Trumponomics – Labor Market Gains 211,000 Jobs In April, Precursor to Wage Rate Increases…

The federal April jobs report shows a gain of 211,000 new jobs amid a 2.5% year-over-year growth in wages, bringing the latest national unemployment rate to 4.4% or what the federal economists call the ‘cusp’ of full employment.  They are, well, ‘positioning’ an advanced narrative.

DATA – •Construction payrolls rose by 5,000; •manufacturing payrolls increased by 6,000; •leisure and hospitality payrolls jumped by 55,000; •professional and business services payrolls rose by 39,000; •healthcare and social assistance employment increased by 36,800; •retail payrolls gained 6,300.

That’s the official interpretation of what the jobs gains mean.  However, to reconcile the “slacking” the quantifying economists are now halving the customary growth figure used for inbound newly economically matriculated workers.

Historically it takes 150k new monthly jobs to retain employment rates as static; therefore any job growth beyond 150k must lower the unemployment rate. The fed is now using 70-100k as the new labor market number to retain stasis.

Bloomberg – […] Removed from the weather-related distortions of the previous three months, the April figures indicate solid trends in employment, while measures of those left behind in the recovery — favored by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and President Donald Trump alike — are at or near pre-recession levels.

While the tighter labor market failed to translate to a breakout in wages in April, analysts are penciling in bigger paychecks in the months to come.

“Labor-market slack is getting absorbed pretty quickly,” said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities LLC. “As long as the labor market is tightening as it has been recently, it’s a very safe bet that we’re going to see wages accelerate.”  (link)

Overall, the economy is doing what we anticipated it would do.  But it is also important to remember we are in the space between two economies which are impacted by a change in policy.  Prior fiscal policy was driven to the benefit of ‘Wall Street’s’ economic engine. Trump policy is driven to the benefit of ‘Main Street’s’ economic engine.  We are in the space created during the shift in fiscal emphasis.

Politically speaking the fed is positioning on behalf of ‘the big club’.  Remember, behind all of the expressed data, policies, impacts and outcomes, are people – connected people.  They run in the same circles, attend the same meetings, host the same cocktail class circuit etc.  There are influential people, mostly globalists, behind federal economic policy.  This is the economic influencing group we call ‘the big club’.

You can see the agenda in its formative stage being constructing within media excerpts, usually buried.  If you know how to spot the catch phrases, and you know the general disposition of the club, you can see the narrative form.  That economic narrative will eventually translate into legislative action.

Watch closely, emphasis mine:

(Via AP) […] The labor force participation rate, or the share of working-age Americans who are employed or at least looking for a job, fell to 62.9 percent from an 11-month high of 63 percent in March. It has rebounded from a multi-decade low of 62.4 percent in September 2015, and economists see limited room for further improvement as the pool of discouraged workers shrinks.

[…] there are signs wage growth is accelerating as labor market slack diminishes. A government report last week showed private-sector wages recorded their biggest gain in 10 years in the first quarter.

With the labor market expected to hit a level consistent with full employment this year, payroll gains could slow amid growing anecdotal evidence that firms are struggling to find qualified workers. That could also boost wages. (read more)

We shared two years ago, right after candidate Trump announced, that his economic policy objectives -if instituted- would necessarily drive middle-class wages higher, Bigly.

The Trumponomic formula is a long-term strategic policy, with quick results; because he immediately flips the beneficial emphasis on the two economic engines.

Wall Street becomes “less than”, and Main Street becomes “more than”.   Drive main-street policy and you necessarily drive middle-class wage rates.

[…]  As the wage rate increases, and as the economy expands, the governmental dependency model is reshaped and simultaneously receipts to the U.S. treasury improve.   More money into the U.S Treasury and less dependence on welfare programs have a combined exponential impact.  You gain a dollar, and have no need to spend a dollar.  That is how the SSI and safety net programs are saved under President Trump. (more)

The Big Club are not inherently favorable to growth in wage-rates, it’s against their interests.  Free market profit margins are squeezed when productivity is strong and wage-rates (payrolls) increase.

For three decades U.S. productivity measures have skyrocketed, jaw-droppingly so.   The production value (output) of a single U.S. worker, in comparison to the cost of that worker (wages) is at historic highs.

Now we see the big club positioning to try and keep wage rates from growing.  This is the basis for their ‘open-border’ ‘global-worker’ outlook.  The tell-tale indicators are surfacing where they will begin demanding high levels of low to moderate skill immigration, ergo comprehensive immigration reform.  [This Make Sense Now]

The “full employment” measure, is false.  There are millions of workers within the U.S. who can/will upgrade their own employment if the market price for their employment increases (wages). However, this process is antithetical to the best interests of the big club.

Their arguments are easy to deconstruct.  If “full employment” was accurate, then why are there historic numbers of people on welfare programs?

