Note  – over the next several weeks, expect to see a Jeb Bush come-back to overtake Marco Rubio. Senator Rubio was never intended to be the torch-bearer for the GOPe nomination, he does not have political permission from the penthouse power brokers.

A new NYT/CBS Poll (full pdf below) shows candidate Donald Trump with a comfortable national lead over second place Ted Cruz. Third place Marco Rubio, while being supported by the new-money GOPe crowd (Hedge-Funders), does not have the fully vested approval of the Wall Street Oligarchs – watch his position carefully.

There are several indications that Ted Cruz has peaked, and there are certainly indications that Marco Rubio’s peak occurred about 3 weeks ago, between Christmas and New Year.  In the next three weeks we can expect to see some rather dramatic shifts; they will be most notable in the February States (Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina).

We are now entering the Thunderdome phase, and you can expect to see simultaneous trip-wire flares triggered at any moment.  All of the candidate Super-PAC banked money will now be deployed with exponential fury.  So too will the trickery and shenanigans. (more…)

The next GOP debate is Thursday January 14th on Fox Business Network.  Fox Business has just announced the line-up for both the prime time, and second tier debate.  The debates are being moderated by Neil Cavuto and Maria Bartiromo (prime time);  Also, Trish Regan and Sandra Smith (kiddie debate)  – LINK

There will be SEVEN candidates remaining on the prime time stage at 9:00pm:  Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush and John Kasich.

There will be FOUR candidates dropped to the second tier (kiddie table) at 6:00pm: Rand Paul, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum. (more…)

A very interesting New Hampshire poll conducted by Reach Communications (full pdf and graph analysis below) for NH1 News, shows Donald Trump with a commanding lead overall 31.7%, and a MASSIVE lead among women voters, 40%.

The Poll is a strong sample size of 1,000 Republicans and Independents, and shows second place belongs to Jeb Bush (11.9%), who is slightly ahead of third place Kasich (11.8%) and followed by Chris Christie (11%):

Looking at the internals below you can see how Donald Trump leads with all sub-categories of voter: Republican and Independents, Men and Women.  However, Trump really extends his overall lead margins with women.

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Since 2013 we have specifically documented the legislative agenda of Tom Donohue, Wall Street, and their lobbying arm the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.  The CoC legislative agenda includes:

• Passage of the Trans-Pacific Trade Deal
• Retention of ObamaCare – Without repeal or modification
• Implementation of Federal Common Core Education Standards
• Comprehensive Immigration Reform to include Amnesty

All of the presidential candidates actively support this chamber agenda (some more openly than others), which is also supported by Club4Growth, Koch Brothers, Robert Mercer, and Wall Street.

ALL of the GOP Presidential candidates have taken tens of millions in lobbyist money to assist their campaigns.

All, except Donald J Trump.

Julia Hahn […]  Conservative populist thought-leader Jeff Sessions has explained that supporting amnesty and citizenship for illegal immigrants should be inherently disqualifying for any GOP nominee. Sessions said previously, “Supporting citizenship for illegal immigrants should be disqualifying. (more…)

When there is a lack of publicly presented MSM polling, generally it’s because the results within their polling is not fitting with the preferred narrative. Such is the case with the absence of polls from December 10th to January 8th.

With that in mind, and accepting that time was of the essence for GOP debate formatting for next week, it was certain that some form of MSM polling, from the major networks, was soon to surface. However, the batch of polls released today might fit for the purpose of MSM debate stage formatting, but beyond that – these are totally useless “agenda polls”.

The full polling results, and their accompanying pdf’s are below. After the data presentation we’ll show how and why the Fox polling can be completely disregarded. The agenda polling has an unintended consequence of being specifically adversarial for Marco Rubio supporters, and is transparently flawed.

Here’s the National Result:

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A poll from Florida Overtime Politics (pdf below) shows a snapshot of Florida in January.  Donald Trump leads with 32%, Cruz 21% and Rubio 18%:

FLORIDA – Donald Trump sports a comfortable 11 point lead in the Sunshine State, besting Ted Cruz 32-21%. Marco Rubio, who is from Florida, picks up 18% of the vote.

While most states, especially the ones that vote before March 15th, are competitive for Cruz and Rubio in the sense that they can at least win some delegates, Florida issues all of theirs to the person with the most votes. Finishing 2nd or beyond gets you 0 delegates, while 1st place gets 99. Right now, in order for either of them to win anything in Florida, they would have to un-seat Trump from the driver’s chair. (more…)

The latest PPP poll (full pdf below) from New Hampshire reflects a considerable shakeup behind Trump.  Candidate Donald Trump remains at the top holding a significant lead more than double the next competitor, Rubio.

The various wings inside the Deathstar GOPe are now left with factional fighting among themselves – Trump has split the splitters. Rubio attacks Bush who attacks Christie who attacks Kasich who attacks Rubio who attacks Kasich who attacks Christie who attacks Bush etc…

However, with that: Marco Rubio, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Jeb Bush have now surpassed a falling Ted Cruz (dropped 3 points from prior PPP poll), and Ben Carson is down in the Fiorina bracket of irrelevance:

(Via PPP Polling) […]  The candidates with the biggest gains since our last poll in early December are Bush (up 5 points from 5% to 10%), Rubio (up 4 points from 11% to 15), and Kasich (up 3 points from 8% to 11%). Bush and Kasich have also had notable gains in their favorability ratings.

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A new NBC Poll (full pdf below) shows candidate Donald Trump with a commanding lead over the rest of the field at 35%.  In addition 49% of those polled believe Trump will be the republican nominee.

Via NBC – With the presidential primaries in full swing, Donald Trump maintains his sizable lead over the rest of the Republican field. Among Republican or Republican-leaning registered voters, Trump has 35% support compared to 18% for Ted Cruz and 13% for Marco Rubio, according to results from the latest NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll for the week of December 28, 2015 through January 3, 2016.

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I just can’t resist – Byron York is all hearts-a-flutter because the GOPe’s best chance candidate Marco Rubio almost filled a school gymnasium tonight in South Carolina:

If boy Rubio’s crowd is “Huge”, then Trump’s crowd tonight must be… (more…)

Most Americans are unaware how close the House of Representatives came to passing the Senate ‘Gang-of-Eight’ bill in 2014 which included amnesty for illegal aliens. The vote was only stopped by the last-minute primary defeat of Eric Cantor.

However, one of the benefits if the current presidential campaigns is the lifting of the veil for the hidden advocates…

(Via Breitbart – by Julia Hahn)  Congressman Trey Gowdy’s endorsement of Sen. Marco Rubio may shine an unwanted spotlight on the South Carolinian’s record of past radical statements on immigration and his aggressive support for donor class policies embraced by Sen. Rubio.

Gowdy’s extreme immigration declarations come in addition to his long-standing support for donor-class Republican lawmakers. For instance, in a closed-door GOP leadership election in November of 2014, Gowdy seconded John Boehner’s nomination as House Speaker. Similarly, Gowdy was the Congressman who nominated Paul Ryan for Speaker. According to Politico, Boehner “secretly urged Gowdy to run” for House Majority Leader.

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