Bad Newz For Cruz
A series of brand new trend polls (three – full pdf’s below) highlight an ongoing discussion/trend. With increased visibility Senator Ted Cruz support decreases.
It would be inaccurate to say Cruz is collapsing, if it were not for multiple polls indicating the same trend line. However, when you have three completely disparate polls, indicating an almost identical retraction, you cannot dismiss the reality.
Fox News and IPSOS Rueters both identify the issue on a national scale, and within the CBS polling of Pennsylvania voters you find the specifics as to why. First, the Fox Trend Poll showing Donald Trump extending his lead over Cruz to 18 points, as Cruz support plummets by 11 points in a month:
(Via Fox News) Donald Trump jumps to an 18-point lead over Ted Cruz this week with record high support for the Republican nomination.
Trump tops Cruz by 45-27 percent among GOP primary voters in a new Fox News national poll on the 2016 election. John Kasich comes in third with 25 percent.
Three weeks ago, the mogul was up by three over Cruz: 41-38 percent, with Kasich at 17 percent (March 20-22, 2016). Forty-five percent is a new high for Trump. The previous high was last month’s 41 percent. (read more)
Full Poll Data:
A similar poll data result is available from IPSOS/Reuters who take their own independent poll and compare the results/data to the trend-line:
Both the Fox Poll and the IPSOS Poll show a remarkable drop in support for candidate Ted Cruz. This peak and valley approach coincides each time Cruz is given increased visibility and the public are able to sense and gauge the candidate’s message.
Absent of media attention Senator Ted Cruz generally sees his support improve. However, as soon as his speeches, appearances and personal presentations are given increased visibility – his support drops. It is a remarkably unique circumstance almost exclusive to Senator Ted Cruz.
Here’s the IPSOS Full Data:
Lastly, and perhaps most damagingly, a CBS Poll of Pennsylvania Voters gives some indications of why voters are turning away from Ted Cruz. In every question Ted Cruz is going in the wrong direction on his trend:
Question #40 Responses are the key:
Here’s the full poll result: