Tropical Storm Isaias is forecast to track northeastward and quickly ramp up to a hurricane while over the central Gulf in the next several hours. Landfall along the central Gulf Coast is expected Friday night or Saturday morning as a strong Category 2 storm. Residents in the FL panhandle, MS, LA and AL should pay attention to local forecasts.
A hurricane watch is in effect from Bay St. Louis, Mississippi, to Indian Pass, Florida. A storm surge watch is in effect from the mouth of the Mississippi River in Louisiana to Yankeetown, Florida. {Nat Hurricane Center} Those in the forecast areas are strongly advised to pay close attention to local officials and heed all evacuation orders.
[SOURCE]
Check your hurricane supplies of shelf-stable food, water, medicine and don’t forget pets. Prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Everything is replaceable, except you and your family. We have a lot of Treepers in the path of this storm. If you need assistance, use the comments section of any ‘Isaias Update thread’ to reach out, or use the email address in the upper right of the site.
Right now, you are in control. Have a solid plan, work that plan – stay busy, and don’t get caught up in the hysteria. Try to avoid national media hype. Stay updated via your local news stations. Friday morning looks like the key day impact zones will be identified. Reach out to your neighbors; touch-base and check to see if they are okay or need anything. Community restoration begins before the storm arrives. Look out for each-other.
Remember the inland lessons in Tennessee and Western North Carolina from Hurricane Helene. Regarding any evacuation plan, please pay attention to your local officials who will be coordinating with state Dept. of Transportation. As the path and impact zone of the storm becomes more predictable your local officials will alert to best route(s) for evacuation.
For those in the cone of uncertainty; remember, planning and proactive measures taken now can significantly reduce stress in the days ahead. Plan when to make the best decision on any evacuation (if needed) consider Friday morning the decision timeframe. As a general rule: take cover from wind – but evacuate away from water.
DAY ONE (Wednesday)
- Determine Your Risk
- Make a Written Plan
- Develop and Evacuation Plan
- Inventory hurricane/storm supplies.
- Withdraw cash based on plan/need.
- Get gas and storm supplies
DAY TWO (Thursday)
- Get Storm Update
- Assemble and Purchase Hurricane Supplies
- Contact Insurance Company – Updates
- Secure Important Papers.
- Update/upload your phone data.
- Strengthen and Secure Your Home
- Discuss Evacuation Decision with your Family.
- Fill freezer with 3/4 full water jugs.
DAY THREE (Friday)
- Get Storm Update
- Re-Evaluate your Supplies based on storm update
- Finish last minute preparation
- Plan for a minimum of THREE DAYS without power
- Assist Your Neighbors
- If Needed – Evacuate Your Family
.
Communication is important. Update your friends and family contact list. Stay in touch with family and friends, let them know your plans. Select a single point of contact for communication from you that all others can then contact for updates if needed.
Today/tomorrow are good days to organize your important papers, insurance forms, personal papers and place them in one ‘ready-to-go’ location.
Evaluate your personal hurricane and storm supplies; update and replace anything you might have used. Assess, modify and/or update any possible evacuation plans based on your location, and/or any changes to your family status. Fill car with gasoline. Review prescriptions, refill if needed.
Check your shutters and window coverings; test your generator; re-organize and familiarize yourself with all of your supplies and hardware. Check batteries in portable tools; locate tools you might need; walk your property to consider what you may need to do based on the storms path. All decisions are yours. You are in control.
Consider travel plans based on roads and traffic density. Being proactive now helps to keep any future stress level low. You are in control. If you have pets, additional plans may be needed.
One possible proactive measure is to make a hotel reservation further inland that you would consider evacuating to. Follow updates of the storms’ progress; make reservations tonight or tomorrow if determined; you can always cancel if not needed. It is better to have a secondary evacuation place established in advance. Being proactive reduces stress. Even if you wait until much later to cancel, it is better to pay a cancellation fee (usually one night charge) than to not have a plan on where to go. Trust me, it’s worth it. Protect your family. Make the booking decision in the next 36 hrs.
♦ Look over the National Hurricane Center resources for planning assistance.
♦ Also a great resource – CREATE A PLAN
Most of you know I personally have a great deal of experience with Hurricanes and the aftermath therein. So, here’s a whole bunch of information from my personal experience with Ian. Consider it an information buffet, take what is pertinent to your situation, disregard what is not.
