This is very compelling. Dr.Shiva provides an MIT PhD analysis of MMichigan voting patterns; and the data reveals some irrefutable evidence of what has taken place behind U.S. voting systems. The video can be shortened to start at 18:00 BUT STAY WITH IT.
By looking at two specific metrics: (1) Republican straight party vote percentages [x-axis]; and (2) the percentage of people who voted for Trump without voting for a straight Republican ticket [y-axis]; mathematicians and data scientists (Phil Evans) are able to find the exact moment when natural voting patterns are manipulated by algorithmic triggers.
.
Here’s a good visual summary if you need the Cliff’s Notes…
https://thedonald.win/p/11Q8O2y2SY/
Watched the Texas A.G. on Newsmax explain why his state rejected that monkey pox software.Why is this news now? Why didnt other state A.G.’s reject that crap software? All they had to do was call up Texas. Maybe they didnt want to on purpose? America is the laughingstock of the world right now.
Because GA spent over 100 million dollars. Some former SOS aid were lobbyist for Dominion. Dominion kicking back having grand time wink wink.
I didn’t know this before, but heard Kemp was Secretary of State before running for governor, hmmmm
They’re all compromised
“America is the laughingstock of the world right now.”
I’m not sure everyone is laughing. I think there are quite a few people who are scared that without the US their lives will be ‘cancelled.’ There will be no one left at all with the resources and desire to help other people around the world get out from under or stave off tyranny or death. Israel would be towards the top of that list.
Taiwan & Hong Kong are in the crosshairs.
And that is the reason that Donald J. Trump decided to run for President! MAGA!!!
That’s why Netanyahoo was so quick to congratulate Biden?
That’s why Netanyahoo was so quick to congratulate Biden?
Absolutely. The (((Israelis))) are pure grifters.
The Israelis aren’t going to be happy with the Ska$k Ho’s plans to go with the Squad’s shoveling much money to Palestinian’s & Israelis none. Or more money to Iran, Hezbulah, Libya, Syria, etc.
Forget Middle East Peace.
More than likely because like PDJT, Bibi is a gentleman, and is cordial, even when he thinks otherwise. As Head of State, it’s also expected.
On Aug 15, 2016 there was a hearing on renewal of crooked Hart InterCivic and Election Systems & Software (ES&S) contracts. The secretary of state under CFR/RINO Ricky “Goodhair” Perry hired a Rose Law firm attorney in 2012 as director of elections. This tool ran from the hearing when reporters showed up. RINO Abbott, RINO Patrick and RINO Paxton have known of these vote rigging machines for four years.
“Interview on Electronic Vote Fraud” by CD Media with Russ Ramsland explains early analysis of 2020 fraud. On Oct 14, the Harris County crooks swapped 250,000 votes from RNC to DNC, see video. I called a dozen legislative staffers Monday, Nov 9 and majority were “just glad there was no blue wave in Texas”. Never mind that a fraudulent
blue ripple switched a million popular votes to an unpopular crook. Never mind a dozen US House, state senate and house candidates were robbed. Texas RINOs are coequals with their demonrat partners.
https://youtu.be/ficae6x1Q5A
Thank you for your post! IMHO we need to get it into the Public Consciousness that LYING, CHEATING, STEALING in whatever form, is WRONG, and not to be tolerated.
Step by step….. And, that there are CONSEQUENCES, that WILL be applied.
Whole new way of thinking, believing, acting. We Deplorables demand it.
The Good ‘Ol Boy network protects their own. Once you’re in, if you play ball, they keep you in. Nothing new.
They may be laughing but they’re also planning on raiding the golden eggs from the golden goose so they’re all calling to congratulate the senile corrupt guy.
The short of it:
Excess votes are in limited supply in Blue districts, so taking a % of them from Trump and giving them to Biden would risk 90+ % vote tally for Biden in these areas–very likely to trigger skepticism leading to audit.
Seeking those votes in Red areas means they can snatch small %’s in moderately Red areas and increase that % as the zones become far more predominantly Red. In such a fashion, the passing glance at the stats does not raise eyebrows for these zones. However, by filtering as these guys do, the algorithm, which is subtle and undetected in the natural returns tallies, leaps out and announces itself with gusto and clarity.
This is a key way, but one of a few/many, to grab the attention of those who are indifferent or skeptical.
I have more to follow tonight to help unlock this artificially mysterious vote…
Yup, all should definitely watch this.
We sent this out to everyone we new when we first saw it.
And yes, Swanzinator is right for a visual look.
https://thedonald.win/p/11Q8O2wesk/happening-calling-every-pede-to-/
The data for the swing states shows that michigan and pennsylvania were the focus of the vote switch and safe blue states to pad the popular vote. The hacker focused on states that have Democrat SOS and GOVs to prevent a full hand audit of the returns.
GA also uses Dominion but it doesn’t look like many votes were touched from some of the analysis I saw on the donald.
AZ used Dominion. That concerns me a lot.
Actually I take that as a good sign as it means Az probably voted for Trump. The other good thing is that computer fraud can be proved. And will be. Henceforth, I will be referring to Joe Biden as President Software.
Thanks for the link Swanzinator.
We left R and D land a long time ago.
I’m convinced black voters for Trump had their ballots changed or chucked.
There’s no way the % was that low.
No. Freaking. Way.
I think you may be misreading the graph. You have to watch the video and listen carefully to how the data is derived.
Black males as a general rule do NOT like Biden. It would be beneath them to vote for an old white coot with dementia. Liberals like Don Lemon or that other cry baby Van Jones I find it VERY hard to believe that THEY believe Biden gives one rats arse about them. They just hate Trump. But most black males at least they can relate to Trump, even if they don’t like him they know he will do good for the economy.
I agree, Moni. The data in the video from these precincts shows PT outperformed among Democrats, but significantly underperformed among Republicans (which is one thing that raises a flag).
Yes. The algorithm was employed in Republican counties. Very clever.
That’s the point, they are making. Those R precincts are where the votes were deleted from . . .
They relate to his transparency and flash, as well as his outsider status. Trump is hated by the establishment. Also, he’s not a p_ssy.
Swanzinator – I’ve managed to print this graph by zooming up and it goes to a second page but still not very legible. Any suggestions? Thanks.
I see some are concerned about Wikipedia’s most recent work up on Dr. Shiva Ayyadurai.
Looks like they (Wikipedia) got the word to attack the doctor.
Not a Wiki fan, however some view it in somewhat of a biblical form.
Thanks for your link found it helpful.
How fitting that a man named Shiva destroys the Deep State narrative
well played, stg! I recall you from, well, from when shiv was the operative word.
BON!
That actually happened in 2016. There was a GOP “consultant” named Alex Castallanous or something like that that said basically about Mr Trump, get close enough to shiv him.
Sundance had a post on this; perhaps someone remembers the guy’s name or the post.
Was thinking how appropriate from one of the Indian people that gave Pres Trump one of his largest rallies ever, with one of the Quad, PM Modi of India.
Yup….
you guys have great memories 😉
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/08/24/kellyanne-conway-is-not-helping-donald-trump-and-perhaps-thats-the-plan/
Shiva, of the Hindu triumvirate, must destroy the world in order to recreate it. It is not necessarily a physical destroyer, but a destroyer of improper ideas and a creator of constructive outcomes. A complex idea. Perhaps informed Hindi will help us understand this.
Shiva sits in patient meditation for eons and eons until the world has become degraded and needs to be destroyed, like you said. At that point, the energy that has built up in his spine like a cobra comes pouring out of his forehead as fire, burning up the universe. Then, the world is recreated (usually by some other god) and the cycle begins again.
I suppose it is a balance over time. Maybe people ought stay in the middle and not got to extremes?
Bahu Bali!!!
Lol that’s funny. “You Betrayed Shiva” (Indiana Jones ToD). And while I was hit with the movie reference maybe you are talking about divine inspiration. That’s fine too and apologies if that is the case. Truth is we need all Gods of Mercy with us now…..”TRUMP WON”
“I am become death!” We should hold a ceremony every year at Trinity Site to commemorate dropping the Big One on the demon rats.
To save others the trouble. Shiva – I’m down with a lot of what he proposes. But I do need to evaluate against some of SM’s weigh in. To save you the trouble of weeding through here’s the tweet by SM to start with
There’s still a rather large smoking gun that no one is looking into and it has to do with the state ballots that are mailed and how they are numbered (NOT tin foil watermark stuff). Run of the mill serializing stats…can’t be evaluated until HAND COUNTS, but oooo booy am I working my connections to get in the count rooms.
McIntyre did me a favor. Climate Gate years ago this month, he got a hold of the Fortran used to manipulate temps. I used Fortran for modeling before canned programs and PCs were invented. It took me a few minutes to read the code and see the instructions to change temps.
fortran and cobol…my initiation
I also appreciate mcintyre work
the so called “smoothing” in the code was obvious…
what drove mcintyre to dig it?
he performed a very similar data analysis using charts and pattern recognition…just as shiva is doing here.
in this case…they are approaching the problem with different assumptions.
we know how to solve the delimna.
ballots must be counted..compared to automation
.
it’s the ONLY way to determine accurately .
that is the path.
anything else is opinion and speculation
I really appreciate you bringing Stephen McIntyre into the topic this quickly. Word has it that few are his equal in stats. A friend at Cornell with strong credentials disputes Shiva’s conclusion, saying other statistical reasons can lead to the same result (without a steal algorithm). I have a strong background in this area, but not strong enough to assess confidently.
I would REALLY like Shiva to post similar graphics from other states, other races, even other races in Michigan like James v Peters. Some sort of control.
