The axiom of “the law of unintended consequences” has never been more appropriate than right now. In the background, as you are reading, there is a looming storm that is going to soon surface in the food supply chain, and the regional vaccine passports are going to make things worse.
To understand what is happening, it becomes necessary to give a more specific background on how the things work inside the supply chain that has been disrupted by government intervention. This is complex, but I hope to make it understandable for the average person.
How do we avoid supply chain chaos? My response seems counterintuitive to those who do not understand this unique issue.
Effective immediately, or at least as soon as possible, every venue that can provide food on a commercial basis must be removed from all COVID regulations, including vaccine passports.
Restaurants, school lunchrooms, cafeterias, industrial kitchens, hotels, bars, food trucks and every possible venue for the delivery of freshly cooked meals must immediately be reactivated, and all terms and conditions for visiting those venues, like “vaccine passports”, must be cancelled quickly.
If they are not, and worse, if the restrictions expand beyond current status, there is going to be a worsening retail food crisis as the total food supply chain begins to collapse even further.
Beginning around 1990, the retail food industry, the supermarket and grocery business, began a process for automated replenishment. Walmart’s introduction into the grocery business was the trigger, as the massive internal supply chain created by the Arkansas company was the leading edge in growth and retail sales. Walmart began selling groceries, cheap groceries, by using their supply chain efficiencies to undercut prices within the retail food industry. It was a seismic change.
Soon other regional supermarket chains began to modify their ordering, purchasing and buying offices to add inventory efficiencies into their operational systems. If they did not adapt their inventory management, they would lose competitive price position.
As years passed, technology in the inventory management system became more and more important, as the thin margins inside the retail supermarket system looked to capitalize on automated replenishment. This is the beginning of “Just in Time” inventory within the retail food distribution network.
Computers began to make forecasts for products and shelves were replenished through a complex system of automated orders. Years of multi-SKU data was assembled to create forecasts for future orders.
Instead of clerks, managers and supermarket operators ordering products from store level, slowly those same people became responsible for only recording the amount of an existing item currently on the shelf. The computer algorithm -filled with historic data on consumer purchasing- would forecast the need and place the order. This system formed the cornerstone of automated replenishment, as computers told the buying offices how much of every item would be needed, and when.
Billions were invested by the industry, as a whole, to develop this complex replenishment system. Within the process of just in time ordering (JIT), slowly computers replaced humans in the ordering process. Retail stores no longer housed massive amounts of inventory. Warehouses that feed the stores no longer housed massive amounts of inventory awaiting the orders from the stores. Warehouses even changed their terminology to “retail distribution centers“, as they became hubs for distribution and not holding centers for inventory.
Years and years of refinements to this process continued as the computers learned in ever more granular detail how to trigger replenishment orders based on checkout scan data. Tens-of-millions continued to be invested in the latest tech software and scanning systems that would thin down the supply chain at each step.
In essence, the timeline from field to fork was also being reduced, as the total food supply chain inventory management system refined each year becoming more and more efficient at recognizing purchasing patterns and predicting sales.
The value inventory efficiency to the industry was great.
The cost of excess inventory to support sales was reduced, and the efficiencies of the Walmart purchasing, and supply chain excellence was being duplicated in every retailer.
Without excess inventory, the value of store inventory counted as “days on hand” was also reduced. This meant more profits for the retail outlets, as the overhead cost of their inventory was lowered.
Companies passed along these supply chain efficiencies in the form of lower prices to the consumer. This was, in very direct measures, the Walmart influence in the retail food supply industry. All regional supermarket chains were duplicating the Walmart supply chain excellence, and that allowed them to compete on price.
Eventually, what was once seen as a Walmart competitive advantage, became an industry-wide way of doing business. The retail food supply chain for grocery outlets was structurally and permanently changed. Every retail outlet was/is using some form of just-in-time inventory management with automated replenishment based on computer forecasts for purchasing needs. However, there is a downside…. less inventory in the total system means less capacity to deal with increased demand.
This supply chain system is best understood in reverse:
♦ The data from retail scanned sales is shared backwards into the supply chains, with retail grocery stores sharing their scan data with suppliers. The suppliers like Kraft foods then know exactly how much anticipated product is needed, by which retailers, where and when.
♦ The suppliers and manufacturers then share that information backwards into the food processing sector. The processors of raw material food now know what products are needed by the branded suppliers.
♦ The processors then share that information backwards in the supply chain to their raw material providers. Those are the protein conglomerates and farming groups. This is also where Big Ag makes import/export decisions and controls the prices for their own profitability.
The contracted commercial farmers, cattlemen, fishermen etc., all know -or are instructed- roughly what crops, pork, beef, chickens, poultry, etc. will be needed in the following season to provide to the processors, who provide to the manufacturers, who provide to the suppliers, who provide to the distribution centers, who provide to the retail stores. This is the complex system known as the retail food supply chain.
As you can see from above, this complex inventory management system originates with historic data from the stores and travels throughout the supply chain providing users at each step to assemble the data that pertains to their role. This is like thousands of interconnected gears in a finely tuned machine, and this is NOT a system that can be interrupted without consequence.
CTH warned in March 2020 [LINK HERE], when government first suggested that all retail food establishments (restaurants, lunchrooms, hotels, cafeterias, etc.) should shut down due to the pandemic, that closing 60% of fresh food distribution would be catastrophic for the total food supply chain.