The ‘context’ of Ian was shared previously {Go Deep}. What follows below are things to consider if you are prepping for a hurricane impact and/or deciding whether to stay in your home or evacuate. Standard hurricane preparations should always be followed. Protect your family, secure your property and belongings, and prepare for the aftermath.
What you do before the hurricane hits is going to determine where you are in the recovery phase.
Additionally, and this should be emphasized and discussed within your family, if you cannot be self-sufficient in the aftermath – for any reason, then you should evacuate.
Self-sufficiency in this context requires being able to cope for up to several weeks:
(1) potentially without power; (2) potentially without potable running water (3) potentially without internet service; (4) potentially without communication outside the region; and (5) with limited municipal and private sector assistance. If you decide you cannot deal with these outcomes, you should evacuate.
Additionally, as a family or individual, you should also honestly evaluate:
(1) your physical abilities; (2) your emotional and psychological ability to withstand extreme pressures; and (3) your comfort in losing daily routines, familiar schedules and often overlooked things you might take for granted.
Post hurricane recovery is fraught with stress, frustration and unforeseeable challenges.
I saw a video presented by a structural engineer who was sharing his experience with Hurricane Ian. I am going to use his video for a few references because even with professional credentials, some of the common mistakes people make are highlighted in his experience. Keep in mind his video is taken about 30 miles inland from where the majority impact area (coastal region) is located.
The video below was shot from the soft side (western side) of the storm, and if we were to scale the difference between his experience and a person who was located in/around Fort Myers Beach, Sanibel, Pine Island or Cape Coral, he would be around a “5” on a ten-point impact scale.
Meaning the severity of conditions 30 miles southeast of him was twice as severe as his inland experience.
Key Points – At the 21: 35 moment (prompted), notice how his #2 vehicle is parked outside. Also, at the 22:00 minute moment, notice what he is describing and showing with his garage door and how his #1 vehicle (a pickup truck) is positioned inside the garage. WATCH:
.
♦ This is exactly what I was talking about in hurricane preparation when discussing the garage door. If that videographer was located 30 miles southeast, and/or his house was positioned facing West, instead of North, his garage door would have failed. If you lose the garage door, YOU COULD LOSE YOUR ROOF.
You can always tell those people who have been through direct hurricane impacts by how they parked their cars. I have never included this in the hurricane advice before so it’s worth a mention. If you lose your Florida garage door you will more than likely lose your roof. That’s just the reality of having a massive opening in your structure to 150 mph winds that will lift the trusses.
If you have two vehicles, put one vehicle inside the garage with the front bumper against the door to help stop the flex (do this carefully). Put the other vehicle outside blocking the garage door facing down the driveway or facing parallel to the garage. The goal is to use the aero dynamics of the car to push the wind away from the door and provide protection.
Purchase a cheap car cover to protect the outside vehicle and/or use old blankets (cable ties, bungee cords) to stop the outside vehicle from getting sandblasted and destroyed. Place double folded corrugated cardboard in front of the radiator to protect it from storm debris.
Additionally, if you live in a flood zone, or if you are concerned about storm surge, the day before impact take your #1 car to the nearest airport or hotel with a parking garage and park in the upper levels. Take an uber back home if you don’t have a friend or partner to help you. This way you know you will have one workable vehicle, just in case.
♦ Another lesson from Ian, if you drive an electric vehicle and sustain saltwater intrusion (of any level) your car is not safe. Saltwater makes the vehicle batteries extremely dangerous, and they could spark or catch fire. Multiple homes survived Hurricane Ian only to have the electric car catch fire in the garage and burn the house to the ground. Hurricane rain is saltwater rain. The fire department was begging people to put their ev’s outside and not to plug them in. Dozens of ev’s also erupted in flames while driving down the streets after the storm.
Back to the video above…
♦ Notice at 24:30 of the video this professional structural engineer is standing and physically supporting his glass patio doors, with his wife, trying to keep them from breaking in due to wind and pressure changes. DO NOT DO THIS ! That is beyond dangerous. Any small item of debris (even a small twig or branch) could hit that window and shatter it, turning flying glass into instant flying blades.
