There is a great deal of manipulation and falsehood in media presentation of the 2020 election. These lies and false constructs generate a great deal of anxiety. That said, there are two specific approaches by the narrative engineers that deserve a strong reminder.
♦The first purposeful approach media use to create and embed their false assumptions is a slight of hand that few notice, and it can create anxiety. In normal term-two election cycles the baseline for media analysis should be the incumbent electoral win in term one.
The accurate baseline should be what states the incumbent (Trump) won in the prior 2016 election. From that position the analysis should then discuss what states the challenger (Biden) needs to take in order to win. The reason is simple, the incumbent already has a track record -so the assumption should be on retention of the previous outcome. However, with President Trump the media doesn’t do this.
The media now position President Trump’s opposition Joe Biden as if he has already won states and Trump needs to win them back. Essentially they flip the baseline to build upon their skewed and false polling narratives. They never did this with any prior elections.
In Obama’s 2012 term-two race he was assumed to have support in all the states he won in 2008, and Mitt Romney had to overcome states Obama was ‘holding’.
However, in this 2020 term-two race the media analysis doesn’t start out by giving President Trump his previous victories. This makes it easier for them to falsely assert a more difficult path to victory.
Watch for this in all media analysis of the race and you will see exactly what they are doing. The approach is subtle, and the purpose is psychological.
♦ The next issue to remind yourself about is “Exit Polling.”
All exit polling is pushed by media in their effort to create a self-fulfilling prophecy. The election year media polling is already skewed with manipulated outcomes; they do the same thing with the exit polling, only they do it on election day in rapid succession.
Again, just a brief reminder:… if the media are willing to set up planted audience members to the benefit of Joe Biden (they have); and if the media are willingly and purposefully going to manipulate debate moderators, debate questions and non-questions, and town-hall audience scripts to undermine President Trump (again, they have); then what do you think those same media outlets are doing with their polling?
Put another way: If the media are willing to create intentionally false impressions for broadcast what are they doing with the polling they are paying for?
The same manipulative approach happens with “exit polling.”
As we saw in 2016 the exit polling was exactly the opposite of the election result. At 5:00pm Eastern the media were proclaiming Hillary Clinton the clear winner based on their “exit polls.” The national polling places were not even closed yet.
For hours this narrative was pushed despite central timezone and west coast still voting. Additionally, despite warnings those media pronouncements created a tremendous amount of anxiety amid Trump supporters. You will remember by 9pm the actual results started coming in and they showed something entirely different. The exact opposite of the exit polling.
The media never explained why their “exit polling” was so wrong; they just moved on to the attack and resistance approach against President-Elect Trump.
They didn’t explain the difference because media did not make mistakes with exit polls, or carry the wrong approach toward gathering the outcomes. The media FABRICATED the content of the exit polls, and they did so with specific and purposeful intent.
Exit polls are entirely manufactured to give the election analysts a narrative for broadcast. That is their only purpose. Ignore MSM Exit Polling !
I posted this on my FB page this morning:
Here is where we are at, and here is what you can do:
– If this was a fair election with fair media coverage, Trump probably would take 45 states given his domestic and foreign policy accomplishments.
– Since 2016, President Trump has only gained support, especially among Latinos, blacks, Democrats, and conservatives who thought he was too liberal.
– Biden is even more unpopular than Hillary and the Democrat Party has clearly split into Communist and corrupt cultural “elite” wings. (Trump’s party is now a nationalist labor party).
– Early voting has not gone the way the Democrats hoped or expected. States that track Republican versus Democrat ballots show the GOP has surpassed or kept pace with 2016 early voting vis a vis the Dems.
– Trump has multiple paths to win. Biden doesn’t. For example, if Biden loses PA, he’s toast. Trump can win without PA.
– Barring MASSIVE voter fraud in MANY states, Trump should win.
– However, don’t be shocked if the “media” simply refuses to call the election for days (perhaps weeks). There will talk of finding thousands of ballots or contesting ballots. The lawyers will get involved. They want to set up the narrative that Trump “stole” the election “again.” They want to demoralize you.
– What can you do? VOTE. VOTE. VOTE. Take your friends, family, co-workers, etc. who support the President. EVERY vote will matter in EVERY state, especially down ticket. VOTE straight GOP even if you don’t like the GOP candidate because the alternative is a Dem who is now blackmailed by Communists. Don’t assume your vote won’t matter in places even like NY or CA. VOTE. VOTE. VOTE.
– Secondly, DON’T listen to the media, including FOX. Go for a walk, watch a movie, clean your house. But don’t listen to these liars. We know who and what they are now. Don’t give them the time of day.
– Thirdly, pray. It helps. God is listening and watching.
#MAGA
Be prepared for ALL the networks to refuse to call NC, PA, MI, and possibly others on election night due to excuses like slow counting, ballots mailed on election day but not received yet, etc. That being the case, unless Trump wins MN and NV and achieves 270 without late-reporting states, the networks will not acknowledge a Trump win on election night. If Trump declares victory they will scream that he is a dictator refusing to accept defeat. Pray for an overwhelming victory that makes those other states irrelevant.
Since the Leftist Antifa/BLM thugs have threatened to storm the White House. The news of the fence going up and 250 National Guard stationed nearby is being twisted already. The narrative being pushed is that Trump is walling himself in like a dictator because he doesn’t plan to leave.