The “full employment” measure/narrative  is how the big club positions their legislative sales pitch.  It’s a political game; the politicians are the paid performance artists who create the legislative policy of the people who pay for it.

.

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This entry was posted in Big Government, Big Stupid Government, Budget, Economy, Legislation, media bias, President Trump, Trade Deal, Uncategorized, US Treasury, USA. Bookmark the permalink.

117 Responses to Trumponomics – Labor Market Gains 211,000 Jobs In April, Precursor to Wage Rate Increases…

  1. nimrodman says:

    Yeah, “full employment” my a$$.

    My definition of full employment is when the “discouraged workers” get re-hired and all the dead weight are pulled back off welfare and given a broom to push.

    Liked by 39 people

    • nimrodman says:

      I’m just sayin

      Liked by 2 people

    • Beryl Bomb says:

      +1

      Liked by 1 person

    • Bouchart says:

      Unemployment is over 10%, easily.

      Liked by 5 people

    • coldwarrior says:

      yep, go over to shadowstats dot com and have a read. the REAL data is there and its far worse than our govt portrays it.

      Liked by 2 people

      • Shadow stats is a great site. They explain clearly how the employment numbers are created. In reality we have close to 25% unemployment. But the “club” and enemedia will never admit it because it would mean a screeching halt to the importing of cheap labor. I agree with Mr Nimrod above: when all those discouraged workers are off welfare and working at a job, any job, then and only then can we be at anything close to full employment.

        Liked by 7 people

    • Jobs for “Discouraged Workers” PROVES OBAMA’S FAILURE:
      • Trump is giving Americans the HOPE of Jobs.
      • Those Jobs CHANGE their future from Dependency to Prosperity.
      • President Trump is the candidate of HOPE & CHANGE.

      MAGA!

      Liked by 5 people

    • Mark says:

      Hey, there nimrodman… Ya gotta breathe a bit… It took 28 years for Bush-Clinton-Bush-Obama to get us to the place PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP inherited… The progress on so many fronts in just four months is amazing, even if the spineless GOP members of Congress are doing their best to slow him down after peeing themselves…

      Give President Trump a few more months to figure out how to make Congress work and then batten down the hatches… He made a bunch of promises on the campaign trail… I suspect he is gonna do his very best to keep those promises just as soon as he figures out how to make the deadwood in DC stand up and salute… He IS a quick study… Gonna be fun…

      Liked by 6 people

      • nimrodman says:

        I’m breathing fine, thanks.

        My comment was by no means a criticism of Pres Trump. I’m criticizing dishonest govt statistics and any specious claim of “full employment”. Particularly as it’ll be mis-used by big business interests to claim a need for foreign workers, as I think is the general drift of this article by Sundance.

        Liked by 6 people

    • mopar2016 says:

      And in the meantime, the house and senate approved omnibus more than doubles the amount of H-2B visas.
      Isn’t that special?

      https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#inbox/15bda8c0a2dbfa9f

      Liked by 2 people

      • WSB says:

        I know, criminal.

        Like

      • That’s all Paul Ryan, he has pushed those types of visas for years. I guess he was afraid his wall and gardens were not going to be tended to.

        But in all seriousness, the complaint was that American families are having a zero population growth for quite a few years now. All due to complaints of possible “over population-families started having fewer children. Where as before we would have 5 to 8 children per family we started having 2.5, which is now an average of 1.5.

        So there is no pleasing them 1st complaint/fear-overpopulation
        Now fear/complaint-population zero
        another fear-Americans do not like doing certain types of jobs (which we all know is Bravo Sierra!). Where we all know it is all about wages and control of.

        Liked by 2 people

    • Rino Hunters United! says:

      Exactly – that 4.4% number is HORSE BISCUITS.

      Did you make $20 last week? CONGRATULATIONS the FEDERAL GOVERNMENT CALLS YOU EMPLOYED!! Been looking for a job for 5 weeks – sorry your out of the labor force… More smoke and mirrors from the GOV.

      Real ‘full employment’ is when companies CAN’T FIND EMPLOYEES and start stealing them from other firms… Headhunters go crazy… Suits fly off the racks…. BMW sales skyrocket (not Ferrari sales) –

      the REAL unemployment number is much closer to 8-10% not counting the under-employed.

      Liked by 6 people

      • Ringo Hunter, you nailed it. I remember real full employment. People start spending on houses, remodels, appliances, vacations. Wages go up every month, welfare rolls fall, people start new businesses, college grads have full time jobs waiting the day they graduate. Traffic is a nightmare, big trucks are one out of every four vehicles on the road.

        President Trump knows EXACTLY what it looks and feels like. When he’s presented with a new bill to add foreign workers, H-1B’s and H-2B’s, we will learn what the art of the deal is really about. Corporations, MSM, Dems, will be screaming for more workers. But real America knows the truth. Many people are currently training their foreign worker replacements as I type. Madness.

