As the Trump campaign has navigated the minefield of opposition, many have inquired (mostly via email) about the ‘next steps’, the horizon per se’ – as it relates to the tripwire series.
Much of the Donald Trump campaign is correctly framed by the media as impossible to predict, uncharted, or completely new; and to a large extent that outlook is correct.
However, for those who really understand how we found the GOPe road-map, and predicted the multi-candidate splitter strategy in 2014 even before the 2016 campaign began, there is a part of the journey that -if successful- leads to predictable outcomes.

When looking forward, to predict behaviors based on motive, you must always ground yourself on the motives behind how the race advanced to where it is today. All future perspectives must coincide with the more broad historical agenda of the group being discussed.
There are four basic groups in the Republican “NeverTrump” coalition. In essence these are Team Trump enemies writ large:
- Group (1) The DC based entities around the GOPe apparatus including the politicians, lobbyists, consultants etc. Those who are professionally Republican as a business and profession.
- Group (2) The Media entities, voices and faces, who derive their personal affluence from the positions of the professionally Republican (Limbaugh, Levin, Hannity, Beck, pundits etc); and a sub-set: (2b) The Corporate Media entities who derive their influence from the same professionally political enterprises (Fox, CNN, Salem, iHeart Radio, corporate media etc.)
- Group (3) The Global/Financial Interests who use both politicians and media entities to enlarge their wealth/status, including those on Wall Street who purchase and set the DC legislative priorities through K-Street lobbyists.
- Group (4) The #NeverTrump crowd followers, the ideological Cruz supporters/voters as an oppositional aggregate.
Each of these groups will respond differently to the electoral events as they unfold in the next 30 days. Some of their behavior is predictable; and some of it is also as irrelevant as they have made themselves.
As the overall race changes – each oppositional entity will adjust and reposition for their own self-interest.
“We Do That Which Is Important To Us – We Avoid That Which Is Not”. This statement reflects the essence of the most basic human nature. Understanding that statement is what allows us to predict.
Donald Trump, not the man per se’ but rather what he represents, is an existential threat to each of the four groups listed above. However, inasmuch as each of the corrupted groups are about to be cast out of the political machine – they do not each carry away the same scope of value; some are, unfortunately, more important than others.
Think of it like ‘Mutiny on the Bounty’, only in this example the mutiny is being carried out by common sense Americans, and “The Bounty” is not a massive man-o-war akin to The Sommerset, but rather a modern aircraft carrier, The U.S.S. America.
Group four, the #NeverTrump crowd, is of no value moving forward. They can be cast aside as noisy gnats and will, as always, gnash their horrible teeth, stomp their feet and take their ball home. Good riddance to a useless bunch as they walk the plank.
Group two, the various media interests, are of little use either. However, they can traditionally be counted on to immediately re-position themselves to protect their own financial stakes. They’ll follow the path of financial opportunity just as water follows the path of least resistance. Team Trump doesn’t need to worry about them because they are survivalists who will adapt to what ever is needed to keep their self-serving interests alive.
That leaves group one, the politicians; and group three, the financial agents. These two groups can be of value depending on their skillset and willingness to accept an entirely new, and vastly less corrupt, course.
What Donald Trump doesn’t want to do is to position them in such a way where they feel as if they have no alternative other than to blow the ship to smithereens. The insurgency needs the vessel. Strip it down to the basics, but a hostile takeover requires the retention of the most essential componentry.
Team Trump will want to keep the mechanics and engineers on board, but also dispatch and replace any untrustworthy ordnance officers.
So the Trump campaign moving forward may begin to reposition the insurgency so those who are at greatest risk, but are also important, view their own interests as better served by acceptance of the reality afore them and not fighting it.
A “taking the lumps out” approach, where the adversaries fear is reduced in direct correlation to their acceptance. Enter Paul Manafort to begin these negotiations.
If and when, most likely when, it becomes obvious the insurgency is now in command, we will have reached the inevitability threshold. At that point candidate Donald Trump will want the integrity of the prize to be retained.
Complete defeat, ie. loss, must be positioned as an outcome that is survivable to the groups that matter. In the precursor to surrender, the surrendering agents must ultimately see a better course exists in acceptance of the inevitable. Trump will most likely need to provide assurances, face saving measures and safe passage.
Everyone within the insurgency needs to allow space for these negotiations, trust leadership to make the right decisions, and deserve victory. This approach will avoid those in ultimate power from hitting the self-destruct button and ensuring a third party. At the very least it will make it much harder for those are jaded in defeat to support the alternative, Hillary Clinton.
