The second Donald Trump rally is scheduled for Bridgeport Connecticut at The Klein Memorial Auditorium. The event is scheduled to begin at 12:30pm EDT.
Live Stream Link – Alternate Live Stream #1 – Alternate Live Stream #2

Candidate Donald Trump has two events scheduled for today in Connecticut.  The first event is in Waterbury, CT at Crosby High School and begins at 10:00am EDT:
Live Stream Link – Alternate Live Stream #1 – Alternate Live Stream #2

As the Trump campaign has navigated the minefield of opposition, many have inquired (mostly via email) about the ‘next steps’, the horizon per se’ – as it relates to the tripwire series.
Much of the Donald Trump campaign is correctly framed by the media as impossible to predict, uncharted, or completely new; and to a large extent that outlook is correct.
However, for those who really understand how we found the GOPe road-map, and predicted the multi-candidate splitter strategy in 2014 even before the 2016 campaign began, there is a part of the journey that -if successful- leads to predictable outcomes.

When looking forward, to predict behaviors based on motive, you must always ground yourself on the motives behind how the race advanced to where it is today.   All future perspectives must coincide with the more broad historical agenda of the group being discussed.
There are four basic groups in the Republican “NeverTrump” coalition. In essence these are Team Trump enemies writ large: (more…)

Below are the pdf’s of the raw poll data.  Essentially the Fox polls of Indiana and California mirror other recent polls of the same states.  The electorate is set, almost no-one is undecided….. tick-tock, tick-tock.  The critical aspect is:

..EVERYONE MUST VOTE !

[scribd id=310140656 key=key-WhEjhtfnovaE3eT2e2xw mode=scroll]
(more…)

Um, yeah, good luck with that.
According to the latest Reuters Polling snapshot Senator Cruz has dropped another 5 points this week –LINK .   This comes on the heels of several weeks of polling data outlining how Ted Cruz has a significant problem with “authenticity”.
Readers will note we have discussed this several times.   The more the general electorate get to see and know Ted Cruz, the more his support drops.  There is a direct correlation.

The Associated Press now reports the Cruz Camp is making an effort to train Senator Cruz to become more likable: (more…)

The only public poll released so far in the 2016 presidential primary race of Indiana voters reflects essentially what has previously been shared via ground reports.  Candidate Donald Trump is holding a lead and there is a remarkable increase in voter enthusiasm.
♦ Indiana votes on May 3rd. ♦ It is an open primary, Democrats, Republicans and Independents are allowed to participate. ♦ There are 57 delegates available. ♦ The primary is “Winner-Take-All” by district and state-wide. ♦ 9 districts x 3 delegates per (27 total), and 30 delegates to the overall state winner:

(Via Howey Politics) The poll was conducted by pollster Gene Ulm of Public Opinion Strategies from April 18-21, with a 500 base sample and both Democratic and Republican over samples. The margin of error in the Republican race was 4.3%, while on the Democratc side, it is 4.47%. (more…)

Candidate Donald  Trump is holding a rally today in Harrington, DE at The Delaware State Fairgrounds – Quillen Arena.  The event is scheduled to begin at 4:00pm EDT
Live Stream Link – Alternate Live Stream #1

The Donald Trump Campaign website has provided the following resource for Pennsylvania voters:

Source Link – Printable Version Available

Pennsylvania is a rather odd primary system.  There are 71 total delegates available, however only 17 of those are bound to the winner of the overall state primary vote.  The remaining 54 delegates are voted for on the ballot itself, and are considered ‘unbound’ delegates able to vote for their preferred candidate.
18 congressional districts x 3 delegates per district = 54 delegates.

(Poll Data Link)

That said, many of the unbound delegates have committed to either vote for the winner of their congressional district, or stated they will vote for the state winner.  All of the delegates had to submit their name for candidacy prior to February 16th, 2016.
According to a spreadsheet put together by Phil Kerpen, there are also 26 (electable) self-proclaimed Cruz delegates and 34 (electable) self-proclaimed Trump delegates.
There are 27 delegates who are not committed to any specific candidate, 59 who expressed their commitment to the district winner, and 5 who say they’ll support the state winner. (more…)

A very interesting and exceptionally in depth poll from Sextant Strategies (two pdf’s below) of California voters shows candidate Donald Trump is in a commanding position within the state.
Interestingly, the poll highlights two overall categories voter: 1. Registered Republicans who have voted frequently in all recent elections; and 2. New voters who are registering in astonishing numbers in order to vote in this year’s primary.
Donald Trump is leading with traditional republican voters (41%), and is crushing the field with those holding new registration (53%).  The internals and crosstabs of the poll are a very interesting read.  Here’s the topline result:

Candidate Donald Trump is winning with all demographics (men, women, age, race, income level, education etc.) within the cross tabs of the poll.
However, Trump’s lead expands significantly when you review the “new voters” who are registering by the thousands.
(more…)