        Liked by 5 people

        • Sylvia Avery says:

          I remember what full employment looked like, too. You basically had your choice of jobs. And oh I remember how hard it was to find temp staff! You basically could not do it because everyone had a job. You had to develop good networking skills so that you could nab someone who was ready to leave other employment and then you had to lure them in to want to work for you. We aren’t even CLOSE to being there.

          Liked by 3 people

      • US says:

        I remember full employment in the two last years of Reagan’s presidency. Help wanted signs everywhere; every time one went to the bank or store there were new clerks because everyone kept changing jobs.

        I think the investment in military matériel proposed by the President will be the best for growth because it is all made in America with American steel and aluminum. New generations of metalworkers will be trained. America will be made Great Again. We are lucky in Trump.

        Liked by 1 person

    • G. Combs says:

      Yeah, I love the way they ‘define’ an unemployent rate of ~23% as FULL employment.

      To hide the impact of NAFTA and WTO plus the China entry into the WTO, Clinton got rid of ‘discouraged workers’ Those unemployed for over a year are no longer counted as ‘unemployed.’ The US government was well aware of this. I saw a 2005 Report saying the WTO would mean an additional million Americans would be forced out of work.

      “John Williams’ Shadow Government Statistics” gives the details.

      “GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC REPORTS: THINGS YOU’VE
      SUSPECTED BUT WERE AFRAID TO ASK!”

      […]Up until the Clinton administration, a discouraged worker was one who was willing, able and ready to work but had given up looking because there were no jobs to be had. The Clinton administration dismissed to the non-reporting netherworld about five million discouraged workers who had been so categorized for more than a year. As of July 2004, the less-than-a-year discouraged workers total 504,000. Adding in the netherworld takes the unemployment rate up to about 12.5%.

      The Clinton administration also reduced monthly household sampling from 60,000 to about 50,000, eliminating significant surveying in the inner cities. Despite claims of corrective statistical adjustments, reported unemployment among people of color declined sharply, and the piggybacked poverty survey showed a remarkable reversal in decades of worsening poverty trends. […]

      Liked by 3 people

      • Donna in Oregon says:

        I read this website to get an idea of the unemployment rate:

        https://unemploymentdata.com/current-u6-unemployment-rate/

        “For April 2017 the official Current U-6 unemployment rate was 8.1% down from last month’s 8.9% and January’s 10.1%. On the other hand the independently produced Gallup equivalent called the “Underemployment Rate” was 14.0% up from the 13.7% in April, December 2016 and February 2017 but below January’s 14.1%. The current differential between Gallup and BLS on supposedly the same data is 5.9%!”

        Liked by 1 person

    • WSB says:

      I will be chuckling when the unemployment rate goes to -2, while the U6 is at 8% and we still have 9% of the population on Welfare.

      Don’t hit me….HELLO?…

      Liked by 2 people

    • tellthetruth2016 says:

      It will be nice to see teens actually being able to find summer jobs again also ….

      Liked by 1 person

    • Jedi9 says:

      … bla .. bla .. bla, all are fake numbers

      This is what I could find:
      US POPULATION …………………. 324,979,416
      US WORK FORCE NOW …………. 153,155,605
      US WORK FORCE 2000* ……….. 155,602,306
      OFFICIAL UNEMPLOYED …………… 7,131,018 = 4.6%
      ACTUAL UNEMPLOYED …………… 14,134,117 = 9.2%
      NOT IN LABOR FORCE NOW ……. 94,279,222
      NOT IN LABOR FORCE 2000* ….. 79,477,834
      FULL-TIME WORKER ……………. 125,689,645
      PART-TIME WORKERS …………… 27,590,534
      PRIVATE SECTOR JOBS ………… 121,058,436
      SELF-EMPLOYED ……………………. 8,833,969

      Like

  2. Southern Son says:

    Make America Great Again.
    Fulfilling a Promise.

    Liked by 2 people

  3. The Popcorn Tape says:

    George Carlin was an asshole, but even a blind squirrel finds a nut.
    I wonder if he would have liked Trump…nah, knowing the rest of his act, he’d probably “feel the Bern.”
    He was great in the Bill and Ted movies, though.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. Frank says:

    I am a full-on Trump supporter, but even I remain skeptical of any employment-related numbers coming out of the government. Everybody should know by now that the government qualifies their unemployment numbers so much that they end up counting only about a quarter to a third of all working-age Americans.

    So, no. I don’t buy it. I have confidence that the Trump administration can turn this country around, but as of today? No. It’s barely been one quarter of the first year of Trump’s first term. What we’re seeing is the leftovers of the Obama administration. After you’ve been unemployed for long enough, they stop counting you. That’s what we’re really seeing here.