Put 3/4-inch plywood or steel bolted hurricane shutters over all your windows and doors. Period. This is not an option. My steel bolted hurricane shutters were hit with debris so hard – whatever it was physically dented the steel. Every window and door need to be covered and protected, especially glass patio doors (even if tempered). Do not think you can stand there and protect glass doors. It’s beyond dangerous.
♦ Hardening your home is a matter of careful thought and physical work. However, every opening into your structure must be protected, leaving yourself with one small exit opportunity just in case. Hopefully you have a bolted door with no glass windows you can use as an emergency exit. If not, select a small window and leave only enough room uncovered for you to get out in case of emergency or structural collapse.
Beyond the ordinary supplies like drinking water, batteries, flashlights, battery or hand-crank radio, generators, gasoline, etc. Evaluate the scale of what you have against the likelihood of weeks without power or water. A few pro tips below:
♦ Put three 30-gallon trash cans in the shower and fill them with water before the storm. This will give you 90 gallons of water for cooking and personal hygiene. You will also need water to manually flush your toilets. Bottled water is great for drinking, hydrating and toothbrushing, but you will need much more potable water if the municipal supply is compromised or broken.
♦ A standard 6,500-to-8,500-watt generator will run for approximately 8 hours on five gallons of gasoline. Do not run it all the time. Turn it on, chill the fridge, make coffee, use the microwave or charge stuff, then turn it off. Do this in 4-hour shifts and the fridge will be ok and your gasoline will last longer. Gasoline is a scarce and rare commodity in the aftermath of a hurricane. Gas stations don’t work without power. Check the oil in the generator every few days. Also, have a can of quick start or butane available in case the generator starts acting up.
♦ Extension cords. If you are purchasing them buy at least one 100 to 150′ extension cord with a triple ponytail. This way you can use one cord into a central location to charge up your electronic devices. Establish a central recharging station for phones, pads, laptops, and rechargeable stuff.
♦ Purchase a box of “contractor garbage bags” and just keep them in the garage. These are large, thick, industrial trash bags that fit 40-gallon drums. They can be used for trash, or even cut open for tarps in the aftermath of a storm. These thick mil contractor bags have multiple uses following a hurricane.
♦ Do all of your laundry before the hurricane hits. You will likely not have the ability again for a few weeks.
♦ Cook a week’s worth of meals in advance of the hurricane. Store in fridge so you can microwave for a meal. Eating a constant diet of sandwiches gets old after the first week. Dinty Moore canned beef stew and or Chef-boy-ardee raviolis can make a nice break…. anything, except another sandwich.
♦ Have bleach for use in disinfecting stuff before and after a hurricane. Also have antibiotics and antiseptics for use. Hygiene and not getting simple infections after a hurricane is critical and often forgotten. Again, this is where the extra potable water becomes important. Simple cuts and scrapes become big deals when clean potable water is not regularly available. Keep your scrapes and abrasions clean and use antiseptic creams immediately.
♦ Do not forget sunscreen and things to relieve muscle aches and pains. Hurricane recovery involves physical effort. You will be sore and/or exposed to the elements. Remember, it’s all about self-sufficiency because the normal services are not available. A well-equipped first aid kit is a must have.
♦ Buy a small camping stove. Nothing big or expensive, just something you can cook on outside in case of emergency. It will be a luxury when you are 2+ weeks without power and all the stores and restaurants are closed for miles.
♦ Those small flashlights that you can strap around your head that take a few AAA batteries? Yup, GOLD. Those types of handsfree flashlights are lifesavers inside and outside when you need to see your way around. Nighttime is especially dark without electricity in the entire town. Doing stuff like filling a generator with gasoline in the middle of the night is much easier with one of those head strap flashlights. Strongly advise getting a few, they’re inexpensive too.
♦ Cash. You will need it. Without power anything you may need to purchase will require cash, especially gasoline. Additionally, anyone you hire to help or support your immediate efforts will need to be paid. Cash is critical. How much, depends on your individual situation, but your cash burn rate will likely go into the thousands in the first few days. Also keep in mind, you may or may not be able to work and without internet access even getting funds into place could be challenging.
♦ Hardware. A box of self-tapping sheet metal screws (short and long) is important, along with a box or two of various wood screws or Tyvex screws. A battery drill or screw gun is another necessity. Check all of this stuff during hurricane prep.