Its sick, but I see that narrative building already. Any violence that occurs will somehow be Trump’s fault and an example of authoritarian intents.
Some will believe it. These peoples brains are twisted in a a bag of worms.
You can fool (manipulate) SOME of the people, ALL the time.
You can fool ALL the people, SOME of the time,
But you CAN’T fool ALL the people, ALL the time.
Conmunists recognise the reality of this, but try to finesse it. However, due to their own actions, and PDJT’S actions, the Dems only voters are those still left, that can be fooled all the time.
Fortunately, despite ALL their efforts at indoctrination, manipulation and corruption, those who can be fooled all the time, are a minority of the populace.
Its game over, baked in, and all their denial and manipulation will come to naught.
Doesn’t mean they won’t TRY it, but it does mean they won’t succeed.
Remember, these are the same geniuses that came up with, and carried out Muh Russia and Ukraine Impeachment hoax.
They have a four year record of losing, PDJT of winning. WHY is anyone worried?
Sit back, relax (assuming you have done all that you can do) and enjoy the scedenfrude.
Its going to be a GLORIOUS VICTORY for us and our lion.
So very true that some, even many will believe it. I read posts that my wife shares with me from her FB account (I don’t do SMedia ) of “friends” of mine who are wedded to the Portland Riots being the result of “White Supremacists”. These are not dumb shut-ins. They are educated and politically engaged people whose deep seeded hatred will not allow them to acknowledge truth. Truth destroys their world-view, including their carefully cultivated and manicured sense of self.
Your last sentence is a very powerful truth. This is the behavior of the weak and vulnerable who are either broken by society already or denying the reality to preserve their sanity. They desperately want to believe their captors who lie that all is well. It is so much easier to blame one man for their discomfort than it is to question their entire world view.
Either way, such people are ripe for the picking. The weak-minded and spiritually broken can be groomed to believe anything they are told. The Wizard simply bestows them a certificate of indoctrination, and all is right with their world.
I wear many hats and my life’s work has always been to lift up those who seek His face, to encourage people to be their best selves. But too many of His lost sheep are so self-absorbed that they can’t see the forest for the trees.
“Father forgive them, for they know not what they do.”
HEAR, HEAR!!
In 2016, I had a sinking feeling when the Enslaved Press wouldn’t call it for Trump and there was a 1.5 hour data shadow – around 10:00 EST where the results from Philly and Detroit didn’t move.
Trump won by the margin of litigation/theft.
Hubby and I went to bed at 2:45 a.m. convinced that Fox News would not call PA until the last possible second. They didn’t. I think Hillary had already conceded before Fox called it for Trump. This year Biden will not concede — they’ve already telegraphed that. Why would we think they would? They haven’t even conceded the 2016 election yet.
Trump Sparkling Blanc de Noir chilling as we speak. We’ll be popping corks here in California long before our polls close, God willing – and I believe He is. After the support shown for POTUS these past months in so many and from unexpected sources, no way does he get fewer EVs than in 2016. 304 then, 330+ tomorrow. Very exciting and IMO, it’s not a question of IF we win, it’s a question of by how much. That said – V
Oops – to continue – VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE!!
V for Victory
V for the shape of the recovery
And V for Vote in overwhelming numbers!
Like how you think.
@ Delighteddeplorable OOO- I’ll need to look into that. My class assignment for next month is champagne/sparkling wines. Who else is imagining a winred party in their future?
The winery is stunningly beautiful – of course! And the wine isn’t bad, either. ?
https://www.trumpwinery.com/
The winery is Eric Trump’s business [with his wife]. he is the quiet Trump son.
We were married at the chapel at Trump Winery! It is a beautiful property, their bubbly wins lots of awards.
2020 redux 2016.
I’d like to think that it’d be a redux 1984, but I’ll be okay with a repeat of 2016 (with one or two more states).
Yes bill!
In other words, Mockingbird media is gonna be mocking again. And deplorables will do what we did in 2016, only bigger this time.
Wish I’d planned ahead on the wine!!!
Haha, love your name!
Oops, not under correct comment. This was meant for DelightedDeplorableChumpette.
All in for President Trump, vote in and counted (5 in family, Florida). Donated small amounts along the way. As with many we all know brainwashed neighbors or family, so now will wait for results. Of course the President has to fight 99% of the media, and being in Florida we know all too well the propensity for Democrats to cheat, perpetrate fraud. Praying that the media force feeding propaganda to the public through a fire hose has awakened some people to ask the question why?
Puzzled: Thnx. Particularly liked your last statement. Gets the point across very well.
MAGA!
Enjoy this historic Presidential United States map.
https://www.270towin.com/historical-presidential-elections/
If you look at 1912, you can see why we got the 16th and 17th Amendments, and the Federal Reserve Act.
Yep, good old, He Kept Us out Of War Wilson. Until he didn’t. Horrid man.
7 counties in PA will not start counting til day after election day. ALERT!!
Those wouldn’t perchance be the Philly greater metropolis now would they?
Not counting any votes or not counting mail in votes? Which counties? Do you have a link? Thanks.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/seven-pennsylvania-counties-will-wait-until-after-election-day-process-n1245614
Like I mentioned before, something really goofy is going on in PA. Completed ballots of mail is 2:1 ratio favoring Democrats. No other state is anywhere close to that. It is an extreme outlier. All other battle ground “swing” states have R and D within a few percent of each other.
So why is it so radically different at this point in PA?
