Information from the National Hurricane Center [DATA HERE] indicates currently slow-moving Tropical Storm Idalia will likely speed up quickly tomorrow and form a Hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday. The current cone of uncertainty puts the Northern and Western portion of Florida at greatest risk.
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Idalia was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 85.8 West. Idalia is moving toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h), and it is likely to meander near the Yucatan Channel through tonight. A faster motion toward the north is expected on Monday, bringing the system over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Idalia is expected to become a hurricane by Tuesday.
Idalia will come fast, most likely making landfall at a category 2 hurricane. Those in the cone of uncertainty should pay attention, and people in the Tampa and St Pete region who have really lucked out in the past 30 years, should pay very close attention.
I hope you will understand why my proactive tips, advice and planning have modified since our experience with the September 2022 Hurricane, Ian. {Go Deep} Thankfully Idalia is not expected to be anything similar to Ian. However, for those in the Tampa/St Pete area, do not be complacent. This is a large metropolitan area with a similar demographic to the impact zone of Ian.
In my last set of proactive suggestions, {GO DEEP HERE} I focused first and foremost on something few discuss, mental capability. Due to what I witnessed in Hurricane Ian with the people of the area, I am always going to put this into the analysis now to provide consideration that few understand. I saw Ian literally break strong people down and create a PTSD demographic I have never experienced before.
What follows below are things to consider if you are prepping for a hurricane impact and/or deciding whether to stay in your home or evacuate. Standard hurricane preparations should always be followed. Protect your family, secure your property and belongings, and prepare for the aftermath.
What you do before the hurricane hits is going to determine where you are in the recovery phase.
Additionally, and this should be emphasized and discussed within your family, if you cannot be self-sufficient in the aftermath – for any reason, then you should evacuate. Self-sufficiency in this context requires being able to cope for up to several weeks:
(1) potentially without power; (2) potentially without potable running water (3) potentially without internet service; (4) potentially without communication outside the region; and (5) with limited municipal and private sector assistance. If you decide you cannot deal with these outcomes, you should evacuate.
Additionally, as a family or individual, you should also honestly evaluate:
(1) your physical abilities; (2) your emotional and psychological ability to withstand extreme pressures; and (3) your comfort in losing daily routines, familiar schedules and often overlooked things you might take for granted.
Post hurricane recovery is fraught with stress, frustration and unforeseeable challenges. {GO DEEP}
For those in the cone of uncertainty, remember, planning and proactive measures taken now can significantly reduce stress in the days ahead. Plan when to make the best decision on any evacuation (if needed). For now, consider Tuesday night the decision timeframe. As a general rule: take cover from wind – but evacuate away from water.
DAY ONE (Today)
- Determine Your Risk
- Make a Written Plan
- Develop and Evacuation Plan
- Inventory hurricane/storm supplies.
DAY TWO (Monday)
- Get Storm Update
- Assemble and Purchase Hurricane Supplies
- Contact Insurance Company – Updates
- Secure Important Papers.
- Strengthen and Secure Your Home
- Make Evacuation Decision for your Family.
DAY THREE (Tuesday)
- Get Storm Update
- Re-Evaluate your Supplies based on storm update.
- Finish last minute preparation.
- Assist Your Neighbors
- If Needed – Evacuate Your Family
Communication is important. Update your contact list. Stay in touch with family and friends, let them know your plans. Select a single point of contact for communication from you that all others can then contact for updates if needed. Today/tomorrow are good days to organize your important papers, insurance forms, personal papers and place them in one ‘ready-to-go’ location.
Evaluate your personal hurricane and storm supplies; update and replace anything you might have used. Assess, modify and/or update any possible evacuation plans based on your location, and/or any changes to your family status.
Check your shutters and window coverings; test your generator; re-organize and familiarize yourself with all of your supplies and hardware. Check batteries in portable tools; locate tools you might need; walk your property to consider what you may need to do based on the storms path. All decisions are yours. You are in control.
Consider travel plans based on roads and traffic density. Being proactive now helps to keep any future stress level low. You are in control. If you have pets, additional plans may be needed.
One possible proactive measure is to make a list of hotels further inland that you would consider evacuating to. Make that list today and follow updates of the storms’ progress.
Depending on information tomorrow you might call in advance and make a reservation; you can always cancel if not needed. It is better to have a secondary evacuation place established in advance. Being proactive reduces stress. Even if you wait until much later to cancel, it is better to pay a cancellation fee (usually one night charge) than to not have a plan on where to go. Trust me, it’s worth it.
Protect your family. Make the list of possibilities today, make the booking decision in the next 24 hrs.
Look over the National Hurricane Center resources for planning assistance.
If you do not handle stress well, leave.