McIntyre was instrumental in exposing Michael Mann’s fraud on global warming….
Stephen McIntyre (BSc mathematics) and Ross McKitrick (BA, MA & PhD economics) were the two that took on Mann and his bogus hockey stick. Mann wouldn’t give them his code for the bent stick so they reversed-engineered it
Mathematicians love to challenge one another and that’s the way it should be to ensure solid results.
Keep in mind the other gentleman you can see on the screen, plus the other that speaks occasionally. They are election analysis experts; not just mathematicians.
The other guy you can see was the one that identified the corrupt software and how it worked many years ago. He was provided the files and reverse engineered the vulnerabilities. His work is what raised the flag.
Given their experience analyzing tons of elections, I’m going to take a shot in the dark and say that they likely understand compelling and accurate ways to assess data for fraudulent indicators, which is exactly what this does, and only what this does.
These are meaningful results and clearly demonstrate that red flags are up and more digging needs to be done.
That’s precisely where I’m hanging out at the moment. SM’s reply to me in an inquiry
“I haven’t seen anything in this data to persuade me that there is any “algorithm”. The original basis of Shiva’s argument was a pattern that was supposed to be unusual or anomalous, but, when examined more closely, is neither unusual nor anomalous.”
I have nit with this in terms of academics vs run of the mill coding terminology.
In coding terminology an algorithm is merely ‘steps’. Such as turn right, then turn left.
Shiva seems to be using the term as in there were steps to take from A and give to B.
Not sure if he’s doing that to pull a fast one to sound like he’s onto something or if he means as he suggests from an AI perspective an algorithm can be reverse engineered out of the data. If there is one…is it ‘operating’ or did the data just fall into a patter of A and B based on something like how much a precinct got hammered with advertising.
The Mcintyre graph isn’t visualizing the data in the same way as Shiva. Mcintyre just looks at likelihood of straight ticket voting. Shiva uses the difference between straight ticket and just trump votes or mixed votes. This is where you can detect whether just the trump vote is changed.
All that graph shows is that Dems straight ticket more than Republicans and that each relationship correlates to the degree to which a precinct has more or less republicans and democrats.
The control really helping shiva’s analysis is the degree to which trump outperforms in dem areas for non straight ticket voters and you don’t see this in republican areas, adjusted for the different ratio for r straight votes. The data shouldn’t inflect like it does. it should be more of a straight line and shouldn’t go negative.
Well said.
Copper, In the Shiva presentation he states Wayne has no Algo applied. But looking at the x axis it appears that the Algo starts at 30% R or so. Since Wayne is so far gone maybe the case statement was not applied, (so to speak)
Wonder if that’s how Doug Jones snuck in, Jefferson county was the last to report if I recall correctly.
That was China Kay’s fault anyway for calling for a special election. I bet it was done on purpose, I don’t discount anything.
I was accepting Dr. Shiva’s analysis until I saw McIntyre’s rebuttal. McIntyre eats poor statistical analysis for lunch. If he says it’s a nothingburger, it is.
Shiva and Team’s analysis was intended to show that an algorithm was likely at work in the election. It accomplished that objective.
McIntyre does not eliminate that possibility. In fact, we know that the software is susceptible to fraud and vote fixing. Therefore, if there was fraud, then some type of algorithm was in play.
If there was no fraud, then Dominion Software should be hailed for it’s amazingly accurate election results.
Either Dominion helped in this piece of possible election fraud or it was secure against vote transfer/shaving/elimination.
Mcintyre’s comment is a nothingburger, he isn’t visualizing the same type of data, and election analysis isn’t his forte. Man may be a genius but understanding the data set your working with is super important to understanding whether a relationship makes sense in a particular environment.
Yeah I hear ya but SM addressed this from the outset saying neither his or Shiva’s data was anything but ‘exploratory’ …properties for them both as statisticians were “unknown”.
I think he’s saying you can get an AI model out of this data and it might work but it could also fail. If you are pay a stats whiz you don’t pay em unless they dive deeper into the properties of the data. HIs point again the data has been captured and organized but at this stage does not tell us anything.
Skip all the technical stuff and go straight to the conclusion because, regardless who is right, that doesn’t change:
FIRE THE DEMOCRATS
FIRE THE REPUBLICANS
and I’m adding FIRE THE MSM
Take it straight back to we, the people. Use paper ballots and NOTHING else so there will be backup for an audit trail.
Just my 2 cents……
I suggest you go read some of the old posts on Climateaudit.org. You are not going to find more than a handful of human beings that understand stats better than McIntyre. Dr. Shiva may be pretty good in his various fields, but he is now operating in McIntyre’s arena and I am very confident he will be outclassed on McIntyre’s home turf.
Disagree. McIntyre used “Principal Component Analysis” to transform the data plotted on the X-axis to show a “hockey stick” or bend in the voting data. I have asked him on Twitter for more details about what variable was transformed and he has not responded yet. He used principal component analysis to become “non-obscure” (his words) in exposing Mann’s data fraud. As far as I can tell, his argument is that transforming any data set using principal component analysis can expose a “hockey stick.” Dr. Shiva showed a bend or “hockey stick” in the data without principal component analysis. I’m not convinced that McIntyre’s approach isn’t lying with statistics, so to speak.
I agree with you in part. McIntyre’s graphs do show transfers of votes, it is just that it is not obvious. Watch the slope changes of Rmix vs R str as %R increases. It is not only that R votes for Biden increase but a greater percentage of R vote Biden as R% increase. Does that sound right? NO. We are only dealing with about 2% transfer. I have contacted DR Shiva asking him to run a test case on a machine that shows the transfer. We know now that the formula kicks in at about 20-30% R. I admire McIntyre’s work on the hockey stick, I have been following him since then, but his graphs show the same transfer as Dr Shiva, it is just harder to read what is going on.
The Shive analysis is flawed – I’ve looked at it. Take an example precinct with 5 Republican (R) and 5 Democrat (D). If 4R vote straight party (SP) and 1D – you get an X axis of 80%R on his chart. Then for the non-(SP) 1R votes Trump and 4D vote Biden – you get -60% on the Y axis of his chart. However think about it, this would be a 50/50 precinct with a 50/50 vote for Trump, this guy would label this as a strong 80%R precinct with a huge differential in (-60%) the NSP votes. Yet all the R voted Trump and all the D voted Biden.
Here’s one possible issue with your analysis. If I understand McIntyre’s data correctly, Democrats are more likely to vote straight party ticket than Republicans, at least in the places SM analyzed. If that pattern holds true across jurisdictions, then a precinct that is 50-50 R/D is more likely to have more straight party Democrat votes than Republican ones. That would make your hypothetical situation accurate but unlikely to happen often in real life.
My bias is that I do believe in general democrats are more likely to vote SP – this was a feature when they passed these laws allowing it in certain states. It made it easier for bid democrat voting blocks to vote SP line, like unions etc. But I am looking at the actual data from Kent County – one of the counties in Michigan. And looking at individual precinct level returns: https://www.accesskent.com/Departments/Elections/Results/
I didn’t get into all the specifics of my analysis as to not confuse, so I am using a simplified version above for illustrative purposes. In a 50/50 county and you can also use the inverse of what I stated above, i.e., 4 SP D and 1 SP R, versus 4NSP R and 1NSPD which is what you are describing. This also leads to an outlier X axis 20% Trump with 60% overperformance in the NSP. So the diagnal graph you get is starting in the top left going down to bottom right. The line created from the data may be naturally occurring.
I am frankly amazed that all those (presidents, computer experts, political pundits etc. etc.) opining (or stating with real or assumed “authority”) in the past that our “election system” was not vulnerable to manipulation sufficient to swing a national election were so naive to imagine that in this era of the internet, AI, government and even teenage “hackers” etc., it could not be done as is now becoming increasingly apparent.
I can’t agree more. A poster on CTH a few years ago said “In this day and age there is no excuse for not having the election 100% electronic. I have also been lectured by election personal on how secure their computer voting is. While they are sincere, honest and proud of their work they are stupid and it is obvious that they do not realize what could happen. Paper has problems but it is still the most secure by far. Forging ballots takes time and literally leaves a paper trail.
Agree!
The reality is that ANY computer-based system—internet connected or air-gapped—is vulnerable to “manipulation” especially when there are so many variables and disparate methods, procedures, software and hardware across the nation that not only vary by state but even within states, and apparently in some areas, even within precincts.
It is still unfathomable to me that this was not accepted as a fact long ago and then rational measures undertaken to at least minimize the probable manipulation and/or at least detect it and memorialize it for evidentiary purposes in later litigation.
Our enemies have repeatedly demonstrated that they have absolutely no qualms or scruples about doing absolutely ANYTHING to get rid of the evil Trump and resume their March through the institutions of America to destroy our Republic in favor of some totalitarian utopian nightmare. I just cannot understand why someone was not sufficiently concerned to have done more to have either prevented or mitigated what apparently has happened. Perhaps this proves that Trump is literally alone in the government and there was no one around him who is not co-opted by or a member in good standing of the Swamp/Deep State to do what should have been done.
Do I not recall correctly that POTUS put Pence in charge of election integrity/ security? Ran into states rights and lawfare and dropped it?
With the FIB and Dept of Injustice seemingly doing nothing but leaving it up to PDJT and his lawyers to make the case of stolen election, we can only hope the President has had a plan and accounted for this obvious inevitable scenario playing out.
You recall correctly. You also may recall Barack Hussein Obama making fun of Trump talking about election fraud just before 2016 election.