The Hill reported this morning that Biden is up 7 in PA. Then I see that Biden is doing 3 rallies in Pa around the Pittsburg area because a Pittsburgh paper endorsed Trump. And then Kamala HO is doing 3 rallies in the middle of the state in Pa. The D RATS are shitting in their pants. Hopefully we won’t need Pa Tuesday night to declare Trump the winner.
So if the ballots for registered Dems vs Rep have come back 2:1. Yet Biden is only up 7, that would seem to suggest that many registered Dems are voting Red.
… and we know the polls are cooked, especially coming from The Hill.
All I am saying is that the door is wide open in PA for total BS, and the Dems will use it anyway they can.
Republicans in PA know Dems cheat in Philadelphia and don’t trust mail in ballots due to documented fraud with mail in ballots .
We always prefer to vote in person on election day.
Also, our Gov scared Dems about Covid. They preferred mail in.
And, a ton of those Dem ballots in the western part of the state are for Trump. There are a ton of conservative registered Dems who vote Republican in that part of the state. We even had Dem organized Tea Party groups in that part of the state in 2010.
You can’t compare PA to the normal state. ?
Other than Pittsburgh, Democrats in western PA are in name only. Their parents and grandparents were all lifelong Democrats so they are as well. But they’re actually independents who will vote for either party depending on the issues/candidates. My best friend who lives in New Castle is a registered Democrat but always votes Republican. He has told me of scores of Democrats who are disgusted with their party and are voting Trump. He told me a woman who was the Democrat Chairwoman, quit the party and became a Republican.
So they can know how much to cheat. NC is accepting mail-ins for 9 days after 11/3/2020. IMO, NC will be the deciding state. I am a bit more optimistic, mainly because of SD, but my gut tells me the Dems will successfully steal this election.
You are spot on. Florida could start processing mail-in on Oct 12. Maryland on Oct 1st. NC on Sept 29th Here’s the link with state-by-state info:
https://journalistsresource.org/advance-ballot-processing-interactive-timeline-general-election-2020/
parleyvous—SUCK!!! Any Trump lawyers on that? What’s the deal?
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/seven-pennsylvania-counties-will-wait-until-after-election-day-process-n1245614
I found the link. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/seven-pennsylvania-counties-will-wait-until-after-election-day-process-n1245614
These are all counties that went for President Trump in 2020 and their concern is with not having enough staff in election day to do the counting.
mariinsc—Thanks for the link! Not having enough staff? Ummmmmm.
My guess – and it’s purely that – is they want to keep the staff available for questions and complaints on election day. That actually makes sense to me. I certainly would not want them hiring unvetted temps for a day to do the counting or handle the phones. Would you?
FPCHmom—-“The attorney general of pennsylvania is calling election results before election day
Very normal. No rigging going on here.”
What the HECK???? BEFORE Election Day? I hope the right people are on this!!!!!
FPCHmom—-Sounds to me, “If all the votes are added up in PA, Trump is going to lose. ” that we’re talking SERIOUS cheating and fraud! I hope the necessary folks are on this!!!!
You would be hard pressed to tell me Dems are nice people look at the responses, Trumpers cheat,Trump has killed 230 million with covid and it just goes on and on. Why on earth are we putting up with people who hate America , hate us, hate everything about this country. Lets spend the next 4 years purging them from America.
Look at my previous posts. Major f’kery is afoot in PA. The early numbers make no sense at all when compared to all the other Midwest states.
I always wanted POTUS to walk down the streets in Philly and Detroit. I guess it was just impossible or else he’d have done it.
I believe a miracle is happening right before our eyes. Perhaps Rev Franklin Reagan’s prayer last night at Trump’s Georgia Rally truly helped.
Many Treepers have long known that “the fix was in” concerning most polling. However I’ve been following only 2 polls regarding this election. 1) The IBD-TPP (Investor’s Business Daily Poll) and 2) TheTrafalgarGroup Polling.
You can see them here:
https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-race-tight-ibd-tipp-presidential-poll/
https://www.TheTrafalgarGroup.com
I follow ONLY these two polls because these were the ONLY polls which consistently and accurately predicted Trump’s win in 2016. You can easily verify this through careful research.
The IBD-TIPP poll shows the changing Popular Vote and they update the polling ever day up to election day at 9:00 am. In 2016 they showed very accurately that Clinton would win the popular vote and by how much. The IBD poll showed the % difference of Clinton’s win was much smaller than all other well-known polls, and was the most accurate. They were also accurate in their 2008, 2012 elections as well. Therefore, they have a solid track record.
IBD-TPP has made the point that even though Trump lost the popular vote by 2.1% in 2016, he won the Electoral vote which gave him the Presidency. Although it happened in 2000 when Bush beat Gore in this manner, we all know this situation is peculiar and doesn’t usually occur. IBD then looked back in history to show that although this situation does infrequently occur, no President has won the Electoral vote with a larger deficit in the Popular Vote than 3% since Rutherford Hayes in the 1870s.
For the past several days, I have been checking in on the IBD-TPP poll and have seen Trump’s deficit far outpace IBD’s 3% max number (5% +) and therefore I gave Trump little hope. (You can find their daily numbers yourself if interested in their website)
However, today I was astonished to read their new poll (IBD) which shows Trump with a 3.1% popular vote difference. Furthermore their headline reads: “Trump Vs. Biden Suddenly Looks Tight in IBD-TIPP Presidential Poll. ” It further suggests by tomorrow it will be even tighter. Meanwhile, TheTrafalgarGroup polling which polls Battleground States are showing Trump doing extremely well in the Battleground States which would give Trump the Electoral victory, just as happened in 2016.
