Head’s Up – Tropical Storm Michael Forecast To Become Hurricane…

Coastal residents of Northern Florida (Panhandle), Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana should keep an eye on tropical storm Michael.  The storm is anticipated to become a Hurricane in the northern Gulf of Mexico sometime late Tuesday/Wednesday.

At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Michael was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 86.9 West. Michael is currently stationary but is expected to resume a slow northward motion later today. A northward motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Michael will move near the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula Monday morning, and then across the eastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday through Wednesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next several days, and Michael could become a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday. (More from hurricane center)

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88 Responses to Head’s Up – Tropical Storm Michael Forecast To Become Hurricane…

  1. imkittymyers says:

    Oh good grief. Not again.

    Liked by 3 people

  2. smiley says:

    a lot can happen between now and when it gets well into the GOM.

    gotta really watch these things this time year with this kind of track.

    depends on when it TURNS…and how far EAST.

    Panhandle, upper GOM…or Florida peninsula.

    Liked by 1 person

  3. billrla says:

    I demand an invesigation of this “Micheal.” Is he a potential hurricane, or, is this entire storm just more hot air?

    Liked by 4 people

  4. Amy2 says:

    I just saw my nephew post that he was getting supplies in Jacksonville. Who knew? ‘hope SC doesn’t get hit again!

    Liked by 3 people

    • smiley says:

      he’s smart…when the awful Wilma hit, about this time in 2005, the east Florida coast was totally unprepared…Ft Lauderdale got hit hard after it smashed into and thru Marco & Naples, barreling east.

      Liked by 1 person

  5. boogywstew says:

    It’s just not fair that every hurricane season starts off with “A”. Every single name that anyone can make up and starts with an “A” gets a hurricane. How about us who are alphabetically impaired? When will the Zeldas and Zorros finally get some recognition? Why doesn’t the hurricane season start with the letter after what was last used the previous season? Some meteorologist named Aaron must be responsible.

    Liked by 5 people

    • andyocoregon says:

      I remember when hurricanes were always named after women. The running joke at the time was “Why are hurricanes always named after women?” And the answer would be, “Have you ever heard of a Him-icane?”

      Liked by 2 people

      • boogywstew says:

        You can afford to be upbeat. There’s probably 100s of Hurricane Andrews. There needs to be an official disability declared so I can finally be a victim. “People Who Aren’t Victims Are Victims Too”. Oh … that sounds too much like a Democrat by another name.

        Like

  6. ScarletPimpernel says:

    I hope the FBI or other appropriate authorities are on top of this:

    Sen. Cory Gardner reveals wife received graphic text of beheading after Kavanaugh vote: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/sen-cory-gardner-reveals-wife-received-graphic-text-of-beheading-after-kavanaugh-vote

    Furthermore, FOX News was told that “Senators share each other’s contact info through a small, pocket-sized book issued at the beginning of each new Congress, shared only by a small and trusted group of staffers.”

    Like

  7. Minnie says:

    Father, all the elements of nature obey Your command.

    Calm the storms and hurricanes that threaten us and turn our fear of Your power into praise of Your goodness.

    Grant this through our Lord Jesus Christ, Your Son, who lives and reigns with You and the Holy Spirit, one God, forever and ever.

    Amen 🙏🏼

    Liked by 4 people

  8. rashomon says:

    What Sundance implies is all of us should have emergency stock on hand in case of an emergency where one has no power, etc. His list applies to all of us, regardless of location.

    Thanks to the Treeper who recommended the hand-cranked radio, which I purchased as a housewarming gift for a friend who did not have one. It has already proved the price (minor, but a godsend) and is the ultimate entertainment for the local Cub Scouts.

    The Last Refuge means a whole bunch of experts in one place.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Howie says:

      ICE!!!

      Like

      • blondegator says:

        That’s a fact. No such thing as too much ice, if you’ve got extra room in your freezer(s)…pack them with bagged ice, cartons of ice, etc.

        Anyone who lives in “the zone” should prepare every June, and not become complacent (or use your “supplies”) until after Turkey Day. It’s much easier (and far less stress) to prepare all of your hurricane provisions far ahead of time, and merely have to double-check or do last minute small things (like fill your gas cans) at the last minute, once you’re in or NEAR the cone.

        Even though I’m in SE Florida, I remember Wilma, so I won’t be breathing easy for a couple of days. Anyone who is close to the models at this point should be preparing as well. Good luck to all, and stay prepared and safe!

        Liked by 1 person

  9. snellvillebob says:

    If your cellphone is charged, what are the odds the cell phone towers will have power? And won’t the government conserve it for themselves and their families?

