9:00pm EDT – We anticipate the need for more than one thread with results tonight, hence the numbering as above. Tonight:
Tracking polls can be a little sketchy because they only track a continued snapshot of the same electorate over long periods of time. Because a ‘tracking poll’ only measures a group of voters who are engaged early in the election process (in this example beginning December ’15) such polling methodology tends to miss the segment of the population that tunes-in later in the process, when it matters more.
As a consequence of methodology, tracking polls tend to miss the enthusiasm aspect which becomes more important as the race narrows and more people engage. However, that said, the current NBC/Survey Monkey tracking poll shows a significant upward shift for Donald Trump and a downward trend for Ted Cruz and John Kasich:
Because of the methodology, the results are on the lower end of actual sentiment. Meaning the national support for the upward shift is understated, and the drop in the downward trend is also understated. In essence, Donald Trump is likely doing much better nationally than this representative snapshot, and Cruz/Kasich are likely doing much worse.
(more…)
From the Donald Trump Pennsylvania Campaign Website:
Polls Open Tomorrow in PA from 7:ooam to 8:00pm
WILKES-BARRE TWP. – Donald Trump took the stage to a cheering, capacity crowd at the Mohegan Sun Arena around 7:30 p.m. Monday.
“We love Wilkes-Barre,” Trump said, opening his remarks. “This place is unbelievable.”
Wow.
Helluva entrance!@realDonaldTrump pic.twitter.com/aggBlGPMpW— Streetwise Hercules (@PluknBlueberrz) April 25, 2016
Trump immediately said his son reminded him to immediately tell the crowd he supports the area natural gas and coal industries. “This is my last stop. Tomorrow is the election,” Trump said. A win in Pennsylvania will help him get closer to the Republican nomination.
“We’re going to make American great again,” he said. Trump was quick to quick praise local congressmen Lou Barletta and Tom Marino. “Lou and Tom, Lou and Tom. Get them up here (on stage). If you could get them down here. What great guys, from the beginning,” Trump said. (more…)
Candidate Donald Trump is holding a campaign rally in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania at the Mohegan Sun Arena (Casey Plaza). The event is scheduled to begin at 7:00pm EDT:
Live Stream Link – Alternate Live Stream #1 – Alternate Live Stream #2
“Ceilings”? Well, firstly, if there was any doubt to the motive of the wunderkinds joining forcers in their vain effort to thwart the will of the electorate, that answer is now transparent. Candidate Trump is simply thumping them both in the polling for the Northeast States tomorrow:
According to the latest PPP Polling released today (full pdf below), candidate Donald Trump is not only beating the Wunderkinds individually; he’s also beating them collectively.
Additionally interesting is some of the polling internal data which shows Senator Ted Cruz continuing to implode when the electorate is asked if they like him. Cruz’s unfavorable rating continues to skyrocket. (more…)
As previously stated, Tom Donohue is the Wall Street influence agent who pays off DC legislators to carry out the priorities of the global financial interests. ~Backstory~
(Via Washington Examiner) U.S. Chamber of Commerce CEO Tom Donohue indicated Monday that he’s now scheduled to go to the Republican convention in July, the latest sign of the uncertainty surrounding the convention, and the importance the business group puts on making sure it turns out the right way.
Donohue was in Germany Monday with President Obama, and was asked to give his assessment of how the GOP race is shaping up now that Ted Cruz and John Kasich are working together to deny Donald Trump the nomination.
Donohue replied that nobody knows how it will turn out, and indicated that the uncertainty makes it more and more important to be there. (more…)
Last night, facing the looming probability of complete defeat on April 26th in the North East primary states of: Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maryland and Delaware, the Ted Cruz and John Kasich campaigns announced publicly their intents to draw their last-hope firewalls in Indiana, New Mexico and Oregon.
The most current polling of Pennsylvania looks like this:
(full pdf of results here)… and the Trump campaign has also ramped up the voter information for the unbound PA delegates (SEE HERE) turning the tide of in favor of Team Donald Trump in the Keystone State.
As a direct consequence of the growing support for candidate Trump, and with looming electoral defeat on the horizon, the Ted Cruz campaign now places all its “never voter” efforts on stopping Donald Trump from winning Indiana. However, Donald Trump is also polling ahead of Cruz in Indiana – so the Cruz campaign approach throws a Hail-Mary.
In an effort to improve fleeting chances, Team Cruz has struck a deal with the Kasich campaign. Team Kasich is to pull out of Indiana, and Team Cruz will give them free reign in New Mexico and Oregon. (more…)
Once again the act of Twitter Shadow-Banning has surfaced, only this time it is against U.S. Presidential Candidate Donald Trump. Breitbart has the story HERE
Here’s the video message Twitter is blocking:
Several years ago we first began pointing to the presidential election of 2016 as a grandly constructed enterprise of financial global entities. Toward that end point we began to outline the strategic global players who were spending tens of millions lobbying congress for Wall Street’s global financial interests.
The conversation is vastly to expansive in scope for any reasonable encapsulation. Indeed our archives from the past four years are filled with reports and warnings about how all of the Wall Street financial interests -as they relate to the 2016 election- would ultimately boil down to global trade and commerce pacts like the Trans-Pacific Trade deal (TPP), and the Trans-Atlantic Trade deal (TTIP).
Globally, the economic wealth of massive corporate financial banks and financial institutions is dependent on the continual nudging toward the ratification of these trade pacts. There are trillions at stake as the derivative markets are also tied to hedged bets on the outcomes.
Global trade is approximately $75 trillion annually. However, the Wall Street derivatives market, which are essentially bets placed within this entire financial construct, now account for more than $500 trillion. (more…)