Pinch me, I hope I’m not dreaming!
I know many here aren’t surprised one bit having more faith than me (afterall, I’m somewhat of a newbee here), but I offer the above for others who, like me may have had their doubts.
VIVA LA POPULIST!
VIVA TRUMP!
MAGA!
Another 2 accurate polls from 2016 were Susquehanna and Peoples Pundit (Richard Baris) – Big Data. They are yielding similar polling results to the 2 you mentioned.
Things are looking good barring any major fraud.
trumpthepress—-The operative words are, “….barring any major fraud.”
How is this good news? It’s saying he’s behind and suburban voters are still voting Biden?! This is Investors, your link doesn’t work to the Trafalgar.
I have PDJT winning on election night but barely…271 electoral votes (includes ME and NE congressional EVs) w/same wins as 2016. 4 states to drag on…MN and NV due to recounts and PA and NC dragging out due to asinine decisions to accept late mail-ins. Don’t think it will matter w/NC as I expect he will have an insurmountable lead. Not sure about PA due to Philly shenanigans.
Potential “sleeper” picks for the President…CO, VA, or NH, w/NH the best opp. If he wins any one of those, call it a done deal and four more years!!!
I have been analyzing the data on EV in certain counties and I think NH is going for the President.
I also think VA is going to be razor thin either way.
Colorado is probably a loss by 2% but close as rural votes exceed previous years.
I don’t think he wins NC. TOO MANY SHITHOLE LIBERAL CITIES that went all in for commies in 2018 mid terms.
The problem with too many states is that liberals move from California, New York etc. and change the voting patterns. The liberals screw up their own States and then move for better Opportunities elsewhere. If the liberals are going to move they should do themselves and everyone else a favor and get the hell out of the country.
Doin’ my best to make sure my newly adopted state of NH goes in the win column. Live Free or Die !!
OK, ALL OF YOUSE:
My Polling has Trump winning 75% to 25 for Sleepy…….And I’ll bet anyone $100 we are going to win this BIG.
Yep. Gut tells me even CA is in play.
I was hoping Trump would hold a rally in Ca, just to screw with the Ds, and to help our house members.
House Seats are definitely in play
Yeah, I have a good feeling about NH too. I am in CO, and the loons in the cities are so rabid that I would be shocked if CO goes red. But I certainly pray that it does. I’ve been through NV a handful of times over the past few months, and I think PDJT has a good shot there, and the population is not big enough for recounts to go on forever.
I moved from Denver in 1982….they had just elected their 1st lefty mayor, but the state was still solid conservative.
Denver and Boulder are liberal cesspools. Definitely headed the direction of Seattle and San Francisco. The suburbs around Denver are like the SF Bay Area, full of virtue-signalling lefties. Went to Centennial to shop and the mask Karens were worse than in Denver.
The commie media would make Hitler’s Third Reich propaganda machine look like amateurs.
The commie media needs to be rounded up and sent to the Gulags. Never to be seen again.
Agreed. Significant changes will HAVE to be made!
MAGA!
I was so nervous four years ago, but what helped is that I did NOT tune into ANY TV the whole day, I stayed on this site and read the ground reports, it helped a lot with anxiety. People here reported the long lines, never seen before. I kept hoping and praying the monster vote was happening. But when my husband got home, he turned it on after 7 pm, and it wasn’t good then. I still stuck to this site but the news made me nervous because it was that bad like Sundance says. My oldest son and I got down on our knees and prayed.
Looks like we are actually voting on election day tomorrow. The lines for early voting are very long, hoping it will be broken up better tomorrow when we all have our own polls.
I will probably stay on CTH for all news, but maybe in the evening, we might go to an election night party in my town held by the county GOP if it’s still going on and we can get in. It might help to be with fellow supporters, they were very good about the Trump Train rolling rally yesterday that we participated in.
Although, my husband says it is reported that Ohio has up to Nov 18th to count absentee ballots!!!
In case there is any doubt, I will stand in a line as long as it takes tomorrow!!
I had actually wanted to vote on Election Day but was worried if I would be sick and wanted to early vote, so I took it day by day in how I felt.
The pollsters aren’t happy that no one (espescially the President) is listening to them. It’s become a closed information loop with them and the MSM.
They are basically admitting that by ignoring them, the President will get himself re-elected.
What kind of stupid comment is that? >Harry Ensten
They really are believing their own bullshit.
Kaco—-Hate to be crude, but I think they’re eating it! Yuck! I know!
Ew ?
Yes and they are angry that they could not make HIM and more importantly US believe it.
It’s truly a shame that Pence was never able to share deeper data with the American people.
A couple key stats IMO would have been helpful if they were repeated over and over..
1) this virus primarily affects and harms the elderly with underlying conditions so the first objective is to protect the elderly.
2) that 99.8% of the people under the age of 60 who do not have serious underlying conditions recover.
3) of the 225,000 who have been died did you know that 56,000 actually died from heart disease and 15,000 were in hospice prior to getting CV and yet were marked down as having died FROM CV. So with just these two conditions they account for 32% of the labeled CV deaths.
