Michigan — which would likely be enough to give him the 270 electoral votes needed to win. Biden leads in the sixth state, Wisconsin. Trump leads by at least four percentage points in each of the other five states:
[NYT Article Link] – [ Crosstabs Link ]
Extending the results, if the election were held today, President Trump would win over 300 electoral votes. However, lesser discussed is the structure of the race that is specific to MAGAnomics and President Trump. Within the poll, President Trump is carrying the largest coalition of support amid black Democrats (22%) and Latinos (40%) in Republican history. This is very unique to President Trump and not transferable to any other Republican candidate.
Within that reality, you find the reason for Politico [SEE HERE] and David Axelrod [SEE HERE] to sound the alarms. “Not ‘bed-wetting,’” but legitimate concern, Axelrod wrote, as he simultaneously suggested that Joe Biden drop out of the race. Axelrod says, “the stakes of miscalculation here are too dramatic to ignore. Only @JoeBiden can make this decision,” he continued. “If he continues to run, he will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. What he needs to decide is whether that is wise; whether it’s in HIS best interest or the country’s?”
[…] They’re not outliers in showing Biden in peril: A CBS News/YouGov national poll also released on Sunday showed Trump leading Biden 51 percent to 48 percent — a reversal of Biden’s 51 percent to 47 percent victory in the 2020 election.
The poll results have already prompted tons of handwringing among prominent Democrats within half a day of their release. But it’s not just the topline numbers that should make the party wary of next year — and potentially uneasy about the off-year elections this week.
It’s also what’s buried in the crosstabs and the other questions — specific areas of weakness for Biden on policy, personal attributes and among key segments of the electorate central to his bid for a second term. (read more)
What the poll indicates is that President Trump is carrying a more broad and diverse coalition of support than any Republican politician in modern political history.
And that reality has professional Democrats having fits – highlighted in the face of George Stephanopoulos.
If the election were held today, former President Donald Trump would easily beat President Joe Biden with over 300 electoral votes, according to a new swing state poll from The New York Times and Siena College. https://t.co/4at08MgkQ8
— Axios (@axios) November 5, 2023
NYT POLL: "The more diverse the swing state, the farther Mr. Biden was behind" pic.twitter.com/ozjSNeJ2dr
— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) November 5, 2023
ONE YEAR FROM ELECTION DAY:
"76% of adults in this poll say the country is headed in the WRONG direction. Only 23% — less than a quarter of the country — say that we're headed on the right track." pic.twitter.com/O4rYaNKZnL
— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) November 5, 2023
After another round of brutal polling for Biden, the ABC panel is openly discussing Biden stepping aside:
"They don't know who that Democrat would be right now — I don't think that people look at Kamala Harris and feel like she is ready…" pic.twitter.com/XmusjSdpgc
— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) November 5, 2023
My advice to all who follow these polls and pay attention to what the liars keep whining about:
Just keep underestimating President Donald John Trump.
Kamala Harris; only a democrat could say, “that baby ain’t ugly.”
DeSantis Gave ‘Women’s Spirit’ Award to Trans Man, Calling Him ‘Shining Role Model’ & ‘Mentor & Advocate to Children’.
https://thenationalpulse.com/2023/11/06/desantis-gave-womens-spirit-award-to-trans-man-calling-him-shining-role-model-mentor-advocate-to-children/
Never heard or read about this. It does not sound like something RDS would do. Did RDS know this creature was a trans when he honored the “trans man?”
I am no RDS fan and think he needs to drop out and give his support to DJT. Nevertheless, this does not sound like something RDS would do.
IF he did it, shame on him.
He did it. A simple search will turn up a number of news articles.
Flop Gov.
Judge AE is a vile creep. He convicted DJT before the so-called trial even began. He must be a brother to Judge Emmett Sullivan who refused to drop charges against Gen. Flynn even after the Prosecutors dropped their case. Breathing scumbags, both of them.
This ridiculous bs will be ended with in days of the obvious appeal (s). Both this mentally damaged “judge” and that pathetic AG are a disgrace to the entire US Justice System
Yes but the reporting on the appeal will be far less than that of this circus.
Mistrial. Grounds for new trial. Keep it up judge d-head. You’ll win it for Trump with your hate.
I always wondered what a devious communist looked like. Now I know.
This POS needs to be removed from the bench.
As long as vote harvesting and unverified mail in ballots are allowed polls mean nothing
This is the important take.
You think leftist democrats are losing their minds unable to keep up with the tearing down of Israeli hostage posters, just wait till the Trump for President yard signs, tee shirts, bumper stickers, hats and posters paint the landscapes across America
Note to all….. Trump won the last time.
He will win this time.
