The Professional Bridge Burner !

Politics is a risky business – a deliberate business – with very specific decisions; and as a direct consequence when you cross a particular line in opposition you point yourself in a very specific direction.   Candidate Cruz has also now affirmed himself as a rigid ideologue.

At 6:30pm today, as a direct result of an official campaign position and not one stemming from a Super-PAC, candidate Ted Cruz officially put himself onto a singular path which leads to either:

A) his own victory, or B) a later endorsement of Jeb Bush/Marco Rubio.

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We shared last week due to the increasingly urgent calendar numerous political Tripwires would be triggered rapidly.   An example comes today as North Carolina releases advanced notification of their 2016 Presidential Primary ballot.

However, before getting to the ballot, it must be emphasized that the GOPe will NEVER give up on Jeb Bush. Jeb is “their guy”, period.

♦ An example of how severely they are willing to protect him was evident on January 8th when Fox News released their polls which saved Jeb from the embarrassment of being kicked off the main debate stage.

Without that individual poll Jeb did not, and would not, qualify. ♦ Another example was evident during the debate, when South Carolina party officials stacked the audience with party loyalists. ♦ Another example came the following day (yesterday) when South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham endorsed Jeb.

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Note  – over the next several weeks, expect to see a Jeb Bush come-back to overtake Marco Rubio. Senator Rubio was never intended to be the torch-bearer for the GOPe nomination, he does not have political permission from the penthouse power brokers.

A new NYT/CBS Poll (full pdf below) shows candidate Donald Trump with a comfortable national lead over second place Ted Cruz. Third place Marco Rubio, while being supported by the new-money GOPe crowd (Hedge-Funders), does not have the fully vested approval of the Wall Street Oligarchs – watch his position carefully.

There are several indications that Ted Cruz has peaked, and there are certainly indications that Marco Rubio’s peak occurred about 3 weeks ago, between Christmas and New Year.  In the next three weeks we can expect to see some rather dramatic shifts; they will be most notable in the February States (Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina).

We are now entering the Thunderdome phase, and you can expect to see simultaneous trip-wire flares triggered at any moment.  All of the candidate Super-PAC banked money will now be deployed with exponential fury.  So too will the trickery and shenanigans. (more…)

We try not to underestimate Donald Trump any longer.  In the beginning of this campaign we thought no candidate could thoroughly comprehend the tentacles of the Machiavellian schemes as well those who research these endeavors 24/7/365.

However, we are continually amazed at how The Donald not only understands the constructs, but has an insight to fire subtle shots in their direction that only those who are immersed in politics can see.   Not trying to give him too much credit, but damn, the man represents the smartest republican political strategist in our lifetime – and he’s also the flippin’ candidate.

Yesterday in Mississippi Donald Trump showed another of those intensely sharp insights.

It’s subtle, but when you are in the wave-length of understanding, it’s subtle like a brick through a window.

Donald Trump had a massive crowd of more than 20,000 supporters show up last night;  and most of the national legacy political punditry missed the back story of what makes this campaign rally so significant.   (more…)

A series of tweets from candidate Donald Trump toward the Republican Party of Virginia have many wondering what’s going on.

It would appear Mr. Trump, and/or the Trump Campaign, has become aware of the RPV intentions to force Virginia voters to swear an loyalty oath (statement of intent) prior to voting in the upcoming primary.  We Provided The Leaked Documents In November

Virginia is an interesting state when it comes to the Republican Party and conservative voters.  Partly due to the vicinity to Washington DC, and party due to many of the professionally republican living in the state, the hierarchy of the political party apparatus is blue-blooded GOPestablishment yet base of the voting electorate are vulgarian minded conservatives.

This historical antagonism has led to exceptionally polarized outcomes; David Brat defeating consummate GOPe Eric Cantor is the most brutally obvious recently.

Here’s the full back story, the leaked documents, the loyalty oath being demanded, and some rather interesting details into who’s-who. (more…)

• You might be noting the corporate media selling a “surging Cruz” nipping on the heels of Donald Trump narrative.  Be thankful.

• You might also be noting the corporate media selling a “more palatable Chris Christie” narrative as an option to the vulgarian uprising represented in Donald Trump.  Again, be thankful.

It’s only when the corporate media is NOT predictable, that any concern should rise.