“A government cannot just shut down 30 to 50 percent of the way civil society feeds themselves, without planning and advanced preparation for an alternative. Those who ARE the alternative, the retail food grocers, need time to prepare themselves (and their entire logistical system) for the incredible impact. Without preparation this is a man-made crisis about to get a lot worse.” (LINK)
Those decisions in 2020 triggered a cascading sequence of events that has yet to be fully understood. {Go Deep}
For 30+ years, the highly complex and data driven retail food supply chain, the delivery vehicle for 40+ percent of total food available, has become increasingly refined. Unfortunately, like a finely tuned watch, those refinements also mean the supply chain is vulnerable to unforeseen changes in the system.
The government upended the total food supply system by shifting 25 to 40% more customers into the retail grocery supply chain for their food. The supply chain we just explained cannot handle that level of stress. Operational capacities are reached very quickly throughout the system, and even the packaging of increased demand is an issue. Suppliers for packaging also have capacity constraints.
Processors cannot process enough. Manufacturers cannot manufacture enough. Suppliers cannot supply enough. Distribution centers cannot distribute enough, and stores cannot stock enough.
The entire food delivery system is not designed for this and cannot reasonably be expected to adjust on this scale; it is just not feasible. We are seeing the cascading results of this in our supermarkets right now. People are starting to worry, and there is good reason to worry. {Go Deep}
This is where the vaccine mandate and mandatory vaccine passports make things worse. Even a small amount of excess demand right now is causing exponential problems for a system that is already beyond capacity. The system stressors, specifically the demand side, need to be reduced.
If just 10% of a population, within a metropolitan region of consumers, are blocked from restaurants or food venues because they are unvaccinated, they are going to put stress on the alternative, the grocery supply chain…. meaning, more empty shelves and cases. Those empty shelves impact the vaccinated and unvaccinated alike.
Restricting restaurant capacity, shutting food venues, closing school lunchrooms, shutting or restricting cafeterias or hotels, blocking venue access by vaccine restrictions, all of these have damaging unintended consequences to the food delivery system. We need every possible fresh food delivery system open for everyone…. and that needs to happen quickly.
Additionally, the trucker vaccine mandate -scheduled to go into effect for domestic freight haulers on January 22nd- needs to be cancelled fast.
If these mandates, COVID restrictions, passports and gateways continue as blocks in the system, it is very likely the shortages in the food supply chain will only worsen.
It is only going to take a few visits of worsening empty shelves before “national food security” panic becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
MASSACHUSETTS – BOSTON — Vaccinated state residents are now able to access a digital record of their COVID-19 vaccine history, including a scannable QR code, that could be stored on their smartphone and presented to businesses requiring immunizations for entry.
Gov. Charlie Baker’s administration is rolling out the “COVID-19 SMART Health Care” just as the city of Boston prepares for a new vaccine requirement to take effect at the end of the week in all restaurants, gyms and entertainment venues.
Boston is one of the few cities in the state to adopt a universal vaccine requirement for certain businesses. (read more)
Thank you for all you do Sundance!
I suspect trump’s team has an exit plan for the shut downs . Hes a smart man with a very smart economic team .
The Government can’t do shutdowns at this point. The noncompliance will be epic, and even the obedient people will be enraged.
The flight from blue state “Little Australias” will be immediate.
Greens Engineering a shortage of natural gas has caused fertilizer plants across the globe to close. 3rd world agriculture will crash without that fertilizer.
Next harvest will be bad. The following harvest will be a disaster. 100 million children will starve.
GLOBAL BIBLICAL FAMINE.
“Mao’s War on Sparrows”
In 1958, Mao Zedong ordered all the sparrows to be killed because they ate too much grain. Sparrows were believed to be getting in the way of the economic development of the People’s Republic of China.
The Four Pests Campaign was one of these drives, part of the Great Leap Forward between 1958 and 1962. Killing all the sparrows was part of this campaign. People were mobilized to eradicate the birds. They beat drums to scare the birds from landing, forcing them to fly until they died of exhaustion. People tore down sparrow nests and shot sparrows down from the sky. The result of the campaign was to push the birds close to extinction in China.
Hundreds of millions of sparrows were killed. This led to a problem the next year. It was noticed that insect infestation of crop fields had soared. Sparrows ate pests such as locusts, and after the campaign, the locusts lost their major predator. This meant that killing the sparrows was counterproductive.
The sparrows, it seemed, didn’t only eat grain seeds. They also ate insects.
Locust populations boomed and they ate everything in their path. Grain production in most rural areas collapsed and a massive famine began. People ran out of food and millions starved. The official number of fatalities from the Chinese government was 15 million. However, it’s estimated by some scholars that the fatalities were as high as 45 or even 78 million.
https://www.thevintagenews.com/2016/09/26/1958-mao-zedong-ordered-sparrows-killed-ate-much-grain-caused-one-worst-environmental-disasters-history/?edg-c=1
Central planners are sooooo ignorant
Holodomer 2.0.
Also known as “The Great Awakening”…
Not to mention the high cost of fertilizer which will increase food costs
But they are shutting down to the unvaccinated which will have an effect similar to the original shutdowns.
Sundance, you are so smart and our government apparatchiks are so stupid. Especially De Wine. He was just so panicked about the Irish going to the bars and celebrating St. Paddy’s Day. What a shmuck!
But DeWine allowed the abortuaries ,liquor stores, and big box stores to stay open. I am still unable to wrap my head around that decision. Oh, and the churches were closed, too.
Thank you once again Sundance for helping us to plan ahead and not be surprised when the SHTF.
“Processors cannot process enough. Manufacturers cannot manufacture enough. Distribution centers cannot distribute enough, and stores cannot stock enough.”
Add to this chaos that affect little details throughout this process, such as mandates on truckers, reduced staffing at any point in this chain and other lunacy, and it magnifies the problem all the way to your plate.