♦ ADD. I forget my #1 personal nemesis in the aftermath (pictured below):
Roofing nails. The pesky roofing nails. Thousands of em’, all over. Those buggers are everywhere, and they will go through a flip-flop, sneaker sole or car tire perfectly. Most of them are black (not yellow) like the ones above. Some of them have squared-off flat tops to help them stand up just perfect to find your tires.
I happen to believe roofing nails are actually tire magnets with some sort of automatic triggering system to jump in front of your car at the worst possible moments. On the positive side, I think my neighborhood is safe because my tires pick up every one of em’. LOL and Grrrr…
I hope this is useful.
Love to all,
~ Sundance
I could never imagine having to say “don’t forget pets” and I don’t think it would apply to this family at CTH but the fact that it’s even a “thing” is shocking. The world has changed so much. Ugh!!! Stay safe Panhandlers! Pun intended
To all that might be in the path, Prayers for you and your family(ies). Stay safe!
It’s not that bad really.
Okay…. I was in hurricane Andrew….The houses that looked like tooth.picks were actually, built with toothpics. Ivan…. I live in Pensacola now, big Oak trees were the biggest problem. The area is full of them.Sally… miscalculated but doable. We were okay. Now the full blown, OMG it’s a real hurricane, is getting on my nerves. I’ve worked in the grocery business and know…. It’s all a Get to the store and buy stuff. Home depot…same thing. STOP with the OMG it’s A HURRICANE!!!!
A Tornado, well that’s luck of the draw
Yes. During Hurricane IAN, the tornados that spin off ahead of the storm actually did more damage to my house than the hurricane winds. I saw a tornado rip off my outside air conditioning compressor. It spun it up into to the air out of sight. Never did find the unit. It’s most likely out in the everglades somewhere.
this was true for Inilki, Andrew, rita, katrina, laura and delta. and countless others.
most people unaffected don’t understand this phenomena. that micro burst tornadoes that run counter to the hurricane force wind (multiplying the destruction as two wind forces running opposite force can go much much higher in wind damage than the classical hurricane force winds).
Laura and Delta was a text book case in this. We had a 110 mile range of micro burst tornadoes that occured in a 7 hour period over a large fetch far inland. The destructive evidence was obvious. 40 meters apart, trees laid down sideways from 160 MPH winds and the other 40 meters trees, homes and even buried foundations ripped completely asunder in completely different headings.
I notices this first hand with Iniki (kauai 1992) You could see entire sections of mountain ranges ripped apart and volcanic rock exposed down to 30-60 meters, that had not seen daylight in hundreds of thousands of years. That is micro burst tornado phenomena that can occur inside the hurricane eye wall as well as the hurricane proceeding front. To a lessor degree, the trailing eye wall. This amplifies the power of the two wind forces that are now moving in two different directions. It would take collecting evidence and then a Japanese researcher to reproduce the dynamics to understand how this kind of damage could happen in a “hurricane”
Iniki at it’s peak over Kauai, Based on military explosive arc science, in just one hour, produced the same amount of energy of 49 Hiroshima blasts. And for reference, the blast of Hiroshima was a thermal and explosive arc that spent most of that energy in just 9 minutes. In one hour Iniki did that 48 times over an area that was more or less about 15 times greater than the blast radius of Hiro.
hurricanes’ are no joke. As far as earth threats go, hurricanes are at the top of risk factors that we have to live with..and survive with smart planning and not getting complacent because last year it was all a nothing burger.
God Bless America
Wow
My guess….next year gonna be rough.
Andrew was a compact CAT V hurricane with 166 mph wind speeds recorded over Florida. Imagine higher end EF-3 or low end EF-4 tornado winds spread over and area 20 miles wide. It doesn’t sound to me like you took a direct hit. Certainly not something to make fun of.
I was There. If your house wasn’t built correctly, well shit happens.
There are no architectural shingle made to withstand anything over a acat4 and between decades of houses being exposed to saltwater and termite damage it doesnt take much.
Not to mention storm surges with this storm expecting to be 5-7ft because of the New Moon.
Anything Cat 2 or above is not to be tripled with, IMO.