    Liked by 1 person

    • indiana08 says:

      If that’s true then why were Obama’s numbers so bad? If the government can control the job numbers then why wasn’t he smart enough to make them look way better than what they were? These are the best numbers in 10 years and Pres. Trump has been working since the election to get companies to hire Americans and to stay in America or come back to America.

      Liked by 4 people

      • nimrodman says:

        They weren’t “so bad” to my recollection. Without looking it up, I recall numbers around 7 to 8% much of the time despite true numbers being in the 20s or 30s, as others point out on this thread.

        There’s a limit to how far they can be fudged when the news is trumpeting layoffs and business closures, as was true the past 4 years or so. Without being absolutely laughed at. More’n usual, that is.

        So maybe the drop from 8% to 4% “reported” reflects a drop from 27% to 23%. Who knows. Despite the charades, the numbers gov’t puts forward ARE dropping, so at least that shows the trend, if not the absolute.

        YMMV

        Liked by 1 person

      • G. Combs says:

        Obama’s numbers were FLAT and very high. We are starting to see the TrumpEffect in the little dip at the end.

        From “John Williams’ Shadow Government Statistics
        (see my full comment on what Clinton did to fudge the numbers above.)

        Liked by 1 person

        • nimrodman says:

          Well, what gets reported is the red line, so from a peak near 10% during the banking crisis aftermath, declining to around 5% by 2016. Roughly consistent with my ballpark recollection of “around 7 to 8% much of the time”.

          Now, the true story is in the upper lines, I think we’d all agree.
          Thanks much for the graph.

          Like

    • wheatietoo says:

      Yeah, the ‘Unemployment Rate’ put out by the Obama administration has been bogus.

      I wondered if the new Trump admin would amend it to reflect reality…which would be around 7% or 8%.

      But the thing about doing that, is that the evil enemedia would proclaim, “Unemployment Rate Soars Under Trump!”

      So it looks like they are just going to gradually correct it.

      Liked by 6 people

    • RC says:

      Frank —
      John Williams, a long-time student of employment stats, says that un-employment, as measured 25 years ago, is about 23% nationally, with great variation locally.

      Furthermore, the Bureau of Labor Statistics “adjusts” monthly labor figures to account for recent hires still un-captured by Social Security contributions and Federal with-holding. The adjusted number of recently employed has ranged between 100,000 and 200,000 (by means of an opaque calculation that has nothing to do with what boast the WH needs to make that month), but is not cumulative month-by-month. So the 100,000 – 200,000 number can be added month-by-month, again and again. In short a 211,000 statistical labor gain may be 11,000 more Americans at work — if we were so lucky.

      Liked by 1 person

    • Zeej says:

      Yes and last October every trump supporter would have agreed with you.

      I’m all the way with trump but Americans as a whole need to realize we need major reforms to fix the system and I don’t see that realization happening without a turndown in so called markets. It will happen in trumps
      First term and the sooner it happens the more time for him to recover on the back of policy initiative she will get through. Media will be blaming him regardlss so best thing for us is get a Reagan type mild recession as rates go up followed by boom town city in back of America first reforms

      Like

    • piper567 says:

      during the campaign, TRUMP made it very clear that he thought the unemployment #s were caca.
      We may move toward publishing true #s…one of many things which will take a bit of time.
      The Wolverine will no doubt get to it…but he, like so many in TRUMP’s Admin, have a lot of brushfires to extinguish, thanks to ozero, before these things rise toward the top of a list.

      Liked by 2 people

  5. yohio says:

    “They will begin demanding high levels of low to moderate skill immigration, ergo comprehensive immigration reform.”
    So if Trump knows this which he should, Sundance will he fall for it?? Just to please and get along.

    Like

    • sundance says:

      Trump’s economic team, “should” request comprehensive welfare reform first. Flush out the labor market with the removal of incentives ‘not to work’ first.

      That would be my strategic approach. Will they go in that direction, which is opposite to the preference of K-street, who knows.

      Liked by 12 people

      • yohio says:

        Sundance,
        So maybe a small article on what Comprehensive Welfare Reform would look like and why it needs to be done FIRST?
        I assume it would include getting rid of a lot of useless programs allowing people to remain dependent on government. I hope drug testing those receiving welfare and getting rid of illegals on welfare. Maybe labor & right to work laws not sure how they impact Welfare.
        I really appreciate your knowledge on this stuff.
        Thanks