Step 1) there are more than 4 food processors in this country
Step 2) there are truckers that work for Money
Step 3) A supply chain can not be shot at, or murdered by police or Fed. and if it does – new things arise
Step 4) they mandate what they control – a parrellel world is being created that is a citizen and is in a state.
step 5) do not submit – there is always an opportunity to manipulate or bend fate to your liking and survivability.
Canada vaxxine mandate on truckers is back in play , starts Saturday.
They said it was an ‘ error ‘ when it was reported they backed off.
Canadian Press – CP24.com
Nucking Futs!
Good. Hope the economy crashes and Prime Minister blackface has to go into hiding for fear of the enraged Canadians storming Parliament Hill and demanding he resign.
Wishful thinking. 60% of people polled support taxing the unvaxxed. Media are completely tools of the state. No opposition leadership.
Canada is the weakest of all countries in terms of outrage. Ontario and Quebec smugly self righteously leading the compliant.
Polls?
Everything changes when people can’t get food.
Long Pig.
Wonder if it tastes good with Spikes in it.
Folks are 9 (missed) meals away from utter chaos. GOD HELP US!!
One of the little details, at least for those on a fixed or low income, will be gasoline prices. When people can’t find the food they need locally, they’ll start driving farther and farther out to obtain food and other basic necessities.
Yes. I filled my tank yesterday even though it was sitting at 3/4. I used to fill it at half, but no way. The per gallon price has gone up by close ro 40 cents in the last ten days. So–topped it off, parked it, and we’ll see what happens next. I’m old and don’t have to go anywhere to survive, at least for the moment, so I’m one of the fortunate ones.
Me too. Not many “have to’s” definitely helps, and I can live on oatmeal.
I keep seeing more and more and somehow, I continue to be one of the fortunate ones… so far… I’m waiting for it to be my turn for real pain.
Not that I’m unaffected. I have had a complete change of lifestyle which was not of my choosing. But it hasn’t been anything like the horrific stories others have.
During the 2020 ‘rona insanity, we were blessed to be a military family. Now, with the forced jabs, not so much….yet we are still doing well, all things considered. Hubby, with 2+ years on his contract, is looking for options outside the Navy. However, he was just recalled from his leave and may well be deployed to Russia in the upcoming days 🙁 FJB!!
What I found in short supply was the motor oil for my vehicle. It uses 10W-30 and there were only a few quarts left, and that was in Walmart. There was no 10W-40 on any of the shelves, that was very surprising to discover.
“…they’ll start diving farther and farther out to obtain food and other basic necessities.”
Right you are Fionnagh. The city folk will be traveling out and about and demanding all their “wants” from us. Should that happen beware of hungry people who could care less of any illegalities they perform.
Great explanation. A very similar process is in place for just about everything. It is the reason that a single type of part in short supply can cripple the automotive industry.
I worked at McDonald’s corporate HQ fir 20 years and its just in time supply chain system was essential to profitable store operation.
great additional point VibeMan. This is why it’s soo difficult to find appliances, new cars, etc.
I have worked over 30 years for a massive global food company and can attest to the facts that Sundance has presented in this post. Over time, the system has removed all “waste” from the supply chain, therefore only a small amount of inventory exists between the store & our factories.
For example, our fastest selling products only have about 2 weeks of inventory spread across the entire USA, even though they have a shelf life of 0ne year! The others average about 4 weeks.
Even worse, we are one of the most “inefficient” supply chains according to all the major retailers (Walmart, Kroger, Walgreens, Costco….) because we intentionally carry a couple extra days of supply versus competition!
In summary… be prepared to go into the store & not find the products you need.. IF you are lucky enough to find them, then be prepared to pay 15-30% more than just a few months ago.
FJB
Good job very understandable and logical. I recall the March 2020 warning, it made sense then too.
Sundance, I remember your warnings like it was yesterday. Reading this article brought it all back. Too bad you aren’t in an advisory position. Your insight and acute understanding of the supply chain is invaluable, and this crisis could have been minimized/avoided if clear-headed minds such as yours had overseen this entire operation. Thankfully, you sounded the alarm, and we got a jump on preparing for what we pray does not materialize.
FUBAR!!
I do not believe it is BAR. I do believe it is going to require a lot of backbone and steely resolve to un-FU it.
I know someone with a backbone and steely resolve who proved his mettle across 4 embattled years. And he loves America.
The Biden administration will implement a five year plan, any day now.
How many people do you anticipate will know what you are talking about?
I know.
And I also bet quite a few of the young’uns in the Xiden Circus Regime don’t.
I like your way of thinking. Optimism rules!
Excellent description. Thank you. I’ve always been thankful to live in my rural area but never as much as I am now, where we have access to beef cattle, deer, fish and plenty of land to grow our own food.
The empty shelves of 2020 are coming back with a vengeance and the tyrant in the White House will make it much worse.
The beauty of taking our time and stocking up is much like the toilet paper crisis in 2020.
We just laughed at people.
This country needs some good old fashioned food riots. We need to stop saving the Government from its own stupidity. Boston can go hang. New York, Philly, and DC can go hang.
Continue stocking and rotating your personal pantry. Stock up on ammo as you can find it to protect what’s yours. And when Lib news sites start posting more about shortages, go on their sites and mock them mercilessly.
With luck, the residents of DC will do the job that people will realize shoulda got done in January 2021.
I have never seen so many people that are willfully blind. I don’t laugh. I would feel pity – were it not for the fact that they want me dead.
Libs are laughing every time an unvaccinated person dies from Covid. I have no problem reciprocating.
..and they will happily kill you and take whatever you have managed to stock up for yourself and your family.