If you cannot be self-sufficient in the aftermath, leave.
If you choose to stay pay super close attention to the exact path of the storm. A few miles make a massive difference when you are dealing with the possibility of encountering the eyewall of a hurricane.
This is a fury of nature, a battle where the odds are against you, that you may or may not be aware you are contemplating when you are choosing to stay or evacuate. It’s not the hurricane per se’, it’s that much smaller killer buzzsaw – the eyewall- that you are rolling the dice, never to see.
When it comes to the eyewall, the truest measure of the “cone of uncertainty“, the difference between scared out of your mind (victim) and a fight to avoid death (survivor), is literally a matter of a few miles. And there ain’t no changing your mind once it starts.
♦ Hardening your home is a matter of careful thought and physical work. However, every opening into your structure must be protected, leaving yourself with one small exit opportunity just in case. Hopefully you have a bolted door with no glass windows you can use as an emergency exit. If not, select a small window and leave only enough room uncovered for you to get out in case of emergency or structural collapse.
Beyond the ordinary supplies like drinking water, batteries, flashlights, battery or hand-crank radio, generators, gasoline, etc. Evaluate the scale of what you have against the likelihood of weeks without power or water. A few pro tips below:
♦ Put three 30-gallon trash cans in the shower and fill them with water before the storm. This will give you 90 gallons of water for cooking and personal hygiene. You will also need water to manually flush your toilets. Bottled water is great for drinking, hydrating and toothbrushing, but you will need much more potable water if the municipal supply is compromised or broken.
♦ A standard 6,500-to-8,500-watt generator will run for approximately 8 hours on five gallons of gasoline. Do not run it all the time. Turn it on, chill the fridge, make coffee, use the microwave or charge stuff, then turn it off. Do this in 4-hour shifts and the fridge will be ok and your gasoline will last longer. Gasoline is a scarce and rare commodity in the aftermath of a hurricane. Gas stations don’t work without power. Check the oil in the generator every few days. Also, have a can of quick start or butane available in case the generator starts acting up.
♦ Extension cords. If you are purchasing them buy at least one 50 to 100′ extension cord with a triple ponytail. This way you can use one cord into a central location to charge up your electronic devices. Establish a central recharging station for phones, pads, laptops, and rechargeable stuff.
♦ Purchase a box of “contractor garbage bags” and just keep them in the garage. These are large, thick, industrial trash bags that fit 40-gallon drums. They can be used for trash, or even cut open for tarps in the aftermath of a storm. These thick mil contractor bags have multiple uses following a hurricane.
♦ Do all of your laundry before the hurricane hits. You will likely not have the ability again for a few weeks.
♦ Cook a week’s worth of meals in advance of the hurricane. Store in fridge so you can microwave for a meal. Eating a constant diet of sandwiches gets old after the first week. Dinty Moore canned beef stew and or Chef-boy-ardee raviolis can make a nice break…. anything, except another sandwich.
♦ Have bleach for use in disinfecting stuff before and after a hurricane. Also have antibiotics and antiseptics for use. Hygiene and not getting simple infections after a hurricane is critical and often forgotten. Again, this is where the extra potable water becomes important. Simple cuts and scrapes become big deals when clean potable water is not regularly available. Keep your scrapes and abrasions clean and use antiseptic creams immediately.
♦ Do not forget sunscreen and things to relieve muscle aches and pains. Hurricane recovery involves physical effort. You will be sore and/or exposed to the elements. Remember, it’s all about self-sufficiency because the normal services are not available. A well-equipped first aid kit is a must have.
♦ Buy a small camping stove. Nothing big or expensive, just something you can cook on outside in case of emergency. It will be a luxury when you are 2+ weeks without power and all the stores and restaurants are closed for miles.
♦ Those small flashlights that you can strap around your head that take a few AAA batteries? Yup, GOLD. Those types of handsfree flashlights are lifesavers inside and outside when you need to see your way around. Nighttime is especially dark without electricity in the entire town. Doing stuff like filling a generator with gasoline in the middle of the night is much easier with one of those head strap flashlights. Strongly advise getting a few, they’re inexpensive too.
♦ Cash. You will need it. Without power anything you may need to purchase will require cash, especially gasoline. Additionally, anyone you hire to help or support your immediate efforts will need to be paid. Cash is critical. How much, depends on your individual situation, but your cash burn rate will likely go into the thousands in the first few days. Also keep in mind, you may or may not be able to work and without internet access even getting funds into place could be challenging.
♦ Hardware. A box of self-tapping sheet metal screws (short and long) is important, along with a box or two of various wood screws or Tyvex screws. A battery drill or screw gun is another necessity. Check all of this stuff during hurricane prep.