“Tough Place”: Implosion Of Downtown San Francisco Forces McDonald’s To Close After 30 Years
MONDAY, NOV 06, 2023 – 04:20 PM
The unraveling of San Francisco’s office sector has been stunning so far. The once-thriving urban center is now grappling with a record-high 30% vacancy rate in office buildings, attributed mainly to the shift towards remote and hybrid work in a post-Covid era, as well as a mass exodus of companies who no longer felt their office workers were safe because ‘defund the police’ policies backfired and sparked a citywide violent crime tsunami. Now, the ripple effects of a plunge in office workers, no longer walking the streets and spending money at brick-and-mortar shops, have darkened the city’s recovery.
On Friday, McDonald’s restaurant at 235 Front St. in the Financial District served its last Big Mac after a three-decade run, according to San Francisco Business Times.
Scott Rodrick, the McDonald’s franchise owner, said the “post-pandemic realities of operating the downtown restaurant simply became unbearable for the franchisee and McDonald’s Corp.”
“The economics of running a franchised restaurant in San Francisco continue to be a challenge, particularly in a downtown that is impacted by high office building vacancy rates and visitor trends that have not recovered since the pandemic,” Rodrick wrote in an email to the local media outlet.
Rodrick said San Francisco “continues to be a very tough place to own and operate a restaurant business, irrespective of price point.” He said traffic at the restaurant had dropped off a cliff.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tough-place-implosion-san-fran-downtown-forces-mcdonalds-close-after-30-years
If they sold drugs, they’d be “rollin in clover.”
Maybe the government will mandate that they stay open. Mandate the menu, mandate the hours, mandate the wages, mandate that they offer squatters sleeping space, mandate that there’ll be free abortions behind the kitchen, mandate that menus be in 10 languages and so on. That will naturally lead to economic recovery.
What in the hell does covid have to do with it?
Not long before Biden folds.
When the memo is publicly announced by the democrat talking heads like this you know his time is over.
His handlers have the teleprompter keyed up with the announcement, just trying to word it in a way where they hope he can stumble through it and not promise to win the governors race a third time
76% say country us headed in wrong direction, but about 44% will vote for Biden. I call B S. The real pool for Biden is low 30s. Fake polls enable election fraud. Real polls reveal election fraud. As bad as they reveal in the polls, the reality is worse for Biden and his platform of 2 wars, mandatory experimental vaxx, border invasion, massive inflation, and Foreign energy dependence. Whats not to like?
If 44% would vote for Biden, we have 44% idiots.
Rest assured:
We have 44% idiots.
Now and then one will show up here. (damn trolls!)
I think that there are about 30% complete morons, with about 4% on our side and that 30% are unethical grifters who only vote their bottom line. They know that they are voting for the wrong side, but only care about the short term.
There may be some overlap in those numbers.
Didn’t most people claim to believe the country was on the wrong track before Obama was re elected too? I’m sure they cheated in that election too, plus there was no real choice anyway, thanks to the back stabbing republicans forcing crappy candidates on us.
The real exposure of this “phenomenon” is the 2022 election. The red wave that wasn’t.
I agree with your post. Fraudulent polls prop up fraudulent elections.
Hell this doesn’t include the zombie nor undead voters so Brandon has at least a 20% lead, just as he had in 2020. If you doubt this you a MAGA idiot facist nazi Christian.
I posit that Biden has a 100% lead in the dead voters.
This and other polls are nothing but dog whistles for the corrupt dems to step up their fraud.
I appreciate the sentiment of people responding to polls.
But, remember: Trump had a monumental poll lead in 2020 also.
Because the communists now focus on ballots, not votes.
If they can produce enough ballots (and they always do) they will never lose.
This is why they want to extend the franchise to illegals, felons, minors, etc.
They can always steal their votes- ballots- easily. Much harder to steal yours and mine, so they produce new ones BY THE MILLIONS.
No he didn’t. Trump never led in a single general election poll in 2020 or in 2016. In 2016, right before the election, even the aggregate of polls had Hillary Clinton leading by about 3 points (which was accurate as far as the popular votes goes but missed the electoral college win)
Nope. The screeching hag padded her total with fraudulent late California vote totals so they could proclaim she had the “popular” vote.
Another ridiculous lie.
Unless he/she edited his/her post the election in question was 2020, not 2016.
I believe I stated 2020.
And, yes, he did have a comfortable lead in the polls then. That’s why all the “experts” were predicting a Red Wave.
Sorry.
Yes, the polls help them to architect the cheat.
The reason they are openly publishing this is force the issue with a President obsessed with his son’s imminent conviction and exposure of the government protection he enjoyed, along with his urgent need to pardon Hunter and his two brothers before he leaves. Oh yeah, and he’s going to be impeached.
I think the key is Jill Biden.
The key to what? His “winning” again? His dropping out? His falling on his face?
Jill Biden isn’t the “key” to anything. She’s the manipulative, phony wife of the worst president and disaster ever to sit in our White House.