It won’t be an “easy lick” to come to my house looking for a free anything,
Sundance has provided us with some serious info ammo to unload full magazines of facts on these Leftoid sites you speak of.
I never thought I would be hoping for the citizens of DC to stand up and be counted. I’m still not sure they will but they are in the closest vicinity. Let’s see how much more they will put up with.
Being a child of the 60s & 70s, the whole “Grow your own” takes on a whole new meaning. For all you youngsters that meant growing your own pot.
I heard it treats the coof, so that’s a bonus!
It does.
Remember the “Whole Earth Catalog”?
I also remember when Mother Earth News was about self sufficiency.
Exceptional information!
Thanks for the effort in preparing many for what may possibly occur.
Fear is diminished with proper information and preparation.
CTH is truly a refuge in a very turbulent time.
Intentional destruction of the American economy. Intentional malicious acts being perpetrated on the American people. All part of a broader sinister scheme to usher in a New World Order. When the sleeping giant has fully awakened to this, the words “mercy” and “forgive” will not be in the vocabulary.
So they claw our food under National Security also.
The sick snake path they did today was making a Supreme Court precendent that if the Fed gets involved they then can DICTATE ALL CONTENTS WITHIN.
give tax dollars to a hospital – you own them
give a citizen his tax refund – own them
Extreme Federalism has been FORCED FORWARD. Today is a SCARY but GREAT DAY.
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2021/06/28/the-solution-to-metastatic-dc-corruption-is-extreme-federalism-and-bidens-crew-knows-exactly-that/
As the saying goes, “That’s Not News”. Government has always scope creeped EVERY time they put in a social program.
It’s like when Dad says, “As long as I’m paying, I make the rules!”
We foolishly believed that a republic that runs on OUR money lets US make the rules, but once the Congress stopped passing budgets, put spending on automatic, then overspent via debt (deficits were by design), they lost all accountability to the people.
I wonder. India is infamous for widespread hunger. They don’t have vaccine mandates and give away Ivermectin. Are they facing additional supply chain food shortages?
I haven’t heard of any. Same for Mexico
Ah my old friend Mike Dewine. So I was a police officer at that time. My chief called me on the phone and said you guys go around tonight and tell all the food places they are shut down at such and such time. That was it. No details, no chance for appeals. A damned phone call.
Now this is not a metropolis. We knew some of these business owners personally. So I scrambled and printed out everything I could from the Governor’s office, state/local departments of health, anything I could find.
I called the guys in and I gave everybody instructions to drop off a packet I made up to the manager/owner of the food place. We were all angry over this. They were shutting down local business and everything from there on out was unknown but I knew, we knew they were going to lose money.
I made sure that the guys, when handing the packets out to explain this was something the Governor and health departments were doing and they should contact them with questions. This stunk all the way around.
Ohio Governor Mike DeWine and Amy Acton the head of Ohio Public Health both need to be brought before The Hague for crimes against humanity.
I should add that this should have been a responsibility of the Karen’s at our local health department but they probably didn’t want the backlash so they sent the police to do it.
At what point would you have said “No, I won’t”?
Yup the cops just go ahead and comply with orders no matter how brutal they are
You used the word DeWine. This is a nice place. Please don’t use that word in polite company. Thank you.
SW Ohio here.
Perhaps next election you can “UnWine” a little bit.
I certainly hope so! However if the GOP has it’s way….
I remember how angry I was that he cancelled the Republican Presidential primary. I was looking forward to going in person to vote for President Trump. I couldn’t believe he could cancel it just a few days before it was scheduled.
And then he was all over the tv like he was some kind of celebrity. Plus he had those patronizing little news conferences with those videos at the end. It was nauseating.
I honestly don’t see how I can vote for him again.
So do you have to?
I just looked it up, and there appears to be a Jim Renacci opposing in the primary.
In May this Renacci was polling ahead of DeWine.
Maybe do some campaign work for this guy?
(I’m over here in blueMA, kinda envious that people actually have anybody other than DementoRats to vote for…)
Right the guy needs to get off his ass and do something
I actually did do some work for Renacci when he was challenging Sherrod Brown. My daughter and I both were going door to door passing out flyers. From what I remember he didn’t do a whole lot to promote himself though. I think he entered the race against Brown late in the game when someone else dropped out or something. May have been Mandel.
Anyway, when I used to be on Facebook, Renacci was on there talking the words that he knew the Trump supporters wanted to hear but I never felt he was sincere. I’m not on there anymore and I haven’t heard about Renacci doing any campaigning but will look into it. People in my conservative area like DeWine and some actually said they would vote for DeWine but preferred Sherrod Brown over Renacci. Brown has managed to fool people with his working-class, “everyman” kind of persona.
Renacci is very active this time and I can’t imagine him being any worse than dewhine.
From his website.
Jim Renacci is:
Does not support:
A morning talk show host in northeastern Ohio has had Jim Renacci on a number of times. Renacci also has a FaceBook page with promises such as, “If I am elected governor, the schools will not close.” I am so cynical now that I trust very few, if any, politicians.
Stop what you are doing and watch this video! WHOA!
My fear of flying has hit new heights.
One can avoid flying. I worry that the person headed at me, doing 60 on a two lane, might have a covid vaccine heart attack or stroke.
Flight attendants feel the same.
I think that knowing what is playing out helps all of us keep a clear frame of mind as it does.
I slowly and methodically fill in the gaps here and there when goods are available.
No panic now; no panic later.
Thanks Sundance – and to all who share their thoughts aid insight here 🙂
Thank you again, Sundance. Like Rush Hudson Limbaugh, you have the ability to make the complex understandable.
