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A Republic If We Can Keep It – A Message To Ted Cruz Supporters….

Ben Franklin told us long ago we have been given a constitutional republic “if you can keep it“.  What Dr. Franklin failed to tell the anxious crowd was that inside the convention hall the attendees unanimously agreed, the enemy we needed to keep it from – was ourselves.

patriotLast year after assembling volumes of research and data we shared a message that many found troubling; we outlined the GOPe road-map.  Some people immediately thought it was ridiculous, however as time has gone along reality began to settle in – what we described in the GOPe “splitter strategy” was indeed factually taking place throughout 2015/2016.

Some people cannot accept the inherent discomfort; that’s completely understandable.

We are not generally experts in much more than gathering data and assembling the pieces to explain the most logical reasoning for them; a political ‘Occam’s Razor’, if you will.

However, for those who generally understand the principles behind the larger political machinations, an evolution is now evident.  The GOPe have modified their plans, morphed and mutated the original scheme while maintaining the initial intent. (more…)

“Ceilings”? – Brand New Massachusetts Poll: Donald Trump 50%, Marco Rubio 16%, John Kasich 13%…

As you absorb this sneak peak polling release, remember….  Yesterday, even before the South Carolina elections results were finished, candidate John Kasich took off to attend events in Massachusetts.

Here’s a sneak peak into the current polling from Massachusetts via Emerson College:

Massachusetts Polling Via Emerson College
Massachusetts Polling Via Emerson College

Ceilings,
Nothing more than, ceilings;
Trying to forget my,
Ceilings of hate…

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Post South Carolina Results – “The Looming Inferno”…

trump smile 3Be of good cheer and enjoy the removal of one-half of the globalists 2016 objectives; indeed a difficult Rubicon has been successfully traversed.  However, do not be naïve in thinking one significant battle means the war has been won.

The bloodiest battle still lays ahead.

♦ Jeb Bush has been forced out of the race.  It cannot be overstated how significant this victory is in the grand scheme of things.  The foundational block, upon which the entire road-map was built, has been removed.  However, the GOPe engineers will now shift attention to a scorched earth campaign to benefit their retention of power.

We would all be wise to remember in 2014 Chris McDaniels actually defeated Thad Cochran in the first GOP Mississippi primary.  It was only after their initial defeat the GOPe decided to destroy anything that stood in their way – again, the retention of power was the ultimate motivator.

We can now expect those same DC influences, including the entire camp that supported Jeb Bush, the old guard, to work diligently (albeit under darkened cover) to assist Hillary Clinton, and destroy anything that would interrupt their grip on power.

Yes, the GOPe would rather lose to Hillary and retain their place at the trough than to see entry into their cloistered club by the Vulgarian Donald Trump. (more…)

Newt Gingrich Discusses Donald Trump, Political Victory and The Disconnected DC Beltway…

Newt Gingrich cuts through the nonsense that was flowing from last nights punditry and talks about Donald Trump’s South Carolina victory.  Gingrich hits the nail on the head.

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Ted Cruz Loses Every Single County In South Carolina Election – Including the Staunchly Evangelical Counties…

In August of 2015, against considerable backlash, we stood firm on a fundamental position that Senator Ted Cruz did not have a pathway, a roadmap, to victory in the 2016 GOP presidential primary.

Despite the fundamentally sound reasoning for our prediction, which was entirely based on congressional district by district analytics, our position drew an immense amount of criticism and even a quick response from the Cruz campaign itself (Brian Phillips).

Unfortunately, tonight’s South Carolina results vindicate a massive amount of historical research.  There simply is no pathway to victory when you rely almost exclusively on “proselytizing as an electoral strategy“:

sc counties(link)

Not one county, and not a single delegate

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*UPDATE* Trump Wins !!! South Carolina Republican Election Results – Open Discussion Thread

Polls Close in South Carolina at 7:00pm.  Sometime around 5:00pm most media will begin reporting “preliminary exit poll” information.   However, it is important for South Carolinians to IGNORE ALL EXIT POLLING INFORMATION. The media are notorious for using “exit polls” to influence the last few hours of voting.

POLLS CLOSED !

Donald Trump Declared WINNER

trump wins 2

Meet At The Old Mill, We Ride West At Midnight !!

2010_01-19-can-you-hear-us-now

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New Fox Poll South Carolina – Donald Trump 32%, Ted Cruz 19%, Marco Rubio 15%…

Unless something rather drastic comes out that needs to be deconstructed or analyzed, this will be the last presentation of a poll in South Carolina.  Why?  Well, quite simply, all of these latest polls are being too manipulated to be of any real value – Including this one.

The latest Fox News Poll (full pdf below) is data driven by Anderson Robbins Research (Democrat firm) and Shaw & Company Research (Republican firm), and not by Fox Media itself.  The sub-contracts have vested financial interests/stakes in the race – hence the under and over samples evident to present an outcome that cannot be assured as objective:

FULL POLL DATA
FULL POLL DATA

The results, while following a similar path to prior polls, are too fraught with assumptions and specific weighted demos, leading to high margins of error for certain demographics.

Here’s the snapshot showing the demos, including some of the higher MOE categories as noted. (more…)

Quinnipiac National Poll – “Juggernaut” Trump 39%, “Gaining” Rubio 19%, “Slipping” Cruz 18%…

“Reports of Donald Trump’s imminent demise as a candidate are clearly and greatly exaggerated. Like a freight train barreling through signals with his horn on full blast, Trump heads down the track towards a possible nomination,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

The insufferable agenda poll pushed by NBC/WSJ (constructed by a political PR firm) is rightly dispatched into the land of outlier irrelevance by a much larger sample (four times larger) Quinnipiac poll (full pdf below) released last night – showing a much different result.  The Quinnipiac poll is in alignment with all other recent national polling.

Full Poll Data
Full Poll Data

The top-line figures provide further evidence of a continuing trend.  As the field is reducing, Trump and Rubio are gaining support while Ted Cruz continues slipping backward.

These results are in line with other national and South Carolina polling and ground reports which reflect the top three race as #1 Trump, #2 Rubio, and #3 Cruz.  As a direct result the exasperation of Team Cruz will increase exponentially. (more…)

Competing Town Halls – Donald Trump on MSNBC, Carson, Cruz and Rubio on CNN…

RIGHT NOW:  Donald Trump is on MSNBC – Live Link

trump msnbc

Dr. Ben Carson, Senator Ted Cruz and Senator Marco Rubio are on CNN – Live Link

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Three Strikes – Third Time This Campaign Season NBC/WSJ Caught Promoting “Agenda Polls”…

The team of NBC and Wall Street Journal (Rupert Murdoch owned) has struck again with their latest highly coordinated and heavily manufactured latest “Agenda Poll”.  We have previously revealed NBC/WSJ’s prior two constructs HERE and HERE….

[AND now you know why we proactively do so.]

mark murrayNBC’s Chief Pollster Propagandist, Mark Murray et al, is out with yet another ridiculous poll (exceptionally high Brian Williams as a verb factor).  This time showing Donald Trump trailing Ted Cruz in an “explosive new development“…. Oh my.

However, this time it appears Murray has learned to insert an exit strategy to avoid the egg-face/embarrassing-sunlight factor of prior exhibitions.   In a not-so-subtle veiled attempt to save face, they have written an excuse directly in the heart of their own polled results.

It really is funny to read:

[…] “So, one poll post-Saturday debate can only reflect there may have been a ‘pause’ as Republican voters take another look at Trump. This happened earlier this summer and he bounced back stronger. We will have to wait this time and see what voters decide.”  (link)

Yes, that little disclaimer is more than a little humorous when you know the backstory.

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