Our working theory is essentially HERE. While it represents a rough outline to explain the Malaysian Government reaction – it’s supported by more recent confirmations including: the passports of the two Iranian Nationals were used the year before to obtain Chinese entry visa’s in June of 2013. In addition, a commercial flight fitting the profile of a Boeing 777 was potentially spotted flying through the Southern Maldives; just south of heavy shipping lanes which one would seek to avoid if flying dark.
Regardless of whether the Northern Route (through Western China/Himalayas) or Southern Route (around India – Maldives report) was taken, the destination becomes the real question.
Detection, or more aptly the ability to escape detection, is really a no-brainer. No-one who actually has experience in intelligence or military disputes the ability to fly undetected into an autonomous region – “if you know what you are doing”. The U.S. Military does it all the time with surveillance flights and drones.
If the theory of Islamists taking the flight is maintained – the supporting state/nation then becomes the larger issue. Iran or Pakistan ? Both are within flight distance, and both have ideological elements within them which would support such an agenda.
So lets look at what Retired General McInerney has to say:
The report of the flight landing in Pakistan aligns with all other aspects of our initial Treehouse theory:
A LIGNET analyst received information from a source at Boeing that the company believes the plane did land in Pakistan . . . Israel is taking the possibility of a terrorist attack seriously by mobilizing air defenses and scrutinizing approaching civilian aircraft, according to the Times of Israel . . . a Boeing 777 requires a lengthy, 7,500-foot runway, and Pakistan has many of them, meaning Flight 370 could conceivably be hidden in a hangar inside the country . . . U.S. surveillance of the area may be able to shed light on the theory through satellite imagery or signals intelligence. (link)
Remember, Boeing has satellite data monitoring of it’s engineered componentry it offers as a service. Although Malaysian Airlines did not subscribe to the service – the capability to activate the tracing systems within the componentry still exists without registration and payment for the service.
Think of it like owning a GM vehicle equipped with OnStar. OnStar provides a tracking service to tell you, among other things, when your car needs service or maintenance, and can diagnose routine issues (oil, air pressure, engine operation, transmission, fluid levels) remotely. They can even connect your monitoring to notifications toward your chosen mechanic service who will contact you based on the data received by the OnStar service.
If you do not subscribe to the service, the capability to “switch on” the service still resides with OnStar at any time. They can activate the tracking and monitoring without you knowing it.
Boeing could “activate” the same monitoring of their Rolls Royce engines and componentry at any time – regardless of whether or not Malaysian Airlines subscribed as a customer. Potentially, this is what has taken place. Boeing may have “tuned in” to the MH-370 engine signal broadcast as a means to locate it. Hence they report its location in Pakistan.
The removal of U.S. military ships in the ongoing search would not be done if the U.S. held reasonable probability they would find MH-370 at sea.
The Israeli military would not be preparing so readily and openly if their intelligence reports were leaning toward the plane as crashed.
However, previously Pakistan “political” officials have said flight MH-370 could not have arrived into their airspace without their knowledge. The problem is most of their defense monitoring is aimed toward India, and we (The U.S. Military) have strong first-hand knowledge of how easy it is to enter Pakistan airspace without being discovered. (See OBL Mission and dozens of armed drone flights/incursions)
Their claim might sound good, but holds little actual substance. It does however create the problem for embarrassment. That’s not good and becomes a factor within the equation.
Pakistan is a VERY divided political/cultural razor wire – caught between the Islamist Taliban and more western friendly, albeit self-serving, Muslim espousals.
If the plane was inside Pakistan, the political chess game of how to save the face for the Western friendly politicals (the ones who said it could never reach them) becomes a complicating factor.
If the plane is inside Pakistan, and it becomes publicly known, the world will ask “why”?
This question represents an optical risk to the Pakistan internal politicos which once again runs counter to their claims of anti-terror. Remember, OBL hid there for years and the same folks claimed they never knew. This plane, identified by us to be, in their territory would magnify those same post-OBL issues to infinite magnitudes.
However, Osama Bin Laden the story does also present a possible motive. OBL was killed on May 2nd 2011 !!!! Would the Pakistan Islamist movement be looking to use this Boeing 777 for an event on such an anniversary ?
Because of the fractured political ideology, Pakistan, like Iran, would lend itself toward making sense as a destination.
Pakistan -as an ideologically fractured state government- would more likely have a rogue element willing to assist in pulling this off without the more Western friendly Pakistani elements even knowing about it.
Just like how some of the Pakistani’s knew about OBL hiding out, those same ideologues would not have an issue supporting an anti-Western operation such as this.
[...] McInerney said that most of the world’s sensors are in that region, and that between Rolls-Royce, Boeing and the U.S. government, officials know a lot more than has come out.
“When the U.S. Navy quits their search, their ship search, they must know something in the Indian Ocean. When the Israeli defense forces, when they increase their defense alert, they must know something,” McInerney said.
If McInerney’s theory is right, the airplane would have landed at 5 a.m. Pakistan time, and it would have still been dark out. (link)