Candidate Donald Trump had an incredible set of victories on Super Tuesday 2.0 with victories in North Carolina, Illinois, Missouri and Florida. Candidate Donald Trump has now effectively swept the south.
However, the results from Florida, especially Florida, provide an excellent example of the strength of Trump’s coalition and the scope of what’s possible in a general election.
Florida is a melting pot of regional migration from all corners of the U.S. Indeed, there’s a joke in Florida about how there’s no real home-team sports because the residents are from everywhere else in America, cheering for their old home team.
A native Floridian is a scarce breed, that’s why they’ve historically been called “Florida Crackers“. Named from the original Florida settlers who used whips to herd cattle and cut through the palmettos and bladed saw-grass, with a resounding “crack” from the knotted end.
Additionally if you were to overlay the size of Florida geographically on a map you’d find it would cover the entire U.S. eastern seaboard from Georgia all the way to New York city. At over 800 miles tip to stem Florida is a massive state with transplanted residents from all of the other states within the continental republic.
Florida also has massive demographic diversity, with large numbers of Latino and Hispanic residents located in dense pockets throughout the state. The largest Puerto Rican population in the entire U.S. live in Orange County near Disney World along the I-4 corridor.
This is why the results from last night are so incredible as they relate to the absolute dominance of Donald Trump.
Trump won everywhere.
If you will accept an apology for painting with a broad brush we’ll explain.
The Northwest panhandle is regionally very similar to southern SEC states. The people living in the North Florida panhandle hold very analogous ideological outlooks to “southerners” in a general sense. Trump won those easily.
The North Central coastal area is very similar to areas in the U.S. where you find high concentrations of military installations and military bases. Trump won those easily.
The North East region of Florida is analogous to the demographics within the Tri-State area of the upper North East (Philly, New Jersey, New York). Trump won those easily.
The East Central region of Florida holds similarity to the Missouri and Gateway area of the U.S. Again, totally dominated by Trump.
The South East region of Florida, the “Space Coast” from Port St Lucie north to Cape Canaveral and Daytona (East Central) is very similar to the Mid-Atlantic region of the Eastern coast of the U.S. Yup, Trump easily won.
The Southern region of Florida is very similar to the upper North Eastern U.S. with the exception of cultural diversity enhanced by high Cuban populations. However, if you back out the Latino population you’ll find a similar ideological worldview to what Senator Cruz described as “New York Values”.
Also in the far Southern region (Florida Keys) you’ll find great similarity to the Southern California socially liberal, libertarian, outlooks. Excluding the Cuban (Miami-Dade) voter specifically, who went heavily for Marco Rubio, you’ll see Donald Trump easily won these cultural demographics.
In the South Western Florida Region, you’ll find a mix of very high income (Naples – Collier County on the coast) which is similar to Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, New Hampshire and the well off areas of the North East U.S., and a working class Florida resident slightly inland. This entire region was easily won by Trump.
In the West Central Florida Region you’ll find a blend of Mid-west (Ohio, Indiana, Michigan) types.
Port Charlotte and Charlotte county have a high population of residents from Ohio. Again – Trump won easily.
The Pinellas and Hillsborough county area of Florida (Tampa, St-Pete) begins the Western side of the I-4 corridor and holds a culturally diverse blend of Latino’s and Hispanics, along with middle-class and upper income demographics. Trump won.
Starting in the Gulf of Mexico (Tampa) and headed east, the I-4 Corridor. I-4 driving East toward Daytona and the East FL coast, you find Disney (Orange County) in the center. Polk county is also on this corridor and is a commercial and industrial hub of commerce for transport/delivery to Southern Florida. Just below the I-4 corridor is the citrus industry. In all of these regional demographics, and high population centers, Trump won.
In the southern central (Glades and Hendry counties) you’ll find mostly farm operations, row crops. These two counties also have very high Hispanic demographics. Trump won both counties easily with huge margins.
Why is this so important?
Because Florida is a microcosm of the entire U.S.
All of these population centers are inhabited by clusters of people who are transplants from the Southern, North East, Mid-Atlantic, Mid-West, Upper Mid-West and even Western U.S. And in each of these areas with very regional-centric outlooks you find Donald Trump won by stunning margins.
This reality is exactly opposite from the media narrative.
In essence, when you pull back from the micro-look from Trump’s strength in Florida – what you will find is the macro-look overlay fits almost identically with the regional perspectives of the larger U.S. nationally. This reality portends a remarkable strength for candidate Donald Trump with a very broad-based appeal.
If Trump can win such a resounding cross-cultural victory in Florida, he is well positioned to do the exact same thing on a national scale in a general election.
Lastly, here’s our little happy feet ‘we-told-ya-so’ on the Latino/Hispanic demographics.[Please note -there is a big cultural difference between Latino and Hispanic and they don’t like to be conflated] Notice how Trump won with Latino’s and Hispanic populations throughout Florida (sans the Cuban patriotic vote for Rubio in Miami-Dade).
The Latino/Hispanic vote should be particularly noted in Pinellas, Hillsborough, Glades, Hendry, Polk and Orange counties. As the residents themselves have continually reminded everyone: these are not monolithic groups – they are as culturally diverse as the fabric of the U.S. itself.