Maybe Ron will get indicted for questioning the results of the damage?
Ron is too busy being a RINO.
Democrats don’t get indicted.
Is anyone else getting a little suspicious of three consecutive hurricanes hitting Florida, two of them on the overwhelmingly red Gulf Coast?
Nothing would surprise me anymore.
Geo-enginering and weather modification/manipulation,
Welcome to the reality of climate change
I agree. Still say that’s why we got Hurricane Ian. Florida was doing so good. Then a Hurricane just happens to come along to devastate.
I bet there were land grabs down in Ft. Myers Beach, too.
And Ian made some real interesting twists and turns….
Fuel contamination reported at several FL gas stations. Looks like the distribution plant mixed diesel with regular. Mighty suspect IMHO. Prayers for Sundance and all FL peeps!
Of the 301 Atlantic hurricanes that have hit the US between 1851-2022, 40% have hit Florida
Here’s the high points:
Florida 120
Texas 64
Louisiana 63
North Carolina 58
Alabama 23
Mississippi 14
https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd-faq/#landfalls-by-state
And one hit California in the mid 1800s.
Don’t we almost uniformly rail here, me included, about the left claiming man made climate change? Yet, here you are doing the same thing!
Yeah! As in them cooking up a hurricane and unleashing it on the west coast of FL!
C’mon Stew. Stop with the false equivalencies.
HARP- Long known weather manipulation program.
Man Made Climate Change- a well known HOAX
Governor Ron can stay home where he belongs- and do his job… the one he was elected to do very well.
No. They are that evil, but they aren’t that capable; yet!
Do you know with certainty that they aren’t that capable yet, or is just your opinion?
Where will Meatball be during this time, Iowa or New Hampshire???🤦♂️
He is back in FL. He is a wonderful Gov can we leave politics out of this? Geez…..
You must be new here.
Right? 😂
Like, Today new??
Right 🙂
No been here since 2012 you?
Explain to me why he allowed Ken Griffin to manipulate a law recently passed that actually allowed the Chinese easier access to buying and owning land in Florida!!! 🤔
When it comes to issues in Florida, I go by what Sundance posts since he lives in the State and has been there for years!!!
Me too but I got news for you I have lived here since 1983 except for 6 years and now have been back for 20. Just because I love my Gov doesn’t mean I want him to run for President. I have no answer to your question because I do not know. You can nitpick the guy all you want I do not care. He has been great for FL, perfect? No, because no one is perfect.
NOT NITPICKING IS HOW YOU END UP WITH BARRY SOETORO AKA BARRACK OBAMA!!! 🥴
How many people who had homeowners insurance cancelled and had to shop for new insurance are thinking what a wonderful governor DeSantis is?
I posted this here before but it’s worth shouting from the highest mountain: check out the American Policyholders Association. https://apassociation.org/
It’s run by a Marine vet named Doug Quinn and they advocate for homeowners who have had claims denied by insurance carriers and other stupid stuff. They can’t fix everything but they provide good information, the advocate for homeowners at the State attorney general level and they have uncovered insurance company fraud (yep, it’s true). It may not be for you particularly but it’s a good resource to have if you need them. After the horror stories after Hurricanes Michael and Ian it’s good to know what resources are available.
May the Lord be with you in the path of this hurricane.
This exactly why home owners insurance is so expensive in Florida. It not anyone’s fault. It just is!
Don’t freak out. Just make prudent decisions. Fearmongers here should shut up. If you live on the coast that’s a problem. If you live in Orlando is will be a minor inconvenience. Don’t freak out! Losing power sucks. But just remember that the human race lived without power for all of history, except for the last 120 years. You’ll be fine. And I’m saying that as someone who’s lived in Florida since 1968.
Plus since I have natural gas stove and hot water, no problem. Never let the powers that be switch you to all electricity!
We have gas too but I think the starter on the stove is electric.
It’s expensive in SoCal too. That is, if you can get it.
and going higher, Florida will be a state for millionaires only, because they will be the only ones who can pay for homes and insurance there.
Millionaires do not provide their own services. Florida depends on “regular” working class folks to keep its head above water. If this was still a “Trump economy”, most everyone would be gainfully employed, and we wouldn’t be so stressed out and downtrodden.
Insurance has been a problem for years, it went nuts after the 04/05 season and has stayed that way.
Insurance compare all about collecting money. Payouts? Not so much.
Exactly.
Change the rules to run for pres and not resign as gov.
Over ride the locals in Stuart Fl, so a developer from Jersey can build a Costco and shitbox apartments.
The list keeps going.
The ONLY reason Da Meatball Sub looks like a good gov is because all in recent past were so bad.
