This is an ACTION ALERT for those of you following the RNC/GOPe road map and actively engaged in following the maneuvers within the Republican Party.

Previously we shared the RNC rule changes which modified all primary elections between March 1st and March 14th 2016 to make delegate distributions “Proportional” based on a percentage of the vote.  All contests held on or after March 15th 2016 were then winner-take-all (or some assembly therein).

The construct of the 2014/2015 rule changes were specifically created to make the pathway for Jeb Bush and block any candidate who was able to garner a “movement” coalition, or what the RNC called a “momentum candidate” (ie. Non-Jeb)  To assist in that endeavor the GOPe road map entailed a “splitter strategy” to fracture the vote and create the pathway for Jeb Bush.

However, as most are well aware, since Donald Trump entered the race the RNC/GOPe road map was thrown off track and modifications to the original plan have been ongoing over the past several months. (more…)

The latest New Hampshire poll shows a far more engaged electorate continuing to be a thorn in the side of the 2015/16 GOPe scheme to anoint Jeb Bush. In addition, the ruse candidates, Fiorina and Rubio have exhausted their media-fueled surge and remain static alongside Jeb Bush at 8%.

John Kasich’s ground game and almost exclusive attention to New Hampshire has garnered him a position just above Jeb, Carly and Marco. However, the vulgarians are determined to Make America Great Again!

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,035 registered voters in New Hampshire regarding the presidential election and other areas. The poll was conducted October 5-6, 2015. The sample includes 662 Republicans, 373 Democrats, and the remainder not planning on participating in the primary, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.1% [3.8% for Republican Caucus/5.1% for Democratic Caucus]. (link)

Predictions: (more…)

Through the first half of 2015 $400,000,000.00 spent by Billionaires and Millionaires on presidential candidates.  Mostly through SuperPacs.

See Who’s Paying For Who HERE

The 3rd Quarter contributions are not yet included.  However, you might want to bookmark the donor list above as a reference for upcoming/ongoing research.  If you are familiar with the GOPe road map – you know the importance of maintaining the “splitter team“. (more…)

• Donald Trump, Ben Carson and Ted Cruz TOTAL = 49%
• Jeb Bush, Carly Fiorina, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Chris Christie TOTAL = 31%

Morning Consult Poll – […] Trump takes 31 percent of the vote in the new Morning Consult poll, easily outpacing retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson’s 13 percent. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) finishes in third place, at 10 percent, followed by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R), at 7 percent.

[…] The Morning Consult tracking poll surveyed 1,983 registered voters between October 2-5, for a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. A subsample of 807 self-identified Republicans and Republican-leaning independents carried a margin of error of plus or minus 3.45 percentage points. (link)

The latest round of PPP national polling (pdf below) reflects the absolute disconnect between punditry and reality. Despite a month long campaign to push Carly Fiorina to the top of Mount Trumpet she’s going backward. Ergo, we see why the latest Fox News efforts shift to their last best hope to assist Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio.
Accordingly from PPP: Rubio is really the only candidate who can claim any sort of momentum. He’s gone from 5th place at 7% to 3rd place at 13% over the last five weeks. And he has a 57/24 favorability rating that puts him only behind Carson when it comes to the most broadly liked of the Republican hopefuls. No one other than Rubio has seen more than a 2 point gain since our last poll. (link)

You can read the desperation inherent between the lines of the Beltway Narrative as Donald Trump and the vulgarian assembly continues to retain a significant lead. Only in 2016 electoral politics would the current theme be displayed:

Trump is going to lose his way to victory !

Check out this tweet from the PPP pollsters: (more…)

Phyllis Schlafly posts an Op-Ed in the Investors Business Daily (not coincidentally the delivery vehicle for the only recent poll {377 voters selected} showing Donald Trump under 30% in the past five days) presenting a proposition that the GOPe is looking for a “Plan B” to the current abysmal republican failure known commonly as Jeb Bush.

The Republican establishment designed the process to deliver the 2016 presidential nomination to a business-friendly moderate who avoids so-called social issues. The consultants who rewrote the party rules after 2012 are now trying to explain to their patrons what went wrong and how to fix it.
Plan A, of course, was to assure the nomination of Jeb Bush, whose views are the perfect reflection of the Republican donor class.
But despite many months of campaigning, $114 million of political funds raised through June 30, and two presidential debates watched by a record-setting average of 24 million people, Jeb Bush has dropped to sixth place, registering only 4% in the latest Pew poll. (more)

Agree on all of it, except, well, there isn’t a “plan B” per se’.  Plan-A is the successful nomination, by the apparatus known as “the establishment”, of Jeb Bush.  All subsequent plans B through Z are to insure Plan-A.  Period.

Eggs, meet basket.
The GOPe road map is so heavily contingent on Jeb Bush that no alternate plan was even considered, thought about, discussed or generally presented as plausible.
Every Wall Street luncheon since October 2013; every K-Street breakfast; every Chamber of Commerce dinner; every RNC national and regional rules meeting – ALL OF IT; has been built up based on a cornerstone and central tenet that Jeb would fulfill all of the handshake agreements contained within ALL of those meetings over the past 23 months.
There simply is no other option.  Period. (more…)

The Rockingham County Republican Committee conducted a straw poll of 585 visitors to their booth at the Deerfield Fair this past weekend:

Despite multiple polling results reflecting a similar outcome the GOPe continue to advance a more favorable narrative toward Marco Rubio and Carly Fiorina.  Understanding the objectives of the RNC/GOPe “Splitter Strategy“, the approach makes sense. (more…)

Yesterday Reuters released a poll result showing Donald Trump with 34%.  Oddly enough, IPSOS Conducted a Poll (commissioned by Reuters earlier in September), however Reuters never used/published it as a stand alone?   [ Subsequently IPSOS Released it yesterday ]

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters September 12-16, 2015. For the survey, a sample of 1,304 Americans, including 511 Democrats, 481 Republicans, and 172 Independents – RELEASED YESTERDAY  (link)

(more…)

A rather extensive poll was conducted by Pew Research and People Press.  The results are devastating for Jeb Bush.  Donald Trump carries a solid 25% support amid a crowded field with Jeb Bush only garnering 4% support.
The total support within the “Splitter Team” is a weak 22% (Bush, Rubio, Fiorina, Huckabee) and only rises to 24% if you add Rand Paul.
Yes, Donald Trump is supported by a bigger margin than Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee and Rand Paul combined.

• Trump, Carson and Cruz together  = 47%.
• Bush, Rubio, Fiorina, Huckabee, Paul = 24%

(more…)

YouGov has published another national poll of 450 Republican Voters (full pdf below).  One of the more interesting aspects to this specific poll is the inability of the Fiorina Campaign to capitalize on the beneficial media.
Thanks in part to Operation Hummingbird, Carly Fiorina was given 15% of total political airtime as measured by Newsbusters.  However, it would appear the larger electorate is well aware of Fiorina’s deceptive intention to portray herself as an “outsider”.

The full 155 page poll pdf  is below.  However, we are also pulling out some of the key data pages so you can see the specifics of where this poll result is coming from. (more…)