    Like

  10. ZurichMike says:

    This storm did NOT originate in Switzerland. Just sayin’.

    Liked by 2 people

  11. Pam says:

    I know how you all feel who may be on the receiving end of this storm. Florence hit Wrightsville Beach which is just minutes down the road from me. We were pretty fortunate compared to some. There are still a few trees down across the rooftops of some homes here. We were without power approximately 7 days and 15 hours.

    If you have a generator, make sure are able to crank it and are able to get it to run because two days before power was restored in my neighborhood, the generator we had refused to run after pulling it numerous times. We found later that the carburetor had gone bad. We were forced to go to the Wal-Mart in the next county to get a generator thanks to a friend who came to our rescue with the tip. They were almost extinct around here because of highway 421 and parts of I-40 being closed due to flooding which prevented trucks from getting much needed supplies in here.

    Make sure to stock up on food, especially food that dosen’t have to be refrigerated, in plenty of time because food on store shelves will go in a hurry. When the previous generator quit, we had to take all of our milk and frozen food and store it at my uncle’s house. By that time, his power had been restored. It truly was a lifesaver!

    If you need fuel for your generator post storm, be very careful where you buy your fuel. There were at least two reports I heard about on the radio of folks buying fuel that had water in it. One man said his generator was ruined because of it.

    Sundance was right about getting to know your neighbors. Without us asking anyone, one my neighbors had a crew from his church cleaning up his yard and they eventually walked over here and started cleaning up our backyard. A neighbor across the street cut our grass. We were able to receive a lot of helpful info from power crews that were out here on how the restoration efforts were coming along. A lot of the folks on this street were truly looking out for each other.

    I wish the very best to all of you that may be in the path of this storm and you will certainly be in my thoughts and prayers.

    Liked by 7 people

    • Sherri Young says:

      After Hurricane Harvey a group of those cis gendered toxic masculinity sufferers from a local church knocked on doors in a mobile home community in Nederland, TX and asked for permission to check under homes for wet insulation. If they found wet insulation, they did the nasty job lying in flood water mud and removing insulation. FYI wet insulation, if not removed, can warp and rot the subflooring and do terrible harm to the home. Mice will gladly move in too. Many of the people living in that mobile home park are retired and/or disabled.

      Those guys are my heros.

      Liked by 4 people

    • andyocoregon says:

      Now would be a good time to bring your towable boat onshore and park it 100 miles or so inland.

      Like

  12. missilemom says:

    Praying for all especially those in Sandestin where I have had a condo on the beach for 20 years.
    Yikes.

    Like

  13. Scott B. says:

    Wait, I’m a bit confused – is this “Stormy’s” Michael Avenatti; or is this about Michael Bromwich, or maybe Michael Sussman? Anyway, good thing about those Michaels is that they all fizzled out…
    :}

    Like

  14. Howie says:

    I think Panama City still. Might get stronger than they say. Get supplies now!

    Like

  15. Howie says:

    October canes are unpredictable.

    Like

  16. Pam says:

    Like

  17. Pam says:

    Like

  18. MontanaMel says:

    So…you have your 9 or 10KW genset…and it cranks by battery….burns gas and you have 50 gal on hand (without water content)…. Then, the carb fails, or, or, or…. Just because something “worked” last year or two – doesn’t mean it’ll work 100% this time…eh?
    GET IT OUT and TEST IT…put it under load….check for any signs of leaks, etc…CHANGE THE OIL NOW…won’t have time then, eh?…
    You have days before it can get to you proper… Look up Harbor Freight online… get yourself a smaller genset as back up to the big monster…look at your Refg and Freezer, any water pressure related equipment, and any air-mover needed (not A/C per se)…bet you will find that a 4KW set will handle limited “have to have” items…on HF, 4KW sets can be had for $300 with shipping of only $6.99 total… While you are there…lay in some “blue tarps” of different sizes….you may need them!
    Not to mention “other material handling” items… NOTE: I would NOT suggest you get a cheap chainsaw…nope!… Spend the bucks for a med duty name brand…say a Sthl 29+ or a Husky 455 Rancher….and then, get another one, slightly smaller but NOT their “smallest one made”…extra chains, bars, and drive wheels for both…and at least a gal of mix oil or a 24 pack of the single gal size ones…You hang onto a saw for that long and you’ll be ready to lay it down anyway!!!.
    For short-term events…like 2 weeks or less… MRE’s or similar “ready to eat” items can work…just lay in some type of LAXATIVE to take along with them… Mountain House is good stuff, just make sure you got some way to boil water, etc…ie: camp stove with fuel, etc…AND you have safe water to use to prep with…. get a “water Bob” … fits in the bath tub….fill it up and pump it out as needed, 75-100 gal along with your hot water heater’s capacity should keep you fed…don’t count on flushing much… Get a big box of super strong trash bags… maybe some 6 gal pails…one with a toilet seat on it…eh?