Yes, shame on him. Greed and power corruption abounds. Maybe he can redeem himself? So disappointed in him – and his wife. Shame on her too.
Florida is a magnet for tropical damage. Can’t expect to build and live here without the eventual disaster or two. Calling Mother Nature’s bluff sometimes backfires.
What a silly accusation. Insurance companies cancel various policies and refuse to cover certain claims or even states, all the time. Probably 15 years ago, I remember when several companies stopped selling home owners, and auto insurance in the state of Colorado due to hail damage in repeated years.
What do you want the governors to do? Mandate they stay and provide insurance?
I didn’t know that DeSantis was in charge of insurance in FL. Sorry don’t have an answer for you. FL is a hurricane state you know that when you live here.
Exactly! Governor and keep it that way.
Totally agreed.
Comment deleted by Admin…
He’s a wonderful “Pretender.”
Get back to us when all of his so-called anti-woke wins are finished being litigated.
Know this: Disney was always going to get it’s decades long, sweet deal taken away…bc it’s billions for the state of Florida. It was the right thing to do…but it doesn’t make Ron presidential material or America First.
Where exactly did I say a word about him running for president? I said he is a wonderful Gov and he is, I live here. I can love my Gov and vote for Trump for president, you know 2 things at once. It is not difficult.
What? He’s in Politics. He thinks he’s going to be somebody BIG. Then why doesn’t he stay in Florida and do his job?
visagea, DeSantis was overwhelmingly reelected governor. He repeatedly stated that he had no plans to run for president in 2024, but that was a bald-faced lie. He was ALWAYS planning to run for president in 2024.
Florida is having a serious homeowner’s insurance crisis; people en masse are having policies cancelled, and if they’re “fortunate” enough to retain their policies or obtain new ones, the cost is triple or more of what they were paying just 3-4 years ago.
How is this being a “wonderful” governor?
He had the potential to be a “wonderful”governor if he hadn’t stupidly taken the 30 pieces of silver from the establishment GOP to run for president and stayed put in Florida to aggressively address this insurance debacle. Unfortunately, he took the low road.
I feel for you guys in Florida because we are now experiencing the same thing here in the Texas/Oklahoma/Louisiana corridor because we are in tornado alley and a few major EF4 or EF5 tornadoes that can do major damage absolutely drive prices through the roof on premiums and there have been two major insurance companies leave the region or will not allow new policy holders into the system!!!
Do you blame your local politicians for it? Probably not. kudos.
Should I blame George W Bush or Dick Cheney for my one year deployment in Iraq or the multinational corporations, tell me bub, or myself for what some would say being a sucker and sap for joining the military pick one!!! 🥴
He is a politician he lied shocker!! He cannot control hurricanes or insurance companies. But keep blaming him for Mother Nature. I agree he should not have run for president, he ruined his political career. I am team Trump but I can still love my Gov for the wonderful job I believe he is doing, is he perfect? no, no one is.
He called a special session of the GOP-dominated FL state legislature in December 2022, one month after he was re-elected by 15%, to address and remediate the insurance crisis.
They did NOTHING to help homeowners. All they did was make it harder for fraudulent lawsuits to be filed against insurance companies.
After this, the Democrats went around showing their proposals to the suffering FL homeowners, saying, “See? We tried to fix it, but the GOP stood in our way.”
Don’t be surprised to see FL turn blue in 2024 at the earliest, or 2026-28.
And the fact that you’re OK with him LYING about something as important as not running for president after being reelected governor because, “He’s a politician, he lied, shocker!” and even believe he’s “wonderful,” shows you have some issues. Stockholm Syndrome?
Hosting another fund raiser behind closed doors?
DeSantis is heading back to Florida for the hurricane. It would be the best chance he has to bow out gracefully and back President Trump now!
Ron & his GOPe bosses see this as his chance for camera time.
They’re all happy the hurricane will put President Trump’s mugshot on the back burner…or so they think.
Bet he won’t.
Really grateful for this hard-learned, compressed information. While not in this storm path, it gives me a guideline to show weaknesses in my own thinking and planning.
In light of the recent warnings that information we love and depend on may be difficult to access, I am printing more these days as a resource for reference if needed.
Highest wishes and regards to those in harm’s way.
And, here is one of the largest school district’s weather advisory:
https://www.pcsb.org/Page/21433
Just can’t make this incompetence up!!! Note: most private schools follow the public school’s directives.
My son was in school in Fort Myers for Ian. That was some kind of crazy that night.
He’s graduated and now is back living in Tampa.
I’m not optimistic for Tampa as he sure seems to be a hurricane magnet.
Perhaps you could send your son somewhere that really, really, REALLY needs some rain (ahem . . . like Texas).
Already told him to visit the relatives in Nebraska, lol.
