Two simultaneously conducted polls within Iowa show candidate Donald Trump back on top with Ted Cruz running a close second.

Quinnipiac polling (full pdf below) shows Trump leading 31 to 29. The American Research Group (poll here) shows Trump leading Cruz 29 to 25. Both polls show both candidates closely spaced within the polling margin of error.  The only other candidate with a reasonable chance appears to be Marco Rubio who holds 15% (Q-Pac) and 10% (ARG).

It is safe to say that Iowa is a two-man race between Ted Cruz and Donald Trump, with Marco Rubio holding a solid, but distant, third place position.  Jeb Bush and the rest of the candidates are down in low single digits in both polls. (more…)

Earlier today candidate Donald Trump held a rally and took questions from the audience in New Hampshire:

Pollster Patrick Murray (yeah, I know) from Monmouth University polling has a new poll of New Hampshire voters (full pdf below).  Normally, given Murray’s extremely biased track record, Murray polls are ‘grain-of-salt’ reviews; however, this one does factually line-up with two prior recent New Hampshire polls.

Beyond the dominating top line figure of Trump at 32%, it’s worth noting the position of Kasich (14%).  All of those millions expended appear to be paying off.  However, unlike the last NH poll showing Bush also benefited, this time Bush is back to 4%.

The shift-shaping is all happening in a statistical distance far away from frontrunner Donald Trump, who continues to add to an already considerable lead.

Well behind Trump, Kasich, Cruz, Rubio, Christie and Bush are grabbing poll numbers like lotto balls in the dancing air machine.  Here’s the historical look: (more…)

Part 2 – The professional political class continue to say candidate Donald J Trump is not conservative enough on his positions.  Various voices proclaim ownership of some arbitrary defining litmus test – that apparently moves depending on the definition of the person making the proclamation.

… so let’s cut through the BS and take a look at the issues.

Part 1 reviewed the Trump Policies on: ♦ Immigration ♦ The Second Amendment ♦ Taxes ♦ Trade ♦ Energy Policy ♦ Education ♦ Military and ♦ Foreign Policy

So we continue exploring the Trump Doctrine with:

♦ Healthcare Policy – While Donald Trump has not laid out a formal Healthcare policy we are able to assemble the outline with a review of his 2015 verbal comments and proposals (interviews) regarding ObamaCare and Health Care Reform.

Candidate Trump has committed to a full repeal of ObamaCare with a replacement policy proposal consisting of patient-centered, market-based reform.   Trump has outlined a desire to remove the state regulatory barriers on healthcare insurance exchanges allowing insurance companies to present an insurance product across state lines, a market-based approach.  (more…)

(Via Breitbart – Julia Hahn) […]  Schlafly, born in St. Louis, Missouri in 1924, has been active in politics for more than one-quarter of all American history. She helped launch the conservative movement, create the pro-family agenda, and has led the fight against open borders trade and immigration policies. Thus, Schlafly’s proclamation to Breitbart News that front-runner Trump “represents everything the grassroots want” is certain to reverberate across the 2016 electorate.

“Trump is the only hope to defeat the Kingmakers,” Schlafly told Breitbart resolutely. “Because everybody else will fall in line. The Kingmakers have so much money behind them.”  Read more

PART I – The professional political class continue to say candidate Donald J Trump is not conservative enough on his positions.  Various voices proclaim ownership of some arbitrary defining litmus test – that apparently moves depending on the definition of the person making the proclamation.

… so let’s cut through the BS and take a look at the issues.

♦ On Immigration – Donald Trump is the originator of the entire immigration debate platform.  His position is outlined HERE, and is the ONLY candidate who proposed to build a wall, deport those who are here illegally, and use existing law to ensure enforcement mechanisms are deployed to stop illegal influx.

Including a critical proposal to use federal banking and money services regulations (wire transfer rules to Mexico) to aid in creating an incentive to become compliant with immigration law.

Trump has proposed removing executive restrictions on deportation through ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) officers, allowing immediate deportation for undocumented illegal aliens.   The media call this “the deportation force”. (more…)

Candidate Donald Trump is holding a campaign rally today in Reno Nevada at the Reno Events Center at 1:00 PM PST / 4:00pm EST

Live Stream #1 – Live Stream Link #2 – Live Stream Link #3

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Donald Trump appeared with on Meet the Press for an interview with Chuck Todd. The interview was taped between campaign stops in Iowa:

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A very interesting New Hampshire poll conducted by Reach Communications (full pdf and graph analysis below) for NH1 News, shows Donald Trump with a commanding lead overall 31.7%, and a MASSIVE lead among women voters, 40%.

The Poll is a strong sample size of 1,000 Republicans and Independents, and shows second place belongs to Jeb Bush (11.9%), who is slightly ahead of third place Kasich (11.8%) and followed by Chris Christie (11%):

Looking at the internals below you can see how Donald Trump leads with all sub-categories of voter: Republican and Independents, Men and Women.  However, Trump really extends his overall lead margins with women.

(more…)

A recent article in U.S. News and World Report highlights a profound republican party irony and simultaneous hypocrisy.

On the heels of a devastating defeat of John McCain 2008, and immediately following the disastrous defeat of Mitt Romney in 2012, the power-structures within the Republican party decided to do a complete “GOP Autopsy” and figure out what they could do to start winning presidential elections again. They called it “The Growth and Opportunity Project”.

The officials (co-chairs) in charge of conducting the autopsy were: Ari Fleischer, a former press secretary to President George W. Bush; Henry Barbour, an RNC member from Mississippi; Zori Fonalledas, an RNC member from Puerto Rico; Glenn McCall, an RNC member from South Carolina; and Sally Bradshaw, a political strategist from Florida.

You would think their resulting 2013  100 page report with recommendations like: (more…)