The GOPe Tripwires Continue – Despite Campaign Trouble Rick Perry Must Be Kept In The Race…

Another predictable tripwire triggered TODAY.   Back in the spring of 2014, when we first discovered the GOPe roadmap for 2016, there were essential elements in the financial constructs of Jeb’s hope for success.

perry smarty glassesOne of those constructs was the necessary use of Super-PAC’s to avoid the pitfalls of electoral support withdrawal from candidates who were important to the overall objectives.

In essence, regardless of electoral support, specific candidates would need to be kept in the race beyond their traditional ability to do so.  The Super-PAC’s would be the guarantors of the retention.

Former Governor Rick Perry was, and is still, part of that original construct.  We shared yesterday it would be too risky for the GOPe roadmap to rely on a Texas electoral splitter who was not part of the team strategy, ie. Ted Cruz.

The Super-PAC guardians, who are charged with keeping each of the “splitters” in the race, come from inside the GOP Mid-Term roadmap team.  Specifically, from inside the group of DC insiders who act as bag-men for Senator McConnell and Tom Donohue. The same guys who insured Thad Cochran’s re-election in Mississippi, by any means necessary.

Obviously one of those key guardians was/is Austin Barbour, son of GOPe member, former RGA Chair and Mississippi governor Haley Barbour. Austin was the guy who arranged the racist attack ads against Chris McDaniel in the Mississippi Primary, and who coordinated the payments to Democrat voters to vote for Cochran in the 2nd primary.

As a consequence, after the mid-terms’ Austin took the role of Super-PAC head for Rick Perry support.  The larger goal is to keep each of the original splitters in the race.

Rick Perry gets makeuphaley-barbour1

Austin Barbour’s job is to keep Rick Perry afloat through:

Tuesday March 1st, 2016  Texas Primary: 155 Delegates (proportional assigned) / Open Primary.

108 Texas delegates will be proportional by district vote.  Meaning divided among all of the candidates according to the percentage of vote in each of the 36 districts.  Each district gets 3 delegates.

  • If a candidate receives a majority of the vote (more than 50%), or only 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, that candidate is allocated all 3 of the district’s delegates. [General Rules for All Conventions and Meetings. Rule 38. Section 8.a. and 8.b.]
  • If no candidate receives a majority of the vote and at least 2 candidates receive 20% or more of the vote, the candidate with the most votes (plurality) receives 2 delegates and the candidate receiving the next highest number of votes receives 1 delegate. [Rule 38. Section 8.b.]
  • If no candidate receives 20% of the vote then the top 3 vote getters each receive 1 delegate. [Rule 38. Section 8.c.]

44 at-large Texas delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 34 bonus delegates) are to be allocated to the presidential contenders based on the primary results statewide. These delegates are allocated to the presidential contenders.

  • If a candidate receives a majority of the vote (more than 50%), or only 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, that candidate is allocated all 44 at-large delegates. [Rule 38. Section 9.a. and 9.b.]
  • If no candidate receives a majority of the vote and at least 2 candidates receive 20% or more of the vote, the 44 at-large delegates are allocated proportionally among those candidates receiving 20% or more of the vote.
  • If no candidate receives 20% of the vote, allocate the 44 at-large delegates proportionally.

The GOPe roadmap to elect Jeb was created in 2014 with KEY STATES and key state vote splitters.  They are: South Carolina (Lindsey Graham), Ohio (John Kasich), Texas (Rick Perry), and Florida (Marco Rubio) – After the initial map was created, and because 2015 polling showed a safety margin was needed, further insurance policies were purchased in Virginia (Jim Gilmore) and New York (George Pataki).

Within the construct Iowa is viewed irrelevant; New Hampshire is viewed as more important but only for optics and momentum (23 delegates proportional); South Carolina 50 delegates winner-take-all, is where the campaign actually begins.