Just can’t make this stuff up!
https://www.tampabay.com/hurricane/2023/08/27/florida-gas-contamination-idalia/?trk_msg=V5EF3FGQB4H43D2UE0PRNKGELG&trk_contact=T8CRE85VG3N866AMDSOI085JOC&trk_sid=THEPOD0K50T1NU51N9TK3FQQV8&trk_link=1IF50M6NHDFKPBHDIMRKPHV1U0&utm_email=cab9090a7de36d889aa76e080e3a0d0745254f926c3a43c5f8315fc890f23936&utm_source=Breaking+News&utm_medium=MG2_Newsletter&utm_term=“potentially+widespread+fuel+contamination”+that+may+have+resulted+in+people+getting+fuel+from+Florida+gas+stations&utm_campaign=times-breaking-news
Shirley Shirley that must be a coincidence with a hooly comin.
Contaminated by “human error.”
Imagine that.
Oh wow, not good when people are trying to evacuate.
This URL can be shortened to the part just before the question mark. (Not all URLs can be shortened like that.) So if you want, you can use this as the URL:
https://www.tampabay.com/hurricane/2023/08/27/florida-gas-contamination-idalia/
Doesn’t look like the reporter for the TBT knows his East from his west.
This is really scary for a lot of SWFL residents … many have not completed repair of Ian’s damage. Blue tarps are not much hurricane protection.
Thank you for all you do Sundance. You’re truly a remarkable person and you’re in my prayers every day.
Beautiful.
How much potable water is in YOUR hot water heater!
Rush used to always advise people to fill up all the bathtubs in their house beforehand. Of course, that’s not much help if your house gets blown apart.
I’ve never drank water out of my bathtub………………
It’s to Flush toilets. If you clean your tub first can use it for pets. Washing hands etc
That’s the age old line from the talking TV heads.
A few years back after putting up the shutters and securing yard I came in to find the bathtub full, inquiring mind asked why???
Was told the TV said so, just looked and asked if she forgot that we have a well and a generator.
Good on the generator—power was out 14 days, FP&L sucks.
The Career Opportunities in the USA pop ups are annoying.
Every 30 seconds.
Exactly. I’m thinking about going back to work.🤣
They just recently started.
I have ad blockers on but this one still shows up.
I use Brave browser, and I see ZERO pop ups.
GFS model shows pretty rapid intensification in the eastern Gulf. Pressure near 955mb at landfall which typically would be category 3 range.
Wind shear has been impacting storm today but won’t be a factor much longer. Eastern Gulf is extremely warm ocean temps right now also unfortunately.
Everyone should be prepared. I’m hoping the GFS will be wrong.(entirely possible.)
Oh, also people in Carolinas should pay attention. Especially Outer Banks. The GFS is showing it stalling out for a couple days offshore. Fortunately, it just shows it remaining a weak tropical storm at that period(because of wind shear aloft) but rain could be excessive if it stalls close to the coastline.
Obviously, any Rx. medications anyone in your household needs to take every day, or on a regular basis, you should have a minimum of an extra 6 weeks worth, and if its a medicine you “could die” without, heart medications, breathing medications, etc. an even larger “reserve” is advisable.
Getting to Sundances point on MENTAL/EMOTIONAL, some suggestions;
Beta Blockers, such as Proponol, have the physiologic effect of suppressing the adrenaline responce,…”tamping it down”.
In ANY kind of crises, you want to “remain calm” and be the guy in that poem “If” remaining calm while all around you are losing it and blaming you, and a judiscious use of Bete Blockers can help.For those around you losing it, a Xanax/Valium may be helpful, and St. Johns Wort can aid in dealing with depression.
I keep many medications available for “in the event of” those above, plus muscle relaxers for strained muscles, pain relievers, etc.
Antibiotics, one or two “broad Spectrum such as Doxicycline, and amoxicillin,…in case of infection.
All but Rx (narcotic) pain killers can be ordered from Global pharmacy, and frankly with care you can obtain strong pain killers locally.
Not for everyone, but “advanced” includes several packages of casting plaster (buy at hobbie store) and tube socks, to cast broken arms/legs, I have both types of sutures (3.0 silk, for closing surface, and catgut (“dissolvable”) for internal repairs.
Some,..feminine hygiene products, for gunshots, tampons without applicator for entry wounds, napkins for exit wounds.
Getting extra supplies of prescription drugs where I live is next to impossible , as they count every pill and you get n “it is too soon to order” message if you’re not down to your last few pills and that includes heart and cancer meds. And good luck even getting a pain medication prescription these days. I was in charge of filling my mother’s meds at the pharmacy when she was still alive and it was very frustrating.
