Last week a leaked GOPe seven page strategy memo surfaced outlining the Republican anxiety with the support of Donald Trump.  One section of the memo stated:

…”[…]  Trump Can Hit the Right Chord – We may not like it, but Trump has connected with voters on issues like trade with China and America’s broken borders”…. (memo pdf)

Yes, the officials within the Republican party “don’t like” the fact candidate Donald “Trump has connected with voters”.  For the GOPe the goal is always to connect with the professional political class (Wall Street, K-Street, Lobbyists, Donors) not those pesky unwashed masses called, “voters” – yuck.

You might remember several weeks ago Mitt Romney said “they would take out” Donald Trump by December 15th.   Romney never defined “they”, but you can look at the quote above and get a pretty good idea who “they” are.  Kasich kicked off the GOPe attacks, and immediately saw his own poll numbers in New Hampshire collapse.

And so today the second charge begins….  Many people mocked our prior presentation when we stated months ago (numerous times) that Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio supporters will vote for Hillary Clinton if they do not win the nomination.   Here’s further evidence in that regard:

(Miami Herald) One of Florida’s biggest conservative Republican moneymen — and a billionaire backer of Jeb Bush — is so disgusted by Donald Trump’s candidacy that if he has to, he’ll do the unthinkable:

“If I have a choice — and you can put it in bold — if I have a choice between Trump and Hillary Clinton, I’m choosing Hillary,” Miami healthcare magnate Mike Fernandez told the Miami Herald on Friday. “She’s the lesser of two evils.” (more…)

…The Republican nominee for president will be that candidate who best learns that there is no future in apologizing…

~ Jack Cashill (June 10, 2015)

A new PPP Poll (full pdf here) from New Hampshire shows the influence of structural GOPe machinations -via corporate media- onto an electorate.  Carson – dropping, Rubio – static, Cruz – lifted, Kasich – collapsing, and Christie – surging:

(Via PPP Analysis ) – PPP’s new New Hampshire poll finds Donald Trump’s position in the state pretty much unchanged compared to six weeks ago. He leads with 27% to 13% for Ted Cruz, 11% for Marco Rubio, 10% for Chris Christie, 9% for Ben Carson, 8% for John Kasich, 6% for Carly Fiorina, 5% for Jeb Bush, and 4% for Rand Paul. Rounding out the field in the 1% or less club are Mike Huckabee, George Pataki, and Rick Santorum each at 1%, and Lindsey Graham and Jim Gilmore with less than 1%. (more…)

The latest Ipsos/Reuters Poll (full pdf below) for December was released today.  This poll has been consistent over time but unfortunately the registered republican sample size is small.  Donald Trump continues to lead the entire field; but there’s an interesting hiccup noted in the “Republican Voter” alone filter – Jeb Bush has better numbers.

Via Ipsos/Reuters – […] Donald Trump continues to lead among Republicans at 36% nationwide among all self-identified Republicans.

• Ben Carson has re-established position in second with 17% of Republicans.
• Jeb Bush has also climbed slightly, now tied with Ted Cruz in third.

(more…)

Op-Hummingbird was only modestly successful in attaining the GOPe objective. However, a set of similar media/political metrics we follow outlines a modified approach. More on that later…

Today two independently gathered polls reveal an almost identical result.  WBUR and Fox News each conducted a poll in New Hampshire (both pdf’s below).  Both polls show Donald Trump extending his lead in the state, and both polls show support for Ben Carson collapsing, or at least retracting significantly.

(Via Fox) Donald Trump leads the race for the Republican nomination in New Hampshire, while Bernie Sanders edges Hillary Clinton among Democrats.

That’s according to the latest Fox News poll, released Wednesday, and conducted since Friday’s terrorist attacks in Paris. (more…)

Arguably the battleground state of Florida is where the primary will be won or lost in March of  2016.   The 100 winner-take-all delegates are the key prize toward primary victory on the GOP side of the presidential race.

The latest poll (full pdf below) from Florida shows Donald Trump growing his lead from September over home state competitors Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush.  Several of the internal metrics are interesting, including Trump being the only candidate to extend a lead over Clinton since Joe Biden is removed.  Head-to-Head Trump beats Clinton 49 to 40:

Other interesting notes: ♦ Rand Paul shows remarkable support from African American voters in Florida. ♦ Carly Fiorina has completely collapsed. ♦ Chris Christie’s earlier support is also gone.  ♦ Ben Carson remains third. (more…)

Regardless of who you support in the 2016 Presidential primary race, most will admit there’s one strategic advantage held by Donald Trump over all other candidates – Trump’s willingness to “own the downside“.

All policies and proposals have a “downside“, there’s no such thing as a policy proposal with benefit to all and harm to none.   This empirical truth is toxic to professional politicians – therefore they spend an inordinate amount of time using pretzel logic to avoid it.

As a direct consequence of avoidance, the media love to use the downside as a weapon.  For the first time in recent political memory Donald Trump represents a candidacy who is unafraid of their spear; and as a consequence, immune to the damage. (more…)

A recent poll from UMass (full pdf below) shows Donald Trump and Ben Carson clearly in the lead.  However, the real highlight is how low Jeb Bush polls.

AMHERST, Mass. – Donald Trump and Ben Carson have a dominating lead over the rest of the field of Republican presidential candidates, and should either of them drop out of the primary race the other stands to benefit the most, according to a new UMass Poll released today by the University of Massachusetts Amherst.

Overall, Trump leads the Republican field with 31 percent of likely Republican voters listing him as their first choice, based on a nationwide online survey of 318 likely Republican primary voters conducted by YouGov America under the direction of the UMass Poll from Nov. 5-13. Carson comes in second at 22 percent, followed by Senators Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio at 13 percent and 9 percent, respectively. No other candidate was able to garner 5 percent support. (more…)

Four months prior to announcing a presidential bid Donald Trump gave an interview to McLatchyDC News. Here’s a video segment from their interview.

The Print Article Is HERE

The currently considered TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership) trade deal has the potential to be the fulcrum under every plank in the 2016 presidential election.    Many people view immigration as the #1 concern underlying further economic issues – however, few people recognize that immigration is actually part of the TPP construct.

Globalists, via Wall Street international financiers, are determined to get TPP passed into law.  Few of the GOP candidates stand in the way; Donald Trump is the primary roadblock to the current globalist goals.

“Either we have a country, or we do not – it really is that simple”  ~ Donald J. Trump

MILWAUKEE, Wisconsin — GOP frontrunner Donald Trump is releasing his policy plan to protect American workers and businesses from China’s destructive currency manipulation and financial policies.

The move hints he’s planning to come out guns-a-blazing on trade policies at the Fox Business Network debate here in Milwaukee on Tuesday evening. (more…)