        Liked by 2 people

      • To build on your approach, Sundance, President Trump could do the following:
        • Define the “Unemployment Metrics” that matter to reflect reality, document the “OBAMA DISTORTIONS” and control the narrative.
        • Break Metrics down by Race and Education Level within Status, to prove that (1) Immigration and Refugee Programs that rob Minority American Citizens of job opportunities are RACIST, (2) Blocking CHOICE in Education is RACIST and (3) America has an EXCESS of Employable Citizens who just need opportunities:
        ○ New Workers Never Employed
        ○ Recently Unemployed
        ○ Long-Term Unemployed
        • Profile the Economic Drag of Unemployment on America, to prove that the Welfare System suppresses Employment and MUST be COMPREHENSIVELY REFORMED to stop it:
        ○ Stacked Bar Chart for each “Working Age” from 18 to 80
        ○ Height of each Bar showing # Workers
        ○ Stacked Segments in each Bar for # Workers with 0, 1, 2, 3, etc., Years Unemployed (20-Year-Old Bar would have 4 Segments)

        Liked by 4 people

        • Love it Black Knight. Educate Americans. President Trump knows we are not the dumb masses the elites think we are. BTW! So does the DNC. They know we won the argument, unfortunately they have been winning the culture.

          Liked by 2 people

      • i'm just sayin'.. says:

        Hopefully will gain thrust as illegals are reduced in the labor market. As jobs at a decent wage emerge the welfare safety net, er racket, can be reeled in. Reducing illegals is certainly a preliminary step. There will be no excuse to need assistance except in true distress circumstances. Drugs also a factor from south and China. Sync with pride in work (Mike Rowe type) initiatives

        Liked by 3 people

      • Sundance, EXACTLY! Excellent insight and solution to the coming hurricane. Can President Trump reverse the bill that stopped Bill Clinton’s bill requiring welfare recipients to report their jobs searches. I’d add that the able bodied must also volunteer 20 hr per week to pick up garbage and mow lawns/street sidewalks/govt buildings.

        Liked by 2 people

      • Sylvia Avery says:

        Excellent point, Sundance. I worked in a state welfare office during the years when welfare reform was passed. All was doom and gloom in our management meetings, believe you me. It was the end of the world.

        I left that job for a couple of years and then returned. What a difference two years made! It was all about “a job, a better job, a career, and a better life!” In other words, get in the job market. Get that starter job. You’ll be more employable in short order at a higher paying job and be able to climb the ladder (thus requiring less and less government support). There was enormous pressure, humanely applied, and support given to get work. The difference it made in the lives of those on welfare was profound, at least those that can be helped. There is an element of society that cannot be helped no matter how much help is given.

        Liked by 1 person

      • WSB says:

        Ha ha,ha!!!!!!! Comprehensive Welfare reform!

        Brilliant!

        Could we have at least one lobbying group to press for comprehensive brainwashing reform? I would personally pay more taxes with comprehensive tax reform!

        /s.

        Like

    • trialbytruth says:

      Look for the same head fakes he does on everything. In the end he is our guy and he knows wages need to go up. He won’t slow down until black youth employment reaces near full employment. It is t8me America learned what is really possible

      Liked by 4 people

    • trialbytruth says:

      Look for the same head fakes he does on everything. In the end he is our guy and he knows wages need to go up. He won’t slow down until black youth employment reaces near full employment. It is t8me America learned what is really possible

      Like

  6. Jmkny says:

    He could fall for a “immigration reform” plan if he doesn’t get someone trustworthy to replace his current chief of staff.

    Trump needs to be rid of Rince Preibus (I deliberately mis-spelled). As chief of staff he is the filter keeping The uniparty agenda going by keeping other opinions away.

    Like

  7. ALEX says:

    The U6 unemployment rate is 8.6% . I would be fine using that measure instead of U3 which is what government uses…If the U6 gets down to 5%, then you have done something….

    Sundance is correct though…The Big Club is using the U3 for completely different motives then what it appears…This economy is a long, long way from being healthy…

    Liked by 9 people

  8. fleporeblog says:

    From the Reuters article:

    Republican President Donald Trump, who inherited a strong job market from the Obama administration, has vowed to sharply boost economic growth and further strengthen the labor market by slashing taxes and cutting regulation.

    Strong job market from Barry from Hawaii is complete BS! That is their way of taking credit away from our Lion.

    Liked by 10 people

  9. MakeAmericaGreat says:

    If Trump is able to hold off the Big Club and keep the Main Street economy growing and wages growing, he will be in great shape for re-election. The economy supersedes pretty much every other consideration, except maybe in a time of war.

    Of course, the Big Club will try to strike back and push Trump down, via the Fed or other means. It’s going to be a fight. But Trump has done such a good job of encouraging job growth in a number of specific companies and sectors that hopefully he will be able to come out on top.

    Liked by 1 person

    • trialbytruth says:

      The real battle for the economy is hearts and minds.Simply put An ec0nomy that people think is improving Wil improve

      Liked by 7 people

    • fleporeblog says:

      SD has stated numerous times that the Fed is screwed because their mechanisms for slowing our President will fail. They will continue to drive interest rates up and the economy will still take off.

      Liked by 5 people

      • Federal Reserve: Time for President Trump to introduce accountability.