Well, just over a year ago The Guardian was complaining about firms that own America’s voting system and how Trump potentially used them to his advantage in 2016 (yeah, imagine being THAT deluded): https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/apr/22/us-voting-machine-private-companies-voter-registration. Dominion is included in the list.
I wonder what they think about them now. Shouldn’t they demand the complete audit of these elections to make sure the president’s vote is not exaggerated?
I guess it depends on who “they” are in terms of their loyalty to the Constitution rather than partisan politics and power.
I meant The Guardian in this case.
Thanks. Nowadays I don’t expect anyone in the media or government to show any “virtue” in terms of applying objective standards and acting honestly and with “honor.”
Head over to The Guardian website and look for their begging letter and you will see how amazingly incurious they are about election fraud this time around…….and don’t forget to self-exorcise after you finish reading that sunwarmed green tripe.
but these same agencies just love to suggest heavily that russia is trying to crack the code.
I’m gonna drop this here for memorial
in short order as this fraud becomes verified…you can bank that the IC will put out some narrative that this was the work of some russian APT.
it’s predictable.
and it will present as yet another black flag event conjured by the central infectious agency.
Or they will merely deny it occurred and gaslight all of us.
https://tiny.iavian.net/15s8q
Shaking my head and laughing at the same time here. No mention of the vans with boxes of ballots.
I watched this a couple of days ago, this is very convincing.
It would be interesting to overlay 2016 data against 2020 data on the chart.
It would also be good to create a chart that shows the Trump total votes and Biden total votes Nov 3 and 4 hour-by-hour to see what time the Biden votes substantially increased and if that timeline matches the time the counts stopped so they could perform their fraud.
Would also be interesting to show the hour-by-hour votes for each of the contested states and see if they were following the same pattern and methodology during roughly the same time in the evening and in wee hours of the morning.
This analysis is flawed – I’ve looked at it. Take an example precinct with 5 Republican (R) and 5 Democrat (D). If 4R vote straight party (SP) and 1D – you get an X axis of 80%R on his chart. Then for the non-(SP) 1R votes Trump and 4D vote Biden – you get -60% on the Y axis of his chart. However think about it, this would be a 50/50 precinct with a 50/50 vote for Trump, this guy would label this as a strong 80%R precinct with a huge differential in (-60%) the NSP votes. Yet all the R voted Trump and all the D voted Biden.
Someone is going to jail…. or the Whitehouse. I’m not sure right now.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1326926226888544256?s=19
Hey you took my avatar. Haha no worries my friend pass this along “TRUMP WON” ?
Our POTUS-when he makes a statement like this—Watch out! And in all CAPS!
I find Shiva compelling
Off-topic, but adds background to Dr Shiva and his cognitive capabilities.
Did you see this on the climate change farce? Another great overview/expose on what is the motivation to keep the fraud rolling?
John Deere is advertising their tractor cab air filters (like a furnace filter) remove green house gases.
To give extra credence to this man, is he not reportedly the inventor of email as well ?
Tomlinson is “credited” with inventing email, but he didn’t do that. He used sndmsg to append text to an existing file. Shiva created some 50,000 lines of code in Fortran, at the age of 14, that created the “to”, “from”, “subject”, “bcc”, that we know as Email. He even copyrighted the term Email. So, I’m supposing he’s the “father” of what we currently know as Email vs appended text to a file.
My understanding is that Tomlinson sent an “email message” between two computers in the same room over ARPANET using user@hostname addressing. But I do think they were file transfers. Could be wrong.
sndmsg as a file attachment is a far cry from Email Headers. Tomlinson didn’t create anything. He appended existing commands. Shiva actually made something that never existed before. I’m not taking sides. I’m saying the 14 yr old made something new. and useful.
But the collection of email RFCs were a result of the ARPANET and related work… those headers and message formats were already spec’d out.
For example, 1977: https://tools.ietf.org/html/rfc733
This standard specifies a syntax for text messages which are passed between computer users within the framework of “electronic mail”. The standard supersedes the informal standards specified in ARPANET Request for Comments numbers 561, “Standardizing Network Mail Headers”, and 680, “Message Transmission Protocol”.
In this document, a general framework is first described; the formal syntax is then specified, followed by a discussion of the semantics. Finally, a number of examples are given.
RFC 561 was published 1973.
Maybe we’re getting unnecessarily nerdy. :^p
My understanding from looking into that claim a while back is that Shiva created an email program in the late 70’s that he called “EMAIL”, and subsequently copyrighted the name. But the underlying email technology itself had been invented several years prior (1971) as a byproduct of ARPANET, and had already been in use for quite a while prior to “EMAIL”. In any event, Shiva’s a pretty smart dude.
I would refer you to alohanet
the humble beginnings of tcpip
and email
met tim vernier lee in Hawaii during a Microsoft event (rolling out XP..got a dev copy..which I still use..for … things)..I met him earlier in berlin 6 years earlier…but that was ..anyway
tim highlighted some of the ground breaking work done at UH mania… names only the elder geeks appreciate. and how that influenced his creation: HTML.
kind of pissed off billy gates… the original thief of dos!!
anyway…alohanet was radical…it was a golden era at UH…real scientists with real creative genius…and focus. I spent almost a full year studying alohanet legacy. fascinating
*tim berners-lee
exactly
Americans had a WORLD CLASS ELECTION SYSTEM and Fake New Big Tech Globalist Dimms threw it away…they think we are stupid…
Cleveland shows OHiden has zero support so why does Detroit Philadelphia Minneapolis Milwaukee Atlanta come out 30% higher than 44!
State specific info here:
https://thedonald.win/p/11Q8O2wesk/happening-calling-every-pede-to-/
Beware!!!!This guy is something of a kook. Went crazy a few years back when he was being interviewed by Howie Carr when he was running in a GOP Senate Primary in Mass. Supposedly has an arrest record for domestic assault. Will be easy for left to attack. Interview is still on Howie’s Utube site.
Who Dr Shiva? Pull the other one, show your source
At the very least, he is a hot head!
To be fair, so is Howie Carr. Incredibly rude to invite Dr. Shiva on his show, and proceed to attack and shout at him. I listened to that entire segment, and it was embarrassing – like a couple children arguing on a playground.
We need a number of statisticians go verify this, that’s all.
I remember that interview. It was a spectacle. Regardless, the information in this video is important. (And the assault charges were dismissed, BTW).
Not arguing with his analysis or conclusions. Just saying that he may not be the best spokesman. Too easy to attack.
Seconded. And it is not supposedly. He was arrested, though I believe charges were never filed.
In addition, Dr. Shiva has 1) said he supports social justice and the Green New Deal 2) run against Trump’s official campaign surrogate which split the Republican ticket in the 2016 Senate election and 3) engaged in, and is currently engaged in, a series of nuisance lawsuits against various people.
Mr. Shiva may be very smart, and very correct in this instance. However, he is a self-promoter who is constantly measuring political winds. He often adopts a populist position because he knows that will get him attention, and often winds up being an embarrassment whatever cause he is adopting at the moment.
You said it a lot better than I did! I just remember, vividly, the way he blew up when being interviewed by Howie.
Being hot headed doesn’t make you crazy, it more often means your passionate. Is Mark Levin crazy or a great constitutional scholar that hates communists?
Shiva analysis is flawed – I’ve looked at it. Take an example precinct with 5 Republican (R) and 5 Democrat (D). If 4R vote straight party (SP) and 1D – you get an X axis of 80%R on his chart. Then for the non-(SP) 1R votes Trump and 4D vote Biden – you get -60% on the Y axis of his chart. However think about it, this would be a 50/50 precinct with a 50/50 vote for Trump, this guy would label this as a strong 80%R precinct with a huge differential in (-60%) the NSP votes. Yet all the R voted Trump and all the D voted Biden.
Also, his analysis is flawed – I’ve looked at it. Take an example precinct with 5 Republican (R) and 5 Democrat (D). If 4R vote straight party (SP) and 1D – you get an X axis of 80%R on his chart. Then for the non-(SP) 1R votes Trump and 4D vote Biden – you get -60% on the Y axis of his chart. However think about it, this would be a 50/50 precinct with a 50/50 vote for Trump, this guy would label this as a strong 80%R precinct with a huge differential in (-60%) the NSP votes. Yet all the R voted Trump and all the D voted Biden.
The posted thread is in response to Dr. Shiva’s analysis. I am not a statistician. I don’t have a preference between McIntyre or Dr. Shiva. I just want to fully understand what statistical analysis says about the likelihood of fraud. I think I understand Benson’s as applied to the election, but I have not reviewed Dr. Shiva’s work nor do I have an understanding how the material I linked critiques it. I’m just hoping to expand the discussion.
There was MANIPULATION in BOTH ELECTIONS.
BOTH 2016 & 2020.
Why do you think it was such a close election loss for Clinton but she NEVER challenged in the Rust Belt States in particular?!?
Why NO LEGAL CHALLENGE on such a narrow loss?!?!?
Isn’t the answer OBVIOUS?
The Democrats cheated in 2016 and knew any legal challenge would reveal their cheating.
That’s why they were so shocked – and so angry – but they also knew they COULDN’T CHALLENGE.
A Challenge would have just revealed their fraud!!
Btw – it’s a “Feature” not a “Glitch”. The late software update that came through to the Dominion machines was to swing the correct amount of votes to Biden.
Except – they underestimated – and needed the middle of the night ballots to make up for this.
A proper hand recount should identify the Dominion Fraud, as well as other fraud such as Double-Counting.
This will be very interesting to watch in Wisconsin & Georgia to start with.
