A recent Texas poll of 1,531 “registered voters” and 1,293 “likely voters” shows Ted Cruz and Donald Trump essentially tied.  Ted Cruz being more successful in West Texas, and Donald Trump being more successful in North Texas.  If Senator Ted Cruz loses Texas, his candidacy is effectively over – that’s why he’s campaigning in Texas right now.

DALLAS – Six days before Super Tuesday, Ted Cruz and Donald Trump are now tied in Texas, according to a new public opinion poll commissioned by WFAA-TV.

Cruz and Trump both had 32 percent support from likely and actual GOP primary voters, with a 3.9 percent margin of error.

It is the most recent survey of Texas voters and the first one to show Cruz no longer leading in his home state.

“He’s fading,” said Cal Jillson, professor of political science at Southern Methodist University, of Ted Cruz’s candidacy. “Trump has proven to be stronger and more resilient than anyone expected.” (more…)

Former presidential candidate Mitt Romney is going “full Mississippi” with claims about Donald Trump’s taxes.  It doesn’t matter that there is no basis for the ridiculous assertions – the truth and/or facts are not what matters when you go “full Mississippi”…. it’s a strategy!

The absolute worst thing Donald Trump could do is to respond to it.  Responding to the provocation is exactly what they want.  Dismiss it like you would swat an annoying gnat.

Mitt Romney – “The reason that I think there’s a bombshell in there is because every time he’s asked about his taxes he dodges and delays and says, ‘Well we’re working on it,'” Romney told Fox News.

“We’re now, you know, in late February and we still haven’t seen either Donald Trump’s or Marco Rubio’s or Ted Cruz’s taxes,” he added, referring to the two US senators challenging Trump for the nomination.

“Frankly the voters have a right to see those tax returns before they decide who our nominee ought to be.” (link)

There is a specific reason why Mitt Romney is saying this.  There is also a specific reason why this specific reason, income taxes, is being used.  Here’s what’s going on. (more…)

When little known Chris McDaniel beat entrenched republican senator Thad Cochran in the first Mississippi primary of 2014 it triggered a series of events that became known simply as “Mississippi ’14“.

The entrenched DC republican elite developed a plan to destroy McDaniel before the run-off primary.  They decided to call McDaniel a racist, pay for print and broadcast attack ads, request help from black Mississippi pastors, and pay Democrats, preachers and voters to vote in the run-off election.  Republicans in DC attacking a republican outsider.

Their Machiavellian plan worked.  In the run-off Chris McDaniel again beat Thad Cochran with republican voters, but the paid-to-vote Democrats lifted Cochran back onto the throne in the elite Republican Chamber.

Against the desperation of a South Carolina victory for Donald Trump, and now a Nevada victory for Donald Trump, the DC Republican team have re-enlisted the exact same players to roll out a similar nuclear attack approach against the ‘outsider republican’. (more…)

Here’s the results:

We’ve been using/sharing a very specific election graphic for around six months.  Take a good look at it again, because last night brings a particular clarity about it:

(more…)

The Nevada Caucuses are underway – 5:00pm to 8:oopm PST (8:00pm to 11:00pm EST).

RESULTS ANNOUNCED – Race Called:

Donald Trump Wins !!

Waiting for Trump Victory Speech HERE:

(more…)

Pundits call this the “Big Mo“, meaning Big Momentum… unless, of course, they are describing it in relationship to Donald Trump.  With anti-Trump media, momentum becomes an inconvenient reality to be ignored; because in the 2016 presidential election cycle MSM define winning as who comes next closest to third place…. or something.

Rasmussen Polling and Tracking shows Donald Trump taking a much larger lead than the media are willing to discuss.   Trump has picked up another five points since South Carolina:

[…]  The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Voters finds Trump with 36% support, giving him a 15-point lead over Senator Marco Rubio who earns 21% of the vote. Senator Ted Cruz is in third place with 17%.  (Link)

In addition Reuters polling averages completely validate what we previously predicted over a year ago.  In a three way race between Trump, Rubio and Cruz, candidate Donald Trump locks up 46%, Ted Cruz 25% and Marco Rubio 24%.  (link)

If either Cruz or Rubio drop out, Trump will jump over 60% gaining roughly a third to a half (or more) of the eliminated opponent.   So much for the “ceilings” the pundits are so happy to discuss. (more…)

As previously mentioned, in order to try and dilute the overwhelming victories being achieved by candidate Donald J Trump the media continues to sell a specific narrative that Trump has a ceiling of support.  The premise is that this “ceiling” can block Trump from running the table in state primary elections.

According to the punditry and professional political class, if the current field shrinks down, the non-Trump vote (Rubio or Cruz) will grow larger than Donald Trump’s vote.  Of course this ridiculous assertion assumes that any individual candidate’s support will go monolithically 100% to the next candidate.

As an example they say: if Carson drops out, 100% his support would go to Ted Cruz.  Or, if John Kasich drops out, 100% of his support would go to Marco Rubio.

However, a recent statistical analysis of this exact question has been conducted (yesterday) by Elon University polling in North Carolina (pdf here), and the factual results are entirely different. (more…)

Marcobot, the heavily scripted robotic candidate and current favorite of the professional political class, had another malfunction last night during the Bill O’Reilly interview.  Mr. O’Reilly asked if presidential candidate Marco Rubio was willing to deport the illegal aliens, or those who overstay their visas’, and stay in the U.S. illegally.

Watch:

Fox owner, Mr. Rupert Murdoch, will not be happy.  Neither will Fox’s Political News Executive, Bill Sammon.  His daughter is Marco Rubio’s press secretary.

(more…)

Ben Franklin told us long ago we have been given a constitutional republic “if you can keep it“.  What Dr. Franklin failed to tell the anxious crowd was that inside the convention hall the attendees unanimously agreed, the enemy we needed to keep it from – was ourselves.

Last year after assembling volumes of research and data we shared a message that many found troubling; we outlined the GOPe road-map.  Some people immediately thought it was ridiculous, however as time has gone along reality began to settle in – what we described in the GOPe “splitter strategy” was indeed factually taking place throughout 2015/2016.

Some people cannot accept the inherent discomfort; that’s completely understandable.

We are not generally experts in much more than gathering data and assembling the pieces to explain the most logical reasoning for them; a political ‘Occam’s Razor’, if you will.

However, for those who generally understand the principles behind the larger political machinations, an evolution is now evident.  The GOPe have modified their plans, morphed and mutated the original scheme while maintaining the initial intent. (more…)

As you absorb this sneak peak polling release, remember….  Yesterday, even before the South Carolina elections results were finished, candidate John Kasich took off to attend events in Massachusetts.

Here’s a sneak peak into the current polling from Massachusetts via Emerson College:

Ceilings,
Nothing more than, ceilings;
Trying to forget my,
Ceilings of hate…

(more…)