        Current Role with ZERO OVERSIGHT:
        Controls the US money supply through open market operations, adjustment of rates, and declaring a reserve ratio.

        Accountability Step:
        Place the Fed under the Treasury Department.
        No more “smoke and mirrors”.

        Check and Balance:
        Congress retains its power of the Purse, control of the Debt Ceiling and Oversight of the Executive Branch.

        Kind of a no-brainer for “true accountability” to the voter.

        Watch the Swamp Rats come out of the woodwork!

        MAGA.

        Liked by 4 people

        • G. Combs says:

          Amen Black Knight.

          It is also time to really AUDIT Fort Knox. That gold is OUR gold taken from the American public and we should have a full accounting of how much, if any Good Deliverable Gold is left and where it went.

          Liked by 4 people

      • MakeAmericaGreat says:

        That is great news, fleporeblog

        Liked by 1 person

  10. sundance says:

    Liked by 6 people

  11. fleporeblog says:

    I agree 100% SD they are trying to bring in more illegals and want us to give amnesty to those that are hear! The problem is that everyone thinks you need to go to college in order to be deemed successful. Universities are making millions on this myth and indoctrinating the masses. I wrote what I think the solution needs to be a few days ago. I think we have the perfect administration to make the required changes.

    Here it is:

    I have been working in the NYC DOE for the past 18 years. I was a principal of a predominately all boys HS (85% Black and Hispanic boys compared to 15% Black and Hispanic girls) in the Fort Apache section of the South Bronx (think back to the Bronx is burning in the 70s). We had an incredible graduation rate over my 7+ years (89.5%). However, less than 20% of those graduates could finish a 4 year college degree.

    I think every single community college should change to a true vocational setting. There are millions and millions of jobs that we can’t find American workers for. Mike Roh has a $500,000 scholarship program for jobs in welding, mechanic etc. He told Charles Payne that he has a difficult time giving the money away. Not everyone needs to go to college. Give them a chance to find a vocation that will allow them to have everything they could possibly want. There is such a need for welders that can earn over six figures in the Dakotas and down to Texas as well as Alaska.

    InvestforOne shared a beautiful story about his 60 year old brother that went to a program in his community college so there are examples here in the US.

    Here it is:

    My 60 year- old brother just graduated from a WA state community college with an AA in auto repair. All three of his siblings (we all have college degrees) were there for the ceremony. Lots of grads in the auditorium. With their families in the balconies! Making lots, and lots of noise! Wearing 4″ spike heels! Much joy all around.

    You might be amazed to know how many “minorities” were there! I counted about 10 different languages giving welcome speeches. Community colleges are where it’s at!

    Liked by 12 people

    • nontroll says:

      I have much more respect for a diploma in HVAC, plumbing, electrical, carpentry or auto mechanics than I do for 80% of the degrees earned today. The vast majority of those diplomas earn more money than those degrees.

      Liked by 7 people

      • piper567 says:

        many months ago, there was a post on The_Donald which asked the Q: How do you become employed?
        A: Major in something like Mechanical Engineering, rather than Feminist Dance Theory.

        Liked by 2 people

        • nontroll says:

          Agreed. There ARE many good opportunities for STEM students (that would be the 20% of degrees worth striving for). Problem is, a huge number of degree chasers aren’t intellectually equipped for the rigors of those fields. Too many kids are blowing 50K to 100K on degrees that won’t get you a job. Colleges that can provide apprenticeships and work terms produce self-sufficient graduates who may go on to higher education when they can afford it – and actually pay for it up-front instead of going into debt. The advantages of being in the work-force for a number of years BEFORE heading for a degree are YUGE. The experience and maturity of a 30 year old entering a degree program will most often make the difference between success and failure.

          Liked by 2 people

    • Different take, same theme, given that youth “employability” and unemployment are at crisis levels:

      Community Colleges, recognizing they will “follow the money”:
      • Why not tie state/federal Funding Levels and Loan Interest Rates to % of Graduates Employed (both immediately and over time) and % Loans Not in Delinquency?
      • This would apply equally to College or Vocational curricula.

      Apprenticeships & Start-up experience during High School summers on a voluntary basis:
      • Apprenticeships recruited by local businesses each spring.
      • Start-up program for “Local-Services Businesses” facilitated by grandparent groups, NOT educators, with Saturday meet-ups, Sunday prospecting (neighbors and church congregations) and Weekday execution.

      Liked by 2 people

      • The Apprenticeship and Start-up experience would give kids a read on their aptitudes and affinities, to make far better choices coming out of high school.

        Liked by 1 person

        • G. Combs says:

          That is for sure. I wish I had a chance to even tour different factories and other types of work. Instead I picked chemistry out of a hat because I figured there would always be work for analytical chemists. If I did it all over I would go for mechanical engineer or chemistry with a masters in geology.