This is true however Jill Biden was big factor in pushing Joe to run for President, even though he’s clearly infirm, because she wanted to be First Lady. I suspect Cruiser’s point is that Jill Biden will be key to whether Biden bows out gracefully or continues to cling to power until the bitter end
“obsessed with his son’s imminent conviction…”
He has no idea, at this point what’s going on.
The only thing he’s possibly obsessed with is, when is his next pudding feeding.
What’s troubling about this though is that Trump only breaks the 50% mark in one of these states. Other polls show “generic democrat” polling 6-8% above Trump.
As much as I hate to say it, he’s got to do one of two things: find a way to make white women not hate him (which… at this point…) or hope like hell that he’s up against a vegetative Joe Biden during a recession and core Dem constituencies stay home. Aside from that, he won’t get past the margin of cheat.
I’m a white woman, and I don’t hate him. In fact, I love and respect him.
Anyway, I don’t believe any of this flurry of sudden Democrat and media “fear” is genuine. I think it’s merely the media making their move to control the election outcome. They just want us all to believe they’re genuinely worried. That’s BS.
They have never wanted Biden for another term, or Harris. Those two gave done their damage and served their usefulness.
The media’s done their part to get Newsome in position for the job, and now they’ll shove him into place as soon as he and their video footage return from China.
Biden will then bow out along with Harris. Then Newsome, (along with the most radical Black (for contrast) VP candidate, male or female, or maybe trans) they can find or create) will be ready to shove into the spotlight.
Of course, they’ll have to create some havoc elsewhere to distract us while they get the fake ballots and other props fir cheating in place.
Just my WV viewpoint, but I’d put money on it.
You can’t change a grifter/unethical voters mind.
These pools mean nothing because they do not reflect the vast numbers of the undead; ghouls; denizens of hell; and other registered Demorats now in hell.
Nailed it. And 100% will vote Democrat.
> “Only @JoeBiden can make this decision,” he continued. “If he continues to run, he will be the nominee of the Democratic Party.” – Axlerod
No, Joe Biden will do as he’s told.
Mark Dice makes me laugh when I watch his face watching the media whine over Joey not doing so well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ELh5glNVOnU
I live in rural Wisconsin. Where we are is mostly red but the formerly blue spots of Madison and Milwaukee used to be contained. Then they grew around the university towns and through the educational system. There are a lot of Mexican farmworkers. They get totally exploited by the meatpacking plants and mid-size agricultural businesses which give them crap housing, lousy working conditions and they are constantly afraid of getting deported. The whole system is crooked and they know it. Democrat or Republican doesn’t mean much to them – they are afraid of local power bosses. They do not go vote, they do not organize, they just try not to get deported or victimized by either their own people or greedy bosses.
I worked with a family where the 16 year old (Mexican) girl was assaulted by a Mexican guy. Cops and hospital were great – no one wanted to do anything but help. Local law enforcement could not get any help from Mexican law enforcement and my legal tools stopped at the border.
If someone is voting in their name, they do not know about it.
Similar things go on with the white underclass. I worked with a young man who had his wages docked – someone else was using his identity for food stamps. The local govt official ran tyranny, but boy did she run for cover when a lawyer was involved. “oh, no need to trouble a lawyer, We can fix this simple mistake …” It was hilarious. “No trouble at all.” It was my favorite pro bono case. In fact, it was my favorite case ever – I actually did some good.
Some young people know a little from TV “Biden was trying to help pay for our college but the Republicans wouldn’t let him.” That is the extent of their knowledge. Those young people will vote Democrat because of those TV blips.
The Mexicans wouldn’t think of going near the polls for fear of being deported. Many do have driver’s licenses. There are other weird IDs floating around in a secondary market. After an INS raid one time the local manager of the meat packing plant cashed all the checks for the deported workers. She knew they were fake IDs all along. Somehow neither the bank nor company really cared – but there were messages from Mexico and scared relatives wondering if there was any way to get the $187.50 the guy worked for all week into the hands of his family that needed it … No. No one cared.
Whoever is running the ID game is probably also running the voting game.
Among property owners it is a different world. The phone rings 2-3 times a day with pollsters. Everyone know that if you say the wrong thing that bad things will happen to you. Every government agency from EPA to USDA to state Dept of Revenue is weaponized. They come and take property of people they don’t like. One local guy runs a gravel pit. He got into an argument with the EPA about a puddle in his gravel yard which they deemed a wetland, even though it has been a very dry pile of gravel a week earlier. He took them to the S. Ct. which is absolutely hilarious. See Gerke vs EPA.
Most people cannot afford the argument and fight.
All of which local knowledge confirms — I would not take those polls too seriously.
And how many of those Mexican workers can even legally vote? (I know legal residents who received voter registration cards).
I agree, I am bilingual and I would love to translate Leftist commercials which lie and spoon feed the target audience. I am sure that there are illegalities.