4) Now add in the people who actually died from the flu or pneumonia and other underlying condition and we probably get to 60-70% of all of these 225,000 deaths actually died FROM something other than CV but because we created an lucrative financial incentive to the hospitals for listing CV we got what we did.
Bottom line Pence trusted the government agencies to tell the story and like the media the American public got what I see as a very tainted story.
He should have had their own non government, medical experts who specialize virus and diseases and who also are experts in data analysis.
Water under the bridge now but hopefully come Wed, Barr, Wray, Fauci and scarf lady are gone!
From what we are witnessing in the UK, France, et al, I don’t believe the science matters one jot. It is, was and never will be about the science. The ENTIRE thing is a tool to an end. There is no argument.
Oldspeak—-And Austrailia too!!!!
The definitive fact about the reasoning power of the people, collectively, came when the CDC actually came out and reported that only 6% of “covid deaths” were actually due to covid alone. I was astounded to hear an authoritative source give the American people a great truth; I was several times more astounded (actually, this is like saying, “I’m shocked, shocked I tell you…”, because I’m way past astounded) when that great, tremendous truth was totally ignored, by everybody, and everbody just kept wearing their masks. We knew, from before ANY lockdowns, that the disease targeted the very old (“mean age, 81”) and not at all the youth (that was crazy suspicious, and indicates it was man-made, hence degenerate and poorly made); yet again, people just “forgot” that great truth, in order to lock their countries down as if fleeing from the Great Flood.
I am disgusted to see people still hanging on to the “covid crisis”, in the middle of all the blatant tyranny going on, not the least of which is a presidential election with the Democrat an actual, criminal (admitted, on video) ganglord.
This is “Saturday Night Live” material, except SNL was funnier…
The CDC changed the tabulation criteria from DEATHS FROM COVID-19 to DEATHS WITH COVID-19 in April and that’s when the death toll skyrocketed. The CDC changed it in August to DEATHS INVOLVING COVID-19 which slowed things down some. It’s all politically based on inflicting damage to the economy and President Trump. I’m sure he knows that. Hopefully, he can address the fraud on November 4th and fire a whole lot of saboteurs in his Cabinet!
harry… I am in agreement with your statements above… really disappointing to see how many sheeple are still going along with the ‘mask mandate’.. saw two or three vehicles yesterday with the driver (alone) wearing a mask ??? One of the main problems, as I see it, is that the fact that viruses consist of MUCH smaller particles than the mask “filters”, this fact is not being ‘pushed’. So MANY people do not question, or examine… merely ‘accept’.
??Hundred upvotes Harry.
Yes, this year’s virus is lethal, It took my mother in June. my brother still struggles with sequele.
BUT: .
my mother was 93, brother late 50’s . Both resided in Phoenix and were exposed and hospitalised during the peak of infections.
I won’t go into details, but each had/have seriously compromised health from multiple long term co-morbit systemic conditions.
Life is risky. Best we can do is be sensible and make reasoned decision Ed based on TRUSTWORTHY knowledge, , not be herded by wanna be masters and media into abject emotion driven subjects,
(recall the absurd toilet paper frenzy?).
I refuse to let doomday town criers define my reality,
It’s a choice,
One can focus on largely unrecognized mitigating factors, such as our wealth of dynamic hard working young adults, our residence as a people, whose conduct goes unacknowledged, or is castigated by never satisfied nit picking complainers!
The big picture is not defined by negativistic individuals with axes to grind, and their daily dystopian POV,
,
It’s determined long term, in fluid, dynamic conditions, involves complexi calculations of risk management and incorporates the full spectrum of unknown/ knnowns .
We’ve not given in to demoralizing aging prop,
I see tangible achievements, economic, technical and social, which our country has had in dealing with this bug.
Watch this- Trump supporters are an inspiration –
I think the President wants to keep Joe from reaching 200.
How old IS Joe, anyway? Don’t think he’ll reach 200!
I saw Zuckerberg saying a few weeks back but the most important thing was to convince people that counting votes for weeks after the election was a normal thing, and people shouldn’t be alarmed. Certainly, buying time is their goal. Once the score is known, they wish to review their options. I think President Trump is going to move decisively. He has a lot more power than the tech guys, they just don’t know it. They may be about to find out.
It’s called Election Day and not Election Week!
Thank you rpcoastie!!!! Thank you!
The marxists would love Election Year…..or until their candidate wins.
Nothing normal about it. I’m so tired of people lecturing us about what is “normal.” Screw all of these so-called “elites.”
I was thinking about how strong President Trump is closing, and I remembered the press conference a few months back when he had attending legendary New York Yankees pitcher Mariano Rivera. The greatest closer of all time in baseball history. The President knows winning, and he always associates himself with the best.
Cenk is sunk.
The PA 2 Democrats to 1 Republican early vote isn’t unusual. The high population city voters naturally will vote early to avoid standing in line Election Day.
Just remember, there’s no way to know right now what candidate has the most votes. More Democrats will pick Trump than Republicans pick Biden.
Also—there is no early voting in PA.
Dimwits will be watching tomorrow night, thinking the military will enter the White House and remove President Trump against his will. Frigging idiots
I bet I’m not the only one who woke up today with this song on the brain!
Falling back on my favorite joyous tune, always great but especially on this day:
I remember when they had the state of Florida blue that night, but my father called me and said that the panhandle returns haven’t come in yet.