That’s true—if you want insurance to pay for it. Do an internet search for the med you want to buy and the phrase “coupon codes” and see what comes up. Often you will find one that allows you to purchase at a significant discount—without involving the insurance company.
While you’re at it, search for your med +the name of the manufacturer+ co-pay assistance program. Many drug makers offer a co-pay assistance program which can drastically reduce your out of pocket cost.
I hope this helps. Good luck!
If the governor declares a state of emergency, there is an override for refills for a 30 day supply. Controlled substances have different rules. The pharmacy having your prescription in stock is another matter, too. Also, pharmacies do not magically have more staff just because a state of emergency is declared. They have to get home and secure their needs too for the storm. If someone doesn’t need the early fill because they have a couple weeks on hand, they should consider getting it where they are evacuating.
I will at DeSantis handled the hurricane exceptionally well last time
As hard as this is , it will benefit him
Are the Gods against us?
Latest reports say it is veering east….will possibly be a Cat 3.
He was saying that it is veering east in your linked video
Oops….I was thinkin’ east but my fingers went west! 🙁
I’m west of the bend of the panhandle, so you scared me!
That link is the best hurricane weather youtube channel I’ve seen yet- thanks so much for that.
You’re so welcome! And, really sorry I skeered ya!
Been watching him, Ryan Hall, and the wonderful Levi Cowan. Have family spaced out from Tally to Tampa and am getting my home ready for potential evacuees even though we’re 400-500miles up the cone in inland SC.
God bless you and the rest of the team. Thank you for sharing your wisdom and keeping the treehouse going even in all the chaos.
Bless you for being so ready to care for others!
This is great information.
And none of this is disinformation!
Why would anyone trust local government for anything? Pinellas County, one of the counties Gov DeSantis declared in his Emergency Order is scheduled to meet tomorrow to discuss Tropical Storm/Hurricane Idalia, 33 hours before projected landfall. Most emergency shelters are closed. Zero discussion of any opening dates and times. Most shelters are situated in Pinellas County Public Schools where there is no direction on that board’s website. Stunning malfeasance!
https://pinellas.legistar.com/Calendar.aspx
This is extremely odd.
Listen to this weather forecast.
Why would a “military exercise look like rain “ on the weather radar in the Gulf of Mexico ,off the coast of SW Florida?
The quiet part out loud… Military exercises that show up as rain on radar? #Godspeed
After fires in Maui, tornadoes in Spain, and flooding in Saudi Arabia…starting to think the “man-made” global warming crap is literally them messing with our ecosystems.
everyone talks about the weather, but nobody ever does anything about it
~Mark Twain, circa 1870
This is for Miya too.
Mark Twain says the darnest things. But he didn’t live in these times where anything can be manipulated when it comes to weather. LOTS of THINGS
Dimming the sun with chemtrails that are laden with in these parts, burned slag with lots of aluminum in them that in a few days, brings down “rain.” So “good” for the plants, animals, birds, and humans. Ask Bill Gates about that one.
And I guess until John Kerry has his private jet taken away from him, and a sock stuffed in his mouth, he will keep preaching climate change. My arse.
These arseholes are most likely doing their best to kill off ANYTHING living on the planet.
All summer I have been noticing dead birds on the highway. No windmills in view. It is like they have fallen out of the sky or been hit while flying low by a Mack truck. It is very strange. I am used to seeing deer, squirrel, possum, snakes, varieties of ground creatures dead on the road, but not birds. I want to know why.
In october 2016, i rode my bicycle from Williamsburg to Richmond on the national capital trail which is 55 miles through countryside & farmland
In all that riding, I saw exactly six birds: three sparrows, one was a vulture and two were crows
the woods were otherwise silent and barren of life
contrast with memories of my early youth in the early sixties, when sparrows, starlings and various other species would flock by the thousands
I never see that anymore
Don’t have to ask Gates. My best friend is a homestead farmer. She had the worst season of her life this year when it came to her garden. She went saw the chicken feed issues firsthand when certain brands caused egg production to stop. She had two beautiful beehives completely dead within 48hrs of DOT driving past “spraying the overgrowth.”
We see it on a small scale daily. It’s not a stretch to believe it happens on a larger scale, especially when so much info is out there about it now.
I’ve lived in the woods here in FL for over 20 years- everything wildlife has diminished.
Just arrived in Buxton NC OBX this evening for 5 day stay…not leaving. Been thru a few before and it shouldn’t be too bad by the time it gets here. 50 mph? We’ll wing it.
“Winging it” might not be advisable in 50 mph winds. Just sayin’!
What’s the water look like up there? Was recently further south near Wilmington and couldn’t get over how green it was. Curious if Franklin had churned up the water yet.