    Keep safe and pay attention…

    Blame it on the Grand Minimum…you’d be correct for once…

    Check-6

    Liked by 1 person

  19. Pam says:

    8pm intermediate advisory:



    Like

  20. Snow White says:

    Great/sarc😳😳😳we are supposed to go on vacation to Pensacola in a few days. I hope we get our money back.

    Liked by 1 person

  21. Pammipoo says:

    Oh, just swell! I’m heading right into it with a truckload of wire to repair damage from the LAST hurricane. Sheesh!

    Like

    • Dixie says:

      Drive carefully. I have the utmost respect for those who drive trucks, deliver needed supplies and deal with the traffic on the roads. None of us want this dang storm.

      Liked by 1 person

  22. Pam says:

    10pm CT advisory:



    Like

  23. Pam says:

    Like

  24. no-nonsense-nancy says:

    My grandson goes to college at St Petersburg.

    Like

    • Doreen Scott says:

      Was born in St. Pete. Now live in the next county up. He should be ok if the storm goes straight up to northern Florida like it shows. He might get some wind and rain but the college is not near the gulf so no tidal surge.

      Like

  25. smiley says:

    latest satellite Loop..

    (not sure how that will post )

    Like

  26. smiley says:

    latest NOAA…NOTICE : it will become a hurricane sooner than Wednesday..

    not good.

    Like

  27. Pam says:

    Like

  28. Howie says:

    If anyone is tracking right now eye is 20.2 N and 85.6 W at 0230
    It is already hurricane force NE of Eye.
    Here is chart you can print.
    https://www.weather.gov/media/key/gom_track.pdf

    Like

  29. smiley says:

    Fl Gov Rick Scott will issue a State of Emergency for Fl Panhandle and Big Ben

    max sustained winds ~60 mph…moving north at ~5 mph…

    https://www.naplesnews.com/story/weather/hurricanes/2018/10/07/tropical-depression-14-expected-become-hurricane-could-impact-gulf-coast/1557985002/

    article is from yesterday.

    Like

  30. smiley says:

    Gov Rick Scott declares State of Emergency for 26 counties in Florida…{video}..

    https://globalnews.ca/video/4525986/parts-of-florida-under-state-of-emergency-as-tropical-storm-michael-approaches

    expected landfall : Tuesday

    Like

  31. smiley says:

    check out the current band LOOP, here…

    https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=gm&band=GEOCOLOR&length=36

    might have to click on that link…can see the rotation & bands…very clearly.

    no likey at all.

    Like

  32. Howie says:

    0500….
    20.9 N
    85.6 W
    It is a cane.

    Like

  33. Pam says:



    Like

  34. Pam says:

    https://m.facebook.com/mikesweatherpage/photos/a.10150182050932367/10156496641502367/?type=3&source=48&_ft_=top_level_post_id.10156496641772367%3Atl_objid.10156496641772367%3Acontent_owner_id_new.88134562366%3Athrowback_story_fbid.10156496641772367%3Apage_id.88134562366%3Aphoto_id.10156496641502367%3Apage_insights.%7B“88134562366”%3A%7B”role”%3A1%2C”page_id”%3A88134562366%2C”post_context”%3A%7B”story_fbid”%3A10156496641772367%2C”publish_time”%3A1538993480%2C”story_name”%3A”EntStatusCreationStory”%2C”object_fbtype”%3A266%7D%2C”actor_id”%3A88134562366%2C”psn”%3A”EntStatusCreationStory”%2C”sl”%3A4%2C”dm”%3A%7B”isShare”%3A0%2C”originalPostOwnerID”%3A0%7D%2C”targets”%3A%5B%7B”page_id”%3A88134562366%2C”actor_id”%3A88134562366%2C”role”%3A1%2C”post_id”%3A10156496641772367%2C”share_id”%3A0%7D%5D%7D%7D&__tn__=EH-R

    Like

  35. smiley says:

    SWFL …coastal flooding warnings up for high tide minor flooding along the Gulf coast of Collier Co…

    …at least thru Tuesday evening…

    https://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/069.html?hdf=1

    Oct 8, 2018

    Like

  36. Pam says:



    Like

  37. smiley says:

    and now this

    another something…lower right…50% w/in next 5 days…heading WNW…favorable for development.

    oh sh!#

    really getting old fast.

    enough is enough !

    Like

  38. Pam says:

    Like

  39. Pam says:

    Like

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