The MSM was already trying to declare florida went to Hillary.
It didn’t work then and it won’t work now.
Just a great must read article and short video about those folks who put up the TRUMP sign on the 405 freeway in LA. Dedicated Patriots.
https://redstate.com/kiradavis/2020/10/30/group-405-trump-sign-campaign-ad-n272061
Screaming Eagle: Thanks so much for that video, and for the text explanation. lol
Cooking & decorating the house now for our Election Night Chili Party, serving only Trump wines of course. Working at my polling station from 10-4 tomorrow. No anxiety here!!
Folks, as I said many times in the past, Crooked lost only because many Democrats believed she would win in a landslide and stayed home, many blacks who voted for Obama did not vote and Bernie bros were sulking in the corner. She was a deeply flawed candidate, there was no enthusiasm for her either but Trump won many states only marginally.
2020 is different. There is an unprecedented level of hatred of President Trump among the left. Don’t underestimate fake news media, they have done an outstanding job. As sad as it sounds, millions of people are susceptible to propaganda.
There is no enthusiasm for Biden but the base is not voting for him, they are voting against Trump. A doorknob with D behind its name will get their vote.
Democrats got extremely lucky with China virus. The Devil’s luck indeed. Without it and with the economy booming Trump would’ve had a much easier path to re-election.
On top of that, the DNC activated a gigantic voter fraud machine.
I certainly hope Trump wins but it will not be easy. Pray hard my friends. We may lose our Republic tomorrow.
I agree. It’s nerve wracking, but it’s in God’s hands. I know we’re immune to the propaganda here at the treehouse, but I see too many people who have taken the bait and just refuse to reason. We’ll just have to wait and see. It does seem that the indicators are heavily in our favor, so that is encouragement. But like you, I’m trying to hold back in case my own bias/optimism is misleading me.
Summer: Far too negative for me… go MAGA!!!!
“We may lose our Republic tomorrow.”
We lose our Republic when we give up.
Many previous generations had it far worse defending what we were given than we have or probably will have in the future.
Stiffen your backbone and resolve that we’re going to do as our fathers did and get the damn job done regardless.
I think we reached herd immunity to the media’s propaganda.
Nerd immunity.
We’ll know by 10pm tomorrow night who won. I’ve been tracking NC early voting stats. My previous predictions were Trump would equal perform (within 1% of his 3.7% win in 2016), and we’re on track to do the same assuming no substantial crossover voting anomalous to 2016. Comparing 2016 early voting to 2020, it’s been nearly exact in terms of percentage of new voters between D and R, nearly exact in percent of early voters from 2016 who didn’t show to early vote this time, and number of Election Day voters brought forward into early voting. In other words, with no assumptions or judgments made (just simple R/D ratios), Trump will win by nearly the same amount as 2016.
My only concern is that there are very high anomalies in new unaffiliated voters and voters with unknown race and gender. From what I can tell, it appears the Dems are hiding the black vote and the younger vote here (thus I’m leery of black voting being down in NC). Where R and D had 31% new voters compared to 2016 early voting totals, unaffiliated had 50% new voter turnout (net anomaly of 168K compared to R or D). In 2016, 3% of the voters were unknown race. This time, it’s 10%. Urban vote is up as is suburban vote and younger people are registering as unaffiliated. I suspect (and hope) rural voters are waiting until tomorrow to cast in person. We won by 173k votes in 2016. Regardless of whether this anomaly votes entirely for Biden, we should still hold NC.
Bottom line: if Trump has won NC by 10pm, we won the US. This will mean the independent/unaffiliated has come through for us in NC which translates to nationally and we can pop the cork. If it’s a squeaker in NC, then start worrying. While the media propaganda doesn’t work on us, it does work and thus we shall see pending NC results. With FL and NC, all we need is AZ and either MI or PA. WI, MN, NH, NV are just gravy. I’m banking my hopes that Gretchen has pissed off enough Michiganders to carry that state to deal the deal, but we at least have many paths to victory to not fret over PA voter fraud. I’m cautiously optimistic…God Bless you all.
I think there is going to be a substantial crossover vote – Democrats voting for Trump. When the average Democrat sees their Party condoning rioting, arson, looting, physical violence, threats, and defunding the police, will they still vote for Biden? I’m guessing a lot will put country before party and vote for Trump.
I think there will be too, esp. among the older Dems and Blue Dogs. But they also get their news from the propaganda outlets who proclaim that Trump’s rhetoric is the source of all of this crap, so I don’t know. All of the Dems I know who voted against Trump 2016 are voting Biden…they just immediately spout off that I’m just promoting QANon conspiracy theories whenever I try to argue points (and look at how much social media influences/limits their news feeds). So, that’s why I keep my analysis judgement and assumption free. It’s just a question of whether enough people have used critical thinking to see past the lies in the media.
I ALWAYS said that QAnon crap was psyops. It was, absolutely. It caused great harm. Not only it made conservatives complacent, it damaged the credibility of the conservative movement, by association. The well was poisoned.
Every time I see a tweet with “Q sent me” I weep. Lots of gullible, easily manipulated people on both sides.
There will be some. But I believe there will be even more no show. Hating a candidate isn’t a strong motivator. Nobody is excited about a President Joe Biden, or soon to be President Kamala.
Whether they vote for Trump or don’t vote at all, both are good for Trump. I see a switch as 2 votes – 1 more for Trump and 1 less for Biden, and a stay home as 1 less for Biden.