Certainly no expert but,since moving to swfl from Nj in2001 would have to say that the biggest shock and surprise is the unpredictability in the last 60 minutes before landfall. Also ,although living near the gulf or on the gulf,while being certainly more at risk, these hurricanes have certainly caused much damage inland.
In 2004 ,Charlie was predicted to wipe out Anna Maria Island with a direct hit. Having 2, 70 lb dogs also , we had a friend 70 miles south and we evacuated to port charlotte. Anna Maria had no damage and pt. Charlotte , punta gorda were devastated.
Another time neighbor evacuated from AMI to a hotel in orlando.Island spared but hurricane caused much damage in Orlando.Just some observations after 25 wonderful years on the best coast of fl.
Remember who is large and in charge. Pray and help.others
Amen. Spent the summer of ‘04 in Central Florida. It was the last hurricane season I spent there until 2020. After that I left and haven’t been back since. Relatively safe in inland SC but we’ve had storms all night with thunder that’s shaken the whole house.
Prayers to all in FL, especially those who still haven’t rebuilt from Ian.
Lived in central SC, when Hugo came through in 1989 and it was devastating. Still in same place and we get winds from hurricanes all the time.
Water is beautiful green
Enjoy it! I love the Outer Banks. Hope you have a wonderful and safe time.
Someone suggested we should expect an abnormally bad storm year in Florida because there is an unusually high amount of African dust that has blown out over the Atlantic in the trade winds and that translates into more storms in Florida. I have no idea if that is true. We shall see.
I don’t know about the dust, but I do know a supermoon is forecast for the 31st, which will mean higher tides than average and higher surge as a result. Not good.
Yes, heard that. The tide will already be 2 feet higher than normal even before storm surge.
Have many loved ones, two surviving siblings and others who live in Tampa. They’ve been there for over forty years. On out regular Sunday conference call tonight, they were both almost yawning over the hurricane prediction. Didn’t have the heart (but had the caution) not to say something like “the way DeSantis handles this hurricane” will somehow “make him Presidential material.”
Not true. Sahara dust coming out in the Main Development Region (MDR) in the Atlantic inhibits hurricane formation. Besides that the disturbance that has become Idalia first started in the Pacific off the Central America coast then crossed central America into the Caribbean. Has nothing to do with development in the MDR
Joe Bastardi tweeted that he believes that it will be a major when it comes ashore.
(3) The American Storm on X: “Again to be clear I think Idalia is a major hurricane at landfall” / X (twitter.com)
A major is a CAT III or higher. My guess is CAT III. Joe knows his stuff so I would take this seriously.
Already upgraded to major this morning and rapid intensification is expected. Praying we don’t have another Michael, but it’s not impossible.
Godspeed, Floridians.
Folks, in the next few days let’s not get all lost in the woods if we don’t see posts every couple hours….SD has something else on his mind about due south of him.
prayers for you all in the impact zone. sometimes the smaller storms can yield a lot of damage. be prepared, hunker down. i’ve been through several hurricanes. they do not play.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/025839.shtml?peakSurge#contents
7 feet of moving water is irresistible.
It is likely to be worse than that. That graphic is predicated on Idalia being a CAT 1 hurricane at landfall. Joe Bastardi has stated he believes it will be a major hurricane at landfall. Levi Cowan has talked about the potential for near shore intensification but can only hint that it may be stronger than currently forecasted because he works for the NHC.
Stronger wind means stronger and higher surge. The other factors in a storm that effects surge is the size of the storm. The larger the storms wind field the longer there are winds driving the water towards shore and thus the more severe the surge. And another factor concerning the storm itself is what the tide state is at peak surge. All of those factors plus the topography along the coast below and above water effect how severe the surge will be.
It is almost always the surge and not the wind that causes the most death and destruction from a tropical cyclone. The last exception to that rule that I can remember was Hurricane Andrew in 1992.
Mikes weather page twitter is where I go for hurricane info.
Mikes is good …track the tropics too…
SE TX here…got my GOOD eye on the sky…
There is a fair chance you’ll see a non tropical storm coming your way in about 10 days according to Joe Bastardi.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F4j8omRW8AA5BvD?format=png&name=medium
It’s going to do a few million $$$ worth of improvements in Western Cuba then water some crops on the FL west coast then rain on beautiful SC and NC a little bit…shave a few AC BTU demand with cloud cover..and then drift off toward Europe…not a big deal…
Windy dot com…the Sundance of weather sites…
None better.
(Snicker)….
I was in middle south Georgia with hurricane Michael in 2018. I’d never been remotely involved with one. We are on a major N-S US highway and I can look practically 1 mile either direction. There are times i dont see a car either direction. With michael it was steady traffic for several days going north.