In order for the roadmap to succeed, each of these “splitter” candidates must be kept in the race (through specific moments in 2016) by assigning a specific Super-PAC to prop them up. Hence amid the story of Rick Perry campaign finances coming up short:

Perry-Facepalm[…]  Although polling suggests Republicans have a favorable opinion of Perry, he has struggled to gain traction in the deep field of candidates. He narrowly failed to crack the top 10 in national polling, relegating him to the undercard debate last week on Fox News Channel.

He had hoped for a breakout moment there, but rather it was Carly Fiorina, the former technology executive, who emerged from the so-called happy hour debate with momentum.

But Perry’s campaign aides as well as leaders of an allied super PAC said they will continue raising money and that the former governor is committed to a strong performance in the early contests next year. Perry is planning to campaign in South Carolina on Thursday and to visit Iowa next week.

“As the campaign moves along, tough decisions have to be made in respect to both monetary and time related resources,” Perry campaign manager Jeff Miller said. “Governor Perry remains committed to competing in the early states and will continue to have a strong presence in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.”

The Perry campaign reported raising $1.14 million in the second quarter of this year and on July 15 reported having $883,913 on hand.

But a group of Opportunity and Freedom super PACs promoting Perry’s candidacy was in far healthier state financially, having raised nearly $17 million by the end of June.

Austin Barbour, senior adviser to the super PAC, said the group would step up “to aggressively support the governor in a number of different ways.”

We’ve got plenty of money,” Barbour said. “That’s what I know. And we’re going to put that money to use in Iowa to make sure the governor is in the top three there. The super PAC is not going to let Rick Perry down.”

News of Perry’s money woes has surprised people in his political circle. In the 2012 campaign, Perry was a fundraising leader, bringing in $17 million to his campaign in a single quarter.

“Nobody talked about money being a problem,” said one former Perry appointee and longtime ally.  (read more)

There are 10 states on Super Tuesday March 1st.  Nine of them, including Texas, can be expected to present as “proportional assignment” because even the two states which have Winner-Take-All structure (Tennessee, Vermont), they also require a 50% threshold to take them or they default to proportional; with multiple candidates, that 50% goal remains unlikely.

Only one state, Oklahoma, is truly winner take all (43 delegates) until Florida (99 delegates) on March 15th.

The plan is for the “splitter team” (Graham, Kasich, Christie, Perry, Gilmore, Pataki, Huckabee, Santorum and Fiorina) to gobble up delegates in dribs and drabs, until they can deposit them in Jeb’s bucket, with endorsements after Jeb’s victory in Florida.

rubio bush

clinton bush

Know the plan, see the plan.  Know the players and see through the game:

Following The Money

The GOPe Roadmap

♦ Why Support Trump – Part One (The GOPe Ruse)

♦ Why Support Trump – Part Two (Stop being played)

♦ Why Support Trump – Part Three (Intellectual Details)How We Predicted Megyn Kelly’s Attack Well Before the Debate

Expectations from Carly Fiorina

carly fiorina 2Carly Fiorina on Immigration: Pass the DREAM Act. For other undocumented immigrants, a direct path to citizenship is unfair.  While running for the U.S. Senate in California in 2010, Fiorina said she supports the DREAM Act, which would give legal status to people who were brought to the U.S. illegally as children.

Carly Fiorina on Climate change: It is real and manmade. But government has limited ability to address it.  Speaking in New Hampshire in February, Fiorina said there is scientific consensus that climate change is real and caused by humans.

Carly Fiorina on Education: Supports Common Core – Set national standards but give local districts maximum control. No Child Left Behind was positive.  In a position paper while running for the U.S. Senate in California, Fiorina strongly advocated for metric-based accountability in schools. She praised No Child Left Behind as setting high standards and Race to the Top for using internationally-benchmarked measures.

This entry was posted in Big Stupid Government, Carly Fiorina, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Jeb Bush, Rick Perry, Tripwires, Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

47 Responses to The GOPe Tripwires Continue – Despite Campaign Trouble Rick Perry Must Be Kept In The Race…

  1. TwoLaine says:

    Funny! Cruz is out campaigning with McDaniel!

