Canada is in a really weird place and I’ve all but given up trying to understand it. At a certain point you just have to accept that Prime Minister Mark Carney is operating on an agenda for that country that is disconnected from all traditional perspectives around national best interest.
For example, the Canadian trade relationship with the single state of Texas, USA, is larger than the total Canadian trade relationship with the European Union, yet Carney is spending an inordinate amount of time chasing a trade deal with the EU that is never going to amount to anything. Seriously, it’s a literal dead-end.
First, there’s not a scintilla of alignment between the USMCA (Canada says CUSMA) and the European Union. There’s two entirely different sets of economic baselines, standards, rules and regulations between trading with the United States and trading with the EU. If Canada wants a trade relationship with the USA, they have to give up trying to structure their economy to align with the EU; both systems are entirely different.
Canada cannot have a comprehensive Free Trade Agreement with the EU that contains structural regulations on the flow of goods that substantively restricts Canadian products from entering the USA. The same issue exists with China.
Now, if Canada wants to separate from the North American trade agreement, then by all means – go for the deal with the EU and/or China. However, as long as Canada wants to retain their USA dependencies and benefits, there’s no mechanism that permits an FTA of substance with Europe or China. Mark Carney cannot have it both ways.
Secondly, do you remember when CTH noted the second quarter GDP for Canada appeared to be entirely manipulated by the movement of Dutch Central Bank gold from Ottawa to London. People laughed at me for noticing the timing and the mysterious (completely unexplained) gain in economic output in the second quarter. Q4 2025 was flat, Q1 2026 was negative, then mysteriously Q2 had a bounce – and, well, now Q3 is showing a return to flatline or negative.
OTTAWA—Canada’s economy cooled in the latest quarter after activity unexpectedly stalled two months running and early data points to a slight contraction in September.
Gross domestic product was essentially unchanged in August from the month before at 2.372 trillion Canadian dollars, the equivalent of US$1.695 trillion, Statistics Canada said on Friday. That was softer than the 0.2% expansion expected by economists following a similarly flat result in July.
The national data agency’s advance data indicates output edged down 0.1% in September.
Based on the estimate, Canada’s economy expanded at an annualized pace of 1.3% in the third quarter after surging back to life the period before.
August’s activity reflected a modest 0.1% expansion in activity by goods-producing industries, balancing a 0.1% dip by services producers.
The advance information for September points to decline in manufacturing and mining and oil and gas extraction, partially offset by increases in utilities and recovery in wholesale trade for the month. (read more)
Let me put this as plainly as I can. Carney is a former banker. Banks know how to manipulate economic outputs because banks can create the appearance of ‘sales’ within an economy.
Mark Carney was getting blasted for having a recession economy (two quarters of contraction Q4 ’25 and Q1 ’26) in early spring ’26 at the exact moment he was delivering his now famous Davos speech presenting himself as the leader of the “middle powers strategy.”
Enter the Dutch Central Bank transferred $86 billion in gold out of Ottawa and New York but didn’t actually take custody of it. Instead, the Dutch financially transferred the Canadian gold to the City of London. The Dutch Bank and Bank of England can, I say did, record that 3-way transfer as a physical sale of a Canadian holding (asset). That created the Q2 Canadian anomaly.
So, in reality pull that Q2 result out of the equation and the Canadian economy has been flat or declining for almost a full year now with a negative -0.1% result in September. This makes the conversation about Canada’s desire to become more economically dependent on the European Union look even sillier.
The USA economy already at $32.5 trillion is growing substantially at a 3.4% rate; that’s more than a thousand billions’ in economic growth. The EU economy is barely bumping along at 1.3% growth and Canada is completely flat.
For the past two days, Prime Minister Mark Carney and EU Commission President Ursula Fond of Lyin’ have been conducting an oratory lovefest expressing a desire for Canada and the EU to embrace each other with passionate synergy. However, back in Europe the rest of the knuckleheads -led by Germany- have dispatched any notion of letting Canada be an “Associate Member” 3,000 miles away. {GO DEEP}
Into this hot mess of diplomatic duplicity intended to dupe the culturally clueless Snow Mexicans and First Nation sensibility enablers, comes a bucket of ice water to the face in the form of a report showing the EU would apply a carbon border adjustment tax to Canadian industrial products because Canada just isn’t progressive enough with their climate preservation regulations {SEE HERE} and the evidence is HERE.