Then when it hit and we are probably 90 miles from Florida. We had maybe moderate tropical force winds and some stout gusts. So, I could reasonably experience it somewhat “leisurely” without too much concern for structural damage. I would go from the house to the barn and look out over the back pasture. The just constant wind for hours and hours was so incredible. Just no let up. I can not even imagine what it must be like at landfall.
29.06″ HG (inches of mercury) is not a major hurricane…that is predicted pressure at landfall a few miles N of Cedar Key…the shape of the shore and direction of storm travel may enhance storm surge height and rapid intensification (see Humberto 2007) could be an issue…
Predictions of possible 11′ storm surge seem a bit extreme to me but you DON’T want to be there for ANY level of storm surge…not even three or four feet…
Hide from the wind, run from the water….
Do NOT try to ride out storm surge.
What is your source? That’s a middling CAT 1, NHC is forecasting a strong and strengthening CAT 2
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT5+shtml/280257.shtml
Windy dot com is the source….windy is an exceptional tracking site in my experience…..but admittedly the model can underestimate intensity.
I don’t bug out until the last minute if at all with the storm surge/seawall height being the determining factor.
I am only 6′ above sea level so a seawall breech would toast me.
That said we are looking pretty good, at least on the TX/LA border out to Sept 16-18…meaning no significant activity in the Atlantic (threatening US) out to Sept 6 plus 10-12_days travel time from the African Coast to northern/mid Gulf of Mexico.
Prayers and God Bless to all in the storm affected areas.
Y’all be careful.
Forgot….Windy now showing pressure of 29.2 at landfall.
There are better items to have but if in a pinch or just want a little something extra Dollar 25 Tree has some decent solar lights. I bring them in for the storm and then put them back out to charge up. They aren’t to read by or anything, but they do light a path when it is dark. A few of them I have had for years, surprisingly. They also have in the candle section the fake candle flames to set around for light. Again surprised at well they work for the cost.
They also have baby wipes for cheap. Most handy when the power is out.
Important note:
The largest electrical generating station in Florida is located on the coast at Crystal River, FL. At this time shown in the area to have the highest storm surge. IOW the winds will be driving the water towards shore. I worked during Shutdowns at coal fired Units, 1 and 2 over several years there. I was there during the “100 years storm” in the 90s.
All the units at that station will no doubt shut down if for no other reason than the salt spray being driven off the ocean onto the towers and high tension wires in the yard shorts the massive breakers. It happened before during the “q”1oo year storm” that was not a tropical cyclone and so it will no doubt happen again.
I don’t know about now, but back then Unit #2 supplied all the electrical power for Disneyworld. It is or possibly was, a huge unit.
We were flooded out of our motel during the “100 year storm” and this hurricane will no doubt bring much worse flooding.
Lord, please hear my prayer-Please send Idalia around Florida and smack dab into Washington DC.. if it must go through Florida first, please make it quick and painless with minimal damage or suffering. Thank you. Amen
Thank you for the timely update on Tropical Storm Idalia. It’s crucial for people in Florida to stay informed about potential weather impacts. Your coverage is greatly appreciated!
“The new prediction shows a 100-kt hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico at 48 hours, but Idalia should keep strengthening up to landfall along the Gulf coast of Florida.”
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT5+shtml/280859.shtml?
Cat 3 west of Tampa, strengthening to landfall
As mentioned, 0500 EDT update has idalia as a major cat 3 hurricane off the coast. Everyone in the potential path needs to prepare, like now.
This should be an image of the current forecast
The maps are currently showing Homosassa, Crystal River, and Cedar Key areas. People should probably pay attention to a projected 11 foot storm surge in those areas. Boats in and along those estuaries should probably be moved inland somewhere (south and central) and those low lying areas should probably be evacuated.
I wouldn’t ride this one out in an older home/lot west of 41 because those areas have lots of older wood/brick frame homes and manufactured homes that are non-stilted and non-elevated above grade.
What I remember is when going north Homosassa was kind of the end of civilization. Inglis was in the middle of nowhere. That whole area now is massive population. Doubt many people have experienced a major.
This is all great advice. Thanks for posting. What always worries me are the people who have nowhere to go and no way to get there.
I pray in Jesus name for protection over everyone in the path of the storm.
Awesome information and inspiration. Namaste. 🙏🏻🙏🏻❤️❤️👊👊🇺🇸🇺🇸
Now will be coming ashore as a major hurricane, bummer.
Seems the “Governor” should be in Florida to be there to help the citizens
Is that going into Georgia on Wednesday. Isn’t that Fani’s big indictment show with live appearances from President Trump and American’s mayor. So sad if it was postponed or have to be done on ZOOM. Poor Fani.