Disqualifying mail-in ballots arriving in the middle of the night is the next thing.
I fully agree with this, and I believe it has been so since Obama took office.
The left used the surrogate Jill Stein was pushing for recounting, which of course Hillary supported, then it started showing “irregularities” with Hillary’s totals, and suddenly Jill no longer wanted the recount. Had Hillary pushed for it she wouldn’t have been able to back down and yet another crime would be attached to her.
I doubt President Trump would have been using election fraud techniques, and given that the GOPe were against him, it would seem odd they would do fraud on his behalf. Hillary’s polling and Biden’s polling were weighted to include high level fraud so it wouldn’t be questioned. Trump out performed what they expected overcoming the level of fraud pushed at him by the Hillary election fraud team. They underestimated him again this election and had to go drastic. We know Obama was selected, at least in his second term, there were far too many questions on turn out and percentage of votes in too many counties to be realistic.
Julian stated:
Challenging election fraud was muted for decades. Consider the bipartisan “Consent Decree” which prevented all political parties from challenging election fraud until it finally expired in 2018.
INVESTMENT WATCH Blog, August 8, 2018: End of 1982 Consent Decree: GOP finally can contest vote fraud after 36 years
Maybe the statistics can be explained in other ways, but the fact that the manual details a feature in the software that allows “weighted” vote calculation based on the voters registration is damning IMHO. The “weighted” value is a variable which can be changed manually, remotely or part of an algorithm. Go to 9:30 in the video to hear more details.
So a legacy element of software from an old Diebold system survived. Why would a tabulation instrument have a “switch” that could be flipped to alter the results? What legitimate purpose could that have ever served?
“What legitimate purpose could that have ever served?”
Exactly, none.
@Mariabartiromotv on Parler this evening:
Massive national security issues. Massive. I’m told Dirty Venezuelan & Cuba money behind dominion. The software also has components from china. This is about to explode.
and this after a little digging:
“The Castro brothers, Hugo Chavez, and the Venezuelan Software engineers Mujica Brothers created using multibillion Venezuelan Government funds an electronic voting system called SMARTMATIC/SEQUOIA/DOMINION which they can electronically and fraudulently manipulate the votes on any elections, on any country where the Smartmatic voting systems has been installed.”
“HERE IS THE TROJAN HORSE: Smartmatic or a division of it has been installed throughout many counties in as many as 18 states in the USA; magically “electing” candidates that have socialistic, communistic, or left tendency ideologies. That expansion of Smartmatic is a calculating invasion of the Castro Communism all over the world. Smartmatic, Citgo, and El Cartel de Los Soles have provided financial “contributions” to Joe Kennedy for oil, Bernard Sanders, Danny Glovers and his money laundering organization called Trans Africa, Carter, and Clinton Foundations and many others.”
Source: change.org
Smartmatic’s chairman is a member of the British House of Lords, Mark Malloch Brown, a former vice-chairman of George Soros’ Investment Funds, globalist. Has been scrubbed from the Smartmatic website since 8 November.
Something’s up, and if Maria calls it massive…..
And our crack Intelligence couldn’t find any whiff of this before the elections.
Ask yourself….where in the world did Venezuela and Cuba find the money to do this? Money laundering a couple of cycles to find its way to these 2 countries?? There has to be a lot of players in this to find involvement from C and V who aren’t renown for either their IT engineers or state-of-the-art voting systems and are certainly not flush with cash.
US govt workers at DHS and Intelligence sure dropped the ball on this one. Our govt is so incompetent and corrupt, it is beyond broken. Everyone is sleeping at the wheel.
Important to grab things before they vanish. Astonishing connections…
LA 2009
Los Angeles county
Los Angeles County, which has about 5 million registered voters, began searching for a new electoral system in 2009, after the county determined that available systems at the time were not suitable.[83] The Voting System Assessment Project (VSAP) was initiated to establish a publicly owned voting system, and to provide research of electoral methods for other voting jurisdictions interested in replicating the process.[83]
In 2017, Los Angeles County signed a $282 million contract with Smartmatic to create an election system to be used for future elections[84][85], and became the first publicly-owned voting system in the United States.[86] The system will be used for the first time during the 2020 California Democratic primary.[84][85] Both software and hardware were developed in the United States by Smartmatic, while ownership of all products and intellectual properties were then given to Los Angeles County.[84] The machines developed incorporate an interactive ballot that is printed by each voter to validate results, and then deposited back into voting machines.[86][87] According to VSAP, interest in the voting system was expressed by other districts in the United States and internationally.[86]
UTAH 2016
2016 Utah republican presidential primaries
In the 2016 Utah Republican caucus, where Utah Republicans voted to choose the party’s nominee for president in the 2016 US Presidential election, the voters had the opportunity to vote using traditional methods or to vote online. For online voting, the Utah Republican Party used an internet voting system developed by the Smartmatic-Cybernetica Internet Voting Centre of Excellence, based in Estonia.[29][79]
Despite warnings from security experts,[80] Utah GOP officials billed the online voting system, for which the state paid $150,000. Multiple issues occurred with the system, with voters receiving error messages and even being blocked from voting. Smartmatic received thousands of calls from Utah voters surrounding issues with the process. The Washington Post states that “the concern seems to be less with the technology and more with the security of the devices people use to vote”.[81]
According to Joe Kiniry, the lead researcher of Galois, a technology research firm:[57]
Several of us did a lightweight analysis of it remotely, to see how it was built and deployed and this sort of thing … we found that they were using technologies that even modern Web programmers stay away from. … It’s like the dumbest possible choices are being made by some of these companies with respect to deployed technology that should be mission-critical!
Responses from voters, who participated in the caucus from more than 45 different countries, was positive. 94% approved of the experience, 97% responded that they were interested in participating in future online elections and 82% thought online voting should be used nationally.[82]
Who do we know from Utah? Why, not Mr Romney…
I know I’m pasting a lot from WIKI, but we all know what the barn door looks like!
The Wall Street Journal wrote that “Smartmatic scrapped a simple corporate structure” of being based in Boca Raton “for a far more complex arrangement” of being located in multiple locations following the Sequoia incident.[107] Though Smartmatic has made differing statements saying that they were either American or Dutch based, the United States Department of State stated that its Venezuelan owners “remain hidden behind a web of holding companies in the Netherlands and Barbados”.[9][3] The New York Times states that “the role of the young Venezuelan engineers who founded Smartmatic has become less visible” and that its organization is “an elaborate web of offshore companies and foreign trusts”,[104] while BBC News states that though Smartmatic says the company was founded in the United States, “its roots are firmly anchored in (Venezuela)”.[3] Multiple sources simply state that Smartmatic is a Venezuelan company.[108] Smartmatic maintains that the holding companies in multiple countries are used for “tax efficiency”.[109]
Alleged affiliations with government
Affiliations with Bolivarian government politicians raised suspicions, with instances of an interior vice minister, Morris Loyo Arnáez, being hired to lobby for Smartmatic contracts and with the company paying for the National Electoral Council (CNE) president Jorge Rodríguez and his sister Delcy Rodríguez to stay at the Boca Raton Resort & Club in Boca Raton, Florida.[9][90][137] Vice Minister Loyo was paid $1.5 million by Smartmatic as a “sales commission” and his continual payments with the company eventually doubled.[90]
A lawyer who had worked with Rodríguez, Moisés Maiónica, was allegedly employed by Smartmatic in order to provide legal and financial assistance to help with its selection for its 2004 elections.[138][139] Years after the election in December 2008, Maiónica pled guilty in the United States District Court for attempting to cover up Maletinazo scandal, an incident where Hugo Chávez attempted to finance Cristina Kirchner’s 2007 Argentine Presidential Election campaign to influence Argentina’s presidential election, with Maiónica stating that he was working for Venezuela’s spy agency, the National Directorate of Intelligence and Prevention Services.[138][140] Smartmatic has denied ever having a relationship with Maiónica.[141]
The partner Añez tried to force out is an investment group that includes Carlos Kauffmann and Moises Maionica. Both men were sentenced in 2008 to more than a year in U.S. federal prison for their role in a political scandal involving a suitcase full of $800,000 in cash sent to Argentina aboard a Venezuelan government plane.https://www.newsbreak.com/florida/miami/news/2097676281810/miami-judge-blasts-venezuelas-top-airline-for-fraud
Smartmatic won the contract, which totaled at least US$128 million, including the delivery of 20,000 touch-screen voting machines (re-engineered lottery machines) yet to be built. There were immediate questions about how a virtually unknown company with no electoral experience could have landed such a large contract.
Mugica asserted to poloff that everything was aboveboard, though he conceded the company might have opened itself up to criticism by hiring a former interior vice minister named Morris Loyo to lobby the government…
Prior to (one meeting with poloff), Mugica had agreed to loan a voting machine to the Embassy for examination. When emboffs arrived at the office, however, Mugica said he had changed his mind and instead, suggested that we contact Smartmatic’s Boca Raton office to secure a test machine. https://www.manilatimes.net/2015/12/01/opinion/columnists/topanalysis/us-caracas-embassy-smartmatic-is-a-riddle/232249/232249/
Mugica connected to Soros/Clinton Foundation
Mexican police detained Irineo Mugica @PuebloSF
responsible for control and manipulate central american people to came USA in dangerous inhumane caravans.Mugica receives economic founds by George Soros and Clinton Foundation for organizing attacks against president Donald Trump.
