Donald Trump has won the New York Republican primary with 60.5%, and becomes the first Republican Candidate to win his Home State with a majority vote of the state electorate.
[ Ted Cruz won Texas with 44% and John Kasich won Ohio with 47% ]
New York
First, the math – Going into last night Donald Trump carried 758 delegates and Ted Cruz 554. Last night, Donald Trump won 90 delegates, Cruz won -0- (link).
- Today Donald Trump carries 848 Delegates, and Ted Cruz still has 554. There are 674 delegates remaining.
- It is now mathematically impossible for voters to nominate Ted Cruz. Cruz would need 683 delegates and there are only 674 remaining available.
- Donald Trump needs 389 of the remaining 674 delegates to reach 1,237 and clinch the nomination.
♦ Because it is impossible for voters to nominate Ted Cruz, effective today the #NeverTrump campaign is rebranded: “the #NeverVoters campaign”. Senator Cruz’s only hope for the republican presidential nomination is to win by delegate scheme and trickery, at a contested convention, within the delegate selection process.
♦ 8.8 Million voters have voted for Donald trump so far. 6.4 million for Ted Cruz. Senator Ted Cruz has lost the majority voting race (link), and is currently behind Trump by 2.4 million voters. This disparity will only continue to grow.
Looking Forward – Next week, April 26th, the race remains in the North East with primary contests in:
Connecticut – 28 Delegates (closed primary, winner take most – state and CD)
Delaware – 16 Delegates (closed primary, winner take all)
Maryland – 38 Delegates (closed primary, winner take most – state and CD)
Pennsylvania – 71 Delegates (closed primary, winner take all – beauty cont.)
Rhode Island – 19 Delegates (Modified primary – Ind/Rep – proportional)
Total – – – 172 Delegates
In each of these states Donald Trump is leading the most current polls, and given the results of New York it can be anticipated Trump’s actual results will continue to exceed the polled data.
Maryland Poll HERE – Pennsylvania Poll HERE
Pennsylvania is a little complex with unbound delegates (more on that later). However, New Jersey (51 delegates, winner take all) is also positioned to be an overwhelming Trump Victory – Poll HERE and California (172, winner take all, by state/district) looks increasingly positive for Team Trump.
In addition, in each of the recent polls Senator Ted Cruz continues to see his overall approval ratings shrink drastically.
Cruz is now viewed as the least favorable of the remaining three candidates and his “Authenticity”, as measured by pollsters, continues to sink.
This downward trend for Cruz has been ongoing for the past several weeks and shows up in all current poll data – SEE HERE. This explains that weird speech Cruz gave last night in Philadelphia where he appeared to draw himself as similar to Bernie Sanders.
*Note to Self* Remind Philadelphia Eagles voters that Cruz is a Dallas Cowboys fan.