We anticipate the need for more than one thread with results tonight, hence the numbering as above. Tonight:

♦ Delaware ♦ Connecticut ♦ Pennsylvania

♦ Maryland ♦ Rhode Island

Prior To Tonight Delegate Count – Trump: 848, Cruz: 559

• Pennsylvania: Polls Close 8:00pm  74 Delegates – (17 State winner take all, 54 by District) All delegates elected by Congressional District “shall run at large within the Districts and shall not be officially committed to any particular candidate on the ballot.”
• Maryland: Polls Close 8:00pm  38 Delegates – (14 State winner take all, 24 by District winner take all).
• Connecticut: Polls Close 8:00pm  28 Delegates – (13 State delegates winner take most; if above 50% candidate gets all, if below 50% proportional w/ minimum threshold 20%.  15 delegates by District winner take all)
• Rhode Island: Polls Close 8:00pm 19 Delegates – (13 State delegates proportional w/ minimum 10%. 6 district delegates proportional, minimum threshold 10%)
• Delaware: Polls Close 8:00pm 16 Delegates – (16 delegates winner take all) *There is only one CD in Delaware so district total = state total.

Total = 153 Delegates Available 

• CNN Election HQ – Results Available HERE
• Politico Election HQ – Results available HERE
• New York Times Election HQ – Results Available HERE
• The Green Papers – Election Results and Delegate Tracking HERE

Today is election Day Today in: ♦ Pennsylvania ♦ Rhode Island ♦ Maryland ♦ Delaware and ♦ Connecticut.

If you are voting today in the Northeast perhaps you can share a ground report on what’s going on in/around your community, town or polling location.

Today is another critical day of voting for the rebel alliance. The most important thing to do is to have your voice counted. SO, GO VOTE:

Remember, every vote counts especially in primary races. Not only are we trying to win the top-line overall vote, but the percentage of vote matters for delegate distribution. Don’t take anything for granted. Complacency and apathy are dangerous.  Ask your neighbors, friends and co-workers.  Carpool and spread the word – EVERY VOTE COUNTS !

After voting, if you have a few minutes please share your perspective on events around your neighborhood. Ground reports are always the best gauge of voter sentiment.

What’s Going On Out There?

Reminder there are resources below including polling times, locations, and information about your specific voting places at the following reference links: (more…)

Tracking polls can be a little sketchy because they only track a continued snapshot of the same electorate over long periods of time.  Because a ‘tracking poll’ only measures a group of voters who are engaged early in the election process (in this example beginning December ’15) such polling methodology tends to miss the segment of the population that tunes-in later in the process, when it matters more.
As a consequence of methodology, tracking polls tend to miss the enthusiasm aspect which becomes more important as the race narrows and more people engage.  However, that said, the current NBC/Survey Monkey tracking poll shows a significant upward shift for Donald Trump and a downward trend for Ted Cruz and John Kasich:

Because of the methodology, the results are on the lower end of actual sentiment.  Meaning the national support for the upward shift is understated, and the drop in the downward trend is also understated.  In essence, Donald Trump is likely doing much better nationally than this representative snapshot, and Cruz/Kasich are likely doing much worse.
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“Ceilings”?  Well, firstly, if there was any doubt to the motive of the wunderkinds joining forcers in their vain effort to thwart the will of the electorate, that answer is now transparent.  Candidate Trump is simply thumping them both in the polling for the Northeast States tomorrow:

According to the latest PPP Polling released today (full pdf below), candidate Donald Trump is not only beating the Wunderkinds individually; he’s also beating them collectively.
Additionally interesting is some of the polling internal data which shows Senator Ted Cruz continuing to implode when the electorate is asked if they like him.  Cruz’s unfavorable rating continues to skyrocket.  (more…)

As previously stated, Tom Donohue is the Wall Street influence agent who pays off DC legislators to carry out the priorities of the global financial interests. ~Backstory~
(Via Washington Examiner) U.S. Chamber of Commerce CEO Tom Donohue indicated Monday that he’s now scheduled to go to the Republican convention in July, the latest sign of the uncertainty surrounding the convention, and the importance the business group puts on making sure it turns out the right way.
Donohue was in Germany Monday with President Obama, and was asked to give his assessment of how the GOP race is shaping up now that Ted Cruz and John Kasich are working together to deny Donald Trump the nomination.
Donohue replied that nobody knows how it will turn out, and indicated that the uncertainty makes it more and more important to be there. (more…)

After the complete Trump New York victory, both Ted Cruz and John Kasich were mathematically eliminated from any possibility of winning through voters.  The #NeverTrump campaign shifted and rebranded itself #NeverVoters.

Last night, facing the looming probability of complete defeat on April 26th in the North East primary states of: Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maryland and Delaware, the Ted Cruz and John Kasich campaigns announced publicly their intents to draw their last-hope firewalls in Indiana, New Mexico and Oregon.
The most current polling of Pennsylvania looks like this:

(full pdf of results here)… and the Trump campaign has also ramped up the voter information for the unbound PA delegates (SEE HERE) turning the tide of in favor of Team Donald Trump in the Keystone State.
As a direct consequence of the growing support for candidate Trump, and with looming electoral defeat on the horizon, the Ted Cruz campaign now places all its “never voter” efforts on stopping Donald Trump from winning Indiana.  However, Donald Trump is also polling ahead of Cruz in Indiana – so the Cruz campaign approach throws a Hail-Mary.
In an effort to improve fleeting chances, Team Cruz has struck a deal with the Kasich campaign.   Team Kasich is to pull out of Indiana, and Team Cruz will give them free reign in New Mexico and Oregon. (more…)

Once again the act of Twitter Shadow-Banning has surfaced, only this time it is against U.S. Presidential Candidate Donald Trump.  Breitbart has the story HERE
Here’s the video message Twitter is blocking:

As you digest the reality of a social media platform controlling the dissemination of political speech, you might want to remember this picture from an earlier discussion: (more…)

For the past several weeks Senator Ted Cruz has been running a presidential campaign based on a strategy to ‘win despite the voters’.  The latest Brown University poll (full pdf below) of Rhode Island voters highlights why.
The Brown U Poll shows Donald Trump with a lead of 38%, Governor Kasich second with 25% and Ted Cruz in dead last with only 14% support.

The poll surveyed a random sample of 600 registered Rhode Island voters who are likely to vote in the presidential primaries. It was conducted April 19 to 21 and has an overall margin of error of 4 percent.
However, the 19 Rhode Island delegates are distributed proportionally (13 by state vote count, and six by the two congressional districts’ vote count) with a minimum threshold of 10% to get any delegates; so even with only 14% it is possible for Senator Cruz to pick up a few delegates. (more…)

Donald Trump’s newly appointed Convention Manager Paul Manafort joins Chris Wallace to discuss the campaign strategy to get 1,237 delegates before the Cleveland convention:

(more…)

(Via Kentucky.com) […] Kentucky Republicans selected 25 delegates to the national convention on Saturday, and McConnell was one of them. He urged delegates not to give Obama a third term by electing Hillary Clinton.

But McConnell would not say who he would support at a contested convention: Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, John Kasich or someone else. Instead, he criticized Obama for going on a “regulatory rampage.” And he reiterated his vow to not confirm Obama’s nominee to the U.S. Supreme Court, declaring: “This vacancy will not be filled by this president” while Republican delegates stood and applauded. (more…)