Hi Digressive…thanks for your hard work on this…perhaps I am missing something, but how could NC be called either when mail-ins can arrive 9 days after 11/3/2020?
NC must also re-elect Tillis. The extended election deadline in NC can push Cunningham the conniver and his mistresses over Tillis. Trump must retain the Senate. Everyone is pumped up for Trump but must also vote straight republican especially if a republican senator is up for re-election.
I’ll be watching a movie saved to the DVR. I’ll open up an internet site, likely one listed here as in the past, at about 9PM right before going to bed. When I awaken in the morning, I’ll check again. I don’t need to watch the talking heads pontificate about stuff they know nothing about. I might have a bit better feeling about them, the talking heads, that is, if they would give the parameters of these polls when they announce the results of them.
Very sound logic. I would share that watching Trump trounce Hillary in 2016 and seeing the spirits of the commentators sink, the light in their eyes dim, the fear and loathing in their hearts grow with every passing hour -was amongst the most glorious things I have witnessed in my 50+ years.
Good time for a stroll down memory lane –
Still gives me goosebumps–the music is so perfect
Just to save you time and angst, Nate Silver is a deep cover Democrat disinformation op, like Snopes and the fact check Lib zoo. All pretending to be independent. Do some research and make up your own mind, I did, many years ago. No reason to change it.
I’m sorry if I am repeating a point that someone has already made. I have been busy today and have not had time to read widely here.
But think about it for just a minute, all of you who are going so nuts over the idea that the media is going to try to squelch all good news tomorrow night, that the Democrats are going to institute a whole insane barrage of legal action trying to say that the vote was illegitimate etc etc— in many many instances tomorrow night there’s going to be Democrat congressmen and congresswomen from all over the country from both red States and blue States who are going to lose their seats. Republicans are also very likely to regain two more Senate seats.
So the ability of the media to gaslight the nation and pretend that there are still plenty of votes out there that just haven’t been opened yet for Slow Joe is just not going to stand up. The American people are not going to believe them. and within just a few days the level of support for continuing chaos and lies and Hysteria and attempts to use the courts to overturn a legal election is just going to dry up.
President Trump is an eternal optimist. I love listening to Trump rallies, it is a cure for Globalist propaganda. I watched all 4 POTUS rallies yesterday and slept like a baby.
I believe in the inherit good of my country– the United States of America.
Will never bow down to Socialism, Marxism, Communism. Nope.
I won’t be alone either. Conservative? Naw….it’s more than that. American. These colors in our American flag don’t run, neither do we. I am not afraid what will happen.
We will stand together. Meet at the Old Mill….do whatever needs to be done. Call it 244 years again. Call it whatever.
No matter what.
China and other corrupt entities can buy off our politicians, corporations, media, unions, internet and create the illusion that they control us.
But it is just an illusion.
We are not China. We are not Europe. We are not something else made up in “the cloud”.
We are America.
Trump 2020.
https://twitter.com/RealRLimbaugh/status/1323266299766706176
Praying for Rush, every single day.
I wonder what effect Trump getting the China virus and recovering in a matter of days has on the election. It would be a great research paper for some graduate student!
1) I think it reinvigorated President Trump. He knows how serious it is for someone his age to get SARS-COV2 and he probably had a serious talk with himself. In a way, this was a 2nd chance to make sure the US strengthened it’s capitalist, religious, liberty roots, and continued as a bastion of freedom for the world.
2) It showed that we didn’t have to fear Covid-19. Under his leadership, the US has developed treatments that greatly reduce the risk of serious illness or death.
3) I think many seniors, who had been afraid to take any risks, saw President Trump’s quick recovery as proof that it was OK to take some risk and to get back to as normal a life as possible. That treatments were available and getting Covid-19 was not a death sentence.
4) I could list several ore, but you get the idea.
rushtonovember: “1) I think it reinvigorated President Trump. He knows how serious it is for someone his age to get SARS-COV2 and he probably had a serious talk with himself. In a way, this was a 2nd chance to make sure the US strengthened it’s capitalist, religious, liberty roots, and continued as a bastion of freedom for the world.”
IMO, your premise is just wrong… At 85 years young (and President Trump is younger).. if your health is good (and PJT has proven that, with his boundless energy)… just because this particular virus was “in his system”, proves next to nothing… The ‘hype’ has been fraudulent since the beginning, and you have ‘accepted’ the hype. This FLU, (if the truth ever is published extensively) will prove no more “deadly” than what has been experienced in the past years. The ONLY reason(s) behind what has/have devastated so much of our ‘normal’ life in these United States, is/are Control, Control, Stop Trump, Stop Trump. Never “worn a mask”, Never “stayed indoors”, Never avoided other people, AND EVEN IF I have had the virus.. Never been sick. This has all been a costly mistake, and many are still accepting that erroneous premise, and expecting that wearing a mask, etc. will protect them from any virus… only their individual immune system will do that (or not).
Agreed-it’s been a hoax perpetrated with an an end game in mind. This link covers the COVID-19 inception, the lies about how many people are dying…AND a great report on what’s in the vaccine they are trying to force on us.
https://www.stopworldcontrol.com/full/
I’m going to stick with my projection from a week ago. (Unlike this year’s media baseline, I started with the presumption that President Trump will retain every state that he carried in 2016, and built an educated inference from there.) The powder-blue and rose-pink states are those where I’m thinking that the margin of victory will be ≤ 5%: https://www.270towin.com/maps/Dey18
Bordering on despondent today. Even though we will win, by larger numbers than 2016, these Bolsheviks are going to drag this out for weeks. The left and all media has pretty much announced that is what will happen, by design.