An overview that ties various threads together while leaving others dangling. Some of these threads are freaking crazy.
https://greatgameindia.com/dominion-voting-systems-rigged-us-elections/
Smartmatic’s chairman is a member of the British House of Lords, Mark Malloch Brown, a former vice-chairman of George Soros’ Investment Funds, former vice-president at the World Bank, lead international partner at Sawyer Miller, a political consulting firm, and former vice-chair of the World Economic Forum who “remains deeply involved in international affairs.” The company’s reported globalist ties have caused members of the media and government officials to raise questions about its involvement in the U.S. electoral process.
Big Time Globalist, this “Malloch” character. Sounds like a real playa.
Oh… but it gets better…
In June 2010, Dominion acquired Sequoia Voting Systems from Smartmatic after a major election fraud controversy in Venezuela. Following the 2004 Venezuelan recall election, Smartmatic acquired Sequoia Voting Systems, from the British company De La Rue in 2005. De la Rue was the official Crown Agent of the British Empire who still prints banknotes for the Bank of England. Crown Agents ran the day-today affairs of the Empire.
W to the actual F is going on here?!?
Ironically, Dominion CEO John Poulos (and other vendors) testified to Congress on January 9th, 2020… session was “2020 ELECTION SECURITY – PERSPECTIVES FROM VOTING SYSTEM VENDORS AND EXPERTS”.
Don’t forget the scrubbing of Lord Brown from the Smartmatic website on or after 8 November. The change.org petition is 5 days old. It all kicked off behind the scenes on 8 November.
Can anyone connect the dots with events on or around that day,e.g. change in Trump’s mood, ‘innocent’ comments, or people like Graham and Pompeo suddenly and unexpectedly coming on board?
Re: scrubbing… couldn’t find Brown listed in the “team” of board of director pages going back to August 2020 via Internet Wayback Machine.
There is this archive, which has some articles:
https://elections.smartmatic.com/tag/mark-malloch-brown/
How ’bout this doozy:
“Experts gather to discuss the role of technology in elections”
https://elections.smartmatic.com/experts-get-together-to-discuss-technologys-role-in-elections/
“The Atlantic Council” will gather a group of experts to debate on the use of technology in the creation of more robust and participative democracies.
He was scrubbed from the Smartmatic website:
https://www.smartmatic.com/about/our-team/detail/lord-mark-malloch-brown/ but he was there on 8 November (web.archive link).
Reporting on the January Congressional testimony…
https://www.startribune.com/voting-machine-vendors-get-scrutiny-at-congressional-hearing/566855632/
https://twitter.com/JimQuillen/status/1327073190355607552
He ran against Pochahantus for her senate seat.
Dr. Shiva that is.
He lost the Repub senate primary in Mass. Rather than being a gracious loser, ran a massive write-in campaign to compete against the Repub senate candidate against Markey on Nov 3 thereby insuring a diluted vote for the Repub Senate candidate who obviously lost.
Not a team player. He’s known for his showmanship.
Boy, an over abundance of Shiva haters in this thread….hmmmmmm.?
You’re misinterpreting our posts. We’re just illuminating facts. We don’t hate him.
This may be asthmatically perfection, but there are still problems here such as:
In theory there is no difference between theory and practice, while in practice there is.
– Benjamin Brewster
asthmaticallymathematicallyAnd yet, here comes DHS/CISA saying the opposite: “The Homeland Security Department’s Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency and other groups said on Thursday that “there is no evidence that any voting system deleted or lost votes, changed votes, or was in any way compromised” Is it any wonder patriotic Americans have lost trust in government.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/no-evidence-any-voting-system-lost-or-changed-votes-trumps-election-security-agency-says?utm_source=breaking_push&utm_medium=app&utm_campaign=push_notifications&utm_source=WEX_Breaking%20News%20Alert_11/12/2020&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=WEX_Breaking%20News&rid=24780854
Not from CISA – it’s an advisory group of “stakeholders” – with ONE CISA guy’s name on there. Who knows how they got the letterhead, but obviously they’re afraid.
Ah yes, the department from which came the two guys who were fired today.
Gee, wonder why?
Trump should have fired these Obama holdovers when he came in.
Why didn’t he?
He didn’t know how deep the swamp really is. Give the guy a break.
Just look at the retreads Biden is bring in now and realize Trump wasn’t swamp is why.
Biden’s gettin’ the band back together.
And there was probably nobody in Trump’s administration who would tell him the truth because they were all working against him. There is no honest loyalty in DC.
Unfamiliarity with Washington.
And the guy who runs the place (CISA) was forced to resign, I think tomorrow is his last day? I don’t have a source, think I read it in the comments.
If you’re a Democrat, he’s just speaking truth to power.
If you’re a Republican, you wonder if DHA/CISA dropped the ball and there’s more evidence coming.
The Kraken is awake.
“The November 3rd election was the most secure in American history”, really?
Fire all of them, not just the ones at the top.
Apparently, all American history stated sometime in the year 2020.
This must be like the resolution of Carlos Danger’s blackmail copies of Cankle’s crooked emails. FBI hid them, then when forced, claimed inhuman powers of speed reading to declare that nothing was there.
Yeah. Right. As if they have actually had the time to fully check one system, let alone all the systems employed in all the states.
But, if you don’t look, you can safely say you saw no evidence.
“TRUMP WON”
The second metric he uses is people who did NOT vote for Trump but vote for straight republican otherwise.
I understood the analysis Shiva did , it was fairly straight forward, expected votes based on the percentage of precinct population D. or R. Then R vote missing.
However I dont understand Stephens work here . The x axis description ” Precinct Ordered by PC-1″ has me baffled. I have been checking his blog hoping he got interested enough to make a deep dive but have been unrewarded so far.
IMO, I think there are a couple problems with Shiva’s analysis. (1) His independent variable (how republican a precinct is) is also subject to fraud and manipulation. If anything, straight party mail in votes total might be the highest attack vector for fraud. (2) The relationship that he showed wasn’t one sided. Independent voters went higher for Rs in Dem districts. IMO opinion, Shiva’s analysis is not a silver bullet. Overall, he is essentially looking at the behavior of independents. Independents will go against the grain in high dem/r areas but still be tilted towards the majority party which is exactly what his graph showed. Rs straight party at 85% but Independent voters at 60% still implies a 20% win. I think Michigan was stolen by dems through a combination of software vote switching, mail in voter fraud, and precinct counting fraud but this analysis doesn’t exactly get at those. Also, Shiva didn’t really make the case for what normal behavior looks like. What if the graph is fairly close to a state where there is less suspicion of fraud. FYI please no one hound me. I am a mathematics major and software engineer and excitedly watched the entire video the other day. Personally, I think the most damning stuff is the 4am dumps from Detroit where 94% of the vote was for Biden and Trumps mail in support was 85% less than similar av batches in Wayne county. Focus on where excess turnout was and that should tell you where the magnify glass needs to go.
It’s the bi-linearity that is problematic. That is, it’s too ordered. It should be reproducible and verifiable by following his lead and profiling according to actual registration percentages for each zone. In other words, if the target algorithm is using lookup tables to do the math, then those tables should be readily compilable. If not, it would perhaps have to perform an integration over a time period or in arrears to assess what the voting pattern is/was.
Actually, it can be simple. If (% StraightRepublicanVoters > 20% of Precinct Registered Voters) then (TrumpVotes = (ActualVotes * 0.85) AND (BidenVotes = (BidenVotes +.15 * TrumpVotes)). Look at the slope of the Shiva graphs. Slopes are essentially the same in 3 counties. That is not Naturally possible. It has to be a Man made algorithm based on Precinct characteristics. It is a Program.
Are you saying that 15% of Trump votes were switched to Biden by the Dominion machine? Others have suggested the algorithm was set at 3%, but that was not enough to overcome the unanticipated yuuge number of votes for Trump. Hence, they had to stuff more paper ballots for Biden under cover of darkness.
I’m saying it is a Man made Algorithm 3%, 15%, whatever. It was artificial on the computer side of things. What happened with stuffing paper ballots was sheer, utter, desperation.
spoiler:. it’s not within code per se.
it’s the flashed rom for the CPUs… speculative memory to be precise.
100 dollars to donuts these are custom intel processors. (not ARM)
look there.
I have a friend.
we will need the CPU and dev data.
I mean the courts will
we already have the hardware..the firmware was “borrowed” in Sept…
but we understand production machines will be required to establish baselines
that will need to be done in a legal and openly transparent avenue.
promises made
promises kept
God Bless America
The first 20 minute was fluff and the last 20 minutes were fluff … not a good sign.
The examples presented were clear, if confusingly described. Shiva’s principle problem was that he didn’t show enough examples and especially “normal” patterns for comparison. Frankly, when I saw that bilinear shape I immediately imagined the cutoff pattern for a low-pass filter! I think Shiva tried to keep the discussion more lay-oriented but he clearly calls out the notch frequency, so maybe this perspective might help some understand it.
His use of Straight Ticket voting as an internal control is a simple and reasonable start but it simply has too many assumptions to be worth much beyond suggestion of impropriety. A manual recount would “fix” any software manipulation, assuming digital ballots remained unmolested. Fake mail-in ballots would need a separate, physical means of authentication that are beyond the scope of this discussion.
As we’re seeing, there seems to be an issue where straight-ticket votes didn’t include Trump because of a purported misspelling (upper case “i” being substituted with lower case “L”). I think this issue most easily explains Shiva’s observations, not weighted counting.
I shudder to imagine the voir dire process for jury selection for these trials … OUCH.
Finally, I’d like to mention that I suspect cheating happened in a layered fashion — cheating on top of cheating. Imagine how confusing it would be to prove anything if there were more than one “complicating” factor!?!