    Ted Cruz campaigns with a foe of the GOP establishment in Mississippi
    By Katie Zezima August 11 at 5:29 PM

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2015/08/11/ted-cruz-campaigns-with-establishment-foe-in-mississippi/

    Liked by 3 people

  2. Sundance – you are a true patriot. I hope your site problems get resolved quickly and that you can continue to spread the truth about our rigged political process.

    Liked by 5 people

  3. Ziiggii says:

    A different take on the Super PAC from IJReview:

    Rick Perry Stopped Paying Campaign Staff. Now ‘Opportunity and Freedom’ Steps In to Carry the Load

    Barbour said the super PAC would “do more traditional things the campaign usually does” and “there’s nothing in the rulebook” to prohibit them from doing so. The role of super PACs in 2016, which can accept unlimited donations — as opposed to campaigns, which can only accept $2,700 per individual per election — is changing how campaigns are run, allowing candidates like Perry to stay in the race.

    http://www.ijreview.com/2015/08/389710-rick-perry-stopped-paying-campaign-staff-now-someones-stepping-in-to-carry-the-load/

    Liked by 2 people

  4. Ziiggii says:

    “Candidly, we saw the campaign finance report a couple weeks ago and knew,” he said. “We sort of read the writing on the wall … we knew that we had to move forward and do our own thing.”

    -Austin Barbour, Senior Adviser to the pro-Perry super PAC, Opportunity and Freedom

    Liked by 1 person

  5. peppie says:

    Spot on!

    Like

  6. 1hear2learn says:

    Trump presser on Greta tonight. ROFLMAO. Spectacular…. no wall because of TOADS! No way would BLM take HIS mic away… oh my God, have to rewind to watch again!

    Liked by 3 people

  7. jackphatz says:

    Eventually, these guys will have to fold…right? You mean other peoples PAC money will keep them all in the race?

    Like

  8. prognomore says:

    Sundance, I think you have a real winner with the term “splitter” and “splitter team” to describe these suspect candidates. You’ve developed a plausible explanation for the motivation of so many to jump into an already crowded candidate field AND you’ve coined the phrase that encapsulates it the way “RINO” and “GOPe” serve to expose feckless political operatives.We can’t fight what we can’t name. Well done! .

    Liked by 2 people

  9. doodahdaze says:

    Coming soon. The 3 to 4 pm Megyn and Sheppie and Greta Show! Only on FOX. Followed by BOR and Hannity.

    Like

  10. doodahdaze says:

    Won’t work. GOP is coming undone…thank god. Next up….DNC. Even the libs are coming around. Something wonderful is happening.

    Liked by 2 people

    • Juan says:

      Still dreaming I see. All the euphoria of post debate online polls will be a distant memory when more reliable polls are reported … “The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Trump with 17% support among Likely Republican Primary Voters, down from 26% in late July before the first GOP debate. Senator Marco Rubio and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush are in second place with 10% support each, in a near tie with Fiorina and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker who both earn nine percent (9%) of the likely primary vote”

      http://hotair.com/archives/2015/08/11/uh-oh-trump-down-nine-points-after-debate-in-new-rasmussen-national-poll/

      Like

      • sundance says:

        Hot Air = Salem Communications. Watch the motives of the sellers of negative intel, and who sells the positive intel of “others”.

        Liked by 2 people

      • keebler AC says:

        Donald did not lose significantly because this is the first time public has heard some unknowns speak (unattacked) like Carly “HP and Lucent fiasco-maker” Fiorina and Ben Carson.

        Donald lost 7%. Overall, top winners of the debate Carly gained 8%, Rubio gained 5% and Carson gained 5% which totals 18%. The Donald lost a lot less than 18%. This means Carly, Rubio and Carson’s gains came from the other candidates and less than half from Trump. Walker was a big loser.

