I think we all knew the Pennsylvania GOP Senate primary race was going to be close, but wow, it’s really close.   As of right now, only 1,750 votes separate Mehmet Oz and David McCormick, or a mere .2% of the more than 1.3 million votes cast.

According to the Philadelphia Enquirer there are approximately 105,000 mail-in ballots to be counted and no one knows how many of them are republican ballots.  Politico is estimating around 21,000 of them are republican ballots.

Regardless of the outcome from the mail-in ballots, it seems a recount is a certainty as Pennsylvania state law requires an automatic recount if the difference is less than half of one percent (.50%).

PENNSYLVANIA – […] Pennsylvania law requires an automatic statewide recount if the top two candidates in a race are within half a percentage point of each other, which Oz and McCormick currently are.

The secretary of state will make that determination by “the second Thursday following the day of the election,” which would be May 26.

The recount would be run by the individual counties, and it would have to start no later than June 1 and be completed by noon on June 7. Counties would have to submit results to the state by June 8. (Non-recounted races need to be certified by June 6.)

Recounts rarely change the results of elections, even incredibly close ones. Races with margins even in the low thousands usually hold. But in the closest of elections, small shifts in the corrected count can have an effect on the eventual winner.  (read more)

In the big picture it looks like the GOPe effort to split the MAGA base to benefit David McCormick almost worked.  Kathy Barnette ended up a strong third place.

The only factor that pushed Dr. Oz to the top of the race was the endorsement by President Donald Trump.  Without President Trump’s endorsement there’s no way Dr Oz could have won (perhaps) Pennsylvania.

Hopefully that means Oz will keep America-First at the very top of the policy agenda as he heads into the general election against a big time socialist, John Fetterman, the Democrat candidate.

In the interim, it looks like we will have to wait until after June 8th to know the official winner on the republican side.

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