Shiva asserted that his attention turned to voting analysis after his unsuccessful primary run in Massachusetts.
Looking into it, he found that in higher-volume MA counties, the tabulation results tended to trend away from what he expected. So he looked into THAT further.
The MA Secretary of States Office was less than helpful. He ended up having to FOIA the info, to get more of his results data.
He wanted to see actual paper ballots. SOS Bill Galvin blew him off. OK, so then he wanted to see the ballot images. Since all the ballots are photographed/taped by federal law and kept for ~21 months.
After a new new FOIA request, he learned that Mass. throws away their ballot images almost immediately. Could be a serious violation, but other states apparently do too.
Disk and tape storage is cheap now. Perhaps some state govts. and govs just don’t like audit trails.
The strength of this analysis is that it can be done by anyone on publicly available data.
There are only two variables, the published vote count and voter registration. It is highly unlikely that a registered republican is actually a clandestine democrat. All the democrats I’ve ever known are loud and proud.
Seeing the same graph-break point and slope for different counties is a silver bullet.
Shiva’s graph is pointing out where to concentrate the audit based on the findings of where the theoretical vote fraud lies. His chart won’t mean much in court, but shows the data analysts that Trump underperformed in Republican precincts, which we know if logically false, so theoretically those ballots would be the most dirty, the most prevalent and ripe for audit.
It’s a helpful graph to begin to understand where the fraudulent ballots are so you’re not looking for the proverbial needle in a haystack. Quite useful, really.
I look like a bot because I keep posting this, but I’m just worried that people are getting too into this analysis and they are going to be disappointed and discredited as kooks. The Shiva analysis is flawed – I’ve looked at it. Take an example precinct with 5 Republican (R) and 5 Democrat (D). If 4R vote straight party (SP) and 1D – you get an X axis of 80%R on his chart. Then for the non-(SP) 1R votes Trump and 4D vote Biden – you get -60% on the Y axis of his chart. However think about it, this would be a 50/50 precinct with a 50/50 vote for Trump, this guy would label this as a strong 80%R precinct with a huge differential in (-60%) the NSP votes. Yet all the R voted Trump and all the D voted Biden.
Yes, you do look like a bot. We got your message … for the 100th time now.
If this were my blog, you’d be banned for spamming the comment section by now.
Can anyone tell me where Dr. Shiva got the data to do his analysis ? I’ve been concerned that the Edison data (that all the media received) is not the ACTUAL system data. There are many videos out there showing the vote manipulation during programming. But I could see MSM/Libs saying that this is our data and we had a glitch. But it is not a Dominion system glitch.
I wouldn’t put too much faith in this statistical analysis by Shiva.
(See Stephen McIntyre’s analysis posted by Copper Top up thread, and read all of McIntyre’s thread. He is the best in the World for this type of statistical analysis).
This election is way too different than previous ones in that so many mail in ballots were used.
Who knows how many moms insisted their kids vote even if it’s just for Biden at the top of the ticket. Kids who normally wouldn’t have lined up for in person voting.
This election was about turn out and Dems got it with mail in ballots using COVID as an excuse.
Comparing statistics with previous elections only opens a pandora’s box when we have very limited time to show something substantive happened to change the result.
This is how the fraud happened. A month-long election that replaced Election DAY.
Arrest Soros—Dominion was used. I am thinking that it could not do the percentages needed without causing immediate suspicion. They subsidized with the mail-in ballots.
They tried it in 2016 with Hillary. Didn’t work. Turnout was too big for President Trump.
This time they needed a back up plan-COVID and pushing for mail in ballots which can be manipulated also.
That is why the rush for the “President Elect” dog and pony show. Why the push for President Trump to concede, etc. And shucks–didn’t happen. Our President isn’t going to give up the fight. We have been talking about Election fraud for years…talk…talk..talk…blah…blah..blah. Now we can prove it. And then clean it up.
We have plenty of time to do what needs to be done. It is just getting started! It is going to get UGLY…like in Sundance and his BIG UGLY.
Me, I bought popcorn. Watching history live.
President Trump- he has got this.
Shiva as The Destroyer of Illusion. That seems appropriate.
The anti-Loki.
Shiva is looking at the data as a Systems Analysis event. The x variable is %RepublicanStraightTicket. The Y variable is TotalVotesRep – StraightRepublicanVotes.
In essence, he is showing a System Response against a Frequency. Magnitude vs Freq. A Bode Plot of Linear Systems.
As a Precinct becomes more Republican, approaching 100% at the extreme, corresponds to a maximum normalized frequency. Call it 100 Hz, 1000 Hz at max, doesn’t matter. Normalized frequency.
The deviation from zero is an indicator of system response for Total Votes for Trump – StraightRepublicanVotesForTrump. In the 4th MI precinct, essentially zero republicans, Trump won an increasing % of votes. In the other 3 precincts, as the %Republican went past 20% to 25%, there was an ever increasing amount of votes “lost” or “transferred”. The 20-25% point is the “break frequency” in a Bode plot. In other words, that “break frequency” or “%Republican” shows WHEN the Algorithm kicked in and the slope of the line shows the Magnitude of the Algorithmic shift of votes From Trump to Biden. He’s showing that it is a dynamic system with a FIXED response.
From Control Theory, he’s got something very well in hand.
It is a Magnitude vs Frequency Plot of a System Response. An Artificial Outcome as compared to a random, honest event. How does a system LOSE votes for a Republican as MORE Republicans Vote, in a Machine, unless there’s trickery at play. That’s his point
If his data is legit, then he’s nailed them. Whether his analysis can be used directly to declare fraud is another matter legally, but it SHOULD be a flashing neon pointer to dig here –>X<– to begin the audit and discovery process.
I’m assuming his data is legit for the 4 counties he looked at. IMO, he’s trying to show that it is not logical that a Republican would LOSE votes as the precinct becomes MORE Republican. It does say “Dig Here”.
Thank you Cowboy79 for that clear and concise explanation. It is appreciated.
Cowboy…I agree! Especially your last part—-“How does a system LOSE” votes for a Republican as MORE Republicans Vote, in a Machine, unless there’s trickery at play. That is his point.”
I did watch the whole video a couple of days ago. Not a techie by any means. What I came away with was—
Reach a certain point then start to slide away the votes from Republican in areas where it would be least missed.
I also saw videos of someone who had taped the election coverage. Within 30 seconds -Pennsylvania showed Trump lost 19,958 votes…and Biden received 19,958 votes at the same time. The mathematical probability of that is—ZERO.
I can only imagine that Patriots (and CHAN guys) are going through all the coverage from all the networks even as I type this. From just that they should be able to earmark a time and start from there.
MAGA—-I trust God and I trust President Trump.
Man Proposes. God Disposes.
In between those events, we all get what we allowed. Time to jerk that leash hard.
Cowboy–I am telling friends…..separating the wheat and chaff.
I do believe a few have already shown what they are—Bushes and Romney and a few others that called for him to concede. Those that are remaining silent, take note. Those that are fighting along with our President. Noting those also.
If this being just the beginning, is producing such nervous ninnies….I am thinking by the time it is all over….they will be sitting in a corner speaking incoherently.
Time for people to buckle up.
I trust God
I trust President Trump
It is our choice to support His Will or Not. We have that choice. God gave it to us.
My suggestion is that people might choose wisely.
What happens next is up to us. What happens after that, is either a curse or a blessing.
In either case, we will reap what we have chosen.
There are no small decisions. Every decision changes everything.
Cowboy-true.
How they set up the scatter plot graph axis makes sense.
This is the picture proof of the Scorecard/hammer programs footprint. Scorecard is the algorithm.
I’ve heard others warn that Shiva is a grandstander, but math is math & he has a legit observation.
I saw a tweet today showing a similar graph from the same MI county in 2016, argument was that the graph wasn’t unusual….
Not a great argument because to me it indicates they used the algorithm in 2016 too!
It makes no sense that as a precinct became more Republican, the more the vote went to Biden.
If you expected a heavy Republican vote precinct, you’d expect a likewise heavy positive Trump vote , a cluster of dots above the line as you go to the right of graph
Remember, the left tells us to trust the science but… not this science.
Dr. Shiva created the email we use today at age 14, yep, I’d say he a brilliant man.
Bingo. He’s trying to show that an “honest” system would show a “flat line” but the negative slope shows an improbable outcome that has the same negative slope in 3 of 4 counties. In the 4th county, very small Republican base, Trump actually GAINED votes. That means the outcome in the other 3 counties is “illogical”, “inexplicable”, “abnormal” with respect to a Stable System. The system was NOT stable. It was MANIPULATED. That’s the point of his exercise. The only way 3 counties had the “same” negative slope has to be because of an algorithm that removed votes from Trump and discarded them or assigned them to Biden. All 3 counties show the same “system response” at 20-25% Republican base. It is not natural. It is a Man Made deviation. That’s Shiva’s point.
The reason to pull more votes from the more Trump friendly precincts is to reduce the chance of getting busted. Why look hard at a precinct that Trump already won? The bigger the pie, the harder it is to see a piece missing.
The more votes available to flip as well.
In GA and PA, they’re also pulling votes from the Libertarian candidate and switching them to Dementia Joe.
I saw a tweet today showing a similar graph from the same MI county in 2016, argument was that the graph wasn’t unusual….
Not a great argument because to me it indicates they used the algorithm in 2016 too!
Great point and one I’ve been thinking through this whole thread.
From… https://thedonald.win/p/11Q8O2wesk/happening-calling-every-pede-to-/
Switched votes are votes that were taken from Trump and given to Biden.