They will refuse to call any states Trump has won, let alone flipped. It will be “too close to call.” I’m sorry to be a negative Nancy here guys, but don’t expect to be partying Tuesday night. Don’t stay up because nothing will be final Tuesday night. This is going to be very ugly and very drawn out even when we win in a landslide. Personally, after finishing my barre class tomorrow night, I’m going to shower and then take an OTC sleeping pill and just go to bed.
Super sad that they’ve been able to take away our right to celebrate but I guess I shouldn’t be surprised.
Sounds like you just need to turn everything off for awhile and leave politics behind. But I will be staying up and I will be partying on Tuesday night.
I hope you’re right. I’ve told hubby to wake me if Biden ever concedes Tuesday night.
I second the motion about turning off the TV 🙂
I’ve not watched ANY pre-election crap this time around. It is ALL narrative engineering, and it’s 98.5% in support of the Left.
Stay cool.
I actually don’t watch TV (I have streaming by Roku but don’t watch anything political). I’m only looking at CTH and Don Surber’s blog. Sundance’s latest re-tweets in the sidebar of this site are pretty much confirming that the left is going to drag this out Tuesday night. Really disheartening!
CNN viewers accidentally got to hear the truth today. Even Alyson Camarota was a bit speechless. Watch –
It’s like the media wants to pretend Biden is going to cruise to victory, but they still need to sound the alarm to get their voters to the polls, so they have to be honest, even for just a brief segment about the reality on the ground.
Looking at that final map from 2016, and taking into account what I personally think seems to be the situation on the ground today, one day before the election, my opinion is:
States that Trump won in 2016 that are tight are mostly the same ones as in 2016: PA, WI, & MI.
Add to that, I believe, are AZ and NC.
But add to THAT states he didn’t win that are in play this time around: NH, MN, & NV.
Also possible might be NM and CO.
And everyone needs to keep this in mind….Trump does NOT have to win EVERY state he won last time to win. The target is 270….not 306 🙂
Colorado is a lost cause IMO.
Ditto. Lived there for almost 10 years and watched it go bright blue. I do think we’ll get NH, MN and maybe NV though!
I feel Trump will win, but the biggest problem we are going to have is that the MSM will act as one in refusing to call the election and pumping out the dem narrative. Twitter and Facebook have shut down the ability of conservatives to network and push our own narrative. Hopefully there will be some way we can still get our talking points out and a way for conservatives to band together.
Said pretty much the same thing above: we will win, but the media will make us miserable in the meantime. I don’t see a clear result on Tuesday night even if it’s a landslide, sadly.
You could use Parler or Gab to communicate. And, if you’re on Twitter, you could come up with some kind of format that would be difficult to censor, but that is readily understandable, e.g. “OANN: FL(R)”
I have never seen such enthusiasm for a candidate. This will be a blowout.
But, I will refrain watching TV until 7PM MST. Reading here or gateway will be my source until then. Redstate used to be a good source.
Watching this tool and his “Young Turks” melt down in 2016 never gets old 🙂
Looks like we might get the sequel!
Judge rules against GOP & Trump campaign in suit against Clark Co.
https://www.kolotv.com/2020/10/29/trump-campaign-challenges-mail-in-ballot-count-in-clark-county/
I’ve just realized while watching a Biden speech on mute (can’t take his gibberish) that he has made it through this whole entire campaign without answering more than 10 questions of substance from the media.
He is a disgrace.
WOW… the amount of commenting on this. Who said TRUMP isn’t a Uniter? We all look pretty darn united to me… just sayin.
Love being in the company of such amazing Patriots. Thanks guys
All of you Trump supporters in the Peoples Republic of California need to heed this article and do your get out the vote plan regardless of what is being said on the news. If you can’t flip California for President Trump, you can have a great affect on the final California vote totals by staying in the fight.
If you can flip California, we all win everything and we will have the Patriotic Americans in California to thank for their large part in it. I will vacation in California again as a tribute to you all and a small boost to your economy. California will still be our most beautiful State. We are pulling for you all
If you can’t, we need every vote you can muster to counteract the ballot harvested popular vote margin that our enemies will be trying to use as a harpoon on our whole system of electing our National tickets. Even if you lose, you may be able to guarantee Trump a victory in the fictitious Nationwide Popular vote and prevent the destruction of our Constitutional Republic our enemies have planned if they can manufacture a popular plurality of the vote.
Remember, popular Democracy is little more than two wolves and a sheep discussing what is for dinner.
Trump2020! May God grace our Country with the freedom He wishes for all mankind.
Pinellas County checking in. Today I went grocery shopping. I saw dozens of trucks with huge Trump flags. I saw some teenagers by the beach taking pictures of their Jeep with a giant Trump flag. I met a vet at the checkout line at Publix proudly wearing his Trump hat and he told me he was going to be canvassing today. The momentum is with us but vote vote vote! Offer to drive people to the polls we will win this!
Really? I that why POTUS and his team who have all the available information plus privately funded polling are spending an outsize amount of time and money campaigning in PA right down to the wire? If only they had this analysis a week ago, they could have spent more time other states.