I read that Andrew ripped the anemometer(s) off the roof of the weather service hurricane bunker in FL. So the actual winds most likely exceeded 166 mph. IDK if wind alone or debris carried by the wind took out the equipment.
this also happened in a naval anemometer mounted atop the largest range of mountain. Not only snapped, but twisted into many pieces, an engineered device made of the toughest material titanium. That was the sign that something else had happened that was not attributed to hurricane force winds, not even a 190 MPH wind could be explained as the cause. It would take about 5 years after (Iniki was a cat 5 in 1992, same year as Andrew in Florida, but forgotten in the moment and in time, because the media was focused its attention on CONUS Florida and not the far way, 50th state). We would learn later from a researcher from Japan who would recreate the kinds of forces required to dematerialize the titanium anemometer and also the odd evidence of damage that could not have happened solely from a 190 wind force. This researcher was able to reproduce the tornadoes/hurricane phenomena that could reach up to 300-400 MPH momentary wind effects in a zone no more wide than 40-60 meters. One might reach the conclusion this would be a unique on off case. But Laura and Delta in 2020 would prove it’s not that rare. Most people don’t understand the totality of the power and threats of hurricanes. They think in terms of category according to the long metric of saffir-simpson evaluation/prediction. That is usually a good way to judge what wind speeds and damage impact will be. But it is certainly not the entire story.
God Bless America
“the tornadoes/hurricane phenomena that could reach up to 300-400 MPH momentary wind effects in a zone no more wide than 40-60 meters.”
I do recall that there was significant evidence of those mini-tornados after Andrew in various locations.
Hide from the Wind, run from the water.
please stop. One persons’ experience, while true and honest, is another person’s nightmare.
I’ve been survived 29 hurricanes in my lifetime and countless tropical storms and flooding and wind damage. The one thing I’ve noticed over 40 years *US COAST GUARD* is that the people most harmed disregarded the threats. it’s not just one thing. It’s the combination of factors.
Right now, in my location the severity of the predicted wind speed could be up to 100 MPH. Some people tend to think of it only in those terms and fail to understand that almost all power providers will intentionally shut downt the power grid well before that wind speed happens. And then they don’t know what to do…where to go…how to eat, where to find water and food, where to fuel.
so please stop. Severe weather is a thing. We have some of the best most reliable weather prediction models than ever before. Yes, sometimes it turns into a nothing burger. it’s not a perfect science. But we should never just put our head in the sand because the few times it never happened. In fact it does happen and this is why we respond with planning and how to mitigate the consequences…
God Bless America
I will gladly repay you next Tuesday for a nothing burger today! God bless and protect those of you in the path of this storm. Eastern Tennessee and western North Carolina certainly do not need another devastating storm. I’ve seen first had the destruction there from two years ago. Those people are still trying to pick up the pieces and get on with their lives.
Better to be safe than sorry.
Per Ryan Hall, Out 1,000 model runs last night, something like 687 showed Isaias becoming a major (CAT 3) hurricane. This is not to say it will be a major when it comes ashore because it is forecast to be hit by severed wind shear as it move north. Anyway it is almost certain the continental US will see its first impact from an Atlantic Basin hurricane this year.
its also important that hurricane models has been improved over time due to advances in sensing equipment. In the last ten years or more we’ve been able to use prior limited empirical data and then run what is basically a Monte Carlo probability iteration using parkinsons’ drift methods (or others, drawing attention to namely how the Russians do hurricane and storm prediction models…which have been far more accurate against noaa and euro science model! WHO KNEW ? (me)
we would qualify these a simply “spaghetti models” based on how they appear when made into a chart.
Now with advances in AI, machine learning and far more robust almost real time processing of thousands upons thousands of satellite, ocean monitoring buoys, maritime on scene reporting data, and DRONES, we have far more data points and data processing centers that can produce very accurate dynamic models that get updates each minute. This has produced a significant progress that prior systems were simply unable to collect and analyse.
Isaias will be the first tropical storm/hurricane upon which this new technology will be demonstrated.
If “we” get this right, even better would be a better way to phrase it, then there is very real possibility that lives are saved and commerce can move continue and not be quartered in the way that has happened in the past.
I’m old school. regardless of what the latest tech may indicate, I treat all severe storms as serious and I make real plans . That is experience and I’ll never be moved by some enchantment that science can predict outcomes. Stuff happens.