Remember what I said about the North American USMCA being entirely incompatible with the EU regulations on trade? Well, the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism is one brutally obvious example therein. Canada already having created a carbon trading exchange system may be willing to align and regulate themselves even more with that nonsense, but the USA and Mexico are never going to participate in such self-defeating foolishness.
I know there are a substantial number of really solid, conservative and intellectually honest Canadians. They are in my prayers daily, because the scale of bizarro world frustration they live with is astonishing. God Bless the pragmatic conservative Canadians.
Now, knowing how valuable time is, I would not recommend a video unless it was well documented, short on banter and hard on facts. This video is well worth your time.
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Ce qui définit un pays aujourd'hui n'est pas sa place sur une carte.
Ce sont les valeurs qu’il défend.
Et l’avenir qu’il souhaite bâtir avec les autres.
C’est ce qui rend l’Europe et le Canada si proches.
A Montréal nous ouvrons un tout nouveau chapitre de notre histoire… pic.twitter.com/hgmB2OfKUV
— Ursula von der Leyen (@vonderleyen) October 30, 2026
Wonderful. @thecoastguy Neil Oliver eviscerates Ursula Fond of Lying as he says the European Union is the last place that Canada wants to be! pic.twitter.com/1cVNq21jkj
— David Krayden (@DavidKrayden) October 30, 2026
Greece and a number of other EU countries have already rejected the “associate member” sleight of hand because it has no precedent or standing and allows other non-members to take advantage of the new status. Its too nebulous and umpredictable. Canada simply have to come up with a treaty with the EU to be able to function with it.
EU dropping associate membership title for its closer alliance with Canada
Carney says it’s the substance of Canada-EU relationship, not its name, that matters
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/european-union-canada-associate-member-9.7399578
The words “associate membership” were removed from a joint statement expected to be released at this week’s Canada-EU summit, according to a draft seen by CBC News.
But while the statement is now expected to use softer language promising closer ties between the 27-member bloc and Canada, the head of the European Union’s executive body continued to use the term in a social media post as she landed in Montreal on Wednesday.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen surprised many last month when she announced the EU would begin the process of making Canada its first associate member — a status that does not exist within the bloc — raising concerns among some members and Canadian politicians about what that would look like.
Looks like a Law of Rulers thing rather than a Rule of Law thing. Slope getting slipperyer?
I betcha the ‘liddle man’ is fit to be tied about Ursula’s new boytoy, he cant even stay in Ukraine long enough to welcome the humanitarian aid implemented by First Lady Melania Trump. Meanwhile Carney’s squeeze is supervising the actions of the war and countin the dough. 😛
“We are working toward the deepest possible partnership, short of accession because of our geography, with Canada becoming the European Union’s first associate member,” said Carney in his closing remarks.
“Over the coming months, we will determine the substance, scale and scope of this form of membership.”
Carney previously stayed away from using the “associate member” title, instead arguing the nomenclature doesn’t matter.
By Friday, though, he he added a timeline to the debate, saying the plan is to conclude negotiations in June, when he’ll join European Council meetings.
https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/video/9.7403053
Its Just Halloween Fright!!!
Who’s afraid of whom in Brussels?
POLITICO’s Halloween guide to who — and what — lurks in EU nightmares.
https://www.politico.eu/article/who-is-afraid-of-whom-in-brussels/
By POLITICO
Night falls in the European capital. Everything’s quiet, but the nightmares are about to begin.
Viktor Orbán’s ghost haunts the Schuman roundabout; ash from the bonfire of red tape covers the Justus Lipsius building;
Ursula von der Leyen’s chief of staff, Björn Seibert, chases after staffers demanding to know what “associate membership” for Canada actually means;
and MEPs tremble at the prospect of construction workers uncovering the skeletons of political intrigues past during renovations.
Scared? You should be.
Here’s our guide to who is terrified of whom in the Brussels bubble.