          Liked by 3 people

    • G. Combs says:

      Flepore, This is exactly what I tell kids. (We do kids entertainment)
      I managed to convince a neighbor’s son to go to vocational school. He went for motorcycle mechanic and later came back to thank me for changing his life. (His parents were dirt poor and never graduated from high school.)

      I have that type of conversation with kids and parents every weekend. Finish high school.DO WELL IN MATH! Get training. It doesn’t have to be college. There are plenty of jobs for mechanics, welders….

      For the fathers who are mechanics, I suggest getting business courses, accounting, marketing and such because one day they are going to want to move into management as the old bod gives out.

      Liked by 6 people

      • fangdog says:

        Yes for so many, college is all about indoctrination into socialist/communist liberalism and not skilled at anything productive or worthwhile in a real sense. Many become future indoctrinates and perpetrators for what in the first place America and being an American is not all about. Vocational education is of far greater utility in most cases.

        Liked by 1 person

      • Or starting their own business! I thought that’s where you were going with your great suggestion that the dads take business courses, etc. Isn’t there a term, “shade tree mechanic?” That, too, can grow into a regular business. Also, can start in one’s own garage.

        Like

    • WSB says:

      Great story and great post!

      My grandfather was superintendent of schools for a southeast Pennsylvania school system.I was probably about 10 when he retired. However, I will never forget the day.

      There must have been 600 in attendance, and many young professionals who had graduated from his passionate vocational program. A lot of success there. Much hand shaking and hugging.

      That rubbed off on me, even though I was college bound and my high school had no vocational program. I still love being hands on and immediately signed up for metal, wood, drafting, and model making. Just loved it!

      Liked by 3 people

  12. One not mentioned IT workers -7000

    Liked by 1 person

  13. Bouchart says:

    I don’t believe gov employment or inflation numbers.

    May should be interesting. Millions graduate college in May. How many will find work?

    Liked by 1 person

  14. TheLastDemocrat says:

    Now come the stories about how this seeming job growth is not real, or is “low wage,” or “part time” jobs for displaced workers forced to accept under-employment. I can almost write the stories for CNN, etc.

    Liked by 1 person

  15. Pam says:

    The MSM will always try to turn things around to suit their narrative but the numbers here don’t lie. You know they can’t be too happy about this.

    I gotta admit I loved the piece Sundance posted above from Fox especially the figure that showed media jobs down. I wouldn’t say that except for the fact we have so much dishonest media out there and it’s not such a bad thing to put the bad apples out of business.

    Liked by 3 people

  16. mimbler says:

    Ok, I’ll play. Increase immigration/work permits; but simultaneously take all but disabled off of welfare since we apparently have more than enough jobs. Lets see how many want to come over here if they are competing with an additional 46 or so million people that suddenly need to work for a living in order to eat.
    Mike

    Liked by 3 people

  17. FLEEVY says:

    Get ’em out!

    Liked by 1 person

  18. Weeper says:

    OK. Deep breath! Sorry, still a little “loopy”. Been over @ the Cinco de Mayo UniParty next door.
    Serious subject here!

    Thank you Sundance. Great info as always!!

    WINNING!!!!

    MAGA!!! 🦁

    Like

  19. Zeej says:

    Yupppp

    Fake jobs numbers

    Fake markets

    The nations system of credit is only serving the interests of those at the very top and anyone trying to work hard and accumulate wealth and save is getting screwed.

    Time to take the medicine and restructure a broken system no more kicking the can and destroying our currency and credit system on behalf of Europeans, asians the top .001% etc

    Like

  20. Pam says:

    Liked by 1 person

  21. wodiej says:

    This is an improvement but the real unemployment rate is still not accurate because it is not counting those who have stopped looking for work, are working part time but need full time and people working more than one job.

    Liked by 1 person

  22. Southpaw says:

    Despite a block on The President’s EO on refugees USA Today says refugees coming to America is woefully small. Could they know that Buy American, HIRE American is more than just a slogan.

    Like

    • Sylvia Avery says:

      Oh dear. Woefully small numbers of refugees coming to America? What will we do??? I may lose sleep over this tonight! /s Seriously, this doesn’t surprise me. All the fuss and feathers over the executive orders and the judges ordering stays and the idiots carrying signs in the airports. I kept thinking, “huh…I bet Trump has them working on extreme vetting like mad and will implement it shortly.” Looks like that might just have been what happened. Nobody puts Trump in the corner.

      Like

  23. Pam says:

    Like

  24. Pam says:

    Liked by 1 person

  25. jeans2nd says:

    Welfare/Immigration Reform is a Trump Administration total effort, already begun, in coordination with job/wage growth.

    There are welfare reform programs, already tried and successful.
    These programs can – and are – be/ing re-implemented and improved. New ideas have been/are being researched and implemented. (commented on immigration reform in the mayonnaise post.)