God Bless America
Y’All Squad Is Livestreaming Now:
Eyes Right…
https://bitchat.free/ might come in handy if your cell towers and internet goes down.
It turns your phones into bluetooth walkie-talkies, and can use burner phones as repeaters.
Oops, I dont think it ha voice yet, just messaging.
Excellent advice as always. I would add… cheap solar path lights. Charge outside during the day and bring inside at night.
You can get plastic mayo jars and fill them with sand or dirt (for weight) and set the stick of the solar light down in them, kind of like a candle holder; they won’t tip over and they’re easy to carry around.
0.o
I bought some of those fancy lightbulbs that work during a power outage.
May get to use them.
Got dog food and booze.
Went to the library.
I’m up too high to flood.
Made it through Camille, Frederick, Katrina, etc.
Long as my road doesn’t wash away, I’m good.
Y’all be safe.
After 25 years in Florida I’d never thought about being in the eye of a hurricane was on my bucket list. I was in Milton 16 miles inshore. Very frightening. I’ve put up my shutters 4 times. Because we prepared.
Jim Cantore was spotted at the Pensacola Airport today……just sayin’!
Oh Lord. See what I’m saying? It’s all Show.
For reals?
0.o
I miss Jill Brown and Kristina Abernathy.
Our friends from Sanibel were in Ohio when Ian hit, lost home, took insurance almost 2 years to rebuild. Thank God they were not hurt physically…but the stress was.
I lived thru hurricane IAN. Devatating. A few tips: 1) If you are lucky enough to park your car in a garage, back the car up until the bumper just touches the door and holds it shut. 2) Fill some gallon milk bottles with water and freeze them before the storm. When the power goes out they will keep your fridge cold for a couple of days. Also, the melting water will give you drinking water.
Ryan Hall Yall does great live coverage of weather events.
He’s easy to find on yt and Twatter.
If you’re in Alabama you already know about James Spann, he was the weatherman for 33/40 out of Birmingham for years.
He’s got a yt channel and is on the Twatter; only thing is – he takes time out of his live coverage on Twatter to argue with people about how there’s no such thing as weather manipulation.
Here’s a link to his yt
0.o
Reed Timmer is a storm Chaser who does excellent live coverage and he has some mean storm chasing machines.
If Reed’s in town, you’re in trouble.
Check this out – Reed got his Dominator F150 stuck in a high tide during a tornado chase and had to get a tractor to pull it out of the sand:
Reed came by close to my place one time years ago; we were hunkered down!
0.o
“there’s no such thing as weather manipulation”
I guess all those patents then are just because people do not have anything better to do than spend time and $$$ getting patents so they can “pad their obituary notices” with them….
Some of those weather guys are militant when it comes to denial.
That Max Velocity kid, worst one ever.
One day there was some sort of widespread multiple tornado event and instead of reporting he went off like a rocket yelling and calling his subscribers who were talking about weather modification/manipulation “stupid” and “crazy” and “conspiracy theorists” and other derogatory names.
Last time I ever watched that clown again.
0.o
Mike’s Weather Page is a good guy to follow on the internet or Facebook.
Here’s an update from Ryan Hall that he pubbed out a little while ago.
Ryan got himself some new snap on teeth, that’s why he looks different.
0.o
As a resident of New Orleans, I always appreciate this article from Sundance.
I dont like the fact that it has to be posted today, because the folks in the panhandle and Big Bend areas are going to be staring down this storm.
As someone who has been through 4 majors storms and several “tropicals”. The knowledge put forth is absolutely spot on, ALL OF IT.
The only thing I will add is that I keep 6 cases of the Mountain House freeze dried food bags and 2 cases of water(rotate every 3 months) in our closet.
Sandwiches get old, and being able to heat up water on a camping stove and eating something different is a nice change of pace.
For those of us along the Gulf Coast, hurricane preps are a constant evolution. I added a Dewalt, battery powered chain saw this year and a solar battery that runs my fridge for about 12 hours straight…I dont need it to run for that long, but nice to know it will.
Good luck to everyone on the Northern Gulf Coast the next 72+ hours.