Lost votes are voted that disappeared during the counting, from both candidates.
There might be a small overlap between Switched votes and Lost votes.
???WE DECIDED TO LEAVE THIS NUMBERS UP SO YOU CAN SEE HOW OUR RESEARCH HAS EVOLVED.???
Dominion Voting Systems :
Pennsylvania : Switched : 220,883 Lost Votes : 941,248
New Jersey : Switched : 80,242 Lost Votes : 20
Florida : Switched : 21,422 Lost Votes : 456
Michigan : Switched : 20,213 Lost Votes : 21,882
New York : Switched : 18,124 Lost Votes : 623,213
Georgia : Switched : 17,407 Lost Votes : 33,574
Ohio : Switched : 14,965 Lost Votes : 5,102
Virginia : Switched : 12,163 Lost Votes : 789,023
California : Switched : 7,701 Lost Votes : 10,989
Arizona : Switched : 4,492 Lost Votes : 0
Minnesota : Switched : 2,766 Lost Votes : 195,650
Tennessee : Switched : 2,330 Lost Votes : 0
Louisiana : Switched : 2,322 Lost Votes : 0
Illinois : Switched : 2,166 Lost Votes : 54,730
Wisconsin : Switched : 2,078 Lost Votes : 3,408
Colorado : Switched : 1,809 Lost Votes : 0
Utah : Switched : 1,627 Lost Votes : 0
New Hampshire : Switched : 973 Lost Votes : 116
Iowa : Switched : 938 Lost Votes : 477
New Mexico : Switched : 268 Lost Votes : 4,610
Missouri : Switched 0 : Lost Votes : 20,730
Nevada : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 0
Alaska : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 0
Washington : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 0
Hawaii : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 0
Kansas and Texas use Premier Election Solutions, owned by Dominion Voting Systems.
Texas : Switched : 14,954 Lost Votes : 30,557
Kansas : Switched : 1,674 Lost Votes : 2,154
Election Systems & Software :
Nebraska : Switched : 30,086 Lost Votes : 50
Kentucky : Switched : 8,129 Lost Votes : 23,849
Arkansas : Switched : 3,664 Lost Votes : 20,748
South Carolina : Switched : 2,779 Lost Votes : 2,119
Montana : Switched : 2,330 Lost Votes : 1,276
South Dakota : Switched : 1,347 Lost Votes : 1
North Dakota : Switched : 234 Lost Votes : 681
Maryland : Switched : 203 Lost Votes : 0
North Carolina : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 15
District of Columbia : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 0
Unknown Systems:
Nebraska : Switched : 30,086 Lost Votes : 50
Connecticut : Switched : 3,834 Lost Votes : 272
Massachusetts : Switched : 3,613 Lost Votes : 51
Oregon : Switched 2,557 Lost Votes : 0
Alabama : Switched : 1,170 Lost Votes : 408
Mississippi : Switched : 355 Lost Votes : 0
Maine : Switched : 271 Lost Votes : 35
Rhode Island : Switched : 6 Lost Votes : 13
West Virginia : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 78,300
Idaho : Switched 0 Lost Votes : 0
Oklahoma : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 0
Indiana : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 0
Delaware : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 0
Vermont : Switched : 0 Lost Votes : 0
NOTE : Lost votes are votes that disappeared, not only for Trump, but overall.
VERIFIED!!!!:
I went looking through the data I got from my script, trying to find if the moment the Antrim glitch happened in Michigan is there. And it is. Here is the Data. [ https://static01.nyt.com/elections-assets/2020/data/api/2020-11-03/race-page/michigan/president.json ]
And here is the specific part when the switch happened. [ ]
You can see in that picture, that Trump lost 3,096 votes, those all went to Biden. BUT, Trump also lost 2,324 votes, that went nowhere.
EDIT: Those 2,324 were moved from Trump to Jorgensen.
Jorgensen votes = Total votes * (1 – Trump share – Biden share)
Nr.27 : 573,857 * (1 – 0.578 – 0.401) = 12,051
Nr.28 : 574,417 * (1 – 0.568 – 0.406) = 14,935
Jorgensen vote increase from Nr.27 to Nr.28 = 14,935 – 12,051 = 2,884
Total vote increase from Nr.27 to Nr.28 = 574,417 – 573,857 = 560
Jorgensen vote increase – Total vote increase = 2,884 – 560 = 2,324
SOURCES: Here is the data I used:
EDISON DATA: https://static01.nyt.com/elections-assets/2020/data/api/2020-11-03/race-page/pennsylvania/president.json
https://workupload.com/file/LVcwK7AAD8p
Some of this I could ascribe to human transcription errors – presuming it involves humans entering the information. Each step where manual entry occurs introduces a potential step where error could more easily occur. That noted, just like about everything else – why are all the errors only in one direction…
But vote switches add to Biden while subtracting from Trump… so the person would have to make two mistakes at the same time, right? Biden’s number goes up, Trump’s goes down.
Drobaselt…to sum it up. It was NOT a computer “glitch”. It was a feature built into the program.
All well understood.
Why I noted “some” – and included the comment about them only going one direction. If it were human error, some of those would be anticipated to go the other way, yet none seem to. And with the amount of “errors” and being virtually unidirectional – it tends to remove the “error” component.
couple of key tech notes to address this
1. all mail in ballots are scanned…ballot images are produced.
2. in the event the scan process produces errors. is, scan cannot be made then humans are involved in determining what the error is. could be a unreadable selection (drawing outside of box, use of a non standard unreadable marking, ballot damage, or intermittent scan operation fault ..when the human is involved there is a broad scope of subjective judgement involved…this should require many eyes and a QC type such as an inspector and a QA TYPE such as a quality supervisor…for each “rejected” ballot there should be a record made attached to such cards showing that process was completed with no gaps..
3. the areas of failure …risk…are many. since the actual ballot does not contain a signature…only the inner security envelope…once these two items are separated…it’s unknown if an audit can satisfactorily link a registered lawful voter to A card. whether intentional or by fraud…a scan operator can scan a single ballot multiple times. it is not clear that the ballots contain unique security features in their design. one would assume such a system would implement “this ballot has already been scanned”…we do not know this was engineered.
and there are other issues that will be investigated…
The Dominion girl in Michigan said stacks of Biden ballots were rerun several times. Sounds like the ballots are not serialized.
I recall seeing one of the Michigan affadavits saying she saw black tape over each of several dozen ballots – that were then run repeatedly through the machine.
So whatever identifier they had on the ballots – serial numbers, bar code or whatever was taped over !!
https://thedonald.win/p/11PpYcmi2i/this-is-critical-information-eve/
https://thedonald.win/p/11PpYmyKyu/breaking-election-software-serve/c/
“The more that a broken system tells you that you’re wrong, the more certain you must be that you must keep pushing ahead. Because it’s the outsiders who change the world and will make a real and lasting difference. Nothing worth doing ever came easy. Treat the word impossible as nothing more than motivation.” ~ President Donald J. Trump
Holy crap! Its no longer “Release the Kraken!” its “Release the techies!”
I’ve tried to do something similar for NC; but, since straight ticket is not an option, I’ve tried substituting in 2016 as the baseline for the x-axis and 2020 being the y-axis aspect. I’ve graphed it at the county level (not precinct yet) using the methods described. I graphed it both from the democrat and republican aspects for the presidential race.
For the democrat one, it tended to show that the lower % vote D counties in 2016 (i.e. more republican voters in 2016) tended to vote at a higher rate (about 1.75%) for the the democrat candidate in 2020. While the higher % vote D counties in 2016 tended to vote about the same for the D candidate in 2020. The slope of the “fit line” went from a notable positive (1.75%) down to just below the 2016 base line (-0.25%) the higher the % vote for the D candidate in 2016.
For the republican one, it tended to show that lower % vote R counties in 2016 tended to vote at a higher rate for the republican candidate in 2020. While the higher % vote R counties in 2016 still tended to vote higher for the R candidate, the slope of the line still trended noticeably lower (2% down to 1%) the higher the R % in 2016.
From the presentation, the note that the sloped lines is a potential cause for concern – not proof; but, something worthy of being looked into.
Both of these graphs tend to show the same thing just from the opposite perspective: the higher the R expectation based on 2016, the more crossover to the D Candidate in 2020.
It’s a poor man’s statistical analysis based on the method presented…. But, a 1% change in NC would be on the order of flipping about 55k votes (i.e. 110k vote differential). The current margin is in the 70k range.
Along with that, I’m still trying to figure out how the state board page notes 1,000,583 absentee ballots cast, yet the results page notes 1,030,242 total absentee votes tallied for the presidential race… (The day after the election it was roughly 976k absentee ballots and yet noted over 1 million votes tallied via absentee.)
Dr Shiva has tweeted to both the Trump and Biden camps inviting them to have his data and methodology critiqued. So he is being very open about it.
And it was just not just Dr. Shiva, he has/had other colleagues working/verifying his information.
I got the impression ( I could be wrong ) that two other guys collected the data and they got Dr Shiva in to help crunch the numbers and present it. So as you say it was three people working on it.
I do not think a high profile guy like Dr Shiva would try to play any games as he has his own political ambitions. If he was found to be “playing games” with such a controversial subject, his reputation would history in seconds.
I bet the Trump camp is checking it out. I wouldn’t even guess with the Biden camp; if they checked it out, they would lie about it.
Biden would say, “It’s Russian disinformation and everyone who has looked at it has said there is nothing there. C’mon man! Ask the right questions!”