Somewhere between the origin of the GOPe Roadmap, The Tripwires, The Splitter Strategy and Operation Hummingbird, people have caught on.  The validity of predicting what they do, before they do it, and seeing it actually play out exactly as designed has awakened the majority.

…Remove Donald Trump – then: Carson becomes Herman Cain, Ted Cruz becomes Newt Gingrich, and Jeb Bush/Marco Rubio can stroll into the role of Mitt Romney 2012…

However, none of the current plans can succeed until the primary issue is resolved, ie. the removal of Donald Trump.  Hence, we are now fully immersed in the predictable “Alliance Phase”: (more…)

Not Accidental: NOTE all the Republicans who voted for the Omnibus/Tax usurpation today are endorsing / supporting @JebBush or @marcorubio

— TheLastRefuge (@TheLastRefuge2) December 19, 2015

Have you noticed Chris Christie being elevated by the same corporate media machine previously elevating Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina and Marco Rubio ?  This is not coincidental.

The problem for the GOPe Road Map has been the dominance of Donald Trump in disrupting their initial goals to nominate Jeb Bush with 10-20% of the primary vote.

Trump, as a populist “America First” frontrunner nominee was just never anticipated in their construct.

As soon as Trump eliminated the “splitter strategy” benefit – various GOPe approaches were deployed to overcome The Donald.   However, almost all of the subsequent maneuvers failed as Trump gained a more broad coalition of support.

The GOPe campaign road map has now evolved into a concerted effort to group a non-Trump coalition, this is why no “splitter” candidate is being urged to withdraw.

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Remember Mississippi ?

The professional apparatus of the Republican Party are signaling their intent to do exactly what we predicted they would do.   Trump will win the primary, and the GOPe will split the party to run an additional candidate in the general election.

It’s not Trump going third party – It’s the establishment GOP (GOPe) intending to go third party.   They are planning a modified version of the Mississippi Strategy from 2014.

In order to pull off the “Mississippi Plan” nationally, and specifically because of the ideological severity which will be obvious within their approach, the GOPe need to begin planting the seeds of intent now within the various camps they’ll need to support them.  We’ll explain.

Most people are unaware that back in 2014 conservative Senate Candidate Chris McDaniel defeated incumbent Republican Senator Thad Cochran in the Mississippi primary.  However, it was a three-way race and McDaniel didn’t get past the 50% +1 threshold.

McDaniel did defeat Cochran in the first Republican primary, meaning he got more votes, but a second run-off primary was required because the 50% threshold was not achieved.

Between those two primary races is when the professional apparatus within the GOP/RNC hatched a plan, and kicked the plan to action.    (more…)

Wow – Now we know why the GOPe is in full blown panic mode.  The results from the latest WMUR/CNN Poll in New Hampshire (full pdf below) shows support for Ben Carson has fully collapsed, and Ted Cruz drops below John Kasich…. But it gets much, much worse for the establishment candidates.

The GOPe road map has totally collapsed in New Hampshire.  All of the GOPe splitters are now left picking leftover scraps from those voters who are in the undecideds:

Trump has forced upon the GOPe the absolute nightmare scenario – “the splitters are splitting upon themselves”.   Rubio, Bush and Christie combined cannot beat Donald Trump’s current level of support.

The millions spent by Team Kasich have garnered him a grand total of 7%; and the tens of millions spent by Jeb Bush only get him to 8%.  The granite state electorate are fully engaged and they are seeing through the GOPe establishment schemes.

The New Hampshire voters are also seeing through the convenient flip-flops of Cruz and have identified the reality of Carson’s inability. (more…)

A large sample national poll conducted by IPSOS for Reuters (full pdf below) reflects an increasingly obvious reality – Donald Trump is the dominant candidate with a vast and growing support base.

Significantly, the data also shows: five times as many independent voters choose Donald Trump over Marco Rubio and/or Ted Cruz.

Political followers have noticed GOPe strategy modified and they stopped attacking Trump directly.  Instead they shifted their marginalization approach by trying to attach Trump to candidate Ted Cruz.

Every effort by Team Trump should be made to keep Ted Cruz at arms length.  We have previously outlined the reason(s) why Cruz’s electoral strategy is doomed to defeat.  There is no winning electoral map within the campaign strategy of Ted Cruz which is based on a very narrow slice of the electorate.  (more…)