Camp stove….20#to 1# adapter….crawfish pot or large pot for bathing water….large stash of utility water plus clean storage of potable water….the list is long…pet food…medications….clean and dry clothes…..batteries and re-charge…
Evacuation sucks….no other way to put it.
“I dont need it to run for that long, but nice to know it will.”
After natural calamities, you do not know how long it will take for your situation to be resolved, I was without utility power for 12 days after this event:
https://www.wivb.com/weather-news/next-week-marks-20-years-since-the-october-surprise/
“BUFFALO, N.Y. (WIVB) — Next week marks 20 years since on of Western New York’s most memorable winter events – the October Surprise Storm of 2006.
On the evening of Oct. 12, 2006, 20 inches of heavy, wet snow fell on the region, bringing down trees – which knocked down power lines. Thousands of people woke up the next morning without power, many not getting it back for several days. Tens of thousands of trees were damaged or destroyed from the storm. Many schools were closed for at least a week…”
Outstanding post with great advice. Nothing to add. Just want to say thanks to SD for another great post.
We in virginia are looking at another possible Helene situation, still haven’t found some of the family coffins from the graveyard washout
Hey ammy bammy….gas up the truck and fill up the gas cans and propane bottles…from SETX…been there done that….prayers….
We rented a beach house on Dauphin Island years ago. It will be swept clean if they are right about track, strength, and storm surge. I know a lot of people are in danger but please remember them as well. I can’t see that island faring well during this.
Hard boiled eggs last a long time- even without refrigeration- and are such a filling snack ( or meal, as the case may be).
I fill the bathtub with water for flushing toilets, etc.
This storm is projected to go directly through Tuscaloosa, Alabama on Saturday afternoon, right before the big Georgia vs. Alabama game starts.
Trump stated he was planning on attending the big game on Saturday. I hope he decides it’s not worth the risk due to the ominous weather forecast.
The SEC is in a pickle, as the game is undoubtably projected to be one of the most watched games of the entire season. If the storm continues as projected, it could be endangering a lot of people that are planning to attend the game.
If Georgia’s stadium is available, maybe the game could be played there instead. IIRC, similar arrangements were made for such a game several years ago.
Not perfect. No good for the hospitality industry in Bama, but the game could be played.
Just thinking.
There’s been talk for several hours about maybe moving the game or cancelling/rescheduling it.
0.o
Always be prepared. Getting stuff right before a storm is a hit and miss.
I went through Super typhoon Haiyan. No power for many weeks. We were on our own. We made it because we were prepared ahead of time.
Thank you sir for the practical info which is so very useful in so many other disaster situations. Thank you for all your hard work in the past helping others recover. foundational values of America and the pioneer spirit that makes this country special.
Mouth of the Mississippi might such that storm in just like it has with so many more storms.
In the long term, I would suggest that people reading this get CERT training though your local Fire Department/Sheriff’s Office. You will become part of a response and meet good people.
And this, dear Treepers, is another reason that I 100% support our early voting period that is held under the same rules as election day voting.
Hurricanes happen. If a hurricane happens or is a credible threat, election day in Gulf Coast states could take a turnout hit. People will not put their evacuations or cleanups on hold in order to stand in lines at the polls.
The much anticipated “October Surprise”.
That was my guess, too.
At least one of no telling how many.
An earthquake would come as no surprise either.
0.o
It’s the ballot fraud.
No surprise.
Don’t forget that the oil companies evacuate & secure the offshore platforms. The Gulf is virtually shutdown during a hurricane. If you think gas is pricey now….
Never let a crisis go to waste.
gasoline $ dropping here
It’s mid October, and this will be the FIRST hurricane of the season in either the Atlantic or the Gulf.
The climate alarmists said back in tne Spring that we would have 6 or more, with 1-3 being “major”.
Not that I’m complaining they were wrong 😎
But I am happy that this storm is expected to dump some much needed rain here in Middle TN this weekend. Hopefully folks on the Gulf coast won’t get hit very hard.
Shhhh.
Season isn’t over yet…
O
Next year might not be so happy….La Nina can be the flipside…plus this winter has hardly begun…
Just upgraded to Hurricane Isaias. I’m in the yellow area of MS. Hopefully, I’ll just be getting some rain and wind. But AL & FL will be getting this worse of it. Everyone stay safe.
TY Sundance.
this hits home. again.