So, the elections are all kabuki theater. And, the billions spent on campaigns are just for our entertainment, the implication being that all is coordinated by a small, wealthy group of globalists. I knew we were being had in so many ways, but this is so sickening it makes you want to grab your (fill in the blank). How President Trump, keenly aware of the evil he faces, keeps his sanity and still accomplishes so much is mind-boggling. If he is able to pull off exposing the string-pullers and defeat them, he’ll be the greatest reformer in modern history.
Is Sundance on Parler?
I have heard nothing about him being on Parler.
There is a profile for @Sundance, without any comments or votes so it’s probably a placeholder for future. He does have 20 followers so far…
So basically the hand recount is going to blow this wide open. Should be an interesting Thanksgiving.
I think it needs to a full audit, not just a simple recount.
Ah . . . so the computer has been preset to flip the votes.
If they count the paper ballots by hand, this massive fraud will be obvious because the count by hand will be VERY different from the count by computer.
This assumes that we have the paper ballots to count them.
Pascal…also look for the video that a woman took of the election night coverage. It shows that within 30 seconds in Pa.
President Trump lost 19,958 votes
and Biden gained-19,958 votes
yup all within 30 seconds
Probability of that happening—ZERO
When you understand the “Great Reset” that these so called world leader sold out for (yes Boris Johnson you too), then you’ll understand why President Trump must be stopped.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/products_services/products/great-reset-we-have-expanded-it-its-available-now-no-charge-for-those-who-purchased-already/
Vote All Incumbants Out. As I tell friends and family. This is separating wheat and chaff.
Notice who wanted/wants President Trump to concede.. Notice who congratulates President Trump. Notice who remains silent. Notice who steps up to fight with our President.
Kinda a two-fer on many levels. Clean elections will be end result–finally. Who is a traitor and supporter.
It had to happen. We have been talking about election fraud for years. Talk…talk..talk..blah…blah…blah. Now it has happened and we can prove it and hopefully force states to have clean elections. Yeah, it will never be spotless clean, but a whole lot better than now.
And—separating wheat and chaff.
Makes sense. You steal the most votes where there is a greater margin of victory because there is almost no chance of getting caught with a recount. Recounts only occur in close races.
Why didn’t Hilary request a recount, why did she concede so quickly? Why, because their cheating would have been detected. They didn’t cheat enough, and this time they cheated too much!
If you expect the courts to use this information to invalidate votes and elections you are going to be very disappointed. The courts are corrupt. The entire system is rigged.
I don’t think the courts are the only decision makers in this process. State legislatures can use this data to call for audits and recounts. It is the legislators who must certify the vote and if they fail to do so by the deadline then it will fall to a vote in the US House where each state will cast one vote.
Do you ever get the feeling you don’t deserve President Trump? You should.
https://thedonald.win/p/11PpYcmi2i/this-is-critical-information-eve/
https://thedonald.win/p/11PpYmyKyu/breaking-election-software-serve/c/
“The more that a broken system tells you that you’re wrong, the more certain you must be that you must keep pushing ahead. Because it’s the outsiders who change the world and will make a real and lasting difference. Nothing worth doing ever came easy. Treat the word impossible as nothing more than motivation.” ~ President Donald J. Trump
this will ultimately be the central argument made before scotus.
science
there are some additional statistical methods not shown in this video that will also be introduced that will be very useful in verifying that the dominion system results are not reliable. (clue..it doesn’t need to be married to fraud…unreliable is sufficient to satisfy the legal basis to NOT accept dominion output)
there will be more credentialed and highly respected experts in the field of statistical analysis and specifically automated voting systems.
these people will be the best professionals who can inform the courts what the data shows…why it is a problem with no reasonable logical OR HISTORIC explanation.
ultimately the only way to resolve these issues is to do another complete vote.
why?
mail in ballots are not signed…it’s a chain of custody and authentication problem now.
the moment the inner security envelope was separated from the actual ballot…that creates a terminal problem..(rescanning the same ballots and creating multiple ballot images is one type of u traceable fraud…)
so we are looking at another full vote.
take a deep breath. buckle up. stay focused
communicate YOUR will to your state representatives
NOW
important: dominion is NOT THE ONLY automated system used that showed similar irregularities. we will learn more about that on Tuesday…stay tuned.
do NOT get sidetracked or confused.
your vote counts.
all legal votes will be counted.
illegal votes will be identified and removed.
God Bless America
Something is wrong because Arizona has a population of 40% gun owners and New Mexico is 50% gun owners. Why would anyone in Arizona who owns a gun vote for two gungrabbers like Biden and Kelly? Similar issue with Georgia!
Did McSally concede or is she challenging? Between she, Gade and James, we could pick up at least 3 more if these were challenged.
I’m so glad Sundance put more focus on this. There are so many angles flying around out there, it gets overwhelming. I’m sure the dems “flooded the zone” with every fraudulent opportunity they could think of to steal votes and cause confusion, but this analysis is so damning, relatively simple to understand and likely had the most impact.
good stuff thanks for putting this up sundance
In summary the took more votes from Republican counties they flipped a percentage of trump votes the higher the percentage of trump votes the higher the percentage of flips. that way it would look like he under-performed as opposed to stuffing ballots in particular blue counties.
Not in the presented analysis My position is the Dems underestimated the steal so they had to revert to the ridiculous level of stuffing in Milwaukee, Detroit, Atlanta, Phoenix, and Philly.
My question. Was it done all the way down the ballot? The consequences for senate and house could be massive.
My assumption. This was done in all states so as to establish a similar voting pattern. The anomalies in voting patterns only seem to show up in the ballot stuffing areas.
sorry if I posted twice, I couldnt find it
https://thedonald.win/p/11PpYcmi2i/this-is-critical-information-eve/
https://thedonald.win/p/11PpYmyKyu/breaking-election-software-serve/c/
“The more that a broken system tells you that you’re wrong, the more certain you must be that you must keep pushing ahead. Because it’s the outsiders who change the world and will make a real and lasting difference. Nothing worth doing ever came easy. Treat the word impossible as nothing more than motivation.” ~ President Donald J. Trump
Two ways republican was spelled. Republican and RepubIican. Straight ticket used the later. Thats not an L its a capital i-I in the second offering. Did you catch it?
Nope. But software can.
Generally speaking if you vote for Republicans for a Congressman and a Senator on a ballot, logic dictates you vote for the Republican Candidate for President as well.
Mitt Romney, and other swamp things, argument is that lots of republicans voted for Republican congressman and Senators but didn’t like Trump and did not vote for him specifically.
That defies logic.
If that were the case as indicated in the video the precincts (blue squares) would be below the mean from left to right on the graph, not a perfectly linear slide from top to bottom on the graph.
For example you will rarely see a vote for a Republican Senator and a Democrat Congressman on the same ballot.
It’s an algorithm (designed) in the code to reduce “steal” Trump votes. Or a live hack into the system.
Have we not reached a Major National Security Crisis point?
If so they why hasn’t PT ordered Radcliffe and Barr to use the NSA database and search the calls on election night from 10:00pm to 5:00am in these hot bed states/districts where votes were sifted via software manipulation as I bet there are some real doozies.
My bet is you just might catch a few choice R’s who were in on this fraud too.
Who cares! Fraud is fraud!
Friends this is getting very scary. I request you go to this site. https://blxware.org/
It is run by Dennis Montgomery the programmer of Hammer and Scorecard. Supposedly he is working on outside to help expose all the fraud. The background on the site shows all the bad actors.
Friends this is getting very scary. I request you go to this site. https://blxware.org/
It is run by Dennis Montgomery the programmer of Hammer and Scorecard. Supposedly he is working on outside to help expose all the fraud. The background on the site shows all the bad actors.
Roseburg Oregon born, my father was friends with Tim Blixseth and his first wife, then his second wife Edra Blixseth. This was long before the Yellowstone club. I remember going to meet rodeo hall of famer Larry Mahan at Douglas County Fair one summer and Tim gave he gave me a studio tape of a song called “Rodeo Clown”.
This was a few years before this one
I did some odd jobs for him in Portland in the late 80’s before it all hit for him. He was living in a house in the hills above Portland that the Shaver Tug company family built. This house was a palace and I remember thinking to myself, “how can he afford all of this?”.
He was working on producing a local blues act Curtis Salgado. Edra’s daughter is actually in the video “give me more love and less attitude”. I was hot for her at the time, but I was just a hick worker and she was fancy.
It amazes me how the far and deep the tentacles of the swamp extend.
This backs up Trump’s phenomenal rally attendance.
Don’t believe your lying eyes?
You can do the analyses in Excel, that’s all you need
Download for Oakland county at: https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/MI/Oakland/105840/web.264614/#/summary
Fraud.
In the 1982 Illinois Gov race, the Repub won –barely.
The Dem candidate demanded an investigation into fraud.
The Dem establishment in Chicago begged him not to go there.
He did.
The Feds found that over 100K votes were cast illegally in the Dem machine of Chicago — the Repub had in actuality — won by a much bigger margin.
This is the fraud machine that Obama went to in the 80s. and learned it well. His fraud machine is now in multiple cities. It says a lot that he did not deploy it in 2016: he hated illary so much.
But re-deploy it he did for 2020.
Acorn! From warped acorn, twisted oak grow
hat tip: Mark Levin for the 1st 2 paragraphs re: 1982.
A few years ago, an organization recounted the votes from the 2008 election and discovered that 5M illegals had voted. I don’t know if that would have affected the outcome of the race even if McStain had challenged, but he was for the Wall back then and Bari wasn’t. So it stands to reason that Bari benefited by those 5M extra votes.