And also–it’s really bad for a nation to have stupid, malevolent, inexperienced, irresponsible, power-hungry people in charge of stuff.
Although I am a relative newcomer to the world of CTH, I am beginning to feel as though Sundance and many of the commenters here are best friends that I have never met, ala El Rushbo. This site is therapy.
So true!
It is a joke in our house that these are mum’s friends……
Complex systems are not robust. Non-robust systems are unsustainable.
This is an “non-superintelligence” artificial intelligence system that can end us just as well as the fictional “Skynet” ever might have — and a form of centralized planning we blundered into by degrees, not realizing our many supply “eggs” had been thrown into a single process basket that would inevitably fall into the incompetent hands of the state political policy machine.
The machine stops.
https://web.cs.ucdavis.edu/~rogaway/classes/188/materials/the%20machine%20stops.pdf
I love that story, even tho it’s 110 years old now.
I will contest that while complexity tends to be fragile, it doesn’t have to remain so. What the current systems are lacking is “resilience”, or the ability to bounce back from a system shock. The electric grid in the north east recognized this was a problem after the 2014 polar vortex events, and worked to bake “reserves” into the design.
Electricity is the ultimate just in time product, where the system can go unstable and black out in minutes. That’s physics. There is no storage that can affordably balance that much demand for electricity. So we plan 3 years or more in advance to build new power plants, bake 14% margins into the design, operate conservatively. There is tremendous pressure to cut these reserves out in the name of Cost to Load, but the (avoidable) costs of a blackout like TX in 2021 has scared the pants off of everyone.
Not our legislators in Vermont! They just introduced a bill to reduce the amount of electricity we can obtain from Hydro-Quebec. Apparently, hydroelectric power isn’t the right kind of renewable energy:
https://vermontdailychronicle.com/2022/01/13/bill-targets-renewable-status-of-big-hydro/
I’ve recommended that story here and re-read it a couple of times after Nov 3.
This is also why I think – hope – the grandiose plans of the Globalarchs for transhumanism will also crash and burn. Like gain of function, what they are trying to do was never meant to be…
Thank you for posting this.
Excellent ‘lecture! We need Walmart to run the national government!
Walmart is the chief purveyor of cheap chynese chit… Yes, their model is great but their chit is chit.
Hillary served on Wal-Mart’s board of directors, between 1986 and 1992
That explains a lot.
Even Karen’s have to eat.
And many of them clearly do too much of it.
(Couldn’t resist, sorry…)
Whoever the cartoonist is, he or she has clearly been taken the stretch of the Green Line between Kenmore Square and the Museum of Fine Arts, Boston.
Despite living a few towns away, I wouldn’t know because the last time (and I mean last time – I will never set foot in Boston again after all they’ve done) I was on foot in that area was probably 25 years ago…
But I will happily take your word for that…
My wife and I were in a local “Super center Walmart today in our region of Northern Vermont and I must say the fresh vegetables and fruits section were practically bare…My wife says it’s been this way for some time. Meat sections as well. She said Walmart has been saying their cooling systems are down, but I’ve worked in refrigeration and know that a lot of their coolers run independent of a centralized cooling system…Oh and lumber is on it’s way back up. It had dropped a bit from the previous months highs but I bought 3/8” x 4′ x 8′ sheets of plywood today at $53.00 a sheet…twice as much as normal, but down from close to a hundred months ago…But it was only $49.00 this past Friday… c’est la vie
Oh, non, c’est la guerre!
Gotta bite the bullet and buy a stack of pine boards next week….need shelves for provisions!
Walmart in Upstate NY tonight was full up on produce and had plenty of meat….except, no beef cuts besides hamburger. Have seen that exact situation a few times this past year.
Good luck…I also bought pine boards today (Premium Prime) at $1.14/LF..I paid that insane price knowing it’s only going to go up despite Canada recinding it’s threat to mandate their truckers to get the clot shot.
My husband is a roofer, slate & tile. Pricing out plywood for nail base on a little church. $20,000. Slate to piece in (for the pieces they inevitably break) $40,000. Insane.
A lot of the produce in local groceries where I am in blueMA was wiped out during this past week – we did probably get a lot of panic buying during a (normal for season) snow fall and (normal for season) cold snap.
Today most produce was back, particularly in Market Basket which is the chain that always seems to cope best. I finally scored raspberries though they were going fast.
I am still looking at most of what I’m seeing here as temporary ebb and flow – not quite yet the larger forces sundance is teaching us about. But it does get annoying and expensive going to multiple stores just to fill in gaps, sometimes unsuccessfully.
One odd thing – Cabot 50% Light cheddar cheese has disappeared entirely right now. One store, but only one, still has the 75%. And I could have sworn that the block cheese sections used to have quite a few low-fat alternatives for other brands and store brands (I always bought the Cabot).
But now there’s absolutely NO lowfat (50%) cheese in any of the sections, including out in my friend’s other town.
Wondering whether this is a new decision by manufacturers that nobody wants lowfat cheese any more?
Just buy full strength and eat half the amount with a full glass of water
I visited my Walmart Super Center here in North Central Mississippi this afternoon and was surprised to find it quite well stocked. I did notice bare spots among the crackers and pasta but there were still some boxes on the shelves. I’m praying the normal store where I shop will be stocked as well next week when my monthly pay day arrives.
Sundance, you’ve provided a compelling comparison between how the private economy works to relentlessly meet demand at an evermore competitive price, and what happens when government authorities decide to intervene, blind to their own shortcomings, content that their intentions are good enough to overcome their ignorance.
