All current key state polling, including Florida, confirm the viability of the GOPe Road Map “splitter strategy” as it was designed in 2014.  Many people are now aware of the splitter strategy itself, so let’s take a look at the “rule changes” which work hand-in-hand with the GOPe road map itself.

In 2014 the RNC/GOPe apparatus made modifications to the 2016 presidential primary specifically because the chosen candidate, Jeb Bush, would need more structural support in 2015/2016 than Mitt Romney 2012.
One of the lesser known changes was campaign finance change which the RNC and DNC essentially hid in the December 2014 CRomnibus bill (continuing resolution government funding).  The changes allow the party apparatus to collect SEVEN TIMES more money from individual party donors – SEE CHART HERE.
On the campaign side – whereas Romney’s 2012 Road Map garnered 25-30% electoral support, internal polling (2014) showed Jeb Bush steady with around 15-20% support. As a consequence of Jeb’s weakness the RNC rules needed to compensate.
(more…)

The Morning Consult survey polled 504 registered voters who said they watched the Republican primary debate and that they plan to participate in their state’s Republican presidential nominating contest. Of those voters, 69 percent identified themselves as Republicans, and 28 percent called themselves independents.  The poll carried a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent (link):

The four consecutive days of attacks on Donald Trump, leading up to the CNN debate, appear to have hurt Rand Paul, Scott Walker significantly; both appear to be in trouble.  Also, worth noting – candidates Pataki, Graham and Jindal see no benefit from their attack efforts.  Fiorina, Rubio, and Christie gained supporters.  Carson, Bush and Kasich stayed essentially the same. (more…)

Disclaimer: Your opinion on the debate performances are far more valid than mine.  My perspective is skewed because I’m looking through a filter of how Wall Street RNC/GOPe and DNC interests will view and perceive the debate performances.

Baseline – Going into the debate all the candidates, other than Trump, had something to gain and little to lose.  Donald Trump had everything to lose and little to gain.  With that in mind: (more…)

“Let’s Get Ready To Rumble” !!

The Second GOP Debate “Top Tier” Begins at 8:00pm – All pundits expect the lower supported field to pile-on primary frontrunner Donald Trump.
The future of Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden hang in the balance.  If Trump does well, Wall Street will demand Biden enter the race within a week.  The GOPe machine wants a Hillary Clinton VS Jeb Bush 2016 General Election – Live Stream HERE:

 

Now that Donald Trump has thrown a monkey wrench into the GOPe Splitter Strategy, we are able to look at their modified objectives.   Keeping in mind the overall Road Map, and the commitment of all the interested parties therein, we can now see the goal:

…If you remove Donald Trump from the current equation – Ben Carson becomes Herman Cain 2012, Ted Cruz becomes Newt Gingrich and Jeb Bush slips right back into the role of Mitt Romney, exactly as planned..

….Toward that end an understanding of a few things are needed:

1. An understanding of the National and State RNC rule changes
2. An understanding of how the primary delegate distributions fit within the plan.
3. An understanding of how the architects always planned to eliminate Cruz

All current key state polling, including the releases yesterday from Florida, showcase and confirm the viability of the GOPe Road Map “splitter strategy” as it was designed in 2014.
So lets begin first with the rule changes.
In 2014 the RNC/GOPe apparatus made modifications to the 2016 presidential primary specifically because the chosen candidate, Jeb Bush, would need more structural support in 2015/2016 than Mitt Romney 2012.
Whereas Romney’s Road Map garnered 25-30% electoral support, internal polling (2014) showed Jeb around 15-20% support.  As a consequence of Jeb’s weakness the RNC rules needed to compensate. (more…)

This latest Florida poll (full pdf below) essentially destroys the talking point of Ana Navarro a zealous Bush advocate and ubiquitous TV pundit:

[…]  “Nobody that’s voting for Trump is voting for Jeb or voting for Marco. I don’t think they eat from each other’s votes,” Navarro said. “I do think Jeb and Marco eat from each other’s votes.” (link)

No Ana, you’re wrong.  Without Trump the GOPe splitter strategy works perfectly – with Rubio leading Jeb 51%-31%.  It’s Donald Trump who is destroying all those best laid plans:

(more…)

If anyone thinks there’s not an ideological bias inherent in the delivery of political polls, you only need to read the first paragraphs from the latest Monmouth University Polls of New Hampshire voters (Full Poll Pdf included below):
Donald Trump maintains his sizable edge in the New Hampshire Republican primary according to the latest Monmouth University Poll. Ben Carson has rocketed to the second spot and John Kasich holds onto third, while Jeb Bush has dropped from second place into a tie for fifth. These findings come at a time when Republican voters express deep dissatisfaction with the party’s national leadership, making these results seem like an “airing of grievances” akin to the Festivus episode of Seinfeld.

(more…)

The latest series of polls shows Donald Trump maintaining a substantial lead in the third month of his candidacy. State polls for Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina were release by CBS/YouGov HERE. And a National Poll by ABC/Washington Post HERE.

This is the 12th consecutive national poll with Jeb Bush in single digits.
However, the national and regional poll results are becoming increasingly contradictory when compared to each other, particularly noted with almost all the Democrat race polling.  Between Sanders and Clinton (with and without Biden), and depending on the organization, the poll outcomes are increasingly at odds.

For two weeks we have been tracking closely the discussion, behavior, trends and analysis in several groups: the CNN team, the Salem Media team, the professional apparatus of the RNC, and the individual GOPe candidates.  An overall theme is well established to aid in predicting what will follow – more on that later.
In the interim, here’s Jake Tapper explaining, well, actually I would assert “pre-justifying”, the approach to pit the candidates against each other.   [*NOTE* Jake first made this accidental assertion of his intent at 3:05pm on September 11th]
Today Tapper discusses the goal to “pit the candidates against each other” against the backdrop of a discussion with CNN President Jeff Zucker, who apparently gave him the green light: (more…)

A general conversation, and series of questions, has begun amid readers who understand the RNC/GOPe road map and subsequent scheme.  Essentially the question is becoming:

“what will the GOPe do regarding their ongoing onslaught to eliminate Donald Trump, if Trump becomes inevitable”?

The answer to that question is fraught with possibilities. However, as a general rule, crossing the Rubicon of inevitability will not change the present course. Here’s why:
Any predictive review must generally reflect upon the “bigger picture” and interests of those who ultimately framed, and continue to finance, the original outline – those interests are Wall Street interests. So before answering the question, you must first remember what they constructed.

There are ten candidates specifically part of the Jeb Bush nomination map.  Not seventeen, TEN!
They are:  ♦ Jeb Bush ♦ – Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee, Chris Christie, John Kasich, Rick Perry, Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, Jim Gilmore and previously, Rick Perry (anticipate the Perry endorsement and PAC $ headed for Bush).
Each of the aforementioned can be tied to relationships, behavior and specific action in 2014 which reflects their association to the scheme.  Therefore they are in the definitive category – See Here.
That leaves Jindal, Paul, Walker, Santorum, Carson, Cruz and obviously Trump. Excluding Trump, there was nothing in 2014 which would *specifically* tie them *directly* to the road map, therefore we have never aligned them with the group of Jeb party insiders.
[*NOTE* Only those who we could actually and provably identify the motives for, were given the designation of “splitters“.  All others were granted the benefit of doubt.] (more…)