SEMPER PARATUS
God Bless America
noting: hurricanes and tropical storms often do produce serious problems, be it loss of power, scarcity of water and food, fuel and medical care.
I am working right now with many people in management who have never been in a serious weather threat. I am working out a contingency plan to give them a proactive plan that can be put into place right now. I am confident no matter what we will endure because we are smart and are not taking this threat casually.
God Bless America
Thank you, Sundance for the clear directions and inspiration.
Blessings to all.
This Most Welcome Information is Good
for Any Kind of Disaster , Hurricane or Other !
Thank You , Sundance , for Sharing Your Wealth
of Knowledge With Us !
I Truly Appreciate All That You Do 😊
Stay Safe Everyone !
And Sundance , maybe You could rig up
some kind of heavy duty magnets , one on each side
of Your front bumper ,
that would pick up those pesky roofing nails Before
they glommed onto Your tires 😜
GodSpeed
For those who have someone on an oxygen concentrator:
Review flow requirements and contact your med supplies provider to put in a stock of portable tanks. Tanks because your power may go out and even your fancy personal concentrator (Inogen, etc.) is worthless once you can’t recharge the dead batteries. Also, if your provider has something like an Oxymizer pendant, get one. & use instead of typical straight cannula. It’s inhale-triggered and will literally make a tank last 2x as long.
Prayers up for the vulnerable – remember to check on your nieghbors, relatives who might need help.
Those who are able, you know how to prep and use common sense.
I thinking of the “Cajun Navy”, good Samaritans who take their boats to help with rescues after a weather event.
LP tank is at 98% and the Kohler is on standby. We are expected to get severe thunderstorms off of this system. There is one remote track that brings it over south GA. My biggest worry is a tree being blown down on a car or the house.
I had a 99 F250 diesel that was 5 months old and a tree landed on it. Insurance payout had me replace it with a F150 5.4L. I don’t want to go through that hassle again.
Before Isaias hits, make sure you can open your garage door with a key, if your electricity goes out.
I love reading these every time. And I’m nowhere near this storm. 😂😂
Lots of jacked up trucks with tall tires along the Gulf states…most of which is ego….but we DO have a reason….floods…by whatever mechanism…and a sedan just ain’t gonna get it done.
SE TX here…been there done that….prayers…
I’ve been lucky
My sailboat was anchored out in Christiansted harbor USVI and while the boardwalk was destroyed boat didn’t get a scratch.
Then Ike hit Ohio and we had semi trailers flying hither and yon an electric was off for a week but really no big deal.
Ian drowned my Winnebago in Sw Fl
But no bodily harm for which I am thankful.
Current Winnebago in SW Fl looks safe as this moment.
😀
Winnebago anything is not the strongest of shelter under any conditions…plus they sit up a long time leading to mechanical issues….windy dot com is my best unsolicited advice to you.
Thanks, I’ll look up windy dot com. 🙂
Not living it it any more than the boat in a hooley. Uh wait I did that LOL!
Winnebago #1 was on concrete blocks tied down with 4″ ratchet straps and 6′ deep sand anchors. Everyone laughed at crazy Buckeye.
Ian came and most of the park was GONE but my bus ignored the drama. Three days late she was drowned by water roaring down the Peace river but survived the wind no prob.
Add to the list to ALWAYS take a last minute shower!
Don’t get caught up in the hysteria. True words spoken, for every day life. Thank you. So much has been lost with the old ways. Sad. Nowadays, hype, hyper everything has an excuse, an over exaggeration. We are in sad times. Appreciate your common sense. 360, always, assess,know, execute.
all speculation, just like gas prices
It would seem to me that if you are going to place a car in the garage up against the garage door it would work better if you had a larger block held in place with the car to increase the surface area. Start with a piece of plywood between the bumper and the garage door.
The pharmacy medication thing is a problem, it is very challenging to get refills more than 2-3 days out for some meds. The insurance will allow once a year for lost or emergency refills. The other day my insurance people told my pharmacy I didn’t exist, I won’t get started, it makes my BP go up.
Been down this rodeo more than once, and I also won’t get started on the prior authorization thing, awful to be in an emergency situation and have to wait on a prior authorization. I have learned to skip doses here and there so I have some on hand, but not everyone can or should do that for certain meds.