The idiots who run the gubmint are so full of the absolute conviction of their own superiority that NOTHING makes them veer from their chosen course. Just look at the way the pompous idiots talk to all of us. THEY know everything. THEY are experts in everything. Most of them do not have the scantiest knowledge of how anything, ANY DARN THING works, but never fear, they are going to tell you – you who designed and built it – exactly how it should be done. Sick, disgusting, ignorant, evil a&&es.
It’s time to get rid of the ongoing for control only farce, better known as the covid hysteria and the experimental injection mandates. Let’s get back to the real normal, not the illegitimate administration’s normal. The virus scam has run its course. Citizens can see through the charade, the scare no longer is. Citizens need to get on with their lives. DC and its politicians have become like cnn, nobody’s watching, cause nobody cares.
This is why centrally controlled government works so badly because they don’t understand the effects of their edicts. Our ruling government elites primarily might have had some experience at a law firm and then become permanent government bureaucrats. Representatives of the people should come from the people, that was the way it was intended to work.
If the government takes over supply chain distribution, whose pantry will be full and whose will be empty? I think you know. 😉
They absolutely 💯 know the effects of their policies.
It’s the plan for Communist/Globalists/ Fascists destruction of our Constitutional Republic.
They think 🤔 they’ll be ruling after the reset.
We’re now going to find out.
…
Unintended Consequences…They are building a wall around the White House because they know what is coming…
Is there not one “journalist” left in existence who might ask them why the wall is there, since they’ve been saying for a long time that 1) walls don’t work and 2) walls aren’t nice?
He or she may ask. But there will be no answer forthcoming. As usual. Just a knowing smirk.
Excellent point, Sharon
That journalist is preemptively blocked from entry into pressers.
We ask why is there a wall around the white house? They reply, what wall I don’t see a wall. They don’t see the wall. The wall is not there.
Agree. The consequences are longer unintended.
The wall is not around the White House, it is around the fountain. Workers are doing some what looks to be landscaping around the fountain.
but cannot finish Trumps wall as they know what is coming
“This is like thousands of interconnected gears in a finely tuned machine, and this is NOT a system that can be interrupted without consequence.”
Get a bull horn and blast that throughout the whole wide world.
That sounds like an idea for a separate daily ticker news banner
“Bull Horn of Truth”
For sharing across the interwebs……from the noble Sundance!
The thing is, this government simply doesn’t care and will just pass the blame to everybody but themselves. The lying media will back them up and the hard core useful idiot DNC voters will believe every damn word of it. This is why I have come to the conclusion the beating the DNC in the mid terms is not nearly enough. They need to be crushed into dust and we need to double down and put more pressure on the GOP to institute MAGA policies at every level of government. The Mitt Romney’s and Mitch McConnell’s need to be completely destroyed just like the DNC scum. This is America’s only hope for it’s continued survival as a free constitutional republic.
Exactly 💯
They will say the lockdowns are because of the Unvaccinated, and that caused the supply chain issues. Unvaxxed are causing starvation of the vaxxed. They need a scapegoat.
The axiom of “the law of unintended consequences” has never been more appropriate than right now.
——
I’m pretty sure this is more along the lines of “the law of intended consequences.”
You cannot have a Great Reset from which you “Build Back Better” until you’ve collapsed the world economies, civilizations, societies, and the concomitant millions of lives.
It’s the logical conclusion
👍👌
One of the first posts I made in this site:
” The masses will not wake up till their bellys are empty”.
I am afraid some of my munted countrymen and women won’t wake up until they have to eat their cats and dogs.
After the pets as history shows, cannibalism is a week or two away !
We could have a lottery as to who gets who! I’m talking politicians first lol/s…..in MN we had meat raffles…just a thought…nasty I know. Insomnia has made me think I’m being funny so sorry if I’m being offensive to anyone tonight.
And it will turn on like a switch.
I once saw this in an upscale suburban area. Hurricane hit. Everyone had stocked up but unexpectedly, massive trees came down everywhere, blocking every street. No electricity anywhere. Most stores had been emptied. Food began to spoil. 3 days in, a tractor trailer with ice was headed nearby. We walked, some miles, to get ice to keep what was left of our food fresh. Two bags each. When the driver opened the door all he11 broke lose. A mob of suburban moms and dads.
I have seen similar but with fresh water, the “Soccer mum’s” as we call them can be brutal, I could well imagine them in a no food situation, — run for the hills…
Mungrel, if I remember correctly you are from Aussie…
we just watched this doc about Dan Andrews and his madness in Melbourne. It was very frightening
the way he has been successful in going after dissenters re lockdowns etc. It brings to mind the DOJ
method in calling everyone domestic terrorists.
Cheers maggie, I’ve been looking towards watching this, I could be in the footage !!
Saw 👀 the same thing firsthand after a tornado 🌪 hit our town early 70s.
We were helping neighbors whose houses 🏠 had been hit and before any emergency or law enforcement showed up, the looters were hitting the houses damaged the worst.
It was stunning and complete chaos as to who was friend or foe because these were families doing the looting.
Stopped as Emergency and Law enforcement made insertion into the neighborhood.
Probably wouldn’t stop looters in this current time in history.
Similar circumstance happened to us some years ago when a hurricane hit and we were out of power for 6 days. Since the food was going to go bad, we and our neighbors pulled out our thawed meats and had a huge street BBQ!
Good music & good food made a wonderful escape from the everyday inconveniences of no electricity.
And don’t forget your pets when stocking up. Food AND litter! I buy 1 extra of each as I can, so as not to hoard. 😉
Yes, make sure and fatten your pets. In some parts of the world your pets become your food. I was raised on a farm and made pets of farm animals. Alas, all my “pets” eventually became my food. A hard lesson but a necessary one.