No one read your post; it’s way too long.
Michelle Obama and Gavin Newsome will the DEATH-O-CRAT ticket in 2024.
This is JUST the kind of poll I’d expect about a “has been” ex-President, like Trump, trying to run again. Take Jimmah Carter, or G. H. W. Bush. Romney/Ryan, hitting the trail again. McCain running from his resting place in hell. How may former, 1 term Presidents have run again? They are ROUNDLY considered losers, failures, and no one would support another run 4 years later.
However, miraculously (or tragically, as the Dems and 99% of the elected GOP would consider), Trump IS running again, and Trump’s support numbers across all demographics are OFF THE CHARTS. No, it’s not proof that Biden’s Marxist Dems stole the 2020 election, that Trump won and should have been President. However, it’s a pretty good hint, because Trump had this historic support, minorities, etc.. in 2020 as well.
I fully expect that Trump will be running from a jail cell, because the Dems and their DOJ/FBI lapdogs, are absolutely determined to see him in jail. Moreover, the Roberts Supreme court is determined to wash their hands of it, as they did the 2020 election fraud, taking NO cases. (Which of course means, that the Supreme Court as constituted, supports the persecution of J6 patriots, the outrages of the leftist DC and other District Federal courts, and of course, “… by all means necessary”, ensure Trump will never be President again. I’m not just ranting. The USSC has had ample opportunities to intervene without being “an activist court”, so they allow the DOJ/FBI and leftist Judges to run over the US Constitution, and the rights of conservative citizens who voted for, and support Trump.)
Will Trump win? They stole it in 2020, they stole most of the House and key Senate races in 2022, and arguably, the same “last minute vote counting for two more weeks” kind of shennaigans occurred in 2018. Hillary was apparently guaranteed a win, which was why she was livid on election night. Whatever fix went in, during the 2016 election, was somehow overcome, likely by Trump’s extreme margin of victory. Biden publically guaranteed in words directly, that his election fraud machine would not allow it to happen in 2020, and by golly, he was as good as his word (had to be a first, for him).
But, again to my original point, the support in 2020 was obvious, and his support in 2024 is 10x MORE obvious. NO WAY, Biden won anything in 2020.
Hear! Hear!
Joe cares about Joe, not the country, when he thinks about it, which isn’t often as real thinking has never been his strong suit. Democrats who support Joe in the next round— that tells me that the Dem party truly has lost its marbles (to put it mildly). But a thoughtful Presidential candidate who truly cares about the USA does not exist within the Democrat Party. IMO
Love your post!
Biden won’t be the Dems nominee. The Dems aren’t stupid. The Obamas kicked off Michelle’s 2024 Campaign with all their henchmen in Chicago this past weekend. Her comes “Hope and Change Deux,” the campaign to save the country from white supremacist racist anti-abortion , misogynistic greedy capitalists!
There could be an interesting piece of strategery here for Trump. Does he want Biden to be the Uniparty nominee, and does he structure his approach accordingly, if only in small, transparent ways?
Right now, he’s doing that by default. He’s not running against any Uniparty candidate, he’s just running, and leaving Biden alone mostly. He could keep this up, and just dispatch the latest upstarts one at a time as they get propped up, as in 2016. Counter punching works for him. He could wait for Biden/other to get the nomination, then put them down.
But is there something specific he could do to get Biden the nomination? I doubt it, but I’d sure do it if there was.
The Uniparty is going to release Biden’s medical records, I bet. They want him gone. They know, too.
Does anyone see any polls on Trump vs. Newsom? Or, what does Trump v. anyone look like with RFK in the race as 3rd party?
I still don’t believe the polls. I think they have been manipulated to scare Democrats into getting rid of Biden so they can insert Newsom. Trump’s numbers should be way higher.
Nervous? They should be fearing the wrath of God!
Psst….we are coming…….NO MERCY
You’re right, they should be fearing more than voters if they have any preoccupations for their eternal souls.
If the elections are compromised again, then none of this matters.
More of the ABC This Week program. Notice the photos of PDJT they put up for their audience and their use of words to make Trump look bad or less sympathetic. This is called MSM Malinformation.
https://x.com/alexdatig/status/1721587296993165784?s=20
Honest Question: How will the Polls/Election Results Change when PDJT is convicted by one or more of these Kangaroo courts? How many low information voters will spook? Has this been polled or war gamed anywhere?
How’s that lawfare persecution of President Trump working for you marxists? It’s better than 100 million dollars worth of political ads!
There’s some truth in this position.
The fact that Biden has 40%+ anywhere is a disgusting reminder that we live with either unethical or braindead fellow citizens.
Wisconsin, shame on you!
None of this matters unless GOP voters and activists can stop the fraud. Time to get involved and volunteer at the polls, esp. in battleground states.