        You’re going to see Carly fall big time at the next debate because suddenly all eyes are on her. She did poorly at Lucent too by getting into loaning Lucent capital to other small time tech companies instead of building the business. Essentially, Carly is king pin of attempted savings and loans not a real tech CEO. She had no business running these tech companies into the ground. Another Enron company choosing to veer away from core business into quick revenue. She built up her resume so high HP offered her $94million to give up her Lucent stock and switch jobs. Lucent completely tanked and HP realized they had been had seeing Carly attempt another smooth buy out for paper gain. She’s a snake in the grass. Carly benefitted Carly. She’s one conniving sales person. All hot air. Don’t make the same mistake with America! God help us!

        Rasmussen, August 9-10, 2015

        Donald Trump

        26% (-7%) to 17%

        Marco Rubio

        5% (+5%) to 10%

        Jeb Bush

        10% (0 change) to 10%

        Scott Walker

        14% (-5%) to 9%

        Carly Fiorina

        1% (+8%) to 9%

        Ben Carson

        5% (+5%) to 8%

        Ted Cruz

        7% (no change) to 7%

        Like

  11. kinthenorthwest says:

    Reposting This here
    Did A Twitter For Trump that Really got to me .
    Our Nation Needs A Fighter Like Trump To Bring Us Back, Heal Us & Unite Us Again as One Nation United States Of America!
    Below is the post & very powerful video, picture was of the 4 who were lost at Benghazi!!
    “NOT ON TRUMP’s WATCH’ 2 TRUMP ALL Military & Americans Matter ALWAYS!”

    Liked by 1 person

  12. kinthenorthwest says:

    SunDANCE MUST READ
    In Donald Trump vs. Fox News, we have a clear winner: Trump

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/08/11/donald-trump-faced-down-fox-news-and-won/

    Like

  13. Aslan's Girl says:

    Well, even with their best laid plans and they keep candidates in the race, they cannot BUY votes. People are not going to vote for Perry or Graham or Jindal. They are at ZERO %. They can stay in and buy ads, but voters <3s have been won (so far) by Trump. People are enthusiastic for Trump. So unless the GOP buy some black people off like they did with Thad, I can’t see their money actually splitting anything.

    Like

    • sundance says:

      The GOPe play long ball. They’ll do the death by 1000 paper cuts approach until January.

      Targets = Trump, Cruz, Walker – in that order.

      Like

      • I have one question that you may have already answered, but that I missed:

        What happens if, after the TX primary, Perry wins some delegates, but decides to drop out of the race? What happens to “his” delegates? Are they reapportioned as if he had not been in the race at the time of the primary, or are they now free to vote for whomever they choose? Or, if Perry throws his support behind Jeb, are those delegates now obligated to vote for Jeb at the Republican National Convention?

        Like

        • sundance says:

          The delegates “generally” follow the endorsement. The candidate gives his/her delegates to the chosen candidate.

          Traditionally, an in common sense explanation, the candidate technically holds his/her delegates and then delivers them as a voting block to the selected recipient candidate at the convention.

          Like

    • ImpeachEmAll says:

      You are forgetting the
      Dead, Vote Early and
      Vote Often, Skid Row,
      Undocumented Illegal,
      and Homeless voters.

      Like

  14. TwoLaine says:

    This is ALWAYS a BIG Boon for All MSM. Elections always are, and they start one right after the other….. It’s SUCH A RACKET!

    $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ will be spent, OOPS, ARE BEING SPENT, for Ads on the Losers, Rubio & Christie in my hood. What’s playing in your hood?

    Anyone seen any Trump commercials? 😉

    Like

  15. Pingback: Is There An Establishment “Splitter” Strategy? |

  16. Candygram for Mongo says:

    That Barbour is involved with Perry is a giant red flag. The establishment GOP would rather lose and have a Hillary presidency than allow Trump to be in charge. They can work with Hillary.

    Like

  17. Pingback: Voting on Principle | Western Free Press

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