Dogs will be especially valuable, back to original domestication value, as guards in the night. They will allow you to sleep for superior cognitive functioning. Get a Couple of small yappey that dont eat much.
Also, dont throw away old socks and underwear, stick them in a box as you may need them if there is no water to do laundry.
We have a nation now run by tyrants and idiots.
What could go wrong?
So when do we start needing vax passports to buy food. Just starve the unruly into submission!
I agree that unintended consequences is a moral duty hazard type, but I would not address the current situation as anything related to “unintended”.
they might not have expected the consequences, but that simply speaks to the corrupt inept nature of decision making in this administration.
GROSS MALPRACTICE OF JUDGEMENT. Stupid idiotic foolish choices, with ZERO INTEREST IN ACTUALLY PERFORMING ANY DUE DILIGENCE TO DETERMINE WHAT THE COSTS WILL BE.
That isn’t unintended. it is gross negligence.
You talk to anyone …ANYONE who has even a pedestrian knowledge about how sensitive the global food supply chain is, and they will tell you that ANY measures whether necessary or perceived necessary to avert some national security crisis, WILL HAVE IMPACTS.
So you perform a comprehensive risk assessment.
What will it cost?
What do you achieve, and put it in tangible context.
What do you lose? What will it cost and how will it be recovered?
balancing the two is the number one priority for a legitimate rule making government.
It is a fact that none of these jackals even attempted to calculate or even debate the risk versus reward.
so I do not believe this is unintended. It is gross incompetence.
If I tell my workers, you have to do this, this and this. I do so with the clear eyes there will be some cost to forcing changes. I have to accept there will be a cost. Every business person understands this reality. So you go to these decisions with the primary objective to minimize disruptions and to gain a benefit that cannot be achieved any other way, BUT you also ensure you are flexible to ensure you aren’t damaging the very crucial fundamentals of your core business in pursuit of weak gains.
You do a cost benefit analysis. you get your team involved.
but no matter how you decide, you regularly test your decision and are at the ready to reverse your decisions at any moment when bad things begin to interfere with your business core.
If you don’t do these things…you are toast. it’s just a matter of time before bad management bites you in the ass.
this administration made terrible choices, with zero positive feedback….they didn’t put any energy into understanding how their policies would create the mother of supply chain domino effects. They simply chose not to even think or debate the outcomes.
this administration does not get the benefit of being referred to as some accidental unintended beast.
there IS a reason why such powers of control over food and food security should never happen at a central state level.
Eventually, you get a fleet of morons who will eff it all up and not even understand THEIR OWN ACTIONS ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE EFFECTS.
That’s the administration we have right now. They soil themselves and don’t even know it.
We’re being ruled by dumb scum. Either is unacceptable, both is dangerous.
Very enlightening breakdown.
But I would guess all this is known and another tool for present and future population control. And to blame the enemies of the state for any inconveniences or shortages.
Unvaxxed? What right do you have to deprive the vaxxed of that loaf of bread? Now it’s restaurants and many public spaces. Soon it will be grocery stores. Various places have already started tweaking restrictions.
In Quebec (the Australia of North America) they are now restricting entry into any store of any kind over a certain size. Grocery stores are the final frontier.
Like the segregationist days, it will be separate lines, separate doors, pick through whatever if any left over or expired products that the compliant didn’t want. That is, if even allowed in at all.
Depression bread lines were more compassionate. Surreal to even imagine the intentional degradation of a minority simply for exercising choice over their bodies
And it’s not like the jabs actually work.
I am NOT an Anti-VAXER for all diseases. I make my own CHOICES. My VAX status is no one’s business.
I live in NH but hold a membership with the Boston Museum of Fine Arts; I am cancelling my membership with that fine institution until the VAX passport is abandoned by Boston’s politicians. I also cancelled a recent reservation to one of my favorite restaurants in Boston’s Italian North End. The COVID madness will not end until politicians are faced with the harsh economic consequences of their actions and the resulting voter rejection of their tenure. My voice of Solidarity is with those who insist on CHOICE and FREEDOM in their lives.
Very very very good and this is what it is going to take. I applaud this William.
I worked at the MFA many moons ago. In general one of the world’s great museums, and in particular probably the greatest repository of Revolutionary-era art- a point which is now a sad irony. My last visit, possibly ever, was in 2019. I refuse to engage with such systems. Period.
As I have outlined elsewhere, Boston is quickly positioning itself to become the Portland of the East Coast. A new generation of radical, social justice cultists is taking over city leadership at a time when its three main sources of revenue (medical, higher education, and tourism) are being decimated by mandate-mania. Decay is on the horizon.
My, those leftists are sowing the wind like crazy! Guess their ignorance of the Bible is a blessing in disguise.
Don’t forget to buy seeds when stocking up. We noticed this week that they are starting to disappear as soon as they are put out. Also, pick up any gardening supplies you may need.
Complex systems are hard to create but easily destroyed. The lazy and untalented left has no interest in nor aptitude for creation but delights in destruction.
And, the hospital supply chain is also impacted from the mandates, quarantines and vaccines. So labor shortages-smart nurses decline vax, materials shortage due to port blockage/truckers regulation/quarantine make hospitals even less safe.
Of course, considering the covid test, remdesivir treatment we know hospitals are killing fields. Now add this:
https://saraacarter.com/health-industry-distributors-association-supply-chain-delays-a-healthcare-issue/
I recently went to my 4x yearly cancer labs/scan. The plebotomist pulled out only one tube for my blood draw, despite my standing order of three different blood tests. When I questioned her, she said that they usually take the patient’s word and draw what a patient tells them, and then follow up on missed orders. However, with the SEVERE (her words) shortage of tubes, they were instructed to only draw what the order called for, because they couldn’t afford to “waste” a tube when they were in short supply.
