After being exposed for manipulative twisting of data, Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray ran to Politico for cover.  The essence of his defense is that his formula for changing the data, Patrick’s “methodology” or “weighting”, is his interpretation of who will actually show up to vote in November.  In an effort to save face, Murray provides Politico with his interpretations of data not displayed in his published methodology.

The flaw in Murray’s intentional willful blindness, his ideological methodology, is an entrenched unwillingness to accept the electorate is no longer within the constructed confines of political party norms.  The PERT box is shattered.  Murray entirely, and intentionally, ignores the statistical reality of changes within Ohio that render his methodological “assumptions” obsolete – See Here.

Unfortunately for Murray there is overwhelming evidence his assumptions are wrong. Which brings us to the Akron Ohio rally, and the attendees therein:

And it’s not just Akron Ohio. The people within this video are a snapshot into an electorate that is entirely foreign to the professional political class, The Monster Voters.

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There’s something almost, well, laughable about how the professional political class stick to their only frame of reference, ‘history’, when it comes to the modern insurgency of non-political candidate Donald Trump.

[For those who were not around in the first 100 days, click the embed links as you read along to enlarge the bigger picture.]

This example is Politico, but the same has been written by scores of other political writers:

[…]  With fewer than 80 days to go and lagging in the polls, the Republican nominee will host a rally Tuesday in Austin, Texas, and another on Wednesday in Jackson, Mississippi. Both cities sit inside strongly Republican states that are safe and uncompetitive. (link)

A well-informed and ‘outside-the-beltway’ follower of current political events laughs at the “lagging in the polls” part. I digress…. “media-polls“, it’s all the Pavlovian Political Class know to guide them.

Pavlovian Journalism: Hear bell – Push Button – Wait for Pellet. “BING” Repeat.

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Governor Mike Pence is a great person and an exceptional candidate.  Governor Pence was interviewed over the weekend via Fox and Friends following the visit they took to Louisiana food victims:

Bonus video of Eric Trump: (more…)

The trust in U.S. journalism is at a historic low. Most Americans now accept the U.S. media is completely dishonest. However, the media reporters claim such public opinions are unwarranted.

Here’s today’s audio/visual demonstration from NBC reporter Katy Tur in Akron Ohio.

You decide if she’s honest or not:

Now check out the truth:

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With Secretary Clinton essentially disappearing from the campaign trail (focusing almost exclusively on fundraising), many people have noted an unusual scheduled event for presidential candidate Hillary Clinton appearing on her calendar, a fundraiser in Amsterdam – North Holland, by former U.S. Ambassador Timothy Broas .

If, as the media continue to espouse, Hillary Clinton has an “insurmountable lead” in the presidential race, why so much emphasis on raising money for a contest her team claims is easily already won?  What gives?… and why Amsterdam for a fundraiser?

Let’s take a look, beginning with the guy trying to raise the money for the campaign; the “speaker”, Timothy Broas. 

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Candidate Donald Trump heads to Ohio today for a rally in Akron, at James A. Rhodes Arena. Live coverage begins at 7:00pm EDT:

Live Stream Link – Alternate Live Stream #1 – Alternate Live Stream #2

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By now most CTH readers are familiar with the more notoriously biased polling manipulators.

One of those is Patrick Murray from Monmouth University [@PollsterPatrick on Twitter].

If you want to know where his political affiliations lie, you only need to read his twitter feed. Murray has also been on Fox News with Bill O’Reilly several times selling his polling results to the unwitting audience.

Today, Monmouth via Patrick Murray presents a presidential poll of Ohio voters. The actual raw data (pdf available here – see pg, 6 and 7) showed Donald Trump with a lead in the result; however, Murray changed the data through weighting to show Hillary Clinton with a lead.

“GOUSAAMER114” pointed out the manipulation:

Monmouth just announced that Clinton leads Trump 43-39 in Ohio. But Pollster Patrick actually laid out what he did on pages 6 and 7 of the PDF.

He sampled 402 voters. In the unweighted sample, the split was 33.3R/29.3D/35.6I. With that split, Trump leads Clinton 41-39 in Ohio. But Pollster Patrick re-weighted it to a 29R/33D/37I split. Nothing else was re-weighted.

It’s obvious Murray didn’t expect to be called out on it – because when confronted with what he did, pollster Patrick Murray flat out lied. (more…)

Donald Trump appeared on Fox and Friends this morning and discussed some current political events including the Clinton Foundation.

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In various media presentations you will often hear of Florida listed as a “battleground state“; some media call Florida a “swing state“.

Historically, this has been an accurate representation for the past 5 presidential election cycles.  However, changes in the past several years position Florida as highly favorable to a Donald Trump win.

Here’s why we can be confident that Donald Trump will win Florida.   The following table lists voter registration as complied by the Florida Division of Elections:

Source Link Here – As noted above, in 2012 Democrats held a 558,272 registration advantage over Republicans; Mitt Romney lost the state of Florida to President Obama by 73,189 votes (50% to 49.1%) – Source.

Notice since 2012 Republican registration has increased by 164K, while Democrat registration has actually decreased by 135k. (more…)

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