    “In 1996, President Clinton did something right in the field of welfare reform. With bipartisan support…In 2012, President Obama removed this mandate, and now our labor force is suffering.”
    http://netrightdaily.com/2017/01/dear-president-elect-trump-bring-back-welfare-reform/

    Governor Walker Releases Welfare Reform Act Plan
    “The initiative is essentially an extension of former Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson’s W-2 initiative from back in the 1990’s.”
    http://www.cbs58.com/story/34324463/governor-walker-releases-welfare-reform-act-plan

    Welfare reform that really works
    “Researchers proposed dynamic tax/sanctions and work subsidies to improve incentives. A dynamic sanction makes benefit rules stricter and saves the government money. These policies also induce sizable commitment-related work incentives and increase the amount people (especially those who are most present-biased) make for the limited work they do.
    https://phys.org/news/2017-03-welfare-reform.html

    And then there is HUD Sec Dr. Ben Carson.
    “For a long time government has counted success by the number of people they can put in public housing,” Carson told a reception in Washington following Trump’s inauguration on Friday.
    “We need to count success based on the number of people we get out of public housing.”
    https://www.newsmax.com/TheWire/ben-carson-housing-and-urban-development-hud/2017/01/23/id/770030/

    Universities are integrating two-year training programs with 4-years and MBA programs.
    “College of Applied Technologies
    UNOH is more than just a tech school. We’re a full college campus, offering diplomas, associate and bachelor degrees, and even an MBA.”
    http://www.unoh.edu/academics/college-of-applied-technologies/index.html

    Big Club, meet Chaos
    “Chaos is the science of surprises, of the nonlinear and the unpredictable. It teaches us to expect the unexpected.”
    http://fractalfoundation.org/resources/what-is-chaos-theory/

    …flap…flap…flap…

    Liked by 1 person

    • G. Combs says:

      I took a technical writting course at Rochester Inst. of Tech. It was great. ALL their teachers have experience in INDUSTRY before they teach.

      I would like to see that at all colleges. If you do not have at least five years experience in INDUSTRY in your field you can not teach.

      Liked by 4 people

      • Your tour guide says:

        Not mentioned, but we need some type of nationwide, state by state
        system to educate many persons on how to actually work! How
        to show up, on time, without attitude, and perform the task that
        you are being paid to do. Jobs are great, but meaningless in the
        long run unless we figure out a way to bring back the work ethic.

        My father worked in general contracting ( construction). He
        was in a partnership building commercial buildings in Ohio.
        He took an early retirement, and sold off his and his partner’s
        widow’s share of the company years ago. Building, tools, 20
        trucks. He quit because he couldn’t find anybody that would
        consistently show up, sober, and do the work.

        His own words: “I loved my job for 25 years, and absolutely
        hated the last 5 years of it. Can’t find anybody worth a damn.”

        Any suggestions? I think that there’s a crying need. It would
        also be a great way to improve society by undermining the
        snowflake mentality wer’re being plagued with currently.

        Liked by 4 people

        • WSB says:

          JV – Junior Vocational Mentoring…and Sunday school.

          That should do it.

          Now, let me get back to replacing the fill valve in my toilet because I cannot seem to find a decent plumber!

          Liked by 2 people

        • nimrodman says:

          “…. show up, on time, without attitude, and perform the task that
          you are being paid to do …”

          Sorry, tour guide, and not to discount WSB’s response …

          … but the cynic in me compels me to observe that what you’re asking is akin to how to restore America’s lost virtue. Which is a bit like trying to restore lost virginity, I’d observe.

          To quote Austin Powers, “I’m sorry, baby, but that train has sailed”

          Like

  26. usayes says:

    Is anyone else perplexed by the lack of info coming out of AG Sessions’ DOJ? Perhaps I’m just too anxious – but the lack of confirmations of Sessions deputies and the frustrating revelations re HRC’s emails, Susan Rice and domestic spying allegations. You would think Sessions would be all over these things by now or at least give some kind of signal.

    Like

    • andrewalinxs says:

      A properly run DoJ is a quiet DoJ. They should be focused on doing investigations and prosecuting not spotlighting in front of cameras.

      Liked by 1 person

    • Sylvia Avery says:

      Have ANY of his deputies been confirmed yet? I think there is the most deliberate slow walking of that. The DOJ was so horribly politicized and mangled. I suspect it is going to take many, many months to clear out the debris and political sabotage there. Huge job. I would be amazed if there were any, or more than just a handful, of staff there who are at all dependable. Personnel is policy. If he can’t clean out the former staff and fill positions with new people untainted by Obama/Clinton, the task is going to be impossible.

      Like

  27. Just checked. Rosenstein was just confirmed and on Apr. 26, sworn in as deputy AG.

    Like

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