My husband and I had our 6 month check-ups at our VA clinic. They were unable to do our blood labs also. We will be getting them done in 2 weeks at the main VA Medical Center. My daughter asked a friend who works at a VA clinic in California and they weren’t having any tube shortage. Tubes must be on those ships hiding off the coast.
Thank you Sundance for this and previous explanations on this matter.
I worked in the food processing industry for a number of years and what Sundance says is correct.
I do not know about how the balance is now, but before covid more than 50% of food was consumed out of home (think sporting events, restaurants, school and business cafeterias, fast food, bars, etc.) Where I worked we had some manufacturing lines that were for retail and some were for foodservice. We even had factories entirely for foodservice. Foodservice lines / factories could not supply retail and vice versa. In addition, the “route to market” for foodservice was entirely different than retail (e.g. Sysco).
So back when some governors said shut down restaurants and the like, you can imagine the strain this put on the retail side of things. When all of this started I am sure many business executives thought it was all temporary and never invested in new Foodservice lines (many months from a go decision to when the new line actually starts producing) thinking it was all just a temporary situation. I am sure the amount of food consumed out of home has still never recovered back to pre-Covid.
The economy needs to crash. And I hope it is one heck of a massive crash. Nothing short of total supply chain chaos will wake people up to reality. Enough of Covid, enough of vaccine fear mongering and enough global warming crap. They are all globalist manufactured crises.
We need to switch the mass formation psychosis from Covid back onto life and living as we knew it pre-pandemic.
The Wuhan Virus is in it’s death throes.
Omicron is going to whip through the world in the next couple of weeks and then it’s over.
It’s highly contagious, but much less deadly… and it’s pushing Delta out.
It will be rough because hospitals will likely be overwhelmed because of the shear volume. However since it appears to be much more upper airway and less lung involved the sick wont be quite as sick and will spend less time in the hospital. People will sadly die, but it’s less likely than with Delta or the original versions.
If I as a layperson understand this from following what is going on… the question is why are ‘they’ still pushing all the mandates???
I still haven’t seen any US deaths confirmed as FROM Omicron.
All I’ve seen mentioned are 4 deaths that were clearly WITH, not FROM…
Where are the deaths?
And, when it comes to stuff from China, well, it’s not going to get better anytime soon.
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/global-economy-heading-mother-all-supply-chain-shocks-china-locks-down-ports
“……..the effects of restrictions in China as the country maintains its Covid-zero policy “are starting to hit supply chains in the region.” As a result of the slow movement of goods through some of the country’s busiest and most important ports means shippers are now diverting to Shanghai, causing the types of knock-on delays at the world’s biggest container port that led to massive congestion bottlnecks last summer that eventually translated into a record number of container ships waiting off the coast of California, a glut that hasn’t been cleared to this day.”
An easy way to solve the “port backlog” is to stop sending ships.
Typically eggheads that don’t know how to work a shovel think that 100% of the population will do what their told or be coherent to their wishes.
Even a kindergarten teacher knows that you can’t make everybody learn the same things the same way.
The naughty little boy that sits up the back knows he can disrupt the whole class, that’s why he does it! Consider he gets punished again and again and still goes back to the old routine.
That little boy is only 1% of the class but look at the power he yields ?
Mungrel is a very, very naughty boy !
Exactly 💯
Naughty in the sight of Tyranny
Nice for all of us Life, Liberty 🗽 and Freedom folks 👍
Your posts Mungrel make me feel braver than I probably am and I thank you.
Breakdown on current data from Omicron & Delta from Kaiser in Southern Cal
Quick takeaway 1 death in 50 K positive patients to Omicron
0 put on mech ventilation
Study shows vaccinated have fared better than non vaccinated for omicron but surprisingly 1 dose of J&J gave similar protection to 3 doses of Mrna (but 2 doses of J&J did slightly worse)
I’m suspicious of the vaccinated ‘faring better’ in studies. I think that is what they ‘want’ to see.
I personally know a number of people who haven’t gotten any of the jabs. Many have gotten the Wuhan virus in the past month. I also know a pile of people who have gotten all the jabs.
Most of the vaccinated have been sicker than those that were un-jabbed (unless they already had health issues).
The other thing? Those that got jabbed many are angry… because they weren’t suppose to get sick!
My only thought if a MD is appraising a symptomatic covid test positive patient and he/she asks or notes patient is unvaccinated, will they be more likely to admit that patient to be on the prudent side (cya) compared to the same symptom positive vaccinated patient
SMH…’studies show’….what studies?
“Study” referenced in the video. Data from Kaiser in Southern Ca for month of Dec.
Exactly! “They” are still pushing vaccines and there is very little risk.
Haven’t yet had time to listen to this but it’s as if Terence read my mind about my question on where the deaths are.
He really says 1 death in 50 thousand?
And are those deaths confirmed as FROM Omicron, not anything else along WITH a positive test?
Have they run genomic testing to differentiate Omicron from Delta in those cases?
So many questions…
I don’t have the answers. I’ve recently switched to Kaiser and they are efficient so I wouldn’t be surprised if they have a way to distinguish Delta versus Omicron. The data presented in video doesn’t break out co morbidities but it may be study referenced.
It’s been my impression Kaiser hasn’t overhyped Covid. Early on in this area South SF bay Kasier was denied vaccines and it was moved to Public Health and County system. I don’t know if that plays into it.